Guest essay by Jim Steele
A recent survey conducted by Weather Central and George Mason University makes this claim: TV Weathercasters’ Views of Climate Change Appear to Be Rapidly Evolving
Meteorologists examine causes of weather change every day. They are the scientists most likely to understand when unusual weather extremes are weather or climate change. Thus they have been polled every year about climate change.
However most don’t respond. Basically three fourths of weather scientists choose NOT to get entangled in a political, non-scientific debate. In 2015 the response rate was 22%, just 32% in 2016 and in 2017 just 22%. And as true for most skeptics, most agreed climate change is happening. However the question is: What is the cause of that change?
Of 2017’s respondents, only 15% thought climate change was entirely due to humans, while 34% thought 60 to 80% could be attributed to human activity. However the survey did not separate human contributions to climate change from urbanization, deforestation, loss of wetlands or CO2 .
One fifth, or 21% thought changes were mostly or entirely natural while 8% admitted they just didn’t know.
So for ALL meteorologists surveyed only 11% actually claimed humans were mostly responsible for observed climate change: 22%(response) X 49% (attribution).
The survey was done by advocates of CO2 warming at ClimateCentral. Read it here:
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Interesting. I’m in the “largely or entirely” category. And I’m — still — a skeptic. (A harsh one.)
The level of non-response tells you that there is an extreme non-response bias in these polls.
You have alarmists running around threatening to have their opponents fired, jailed, or even killed. This creates a huge non-response bias.
Science by opinion survey ?
That’s fake science !
22% response rate = worthless survey because
the questions are politically sensitive,
and everyone knows
what the “right” answer is supposed to be,
so rather than give a “wrong” answer,
I believe many meteorologists don’t answer at all.
I also don’t see meteorologists as experts on
long term climate change.
In fact I don’t see ANYONE as an expert on the subject,
because there are still more questions than answers,
and a real expert, on any subject,
has to have a lot of correct answers,
not “we don’t knows” !
Looking at the surveys results,
I see the meteorologists who answered as
stupid heads — the correct answer is “I don’t know”,
yet only 8% of respondents said that !
Let me type slowly for any meteorologists reading:
NO ONE KNOWS
WHAT CAUSED
THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE
TO CHANGE
IN THE PAST 50 YEARS,
especially what percentage was caused by humans
through CO2, or data infilling, or data “adjustments”,
or high margin of error measurements
(such as satellite sea level data,
and surface temperature data).
This is a mystery!
Sometimes the smartest person in the room,
is one who says “no one knows”,
but few people with science degrees,
seem capable of that unbiased answer.
Blog for climate change reading,
including climate politics and even
a monthly Climate Centerfold:
http://www.elOnionBloggle.Blogspot.com
Agreed Richard. I am one of the smart ones; BUT:
I do know that my kettle always boils at 100C no matter how high I turn the gas up.(at sea level).
I do know that it is pressure that determines this temperature and that pressure is determined by gravity.
I also understand that the Earth’s temperature has been remarkably stable over millions of years.
As an engineer I am also aware of the thermodynamics of the steam Rankine Cycle which well describes the workings of the global Hydro Cycle and thus have total confidence that there is little to worry about where pesky CO2 is concerned.
What I do find incredible and deeply disturbing is the total dearth of debate upon the implications of the two facts mentioned above.
I could well pontificate on these implications; but will just leave you with this one thought:
” For every kilogram of water evaporated from the Earth’s surface, some 680 WattHrs. Are dissipated into the atmosphere.” ( Check the steam tables).
Does this make the earth a kettle, bubbling away at constant (more or less) temperature?
Well I don’t know do I?