From the “not happy feet” department and the “prospects look grim” climate model comes this mostly emotional bit of science PR. Please send money for more research too.
Finding new homes won’t help Emperor penguins cope with climate change
WOODS HOLE OCEANOGRAPHIC INSTITUTION
If projections for melting Antarctic sea ice through 2100 are correct, the vanishing landscape will strip Emperor penguins of their breeding and feeding grounds and put populations at risk. But like other species that migrate to escape the wrath of climate change, can these iconic animals be spared simply by moving to new locations?
According to new research led by the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI), they cannot. Scientists report that dispersal may help sustain global Emperor penguin populations for a limited time, but, as sea ice conditions continue to deteriorate, the 54 colonies that exist today will face devastating declines by the end of this century. They say the Emperor penguin should be listed as an endangered species. The study was published in the June 6, 2017 edition of the journal Biological Conservation.
“We know from previous studies that sea ice is a key environmental driver of the life history of Emperor penguins, and that the fifty-percent declines we’ve seen in Pointe Géologie populations along the Antarctic coast since the 1950s coincide with warmer climate and sea ice decline,” said Stephanie Jenouvrier, WHOI biologist and lead author of the study. “But what we haven’t known is whether or not dispersal could prevent or even reverse future global populations. Based on this study, we conclude that the prospects look grim at the end of 2100, with a projected global population decline as low as 40 percent and up to 99 percent over three generations. Given this outlook, we argue that the Emperor penguin is deserving of protection under the Endangered Species Act.”
The relationship between Emperor penguins and sea ice is a fragile one: Too little sea ice reduces the availability of breeding sites and prey; too much sea ice means longer hunting trips for adults, which in turn means lower feeding rates for chicks. Only in the past few years have scientists become aware of the penguins’ ability to migrate to locations with potentially more optimal sea ice conditions.
“Before 2014, our studies of the impacts of climate change on these animals hadn’t factored in movement among populations,” said Jenouvrier. “But between then and now, a number of satellite imagery studies and genetic studies have confirmed their ability to disperse, so this was an important new variable to work into the equation.”
To determine whether migration will ultimately help Emperor penguins defend against population decline, Jenouvrier worked with mathematicians to develop a sophisticated demographic model of penguin colonies based on data collected at Pointe Géologie, one of the few places where long-term Emperor penguin studies have been conducted.
The model tracks the population connectivity between penguins as they take their chances moving to new habitats offering better sea ice conditions. “It’s like we’ve added roads between the cities the penguins live in and now get to see what happens when they travel between them,” she said.
A range of model inputs were used, including penguin dispersal distance, behavior and rate of migration. The model also factors in end-of-century sea ice forecasts from climate projection models to predict the fate of each colony.
According to Shaye Wolf, climate science director for the Center for Biological Diversity, the new modeling technique is key to informing policy around “much-needed protections” for the Emperor penguin.
“Dr. Jenouvrier’s research has been at the forefront of advancing our understanding of how climate change is impacting these animals now and into the future,” she said. “Emperor penguins capture our imaginations because they are devoted parents and tough survivors. This work is another wake-up call that we need to make rapid cuts in carbon pollution if emperor penguins are going to have a future.”
One surprising aspect of the study, according to Jenouvrier, was the wide range of penguin responses to various dispersal scenarios represented in the model. In some cases, dispersal boosted populations whereas in other cases, it led to dramatic declines.
“We saw sustained populations through 2036, at which point there was an ‘ecological rescue’ that reversed the anticipated decline expected without dispersion for about a ten-year period,” she explained. “During that time, the penguins made wise choices in terms of selecting the highest-quality habitat they could reach. But the ‘rescue’ was only short-lived, and started plummeting in 2046. When we averaged out all the scenarios, the model painted a very grim picture through 2100, regardless of how far penguins travelled or how wise their habitat selections were.”
The researchers conclude that while dispersal can be a very potent response to climate change in certain cases, the projected accelerated pace at which ice is melting in Antarctica makes for a tricky dynamic. Climate change isn’t stationary, so even if Emperor penguins move to locations with better sea ice conditions, those conditions could change dramatically from one year to the next.
The new findings will help inform a scientific status review launched in 2014 by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service aimed at determining if the Emperor Penguin should be protected under the Endangered Species Act. Wolf views the study as confirmation that climate change is putting the animals in danger, and as such, agrees with Jenouvrier that protection is in order. “Decisions to protect species under the Act must be based on science and not politics, so we hope the Fish and Wildlife Service will heed the science and give Emperor penguins the protections they deserve,” she said.
Jenouvrier agrees, and believes that adding Emperor penguins to the Endangered Species list could help accomplish a number of things. For example, it’s likely to trigger new fishing regulations in the Southern Ocean and highlight the need for new global conservation strategies. It may also help increase public awareness and “sensitize people to the impacts of climate change” which in turn could help reduce emissions. And, it may spur the need for more studies of Emperor penguins — something she’s already eyeing for the future.
“While we’ve learned that dispersal doesn’t change the ultimate fate of these animals,” she said, “we need to better understand the dynamics of what happens when they disperse. To do this, we’ll need to tag penguins from several colonies and monitor them. Eventually, we also want to understand if populations may eventually adapt to sea ice change, and more generally, how they will respond to the changing landscape in terms of breeding and other life history stages.”
###
This research was supported by WHOI, Mission Blue and The French National Research Agency.
The Study: https://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n8/full/nclimate2280.html
Gosh, it’s just tragic, right?
Back in 2012, it was reported:
Emperor penguins in Antarctica are far more plentiful than previously thought, a study that used extremely high-resolution imagery snapped by satellites has revealed.
“It surprised us that we approximately doubled the population estimate,” said Peter Fretwell, a scientist with the British Antarctic Survey and lead author of a paper published today in the journal PLoS One.
Fretwell said that in contrast to previous estimates, which put emperor penguin numbers somewhere between 270,000 and 350,000 birds, the new research counted 595,000 birds.
Despite that good news, plus more colonies being found, the IUCN “redlist” still lists them as “near threatened” even though the first count in 2009 was wrong, by their own admission:
A survey of satellite images from 2009 found 46 colonies containing c.238,000 breeding pairs, suggesting a total of c.595,000 individuals (Fretwell et al. 2012). Since then, a further seven colonies have been discovered bringing the total number to 53 (Fretwell, pers. com.). The global population estimate has not yet been updated.
Why? Climate models of course!
This species has been uplisted to Near Threatened because it is projected to undergo a moderately rapid population decline over the next three generations owing to the effects of projected climate change. However, it should be noted that there is considerable uncertainty over future climatic changes and how these will impact the species.
…
Aptenodytes forsteri has a circumpolar range, restricted when breeding to the coast of Antarctica where breeding colonies occur right around the continent (Fretwell et al. 2012). At least ¾ of the breeding colonies of this species are vulnerable to predicted changes in sea ice conditions and 1/5 may be quasi-extinct by 2100 (Jenouvrier et al. 2014). There are regional variations in population declines but colonies located north of 70°S have a probability of 46% to decrease by up to >90% by the end of this century (Jenouvrier et al.2014).
Quasi-extinct? Hmmm.
Conservation status: Near Threatened (Population stable) according to the Encyclopedia of Life
So now four years later, thanks to the same researcher (Jenouvrier) who got them on the “near threatened status, that doubled population faces a certain doom, according to “projections”. One wonders if their “projections” are any better than the ability to count populations from satellite imagery in 2009.
But it seems the researchers goal to do more banding of penguins, might do more harm than good, as Jim Steele reported on WUWT:
There is a much more parsimonious explanation for the DuDu penguins’ decline. Between 1967 and 1980 researchers from DuDu attached flipper bands to breeding penguins, and that is exactly when the penguins began to desert the colony as seen in Figure A. By the time the much-ballyhooed “warm spike” occurred in the winter of 1981, the colony had already declined by 50%.
…
Placing a band on an Emperor Penguin is no easy task. Male Emperors must conserve energy in order to survive their 4 month winter fast, and tussles with researchers consumed their precious energy. Emperors must also huddle in order to conserve vital warmth (as seen below in the picture from Robertson 2014). But huddling was disrupted whenever researchers “drove” the penguins into files of 2 or 3 individuals in order to systematically read bands or more accurately count the population. “Droving” could also cause the males to drop their eggs that are so precariously balanced on their feet.
When DuDu’s flipper banding finally ended in 1980, coincidentally the Emperors’ “survival rate” immediately rebounded. Survival rates remained high for the next four years despite extreme shifts in weather and sea-ice extent. However, survival rates suddenly plummeted once again in 1985, despite an above-normal pack-ice extent.Coincidentally, that is when the French began building an airstrip at DuDu, and to that end they dynamited and joined three small islands.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/07/01/blinded-by-beliefs-the-straight-poop-on-emperor-penguins/
Maybe the authors were listening to ‘ship of fools” organizers, Chris Turney, who claimed in February 2016 that 150,000 penguins simply disappeared, so they must have died. https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/13/chris-turney-penguins-dont-migrate-theyre-dying/
Oh, wait, never mind, they “walked away”: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/16/the-penguin-strikes-back/
And last year, WUWT reported (thanks to David Middleton) that based on the RCP 8.5 model, penguins would be “exterminated”…unless of course you actually read the paper, something the headline generators don’t count on:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/06/30/rcp-8-5-to-exterminate-antarcticas-penguins-by-2100/
Perhaps rather than putting the 600,000 strong Emperor penguins on the “endangered list” they could be listed under the “climate horror stories that just won’t die” list, like the Pika.
Meanwhile, in the real world, the Antarctic sea ice extent max-min difference (the minimum usually occurs in February) has been on the rise, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center:
Note: within five minute of publication, the paragraph preceding the graph of Antarctic sea ice was edited for clarity and accuracy.
On noes, … yet another article the uses only the phrase, “climate change”, as if “climate change” (I presume) equates to “human-caused climate change”.
Is that the deal these days ? that the phrase “climate change” AUTOMATICALLY carries the understanding that humans ALWAYS cause it ? … What if I just want to talk about climate change, in general? Do I now have to specify somehow that I am NOT talking about human-caused change ?
This whole issue is f****ing up the language.
Now let’s talk about hunger, … of course, with the understanding that humans cause it.
Next, let’s talk about the sinus congestion, … humans cause it, understood.
Name your experience, … humans cause it, … no need to qualify it.
Anthropoantiseptic could relieve such annoying side effects of stupid.
“the” = “that”
Humans caused be to make that typo.
“be” = “me”
COME ON !
The penguins probably caused the second one.
Robert , it is well known that climate change affects your concentration and typing abilities. When will denierz wake up to the reality. Too much CO2 shuts down brain , you are showing the first symptoms at 400ppm, Just imagine what it will be like in 2100 : everyone will crashing their cars.
That is why we must ban cars now and let google take over.
That’s why self-driving cars will be common place in a few decades. – it’s positive feedback designed by and for the auto industry whereby more self-driving cars will spew more CO2 causing more brain-dead humans to buy more self-driving cars, etc. etc.
Robert, conflating one thing with another is a common lefty tactic: Carbon (soot) conflated with CO2 for instance or illegal immigration conflated with legal immigration or global warming conflated with anthropgenic global warming.
“Is that the deal these days ? that the phrase “climate change” AUTOMATICALLY carries the understanding that humans ALWAYS cause it ?”
Yes, that’s the deal. The alarmists assume it and want us to assume it, too.
Anthropogenic Stupidity.
Now there is a Human Caused effect that is easily illustrated. Just go onto any college campus or to any SJW “protest” and it will wash over you like a wave in the ocean!
And yet, the temperature of the Antarctic continent has not changes one whit since measurements (on the surface and by satellite) began. Since this is a Woods Hole paper, we all paid for it. Are we enjoying our purchase?
Yet they can swim away, as they gorge themselves on the multitude of fish living in all that open ocean, filled with plankton and krill and whatnot. Funny how nature just keeps on going as it CHANGES endlessly. Something it has been doing since long before humans arrived on the scene.
Why all the fuss?
Just tweak the model a bit so emperor penguins CAN fly.
Climate Models don’t lie, so, problem solved!
These are Adelies, of course, so lighter than Emperors:
That’s one of the funniest things I’ve seen.
I think pigs are known to fly also. Apparently out of a hole somewhere.
All penguins fly quite well. Only in water though.
Of course, the explanation is simple.
Global Warming has caused the air at the South Pole to stratify so that the now hotter air has risen and the now colder air (they’re still working on that) to sink and become denser, dense enough for these little guys to fly.
Perhaps a couple of them found a “channel” dense enough for them to fly to the North Pole. That might explain this picture.
http://media1.picsearch.com/is?qWdRoZAdwFVMi-CrJL4m6hSun-kKocKGB8EVbPAvkgY&height=300
I Came,
Aired on April 1, 2008.
Tty,
Yup. Fluid dynamics apply whether the fluid is denser like liquid or more tenuous like air.
I suppose we’ll just have to accept that research into “climate change/warming/some damn thing” is now actual climate change.
I haven’t seen it and the supposed .8C increase would be unnoticeable to anyone other than some guy who can get 2decimal places out of a degree accurate thermometer. Storms seem to come less and less, at least here in the good old USA which apparently is the only country that counts in these things, so maybe there are other considerations? Sea levels seem to go up and down depending on various mysterious factors like the moon and sun, if you can believe it. How’s that work?
What I’d like to really know is how can scientists make predictions into the next century but my local forecast changes hourly?
ps Penguins stink and taste terrible so who needs them?
It’s a kind of reverse evolution. I have noticed it in many newspaper and TV articles. Although people intellectually accept that penguins came about through evolution, which entails old species dying off as new species are created, they don’t accept that it should ever happen again. That is, now that these people exist, they want the whole world to just freeze at the state it was when they were born.
Deluded, yes. But nobody has ever been able to explain that to them.
It’s because if humans are the cause of evolution, it’s unnatural and evil.
What about all the endangered species we’ve saved from natural extinction? Why isn’t non-human-caused extinction as bad as human? Aren’t we a part of nature?
What about cyanobacteria, which caused the extinction of practically all life on earth more than two billion years ago? But without them, no oxygen, no animals, no fungi and no plants.
Sometimes however species go extinct without leaving any evolutionary descendants, while at other times new species arise from existing ones without the maternal species going extinct.
Penguins are an interesting case. Their evolution is actively being investigated. Molecular “clocks”, ie estimates of divergence dates from mutation rates, differ from “rocks”, ie the fossil record. Part of the problem is that mutation rates vary over time and among different, even closely related, groups; part is from an incomplete fossil record and part from simple taxonomic classification, as in, what counts as a penguin?
The relationships among existing “crown” groups of penguins have been worked out quite well, but their more remote, ie Miocene and earlier, ancestry remains controversial. Unless my info is out of date, as well it might be.
While fossils of birds clearly related to penguins date from 62 million years ago (some man-sized), the latest genomic survey found that all modern genera date only from the time of the late Miocene re-deep-freezing of Antarctica.
http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/9/6/20130748.short?rss=1
That means that all other proto-penguin and penguin lines went extinct between ~62 and 11-16 Ma, leaving only the line that led to Pliocene, Pleistocene and Holocene diversity.
A few years ago, I was travelling through Tierra del Fuego, and was told of a King Penguin colony that had recently re-established (King not Emperor). There were only a handful of penguins, but the Chileans were pretty excited about it as the penguins had been absent for a very long time. I’m pleased to see that the colony is now over 100 strong.
http://www.fsexpeditions.com/tierra_del_fuego/king_penguins_of_tierra_del_fuego.php
It seems that it has taken the Chileans no time at all to turn them into a tourist attraction, but realistically that’s needed for the penguins’ survival. The colony is a very short walk from the road, and they are much more in need of protection from people than they are from marine predators.
The point of this is that penguins can and do re-locate without the help of a climate model.
“However, it should be noted that there is considerable uncertainty over future climatic changes and how these will impact the species.”
WAT! Somebody hold me, I’m shaking. They told me it was settled science.
“The model also factors in end-of-century sea ice forecasts from climate projection models to predict the fate of each colony”
So their conclusions were based on a climate model based on a climate model. How do these people manage to convince their funding bodies that their conclusions were the results of flawed, or at least unproven information at the outset?
Or, “…were NOT the result of flawed…” ??
“Only in the past few years have scientists become aware of the penguins’ ability to migrate to locations with potentially more optimal sea ice conditions.”
Absolutely priceless. So these intellectual giants apparently thought that during the last glacial maximum the Emperor Penguins bred high on the inland ice hundreds of kilometers inland?
With Adelie penguins, the other high-arctic species this particular idiocy is at least impossible since they breed on rocks and their old abandoned colonies are preserved in deep-frozen state.
Of course colonies moves. No animal or plant that cannot move long distances has a chance to survive long-term at high latitudes. There is this thing called ice ages….
”We know from previous studies that sea ice is a key environmental driver of the life history of Emperor penguins, and that the fifty-percent declines we’ve seen in Pointe Géologie populations along the Antarctic coast since the 1950s coincide with warmer climate and sea ice decline”
Sounds impressive if you don’t know two things.
1. Pointe Géologie is the site of the main French Antarctic Base Dumont d’Urville complete with airfield and tourists.
2. A hundred kilometers away a major Adelie penguin colony at Cape Denison has been virtually abandoned during the same period because it is now too far from open water (this was where “the ship of fools” got caught)
And here is climate data for the Dumont d’Urville station since 1956:
http://www.nerc-bas.ac.uk/icd/gjma/dumont.temps.html
The only significant change since the 50’s is that autumns have become very slightly colder
The chart with the annual trends sets a new record in statistical abuse: significant figures out to ten-thousandths of a degree C from a sample size in the 50s.
But what has actually happened in the past 61 years of actual records under steadily rising CO2 doesn’t count. All that matters are what the GIGO models, already shown false, predict for the next 83 years.
The prospects of the Emperor Penguins in 2100 are definitely brighter than ours!
Penguins are liable to go extinct, unless they can learn to defend themselves.
They mostly breed in areas where there are no terrestrial predators. Mainland colonies are rare, and only small species that breed in burrows use them regularly.
I meant against researchers!
“We know from previous studies that sea ice is a key environmental driver of the life history of Emperor penguins, and that the fifty-percent declines we’ve seen in Pointe Géologie populations along the Antarctic coast since the 1950s coincide with warmer climate and sea ice decline …”.
=================================
As Anthony Watts shows that is simply untrue.
Further, the longest-term Antarctic temperature record (since according to the IPCC human CO2 emissions have been the overwhelming global av. temperature driver) shows no apparent trend:
http://www.climate4you.com/images/70-90S%20MonthlyAnomaly%20Since1957.gif
I’m not a scientist but I gather that any GHG warming due to increased concentration of CO2 is logarithmic, that should be most apparent at the lower end of the scale and gradually tails off, that “atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) has its greatest absorption of infrared radiation (IR) at sub-zero temperatures”, and that because the Antarctic air is very dry that is where CO2 would be expected to exert the greatest influence and any CO2 warming most apparent i.e.:“… enhanced greenhouse surface ‘fingerprint’ is usually considered to be enhanced warming in the polar and sub-polar regions …”. (quotes from climate4you).
Those 37-month smoothings sure do a great job of taking away the natural variance from year to year, don’t they? Look at the spikes in that graph: 7-degree ranges at least once a decade, and annual differences of 2 degrees are routine. How can one possibly filter a hundredth-degree signal out of that much noise?
One can’t; it’s impossible to do so in a statistically significant manner.
Antarctic deamplification!
CBC BS never ends…
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/climate-change-study-1.4157216
“A team of scientists had to abandon an expedition through Hudson Bay because of hazardous ice conditions off the coast of Newfoundland caused by climate change.
About 40 scientists from five Canadian universities were scheduled to use the icebreaker CCGS Amundsen for the first leg of a 133-day expedition across the Arctic. It’s part of a $17-million, four-year project led by the University of Manitoba that looks at both the effects of climate change as well as public health in remote communities.”
Too much ice! Multi year ice!!!!
“Thick, dense ice had traveled to the area down from the High Arctic, said Barber, which caused unsuspecting boats to become stuck and even take on water.”
And when they encounter thick ice? Blame it on climate change:
“Barber and his team began using their equipment on board the icebreaker to take samples and analyze the ice.
They determined it was multi-year ice, not typical of the northeast coast of North America and most likely from the High Arctic. Chunks measured between five and eight metres thick.
“This is the first time we’ve actually seen ice from the High Arctic,” said Barber, who has studied the impacts of climate change on sea ice for decades.”
Yet Barber the Canadian ice idol contradicts himself the next paragraph: “Barber points out the warming action also loosens ice and broken icebergs can travel long distances on ocean currents.
“It’s very much a climate-change driven phenomenon,” said Barber. “When you reduce the extent of the ice and reduce the thickness of it, it becomes more mobile.”
So when you reduce the thickness of sea ice , you get thicker ice… LOL
Of course, the CBC did not allow comments on such made up story so Barber retains his guru status…
Barber is this kind of scientists who has not heard about atmospheric circulation patterns and how meteorology affects sea ice. Worse, CBC and Barber forget to tell multi year sea ice is on the rise…
https://realclimatescience.com/2017/05/arctic-sea-ice-extent-identical-to-2006/
“Eventually Barber decided leaving the area for Churchill would put lives in danger so he called off the first leg of the expedition.
“It was an extremely difficult decision to make but I believe it was the right one to make,” he said.”
The truth is that Churchill is quite iced up even now:
https://polarbearscience.com/2017/06/08/breakup-of-sea-ice-on-track-in-canada-as-critical-feeding-period-for-polar-bears-ends/
CBC is a mouthpiece for alarmist scientactivists
Well, it was only a few years ago when Barber said that the multi-year sea ice was gong and the ice was actually “rotten”. He noted in other interviews at the same time that the sea ice would melt out by 2020.
http://umanitoba.ca/news/blogs/blog/2009/11/27/news-release-thick-arctic-sea-ice-goes-missing/
I guess he’s saying the multi-year 6 metre thick ice is back now. Going by is previous MO, he should have had a complete psychological breakdown after hearing himself throw out those statements.
When the mainstream media put out a tongue-in-cheek story like this about Barber’s new study cancellation, you know the game is starting to be up.
Ice-breakers rescuing ice-breakers and they are not even farther north than London. It should really be time to call the game over.
http://globalnews.ca/news/3522104/canadian-climate-change-study-cancelled-because-of-climate-change/
Looks like it… But the CBC propagandists never pass on an opportunity to push their agenda.
Interestingly, the DMI chart of ice volume is now topped out at the limit of the graphing color range in some places. Look way up at the north end of Hudson’ bay… there is a fair sized area that is flat in the color of 5m ice assigned on the chart. Who does a color chart that has large areas of max values?
At the moment, Arctic sea ice extent is about average for the past decade on this date, so ice from the High Arctic should be normal around Newfoundland, if that’s where it came from.
Translation: “Our previous models and predictions up to 2014 were hopelessly wrong for trivially simple reasons, but we promise that they are totally believable now. We have thought of everything.”
I have not earned an advanced degree yet, so perhaps I am being ignorant when I wonder what kind of idiot does not consider migration when doing population studies????
Someone revoke all of her degrees.
Well, in her defense, rocks rarely migrate, so that would most likely never even occur to her. Doubt you could ‘splain it to her, either.
Sorry, everything beyond that statement is too speculative to consider seriously.
Lordy but I do so loathe Antarctic ‘research’ ‘scientists’ above all others – or at least their tv simulacra. A gross and sweeping generalisation I know but typified by the stern and selflessly dedicated, lantern-jawed men-of-science with robust beards and orange dayglo immersion suits, careering around the Antarctic coastlines in their orange dayglo semi-inflatable z-boats. Chests thrust out against icy spray and exclaiming in righteous outraged horror as mighty cliffs of ancient glacial ice tumble in post-processed slo-mo into the heaving Southern Ocean. Lordy I so hate all of that.
“The model also factors in end-of-century sea ice forecasts from climate projection models to predict the fate of each colony.”
There’s the problem right there. This study assumes facts not in evidence. Pure speculation. They forgot the disclaimer: “IF CAGW is real” then this or that may happen.
That bogus, bastardized Hockey Stick chart inspires all this nonsense.
Question: How would YOU pronounce WHOI ? — I say Hooey!
– just add a “P” in front of your word.
Good one!
My first thought when I saw the picture of the person holding a penguin (as a former bird owner) was, “that’s probably not good for the penguin.” From the statistics about the loss of penguin population due to the people studying them mentioned in the posts above, it seems that that is the case.
I believe this is a video from the researchers just prior to the trip to the antarctic:
Oh. My. Gawd. That captures the very essence of the “concerned envirowhatsit” perfectly! Wish I could find the video of greentards running over a pod of whales as they “saved” them from eeeeevil whalers. F*cking priceless.
“The relationship between Emperor penguins and sea ice is a fragile one: Too little sea ice reduces the availability of breeding sites and prey; too much sea ice means longer hunting trips for adults, which in turn means lower feeding rates for chicks.”
And with just the right amount of funding, sea ice will be just right for the penguins.
total bull sh-t
The CBC in its continuing fake reporting on (climate change), posted this,
http://www.cbc.ca/beta/news/canada/manitoba/climate-change-study-1.4157216
Severe ice off Newfoundland is the result of climate change. Hey these scientists have got all their rent seeking bases covered.
Alarmists can’t be happy about this ice year so far.
Antarctic ice has nearly recovered from the super El Nino effect last year. Its extent is about to reenter the normal range.
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/charctic-interactive-sea-ice-graph/
Arctic sea ice is about average for the past decade at the moment, despite its low high this year. With the melt season now over halfway through, the summer low could still be low, if there are August cyclones, as in other low years. But if WX in the Arctic is usual this year, minimum sea ice extent could look more like 2013 and 2014, ie in the normal range, rather than 2015 and 2016, the latter of which tied the stormy year of 2007.
In any case, Griff’s assertion that this was “sure” to be a record low year, lower than even stormier 2012, isn’t looking too likely at the moment.
Thanks nc, Note the ice is between 5 and 8 meters thick!! Wasn’t the ice in the Arctic scheduled to disappear this year?
“Barber and his team began using their equipment on board the icebreaker to take samples and analyze the ice.
They determined it was multi-year ice, not typical of the northeast coast of North America and most likely from the High Arctic. Chunks measured between five and eight metres thick.
“This is the first time we’ve actually seen ice from the High Arctic,” said Barber, who has studied the impacts of climate change on sea ice for decades.”
He also, not aware of the Titanic, seemed surprised that ICE travels?