Guest essay by Rud Istvan
WUWT readers will be familiar with the Karl et. al. pause buster paper Bob Tisdale has extensively critiqued, concerning which the NOAA administrator committed contempt of Congress by withholding related emails despite Rep. Lamar Smith’s Congressional Oversight Committee subpoena.
In 2013 Jim Hansen announced that GISS was switching to ERSST3.0. That means Gavin Schmidt would have used it for the January 2014 “warmest ever” PR, which embarrassed him when it was immedately pointed out that his own report said there was only a 32% chance this was true.
Time for some more egged faces (and fodder for the Congressional Oversight Committee), because NASA GISS would have used the Karlized ERSST4.0 for their 20 January 2016 PR proclaiming alarmingly that 2015 was the warmest ever, and by a lot!!! (It is, after all, a strong El Nino year similar to 1998.)
First, 2014 from the current NASA website, archived to save it from the memory hole. NASA posted its PR with the following chart on 16 January 2015.
The 2014 degrees C GISS anomaly is plainly 0.64C (not given in the PR text).
Note that 2014 GISS shows the temperature pause/hiatus also reflected in satellite and radiosonde observations. The joint NASA/NOAA 2016 press conference presentation did show them (perhaps because of Senator Cruz’ December hearing on climate ‘Data versus Dogma’). 2015 not hottest.
Second, from the same website, NASA’s version of the joint NOAA/NASA hottest ever (by a lot) PR, posted on 20 January 2016:
Plainly there was a 0.13C GISS anomaly increase over 2014.
This should mean that the alarming record 2015 anomaly is (0.64 + 0.13) 0.77C.
But not in the global warming proponent’s world.
From the joint presentation at the 20 January 2016 press conference:
It is worse than we thought. The official NASA GISS 2015 anomaly is 0.87C!!!
Illustrated differently, NOAA’s 2014 anomaly record from their website (archived) compared to the same chart for 2015, the one Adm.Tetley prominently featured in the Data or Dogma hearing to belittle the pause:
Pre Karlized: Pause Karlized: No Pause
This is alarming anthropogenic global warming. But it isn’t caused by CO2. It is obviously just government ‘scientists’ altering ‘official’ temperature records. A 0.1C jump in what the 2014 GISS anomaly supposedly is, manufactured during 2015. It is notable only because of the media ballyhoo that NOAA and NASA created, which they cannot now erase. There are many additional examples.
“O, what a tangled web we weave when first we practice to deceive”
— Marmion, canto 6 stanza 17, by Sir Walter Scott
Tom Karl at NOAA and Gavin Schmidt at NASA have woven a tangled web.
Perhaps Senator Cruz and Representative Smith can untangle it.