In climate science, the more things change, the more they stay the same

change1Scientists are still behaving badly

It has been an extraordinary week. To review, we have news of the resignation of Lennart Bengtsson from The GWPF due to McCarthyism style pressure from climate science community, and according to him, particularly from academics in the USA. Then we have his ERL paper rejection by what appears to be baseless grounds from a reviewer who opined it would be “…less then helpful, actually it is harmful…”. 

That, combined with the dead serious but simultaneously laughable legal threat letter from the University of Queensland to Brandon Shollenberger telling him he may get sued, or worse, become a target of a criminal investigation, because he wants to write a scientific rebuttal to John Cook’s “97% consensus” paper, using Cook’s own ratings data, which Cook refuses share but left out in the open on a collaboration website. All of that speaks to scientists behaving badly.

Legal_attack_panel
AGU 2013 Climate Science Under Legal Attack – Scientists Tell their stories. L-R Naomi Oreskes, Jeff Ruch (PEER), Kevin Trenberth, Michael Mann, Andrew Dessler, Ben Santer

In looking at the Bengtsson affair, I see the same M.O. we’ve seen before from people we are familiar with, and it is my opinion that we’ll eventually find that Peter Gleick, Michael Mann, Ben Santer, and Kevin Trenberth along with some other familiar names were involved in that “pressure” that Bengtsson speaks of. I hope he’ll eventually publish those emails, but if not, they’ll eventually come out.

When I attended AGU 2013, I was struck by how some scientists claim they have been “bullied” while also playing victims, with advertising even! (see photo)

IMG_20131209_131354[1]
Digital signage seen at AGU2013

But, at the same time these same scientists do lots of visible and invisible bullying themselves. Their AGU2013 session on “facing legal attacks” seemed to be nothing more than projection. The bottom line is these bozos have gotten themselves into the FOIA legal quagmire because they won’t share the data and process to allow their science to be replicated and self-policed by the larger body of scientists as it is supposed to be. Instead, they take the role of demi-clods, making pronouncements and saying “trust us”, while simultaneously hoping the FOIA requests and discovery process can be stonewalled away. The Mann-vs- Steyn affair for example, is the classic case. Mann advances his lawsuit, but won’t play by the rules of discovery, probably because he thinks he doesn’t have to comply. Still, Steyn’s lawsuit remains our best chance at finally getting to the bottom of Mann’s hockey-stick fiasco or as he calls it, “The Descent of Mann“.

The events we witnessed this week are indications that academic bureaucracy and the small cadre of “team climate science” hasn’t learned one damn thing since Climategate. For them, it’s business as usual with impunity.

Dr. Matt Ridley wrote an essay at his blog, The Rational Optimist titled The coerced consensus” which is well worth reading. But the thing that struck me the most was his list of references from the Climategate affair, which reads like the script from the movie “The Gang Who Couldn’t Shoot Straight”. It seems clear to me that at least in the field of paleoclimatology, these scientists really don’t have a clue about ethical and professional behavior. Look at this list compiled by Ridley, and you’ll see what I mean.

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Examples of the threatening and blackballing of scientists, reporters and editors in the Climategate emails (note: broken links updated – Anthony)

  • Phil Jones writes to University of Hull to try to stop sceptic Sonia Boehmer Christiansen using her Hull affiliation. Graham F Haughton of Hull University says its easier to push greenery there now SB-C has retired.( 1256765544)
  • Michael Mann discusses how to destroy a journal that has published sceptic papers.( 1047388489)
  • Letter to The Times from climate scientists was drafted with the help of Greenpeace.( 0872202064)
  • Mann thinks he will contact BBC’s Richard Black to find out why another BBC journalist was allowed to publish a vaguely sceptical article.( 1255352257)
  • Tom Wigley says that von Storch is partly to blame for sceptic papers getting published at Climate Research. Says he encourages the publication of crap science. Says they should tell publisher that the journal is being used for misinformation. Says that whether this is true or not doesn’t matter. Says they need to get editorial board to resign. Says they need to get rid of von Storch too. ( 1051190249)
  • Ben Santer says (presumably jokingly!) he’s “tempted, very tempted, to beat the crap” out of sceptic Pat Michaels. ( 1255100876)
  • Tom Wigley discusses how to deal with the advent of FoI law in UK. Jones says use IPR argument to hold onto code. Says data is covered by agreements with outsiders and that CRU will be “hiding behind them”.( 1106338806)
  • Santer complaining about FoI requests from McIntyre. Says he expects support of Lawrence Livermore Lab management. Jones says that once support staff at CRU realised the kind of people the scientists were dealing with they became very supportive. Says the VC [vice chancellor] knows what is going on (in one case).( 1228330629)
  • Rob Wilson concerned about upsetting Mann in a manuscript. Says he needs to word things diplomatically.( 1140554230)
  • Briffa says he is sick to death of Mann claiming his reconstruction is tropical because it has a few poorly temp sensitive tropical proxies. Says he should regress these against something else like the “increasing trend of self-opinionated verbiage” he produces. Ed Cook agrees with problems.( 1024334440)
  • Santer says he will no longer publish in Royal Met Soc journals if they enforce intermediate data being made available. Jones has complained to head of Royal Met Soc about new editor of Weather [why?data?] and has threatened to resign from RMS.( 1237496573)
  • Reaction to McIntyre’s 2005 paper in GRL. Mann has challenged GRL editor-in-chief over the publication. Mann is concerned about the connections of the paper’s editor James Saiers with U Virginia [does he mean Pat Michaels?]. Tom Wigley says that if Saiers is a sceptic they should go through official GRL channels to get him ousted.( 1106322460) [Note to readers – Saiers was subsequently ousted]
  • Later on Mann refers to the leak at GRL being plugged.( 1132094873)
  • Jones says that UK climate organisations are coordinating themselves to resist FoI. They got advice from the Information Commissioner [!]( 1219239172)
  • Mann tells Revkin that McIntyre is not to be trusted.( 1254259645)
  • Jones says in a HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL email that he and Kevin will keep some papers out of the next IPCC report.( 1089318616)
  • Tom Wigley tells Mann that a figure Schmidt put together to refute Monckton is deceptive and that the match it shows of instrumental to model predictions is a fluke. Says there have been a number of dishonest presentations of model output by authors and IPCC.( 1255553034)
  • Grant Foster putting together a critical comment on a sceptic paper. Asks for help for names of possible reviewers. Jones replies with a list of people, telling Foster they know what to say about the paper and the comment without any prompting.( 1249503274)
  • Briffa discusses an sceptic article review with Ed Cook. Says that confidentially he needs to put together a case to reject it ( 1054756929)
  • Ben Santer, referring to McIntyre says he hopes Mr “I’m not entirely there in the head” will not be at the AGU.( 1233249393)

And here is what a climate scientist, Michael Schlesinger, wrote to Andy Revkin of the New York Times shortly afterwards:

Andy:

Copenhagen prostitutes?

Climate prostitutes?

Shame on you for this gutter reportage. This is the second time this week I have written you thereon, the first about giving space in your blog to the Pielkes.

The vibe that I am getting from here, there and everywhere is that your reportage is very worrisome to most climate scientists. Of course, your blog is your blog. But, I sense that you are about to experience the ‘Big Cutoff’ from those of us who believe we can no longer trust you, me included.

Copenhagen prostitutes?

Unbelievable and unacceptable.

What are you doing and why?

Michael

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/191241/climate-scientist-andy-revkin-we-can-no-longer-trust-you-steven-f-hayward

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Got that? Toe the line as a reporter or we’ll cut you off.

And from this thread on WUWT: Professor Murry Salby who is critical of AGW theory, is being disenfranchised, exiled, from academia in Australia

…we have this comment from Dr. Jan Perlwitz, of NASA GISS/Columbia University in New York, which earned him a permanent ban from WUWT, due to his threat of violence:

perlwitzcomment_dead

What a bunch of climate mafia thugs. This is not going to end well.

UPDATE: Bishop Hill has a story also well worth reading:

The bigotry of the consensus

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Chuck Nolan
May 17, 2014 11:37 am

Peter Miller says:
May 17, 2014 at 11:14 am
Are there actually any ethical individuals amongst the alarmist climate scientists?
———————————-
I doubt it.
Not when Peter Gleick and his ilk are proof the alarmist will lie, steal and destroy people’s careers for their cause.
They have no problem with this lack of professional ethics.
He’s a hero to the alarmists.
Are they helping to lift the world’s innocent poor out of harsh and very short lives due to energy poverty?
I wonder if alarmists just point and laugh at the suffering they cause?
cn

May 17, 2014 11:41 am

A. Watts said,
“The events we witnessed this week are indications that academic bureaucracy and the small cadre of “team climate science” hasn’t learned one damn thing since Climategate. For them, it’s business as usual with impunity.”

– – – – – – – –
I concur, and to keep in perspective the situation, here are some words from more than 40 years ago before the ideology of CAGW became significant.

[T]here are, indeed, few things that are more frightening than the steadily increasing prestige of scientifically minded brain trusters in the councils of government during the last decades. The trouble is not that they are cold-blooded enough to “think the unthinkable,” but that they do not think.
Quoted from ‘On Violence’ (1970) by Hannah Arendt
“What I propose, therefore, is very simple: it is nothing more than to think what we are doing”
Quoted from the Prologue of book ‘The Human Condition’ (1958) by Hannah Arendt

Note: Hannah Arendt, whether one agreed with all of her prolific work, guaranteed a stimulation of fundamental discussions.
John

May 17, 2014 11:46 am

“I wonder if alarmists just point and laugh at the suffering they cause?”
I think that ‘le mot de jour’ is: “prolly”…

Gary
May 17, 2014 11:51 am

In retrospect these numbskulls would have been far better off early on to share their data, engage in vigorous debate with critics, and resist the siren call of advocacy. First, they would be able to do their research rather than engage in these skirmishes. Second, by opening up the question of what causes the warming to more than CO2, they might have encouraged MORE funding to figure out what’s going on, or at least more lines or inquiry. Third, they would avoid the embarrassments they’ve inflicted on themselves. Fourth, a generally sympathetic public would not be growing more doubtful as their bad behavior becomes known. Fifth, their critics would have made their science better (iron sharpens iron as the aphorism says). Sixth, their legacy would have been more honorable than it’s turning out to be.

Steve Oregon
May 17, 2014 11:52 am

Steven Mosher says: May 17, 2014 at 10:58 am Overplaying the hand.
That’s such a common response by the government thug class. It comes in many forms of condescending poo pooing of resistance.
It’s the you’re overreacting, overplaying, anti-science, anti-government, small minded, backward thinking, unqualified, dubiously motivated, suspect intentions or any other marginalizing slap.
Anything to try and stifle the dissent while fluffing up their superior and institutionalized selves.
I bet Mosher enjoyed his little snipe with that stupid smirk on his face.

James Ard
May 17, 2014 12:19 pm

This is a post for the ages. Next year, when the fraud has finally ground to a halt, the incurious reporters who never saw it coming can reference this post to figure out why it all went wrong.

May 17, 2014 12:20 pm

johnnyrvf says:
May 17, 2014 at 10:20 am
Demi-Clods! Very funny! Sadly the facism of the Klimate Klub is not.

=======================================================================
Don’t you mean “Katastrophic Klimate Klub”?

John McClure
May 17, 2014 12:41 pm

David L. Hagen posted this link on Climate Etc.
Its a great read from 2005.
“Michael Crichton’s testimony to the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works in 2005; vs Michael E. Mann”
http://www.epw.senate.gov/hearing_statements.cfm?id=246766

Stephen Richards
May 17, 2014 1:03 pm

Steven Mosher says:
May 17, 2014 at 10:58 am
Overplaying the hand.
Who? You ?

John McClure
May 17, 2014 1:16 pm

Stephen Richards says:
May 17, 2014 at 1:03 pm
Steven Mosher says:
Overplaying the hand.
======
Steven Mosher is understating the situation.
Jump the Shark comes to mind.
Until evidence related to Dr. Bengtsson’s statements is made public, no conclusion should be drawn as to the true cause.
The Intimidation is clearly a legal matter before an English court. I’d be very careful not to turn the courts attention to you or any comment on this thread.

TheMightyQuinn
May 17, 2014 1:16 pm

Do they learn how to goose-step in hobnail boots at their climate conferences?

F. Ross
May 17, 2014 1:18 pm

Defenders of the Faith = CCCN: Climate Change Cosa Nostra (?)

May 17, 2014 1:22 pm

Regarding coercion. Over here (EU) as from next year every new car by law must be fitted with a satellite transponder (for Galileo, the EU satNav+ system). It’ll cost at least £100. But here’s the real horror: unlike normal satnavs, this also controls your car’s ignition. Your car can be switched off at will via the satellite. They can track exactly where you are, what speed, how many miles you do etc (for which we shall doubtless be taxed).
I am certain, as the EU continues to falter, they will start rationing car use – for ‘planet saving’ reasons of course. You go to start your car – nothing happens, as they’ve switched you off. I live in the UK but our puppet ‘government’ cannot do anything about it.

John McClure
May 17, 2014 1:41 pm

Philip Foster (Revd) says:
May 17, 2014 at 1:22 pm
========
I have to admit I love watching Top Gear. They routinely complain about silly standards but the coercion occurs at the top of the policy decision making.
You’re contending with compliance to policies.
LOL, love to see the Mann on the course for a run. : )

dynam01
May 17, 2014 1:41 pm

John McClure sez: “Until evidence related to Dr. Bengtsson’s statements is made public, no conclusion should be drawn as to the true cause.”
The IOP has already stated the true cause of ERL’s spiking the Bengtsson paper. “Summarising, the simplistic comparison of ranges from AR4, AR5, and Otto et al, combined with the statement they are inconsistent is less then helpful, actually it is harmful as it opens the door for oversimplified claims of “errors” and worse from the climate sceptics media side.” Thus, in this referee’s view, it is an “error” to compare model predictions with observations.
For having the temerity to expose the models for what they are, Bengtsson is bullied into resigning from the GWPF. To liken this to McCarthyism is an injustice to McCarthy: there actually were communists in the State Dept.

Bob_L
May 17, 2014 1:45 pm

Mann has chosen the wrong foe in his battle with Mark Steyn. Time after time before, Mann has used the threat of suit and actual law suits to silence critics. Steyn’s previous battles for free speech in Canada taught him that you can’t shut up.
I am supporting Steyn’s effort and I encourage each person here to do the same.
http://www.steynstore.com/cgi-sys/cgiwrap/msteyn/sc/order.cgi?fromid=order.cgi&storeid=*20d8b94cf50031447ae51bbc72a196e8a0b7&cert=gift

Bruce Cobb
May 17, 2014 1:51 pm

Don’t forget Mann’s warning about Revkin to colleagues in one of the Climategate emails:
“p.s. be a bit careful about what information you send to Andy and what emails you copy him in on. He’s not as predictable as we’d like”
Controlling the message.

May 17, 2014 1:53 pm

Jimmy Haigh. says:
May 17, 2014 at 11:23 am
Roger Sowell? I get you 100%.
I have absolutely no idea what Mosher is on about.
=============================================
He likes to be cryptic &/or oblique. For whatever reason. Leaves me cold as well. Why bother?

May 17, 2014 1:58 pm

Dean of umass to graduating class “climate change is the most important issue you will face” very low groan was heard coming from the grads, there is hope, but this is what our kids are being subjected to,along with the gov of mass saying the same. Outragous

May 17, 2014 2:02 pm

Outrageous……

John McClure
May 17, 2014 2:19 pm

dynam01 says:
May 17, 2014 at 1:41 pm
========
With respect, I believe you are missing the point.
The top line take away is, reviewers are focused on or influenced by the political aspects instead of the science.
Wow, who knew, reviewers are human and are subject to influence both general and specific ; )
What’s your next expectation for “Review” and what made you change a statement because of IT to get a “passing grade”?
Unless you want more of this stupidity, isn’t it time to look closely at Legal standards and practices in science?

Chad Wozniak
May 17, 2014 2:54 pm

At least a few of the political class are awakening to the implications of Obama’s war on energy, albeit it may be a matter of self-preservation for some: red-state Democrat Senators Manchin, Landrieu, Heitkamp. However, it seems to be emerging more and more purely as a Democrat/leftist/alarmist versus Republican/conservative/skeptic issue. This is apparent in conservative political blogs and on-line news zines, and Marco Rubio declared his skepticism last week. if the Republicans can make lower-income people understand that AGW advocacy hurts them first and worst, and at least some of the less environmentalists can be shown how much “renewable” energy really is dirtier and less sustainable than fossil fuels – which it certainly is, besides being a needless added cost – perhaps some resistance can be mounted.
And one state, at least – Wyoming – has banned the teaching of global warming in the schools. Hopefully others will follow, in the same way as some are now pushing back against gun control(Georgia and Missouri).
It is definitely heading towards a showdown between science and liberty, on the one hand, and tyranny and witchcraft on the other, and one that could ultimately be decided only by armed force.

May 17, 2014 2:56 pm

Of course you guys have no idea.
Apply the tools of skepticism to the post. Then you will see. Dont expect me to do your work for you.
REPLY: Then don’t comment here any more Mr. Mosher, if all you want to offer is riddles while on the other hand constantly demanding others show all data and work. I don’t coddle such hypocrisy. If you want to explain please continue.
[added, people can’t use “tools of skepticism” to figure your position out, because you swing both ways] – Anthony

May 17, 2014 3:06 pm

Reynolds over at Instapundit has this apercu: ‘If you want to be trusted as nonpolitical experts, don’t act like lying partisans.’. See: http://pjmedia.com/instapundit/188850/#respond