Back in 2009, it was 200 million climate refugees according to this article in the NYT:
There could be 200 million of these climate refugees by 2050, according to a new policy paper by the International Organization for Migration, depending on the degree of climate disturbances.
Now the claim is up to 5 times that by 2050 in the space of five years, at this rate of increase, the entire world population will be ‘climate refugees’ by 2050.
From Smithsonian Magazine by Jerry Adler:
The Reality of a Hotter World is Already Here
As global warming makes sizzling temperatures more common, will human beings be able to keep their cool? New research suggests not
The various environmental effects of greenhouse gases are potentially devastating, as we have often heard. The latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report, made public in March, underscored the danger of widespread hunger, even starvation, resulting from crop failures. Other health threats have been enumerated by Robert Repetto, a United Nations Foundation economist, who says climate change will intensify smog, leading to “increased outbreaks of asthma and allergies,” and “exacerbate vector-borne diseases such as hantavirus, West Nile virus, Lyme disease and dengue fever.” Repetto also worries about the “extreme weather events” that some researchers say climate change will engender. “Biological systems and engineering systems are all designed for a range of climatic conditions,” he says. “Within those limits, we’re OK, …but outside those limits, the damage increases rapidly and becomes catastrophic, and we’re going outside those limits.” Heat waves themselves pose a health risk, especially for young children and the elderly—and world-class athletes. Temperatures at the Australian Open in January reached 104 degrees for four consecutive days, a condition that one tennis player called “inhumane” after competitors collapsed on the court.
(Gosh, it gets hot in Australia in summer? Who knew?)
…
There may be hordes of climate refugees, fleeing homes on islands and coasts made uninhabitable by climate change—anywhere from 25 million to 1 billion people by 2050, according to the International Organization for Migration. Even people who don’t have to move will experience a bewildering sense of dislocation as the environment changes around them—as Northern winters start to be measured in weeks rather than months. Glenn Albrecht, an Australian philosopher, coined the term “solastalgia” for this emotion, a kind of homesickness you can experience without leaving home.
“We will see the emergence of novel climates, environments we’ve not seen before in human times, and the extinction of others, around the Arctic and in high Alpine regions,” says Laurence C. Smith, a professor of geography at UCLA and author of The World in 2050. Smith says cities, industry and agriculture may benefit in places such as Canada and Scandinavia, though at some cost in psychological and cultural disruption. “Very bitterly cold winters will be less common in some places,” he says, “but instead of a nice blanket of white snow, they will have slush.” And people who move north for the weather, or for jobs that may open up as the Arctic melts, will discover that climate change doesn’t make the winter nights any shorter.
Read it here…. before it gets scrubbed…..
From The Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History’s exhibit, Vikings: The North Atlantic Saga, online tour at “Room 8”
(here: http://www.mnh.si.edu/vikings/start.html):
“When Erik the Red settled in a land to the west of Iceland, he named it Greenland, … Recent environmental research has shown that the climate was warmer 1000 years ago.
Here the Vikings tried to maintain their hunting and livestock-raising lifestyle, though as the temperature became colder in the 13th century, hunting became more of a necessity … .”
{emphasis mine}
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GREAT WORK, JIMBO! Thank you!
And SUPER great comments from so MANY above. Amazing what a little logic and common sense (and some excellent research, too) can do to a pile of junk like that article.
Funniest line of that article (as others have noted):
“25 million to 1 billion.” LOL.
Two college dudes planning a party —
FB1: So, like, dude. How many kegs should I order?
FB2: Dude. I do not know. How about…. a lot! {laugh, laugh, laugh}
FB1: Seriously, dude. How many people do you think will come?
FB2: Oh, …… somewhere between 25 and 1,000.
FB1: So, like…. you have no idea.
Oh, but, “climate experts believe the next ice age is on its way”… . “According to recent evidence… .”
“According to some climatologists, within a lifetime we might be living in the next ice age.”
Thus, spake Spock (with weasel words galore… same ol’ same ol’).
Well. Here we are. 37 years later.
Sometimes, it’s hot.
Sometimes, it’s cold.
When there is nothing else you can talk about………. talk about the weather.
I’m sorry, but Winters will still be measured from Winter Solstice to Spring Equinox in 2050. And the Smithsonian is the magazine of what organization? Something to do with science…
Yeah just fancy, in late January, the hottest part of the Australian summer, it sometimes gets very hot on the centre court at Rod Laver Arena during the Australian Open. The event is normally played with the roof open (the Open is an outdoor tournament) in this all masonry amphitheatre, where not a breath of wind can penetrate. Give us a break!
We had a warm summer this year irrespective of whether you believe the BOM’s hype. But then during the same time other parts of the planet had extremely cold winters, so what?
Yeah just fancy, in late January, the hottest part of the Australian summer, it sometimes gets very hot on the centre court at Rod Laver Arena during the Australian Open. The event is normally played with the roof open (the Open is an outdoor tournament) in this all masonry amphitheatre, where not a breath of wind can penetrate. Give us a break!
We had a warm summer this year irrespective of whether you accept the BOM’s hype. But then during the same time other parts of the planet had extremely cold winters, so what?
I quit reading when it states it was based on the IPCC….CACA
“it ‘will in the future’ knowing that they will not be around to be reminded of their BS claims when time runs out.
Normal pratice for climate ‘science ”
Now I have something to live for…….. To EXPOSE THEM!
Sick. Delusional. Hateful.
How low so many once respectable science magazines have sunk. How the mighty are fallen.
“Leo Norekens says: April 30, 2014 at 6:14 am
“1 billion climate refugees”
– Name one.’
Well, er, me actually. I fled back to Australia after years of living in the UK climate.
Wow! At this rate we will all be predicted climate refugees in 2050 by the time the 2020 estimates come around! In 2021 we will have to start importing beings from outer-space in order to be able to keep increasing our ridiculous claims to higher levels of obsurdity. [/sarc ]
The only explanation for the utter stupidity of the current situation is the Asch Conformity Experiment. As I go through life I can see that it actually explains very much of the stupidity that we see in the world in all fields.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asch_conformity_experiments
I feel for the migratory birds … what will they do? The ever shortening winters will have them flying in ever diminishing circles, like the African Plains Vukrwe bird. Could it be that the catastropharians have already reached the zenith of their ever diminishing circle.
Yes, this is why people are moving away from Arizona, Texas, & Florida in droves. Right now Vermont is literally overflowing with climate refugees: there is a mile-high stack of them at the border & they just tumble off the pile, rolling southward, where they incinerate instantly from the horrible Global Warming. It’s just basic physics, guys.
(This post has been awarded three Moshers for Excellence in Physics. The first is for proper use of “literally” in a figurative or allegorical sense, the second is for explaining how gravity pulls things southward, the third is for being able to count to three when making a list.)
It is hardly credible that any serious institution can publish such crap AD 2014. This is the last line in the Smithsonian article:
“That honking sound you hear? It may be the climate apocalypse, right behind you.”
That’s the chilling (sic) conclusion after having described how Vancouver will not be a haven for heat-struck Arizonians in the future; this Canadian gem will be be hit by rising sea levels and anyway has had a heat record this year.
“It’s global warming! It’s right behind us! It’s coming the other way!” I would prescribe compulsory watching of the glorious South Park episode “Two Days before the Day after Tomorrow” for these doomsayers.
“Smith says cities, industry and agriculture may benefit in places such as Canada and Scandinavia, though at some cost in psychological and cultural disruption. ”
The Vikings will suffer: “We just used to club’em, y’know, and leave them outside the hall nicely stacked in the all-year freezing winter-summer. That way, everyone could easily check how many enemies you had slain. But now, they thaw and they stink to Valhalla and we have to dig the un-frozen earth to remove them, and even old Leif The Legless boasts of being a fearsome warrior. Our culture is getting weaker than a Saxon kingdom! I guess we shouldn’t have killed all those mastodonts and monks and such, the sagas warned us that their final farts would bring on Ragnarok. I guess we just didn’t listen. We didn’t listen!”