Chicken al la still not a king

The royal prince in waiting of Britain labels climate skeptics as “headless chickens”.

From The Telegraph:

Prince Charles has criticised climate change deniers, describing them as the “headless chicken brigade” during an awards ceremony recognising a leading young green entrepreneur.

Charles, who has campaigned for years to reduce global warming, also spoke out against “the barrage of sheer intimidation” from powerful anti-climate change groups during the event held at Buckingham Palace last night.

The mark of a true leader is bringing people with diverse views and backgrounds together, clearly with this recent pronouncement, Prince Charles clearly has failed as a leader.

I’ll point out a few things the prince who may be king should know, but doesn’t, or chooses not to.

1. Rational climate skeptics don’t doubt that some portion of the proposed greenhouse effect is real, it’s just that nobody (and that includes many scientists) seems to be able to agree upon how much. The few who actually deny the Greenhouse effect exists, such as the “Slayers” aka “Principia Scientific” only represent the views of a fringe.

2. Item 1 then leads to arguments about climate sensitivity, values are literally “all over the map”:

image
Figure 1: Climate sensitivity estimates from new research published since 2010 (colored, compared with the range given in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) (gray) and the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5; black). The arrows indicate the 5 to 95% confidence bounds for each estimate along with the best estimate (median of each probability density function; or the mean of multiple estimates; colored vertical line). Ring et al. (2012) present four estimates of the climate sensitivity and the red box encompasses those estimates. The right-hand side of the IPCC AR4 range is dotted to indicate that the IPCC does not actually state the value for the upper 95% confidence bound of their estimate and the left-hand arrow only extends to the 10% lower bound as the 5% lower bound is not given. The light grey vertical bar is the mean of the 14 best estimates from the new findings. The mean climate sensitivity (3.4°C) of the climate models used in the IPCC AR5 is 13 percent greater than the IPCC’s “best estimate” of 3.0°C and 70% greater than the mean of recent estimates (2.0°C).

3.  The global climate isn’t responding as it was predicted by government scientists, the trend over the last 12 years is basically flat:

image
Figure 2: Global Average Surface Temperatures, 2001-2012

Compare that to climate sensitivity predictions, which center around .2°C

image
Figure 3: 12-year Trends compared to climate sensitivity predictions from Figure 1

The three graphs above are from Michaels and Knappenberger in this post.

4. The response of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is nearing saturation, which may explain why there is little warming over the last 12 years:

The Inconvenient Skeptic
Figure 4: Red: The AGW accepted climate sensitivity of 0.81 (3C for doubling) Green: Climate sensitivity of 0.28 (1C for doubling) Blue: Climate sensitivity of 0.066 (0.24C for doubling)

Figure 4 is from this WUWT post: Sensitivity Training: Determining the Correct Climate Sensitivity

5. While rational climate skeptics point out reality based factual inconsistencies with warming projections, the global warming movement has been hijacked by emotional activists, such as Bill McKibben and Al Gore, who use emotional pleas and invective to motivate people. You won’t see them ever show the graphs above because they don’t deal in facts, only emotional appeals.

6. By making an emotional label about climate skeptics, instead of dealing with facts, Prince Charles demonstrates that’s he’s no different than Bill McKibben and Al Gore. Given recent opinion polls, he’s basically called about half of his potential subjects “the headless chicken brigade”, yet it is he who seems to be centered on the emotionalism and randomness more suited to that label.

Perhaps there is a reason the Queen has held on so long.

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Orson
February 1, 2014 5:46 pm

I’m enjoying the thumbnail reminders of British history, addressed to my fellow Americans. as an Anglophile who studied in the UK twice, thank you!
Prince Charles is surely the dimmest bulb in the Monarchy’s “kitchen cabinet” (to employ the most delightful Americanism)! Maybe that helps humanize them, too?

Robert of Ottawa
February 1, 2014 5:50 pm

Long live the Queen, I say! Longer than her idiot son I hope.

Davidg
February 1, 2014 6:07 pm

If anyone wants to see a devastating and real portrait of Prince Charles, watch ‘To Play the King’, played with delicious savagery by Ian Richardson; Michael Kitchen plays Charles and it is on the internet.

Gail Combs
February 1, 2014 6:19 pm

“Given recent opinion polls, he’s basically called about half of his potential subjects “the headless chicken brigade”
……………..
That was an older poll ago a more recent poll:

A recent poll found the just one in five people believe climate change is man-made, compared to one in three a year ago.
The survey of 1,000 people found people over 65 were more likely to be sceptical. link

So he is now calling 80% of his subjects headless chickens. Maybe he needs a Dale Carnegie Course.

Davidg
February 1, 2014 6:21 pm

It’s a historical fact that Prince Edward was a Nazi in all but name and his Nazi loving tramp Wallace Simpson attracted that kind of trash to parties all over England until they fled. Not to mention that he committed treason and should have been shot, but wasn’t. His cousin Bernhard was a Lt. Col. in the SS. Phillip Spoke German and was totally sympathetic to the Nazi message, as were all too many English, like the Duke of Kent, whom Hess visited. Of course many people were attracted to the idea of Hitler as a bulwark against the red menace of the Slavs. That was the basis for appeasement. Dickie Mountbatten was not a Nazi, however, just to be clear.

Gail Combs
February 1, 2014 6:25 pm

Novantae says: February 1, 2014 at 9:32 am
… Did you know he talks to plants?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Plants LOVE to be talked to … or rather they love all that CO2 humans exhale while speaking. SHHHhhhh don’t tell Prince Charlies, I doubt he knows he is exhaling EVIL CARBON.

Half Tide Rock
February 1, 2014 8:02 pm

Speaking to understand the role of IQ in success. It is not just the horse power under the hood as much as the balance between the horsepower and the skill of the driver.

rogerknights
February 1, 2014 8:06 pm

I read that, after WW2, certain documents collected in Germany by allied forces were handed over to the UK and sealed because they were “embarrassing to the royal family.”

rogerknights
February 1, 2014 8:09 pm

. . . spoke out against “the barrage of sheer intimidation” from powerful anti-climate change groups . . .

For a list of 20-plus things that would be happening (but aren’t) if climate contrarians were actually well-organized and well-funded, see my WUWT guest-thread, “Notes from Skull Island” at http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/12/16/notes-from-skull-island-why-skeptics-arent-well-funded-and-well-organized/

Patrick B
February 1, 2014 8:45 pm

This kind of idiot always get the same answer from me – “OK, I promise not to produce any more CO2 than you do.”

James the Elder
February 1, 2014 9:02 pm

Otteryd says:
February 1, 2014 at 11:32 am
At least our Royals don’t actually have any real power. I am quite relieved. We don’t have a King Bush and a Queen Palin. That would really cause a revolution!
Ah, you conveniently forget the monarchy of, FDR, the attempt at Camelot in the 60s by the sons of a bootlegger, the ongoing attempt at a Clinton monarchy, and now we have he who orders the planet to cool and the waters to recede by wielding the mighty executive order pen that you apparently have no problem accepting. You also seem to forget that this country has NO royals. Wishful thinking on your part?

higley7
February 1, 2014 9:03 pm

Actually, it can be stated that we have no effect on climate as far as our CO2 emissions are concerned. No gas at any concentration in the atmosphere can do what they claim. It is simple thermodynamics. IR radiation sent back down by the atmosphere by definition cannot be absorbed by the surface as those energy levels are already filled. The surface is always hotter than the atmosphere (and the global climate models all have sunlight 24/7). The IR will be rejected by the surface and sent back up, with no warming occurring.
CO2 and water vapor might convert a tiny bit of this IR to heat while it is absorbed in the atmosphere but the amount of conversion is tiny and undetectable.
Nope, we may cause some urban heat island effect and changed land use effects, but our use of carbon-based energy is nothing but a win-win as increased CO2 is greening the planet, increasing plant growth, broadening their temperature tolerance, and improving their use of water and nutrients. With the coming cooler period due to two ocean cycles gone to their cooling phases and the Sun going into a Grand Minimum, meaning cooler temperatures for 30 to 120 years, we will need all the food we can grow.

TimC
February 1, 2014 9:15 pm

M Courtney says “And the world’s natural resources are still controlled in London – except for nationalised industries”.
I’m sorry, I’m not with you there: I think we are using different terminology. Are you talking of the persons (individuals, corporates or governments) with power of decision as whether to open up and exploit natural resources in the first place, or those that they then look to hire (the contractors) once the decision is made to go for exploitation?
I accept that London has attracted a number of contractors – mainly due to convenience, certainty (of contractual and legal process), stability and beneficial taxation treatment. However if any of this changes (even if only the new UK general tax anti-avoidance rule) they can and will relocate elsewhere, quick as a flash. And to a lawyer’s eye this is not “control” at all – control is the right to decide whether or not to exploit in the first place (not who you hire to carry it out).

Patrick
February 1, 2014 10:06 pm

I seriously hope Queen Elizabeth does not abdicate leaving Charles to the Throne, that will be a sad day for Britain. The Mountbattens were Battenbergs until WW1.

Bob Diaz
February 1, 2014 10:09 pm

Prince Charles has NO scientific qualifications to be taken seriously.

rogerthesurf
February 1, 2014 10:38 pm

I don’t think there will be much place for kings, queens and princes under United Nations Agenda21. Useful at the moment but I suspect irrelevant under any Global totalitarian government.
Cheers
Roger
http://www.thedemiseofchristchurch.com

kadaka (KD Knoebel)
February 1, 2014 11:59 pm

From higley7 on February 1, 2014 at 9:03 pm:

Actually, it can be stated that we have no effect on climate as far as our CO2 emissions are concerned. No gas at any concentration in the atmosphere can do what they claim. It is simple thermodynamics. IR radiation sent back down by the atmosphere by definition cannot be absorbed by the surface as those energy levels are already filled. (…)

What an utter load of complete bollocks, doesn’t pass the most basic tests of reasoning.
When a molecule on the surface releases a longwave infrared (LWIR) photon of a certain frequency into the atmosphere, it is immediately available to accept a photon of the same frequency that has been sent back down by a greenhouse gas molecule in the atmosphere. Surface molecules are not being instantaneously “reloaded” the instant they release a photon by energy on the surface, if they were then the Earth’s surface would be as cold as space as the surface molecules would quickly emit all the surface’s energy out to space. Thermodynamics is not keeping them from accepting those returned photons, there are plenty of molecules ready to accept them.
Besides, photons don’t have fingerprints. A molecule on the surface doesn’t care if it’s a photon returned from the atmosphere or one of the same frequency from another surface molecule 2 miles away, if it’ll accept a photon of that frequency then it’ll take either.
Please stop bringing this tired old unscientific dreck around here. It shouldn’t be believable to anyone who can deduce if it’s the batteries or the bulb keeping the flashlight from lighting up.

February 2, 2014 12:12 am

‘HRH Prince’ Charles is a consequence of too much inbreeding … he has clear physical evidence of ‘Funny Looking Kid’ syndrome. Whenever I hear of his pronouncements, I immediately see him in my minds eye dressed in a court jester’s suits prancing about with his little belled headdress jingling away. The bloke is an embarrassment to the British people.

Hari Seldon
February 2, 2014 12:24 am

You’ve got the wrong youtube clip. This one says it all about anarchist view of life and Prince charles’s approach.

Kitefreak
February 2, 2014 12:31 am

Steven says:
“Didn’t he once say that the best thing for the environment would be for a deadly virus to wipe out half of humanity?”
—————————–
That was his dad and he wanted to be that virus. Charming.

Patrick
February 2, 2014 12:52 am

“Streetcred says:
February 2, 2014 at 12:12 am
The bloke is an embarrassment to the British people.”
That’s because he is a product of German and Greek interference and centuries of static DNA replication. But then the Germans call the British “Englanders”, or “Anglanders” and, if my memory serves, the “Angles” (Anglanders) originated in what is now northern Germany.

February 2, 2014 1:02 am

TimC says February 1, 2014 at 9:15 pm
Yes, we are using different terminology. My clarification post was trying to get to the root of that. London has influence, not power, over the world’s natural resources.
So the final arbiter is the one who has all the power and thus where the contractors gather is irrelevant?
I disagree. Compare it to Horse Racing. The Owners decide what horse gets bought but the Trainers and Jockeys make the innovations that improve the string. And the Owners always listen to the experts – if they wish to be successful.
Also the experts affect their social environment as well being affected by it.
London has influence.
And, arguably, the Monarchy still has influence in the highest circles within London.

D Cage
February 2, 2014 1:13 am

My feeling on reading about Charles was that he is demonstrating the same superb interpersonal skills he displayed in his marriage. Perhaps it is time the public took his approach by using the same one used on his namesake. I would add that given the soundness of his mind being headless is a considerable improvement on having him as head of anything.
As for trusting scientists, we do not trust them,We expect to judge them on their skill in predicting accurately events based on their understanding of their particular field.
If he deserved his history degree he would know from that point of view alone that the claims of climate scientists are unfounded.

The Ghost Of Big Jim Cooley
February 2, 2014 1:17 am

Unfortunately, it is little understood here in the UK, that the Monarchy actually has power, not just influence. I’m for a Republic, myself, and I can understand the feelings of Australians and New Zealanders. New Zealand looks like they’re about to change their flag, which is a great shame, but understandable. But even Hawaii still haven’t changed theirs!

D Cage
February 2, 2014 1:19 am

Whoops sorry it was archaeology so forget that last bit. Wish this had an edit!

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