Chicken al la still not a king

The royal prince in waiting of Britain labels climate skeptics as “headless chickens”.

From The Telegraph:

Prince Charles has criticised climate change deniers, describing them as the “headless chicken brigade” during an awards ceremony recognising a leading young green entrepreneur.

Charles, who has campaigned for years to reduce global warming, also spoke out against “the barrage of sheer intimidation” from powerful anti-climate change groups during the event held at Buckingham Palace last night.

The mark of a true leader is bringing people with diverse views and backgrounds together, clearly with this recent pronouncement, Prince Charles clearly has failed as a leader.

I’ll point out a few things the prince who may be king should know, but doesn’t, or chooses not to.

1. Rational climate skeptics don’t doubt that some portion of the proposed greenhouse effect is real, it’s just that nobody (and that includes many scientists) seems to be able to agree upon how much. The few who actually deny the Greenhouse effect exists, such as the “Slayers” aka “Principia Scientific” only represent the views of a fringe.

2. Item 1 then leads to arguments about climate sensitivity, values are literally “all over the map”:

image
Figure 1: Climate sensitivity estimates from new research published since 2010 (colored, compared with the range given in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) (gray) and the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5; black). The arrows indicate the 5 to 95% confidence bounds for each estimate along with the best estimate (median of each probability density function; or the mean of multiple estimates; colored vertical line). Ring et al. (2012) present four estimates of the climate sensitivity and the red box encompasses those estimates. The right-hand side of the IPCC AR4 range is dotted to indicate that the IPCC does not actually state the value for the upper 95% confidence bound of their estimate and the left-hand arrow only extends to the 10% lower bound as the 5% lower bound is not given. The light grey vertical bar is the mean of the 14 best estimates from the new findings. The mean climate sensitivity (3.4°C) of the climate models used in the IPCC AR5 is 13 percent greater than the IPCC’s “best estimate” of 3.0°C and 70% greater than the mean of recent estimates (2.0°C).

3.  The global climate isn’t responding as it was predicted by government scientists, the trend over the last 12 years is basically flat:

image
Figure 2: Global Average Surface Temperatures, 2001-2012

Compare that to climate sensitivity predictions, which center around .2°C

image
Figure 3: 12-year Trends compared to climate sensitivity predictions from Figure 1

The three graphs above are from Michaels and Knappenberger in this post.

4. The response of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is nearing saturation, which may explain why there is little warming over the last 12 years:

The Inconvenient Skeptic
Figure 4: Red: The AGW accepted climate sensitivity of 0.81 (3C for doubling) Green: Climate sensitivity of 0.28 (1C for doubling) Blue: Climate sensitivity of 0.066 (0.24C for doubling)

Figure 4 is from this WUWT post: Sensitivity Training: Determining the Correct Climate Sensitivity

5. While rational climate skeptics point out reality based factual inconsistencies with warming projections, the global warming movement has been hijacked by emotional activists, such as Bill McKibben and Al Gore, who use emotional pleas and invective to motivate people. You won’t see them ever show the graphs above because they don’t deal in facts, only emotional appeals.

6. By making an emotional label about climate skeptics, instead of dealing with facts, Prince Charles demonstrates that’s he’s no different than Bill McKibben and Al Gore. Given recent opinion polls, he’s basically called about half of his potential subjects “the headless chicken brigade”, yet it is he who seems to be centered on the emotionalism and randomness more suited to that label.

Perhaps there is a reason the Queen has held on so long.

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Colin.A
February 1, 2014 12:55 pm

M Courtney says:
February 1, 2014 at 10:09 am
It was king Harold (Godwinson) who was defeated at The battle of Hastings.by William 1. Harold Hardrada was king of Norway and was dfeated and killed at the battle of Stamford Bridge.

rogerknights
February 1, 2014 12:57 pm

jakee308 says:
February 1, 2014 at 10:16 am
He’s being told what to say by his puppet masters.

Another guess is that he’s glommed onto warmism, in part, as a “motherhood”-type issue as a way to make himself and the monarchy more popular. I’ve read that unpopular figures in the public eye are advised by PR consultants to attach themselves to some feel-good cause. It’s believed that Nancy Reagan was advised to make herself less unpopular by promoting the Just Say No campaign. There are other celebrities I’ve read about who’ve employed this PR tactic.

Frans Franken
February 1, 2014 12:59 pm

There might be a correlation between centuries of royal inbreeding and rudimentary brain power.

February 1, 2014 1:00 pm

Zeke says:
February 1, 2014 at 10:28 am
What do the Aussies call her? Better yet, what do they call the Prince?
First question is sincere. Second is a set-up. (;
**********************************************************************************************************************
Lizzie and Wacko

February 1, 2014 1:01 pm

Colin.A says at February 1, 2014 at 12:55 pm:

It was king Harold (Godwinson) who was defeated at The battle of Hastings.by William 1. Harold Hardrada was king of Norway and was defeated and killed at the battle of Stamford Bridge.

Spot on right, doh.
My mistake. I am wrong. You are right.
Bloody Norwegians; it’s so hard to remember the incredible fact that those Knut’s ever ruled us (ahem).
Sorry, should have bothered to check my facts on Wiki.

Otteryd
February 1, 2014 1:03 pm

richardscourtney says:
February 1, 2014 at 12:01 pm
There is little doubt that Teddy Eight was a closet Nazi – much like many influential Americans at the time – probably including Wallis or Gromit or whatever his squeeze’s name was. However, when the Nazis invaded France, diplomacy prevailed and he was sent off to Bermuda where he spent the war as Governor. It says something about the ‘power’ of British royals that when push came to shove, the elected government did not allow him to become King.
D

rogerknights
February 1, 2014 1:15 pm

He then went off to spend the war in German-occupied France.

Wasn’t he bundled off to an island colony in the Caribbean before the Germans occupied France?

Robin Hewitt
February 1, 2014 1:15 pm

I think Charles plans to become King George VII.
His great uncle was not a Nazi.

Chris Edwards
February 1, 2014 1:18 pm

The term United Kingdom is redundant since Blair extinguished the 300 year old laws! I believe Liz and Phil are cousins with Victoria as grandma! there my friends is the reasons cousins should not breed if they marry!

Admin
February 1, 2014 1:20 pm

Prince Charles has done a lot of good, he runs the Princes Trust. Unfortunately he is completely blind on the issue of global warming. He is also an anti-globalisation campaigner, he believes that businesses should be small, and tries to encourage cottage style industries. Its a real shame, because overall he is a good man – just stubborn and hard to reason with.
Ask him to do a post on WattsUpWithThat. I sent him a letter once about global warming, and got a detailed response. He might well be up for giving a greater airing to his views and reasons.

Andrew
February 1, 2014 1:21 pm

Confirmation that the sceptics have won the argument: Charlie is a warmer!

Chris Edwards
February 1, 2014 1:22 pm

Jimbo! Im shocked, thats twice in his life charlie said something smart! I always liked Phil the greek he said a lot of smart but un PC stuff

February 1, 2014 1:23 pm

“What, me worry?”
http://cheezburger.com/2165447936

TimC
February 1, 2014 1:23 pm

M Courtney says: “Now, our only point of interest is that the City of London still houses the elite who own and trade the world’s exploitable natural resources. But it’s no longer an Empire so people don’t care.”
I think most people are aware of the history – that in Victorian times “the sun never set” on the British Empire, created broadly when we first led the world’s industrial revolution. Also that we have indeed only ever been a small island state off the coast of continental Europe.
But while we may still trade quite a lot of the world’s natural resources, in 2011 financial and insurance services in the City contributed £125.4 billion value added to the UK economy – but the same sector in the USA accounted for $1.24 trillion, some 6 times as much. And ownership of natural resources is effectively territorial – while organisations in the City may own quantities of UK natural resources, I hardly think they can be assumed to own those in the US, or Russia, or of the oil producing states in the Gulf…
Again I suggest we’re really not too important these days, in financial services, natural resources, or whatever – so perhaps best that the rest of the world turns away in embarrassment when HRH starts sounding off about headless chickens…

John Boles
February 1, 2014 1:24 pm

Interesting little news reel from early 1960s concerning the shore management problems in England, storm surges and such;
http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=185_1391277385

February 1, 2014 1:24 pm

Regarding the common US confusion between England, Great Britain, and the United Kingdom. CGP Grey explains it here (quite entertainingly I think).

Greg
February 1, 2014 1:25 pm

Jimbo says:
His father Prince Philip called wind farms ‘useless’ and a ‘disgrace’ while Prince Charles called them “A horrendous blot on the landscape”.
I guess that’s what psychologists refer to as ‘projection’.

February 1, 2014 1:29 pm

When Prince Charles pontificates on the “carbon” scare, he sounds like a swivel-eyed lunatic.
My apologies to our UK friends. Most of you seem very normal by comparison.

kadaka (KD Knoebel)
February 1, 2014 1:31 pm

From Harry Passfield on February 1, 2014 at 12:07 pm:

I have just sent he following email to HRH Prince Charles:
(…)
I doubt I’ll get a response – but if I do, I’ll post it here.

How do you post a knock on the door followed by polite questioning from the relevant security forces to confirm you’re just a common nutter and not a serious threat? You won’t be posting video of it from any inside security cameras you installed for your own protection, as if you had any then GCHQ will have already accessed the files by the hardware backdoors to assess you in an “unobserved” state without needing such a meeting.
(Don’t worry about them rummaging through your home and work computer files, as all serious revolutionaries now maintain a schizophrenic existence with separate personas and equipment and networks for “normal” and “for the cause”. If there’s suspicious stuff on your everyday kit, you’re obviously not serious enough. Meanwhile covert surveillance of at-rest subjects does yield revealing slips, but don’t expect thanks for providing the cameras for them.)
Make sure to leave a Quran on the table by the front door, so as per the current sentiment against “profiling” they’ll be forced to conclude you can’t possibly be a threat.

February 1, 2014 1:33 pm

M Courtney
Your comment about the battle of Stamford bridge permits me to comment that it happened on an unseasonably warm September day and that the battle of Hastings brought to an end Anglo Saxon rule of which the most famous king was Alfred
He hid from the Danes in the Somerset levels which at that time was even more of a flooded area than it is now
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Athelney
So we can see that even then the climate was frequently an important factor in our nations history and warmth and flooding are nothing new
Tonyb

ch
February 1, 2014 1:39 pm

[Charles, who has campaigned for years to reduce global warming, also spoke out against “the barrage of sheer intimidation” from powerful anti-climate change groups during the event held at Buckingham Palace last night.]
…from powerful anti-climate change groups?
This terminology is getting confusing. I thought the warmists are against “climate change.”

Chris Edwards
February 1, 2014 1:41 pm

Anything is possible, don’t trust wikpedia! I am from London and twat always meant the colloquial for vagina! Fair comment for charles except twats are useful!

climatebeagle
February 1, 2014 1:41 pm
glaxxzontar
February 1, 2014 1:42 pm

Novantae says:
February 1, 2014 at 9:32 am
Did you know he talks to plants?
I’m sure the plants talk back to him as well, only the plants have the advantage of a higher iQ.

February 1, 2014 1:47 pm

TimC says at February 1, 2014 at 1:23 pm…
If your point is that London is a smaller financial centre then NY then I agree with you. Because you are right, of course.
But that doesn’t make us unimportant. It makes New York important.
I talked about natural resources. Because, historically, the British Empire was all about control of the world’s natural resources by the elite, who were based in London.
And the world’s natural resources are still controlled in London – except for nationalised industries.
KSA are their own masters as are Venezuela. And so is Russia. But note that Russia is looking to use UK financial and legal expertise to help expand.

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