Nature proves Al Gore wrong again

Gore’s “ice free Arctic” prediction from five years ago, falsified by nature itself

The great bloviator has been pwned again, by the actions of nature itself. In Germany, five years ago this past Saturday, Al Gore claimed that the ““Entire north polar ice cap will be gone in 5 years” .

gore_2008_icefree-2013

Click to see the original video, which has been disappeared from YouTube

Also, in Gore’s Dec. 10, 2007 “Earth has a fever” speech, Gore referred to a prediction by U.S. climate scientist Wieslaw Maslowski that the Arctic’s summer ice could “completely disappear” by 2013 due to global warming caused by carbon emissions.

He’s been proven wrong on those two predictions, and he’s likely to be proven wrong on a third, when he moved the goalposts in 2009 in this video.

While we had a new record low in 2012 for the summer minimum, the 2013 rebound made Gore’s predictions a certain failure.

AMSRE_Sea_Ice_Extent_L[1]

Image: Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) – International Arctic Research Center (IARC) – click to enlarge

Now, on the 5 year anniversary of his prediction on December 14th, 2008, the Arctic sea ice is within a standard deviation of the “normal” line, and global sea ice is actually above normal:

Arctic sea ice withing a standard deviation of the 1981-2010 average line:

N_stddev_timeseries[1]

Image: National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – click to enlarge

Global sea ice area is 0.669 million square kilometers above the 1979-current average:

global.daily.ice.area.withtrend[1]

Image: University of Illinois Cryospherw Today – click to enlarge

Currently, both the North and South Pole are sporting massive ice caps:

Gore_Falsified_Arctic_12-14-2013

Image: North Pole – National Snow and Ice Data Center – December 15, 2013 6:51:42 AM- click to enlarge

Gore_Falsified_Antarctic_12-14-2013

Image: South pole- National Snow and Ice Data Center, December 15, 2013 6:51:43 AM – click to enlarge

To convince his followers in the future, maybe Mr. Gore will have to resort to airbrushing out the Arctic ice cap, like he did on his book: Not finding any, Gore airbrushes in hurricanes for his new book:

Above: Al Gore’s book cover foldout with 4 scary hurricanes, some rotating the wrong direction – hey where’s the ice? (Image courtesy of Dr. Ryan Maue).

With such a track record, one wonders why anyone but the “galactically stupid” would listen to Gore, the great bloviator, on climate any more.

James Lovelock was right about Gore, this from Climate Depot:

Climate Shocker: In 2007, Lovelock Predicted Global Warming Doom: ‘Billions of us will die; few breeding pairs of people that survive will be in Arctic’

There are too many Ehrlichs running amok in the media.

UPDATE: More goalpost moving. Now the new year is 2016 according to this story.

UPDATE2: It seems that it just isn’t extent and area that rebounded in 2013, but volume of the sea ice as well, something we’ve been told by top climate advocates was not likely to happen:

Data from Europe’s Cryosat spacecraft suggests there were almost 9,000 cu km of ice at the end of this year’s melt season.

This is close to 50% more than in the corresponding period in 2012.

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The committed listen because it is what they want to hear

Like the American left, the alarmists promote failures. How else to explain Glieck and lewandowsky?

Neo

The Earth has a fever and what we need is “More CowBell”

belvedere106

Can someone please turn up the heat?

And its not just the ice area. ESAs Cryosat-2 data published today shows almost 50% increase in sea ice volume from 2012 to 2013.
http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Observing_the_Earth/CryoSat/Arctic_sea_ice_up_from_record_low

albertalad

Climate is all the talk – but weather is what we get. Sound familiar, Al?

OssQss

Yet another Dr. Smith ” Oh the Pain” moment!
I think this could be an award handed out to all those who blatantly extrapolate or misrepresent facts, knowingly or not, and get publicly exposed for their unmitigated stupidity.

Paul Westhaver

The press are outright unrepentant liars.
WUWT ought to point to a liars list. There needs to be a database of government officials, who lie or repeat lies about the climate.
ie: Name of government official —- quote of lie —- copy or reference.
There will be a day when the liars will be held to account. It is coming.
Same with the press. The special freedoms enjoyed by so-called press are not protected if they are abused by journalist liars.
Canada is going after lobby groups that also claim that they are Green-Charities.
The worm has turned. Someday liars will be held in disdain as they ought.

MattN

We need a separate entry on the sea ice volume going up significantly. That is 100% counter to what we’ve been told will happen.

RichardLH

I think that one of the most remarkable things was how consistent the Arctic ice was this year.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.recent.arctic.png
First time for a long while that it stayed as straight line as that for a whole year.

What? The original Youtube video disappeared? Gee, I wonder why.
They wouldn’t be trying to keep something from us, would they? Noooooo, of course not.
LOL.

Speed

And the man was once a heartbeat away …

Dr Burns

All publicity is good publicity when you’re making $175,000 a speech, no matter how much nonsense it is. I’m sure Al doesn’t give a damn what happens in the Arctic.

Absolute Zero

The Earth had a fever but is well on the way to recovery.

Do you think anyone will remember the Nobel Laureate’s prediction? Especially not the NL hisself. Besides the goal posts have moved and we can no move on to more important things.
Gore has made scads of money on the scam and is not recognized as doing so.

Jenn Oates

“Speed says:
December 16, 2013 at 11:27 am
And the man was once a heartbeat away…”
Now THAT’s chilling.

What? Sea ice ~volume~ has also increased? But, but, didn’t we hear not long ago that “Yeah, sea ice extent has increased – but the ice is thinner. So the volume is down. So it’s still worse than we thought.” So you’re saying that their attempt to move the goal posts has also failed?

Al Gore on What up with that?
http://screen.yahoo.com/al-gore-000000893.html

Did you notice on that ridiculous picture that Panama is missing? And that there’s either a lake or part of the ocean covering the interior of Greenland? And that half of Florida is missing?

Manfred

Intersting. This years maximum global sea ice area a few weeks ago was the highest since 1996 and higher than e.g. 1979.
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2013/12/global-daily-ice-area-withtrend1.jpg

Rather than educating the public the press has sadly taken to thrilling the public, (as if truth isn’t entertaining enough.)
For example, this might be a thrilling headline: “AREA OF ICE AT NORTH POLE DOUBLES SINCE SEPTEMBER!!!” However it fails to inform people that the same thing happens every year. (Also you likely would not see it because it does not promote the cause of Global Warming. However, if you could somehow prove Global Warming had caused it, then it might blaze from headlines.)

TomB says:
“What? Sea ice ~volume~ has also increased? But, but, didn’t we hear not long ago that ‘Yeah, sea ice extent has increased – but the ice is thinner. So the volume is down. So it’s still worse than we thought’.”
My thoughts exactly. The alarmist crowd has been wrong about every prediction they have made over the years.
At what point will they admit that their presumption was completely wrong? Honest scientists admit it when they’re shown to be wrong…
…oh, wait. I see the problem there.

Ralph Knapp

Tell Al we’re planning to ski the pyramids next week on the snow caused no doubt by/global warming.

Reg Nelson

From the 2016 projection paper:
“The project, based out of the US Naval Postgraduate School’s Department of Oceanography, uses complex modelling techniques that make its projections more accurate than others.”
——
At first this sounds impressive, until you realize all the other model have absolutely zero accuracy.

byz

Even the BBC has been reporting the ice rebound through gritted teeth 🙂
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25383373
Reading the comments by the alarmists is quite amusing 😀

Bruce Cobb

Al Gore, still peddling his lies now says he’s more optimistic than ever that the issue has reached “a tipping point” (this from an August interview). Here’s one of his gems:
The conversation on global warming has been stalled because a shrinking group of denialists fly into a rage when it’s mentioned. It’s like a family with an alcoholic father who flies into a rage every time a subject is mentioned and so everybody avoids the elephant in the room to keep the peace. But the political climate is changing. He does live in a fantasy world.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/08/21/al-gore-explains-why-hes-optimistic-about-stopping-global-warming/

P Walker

Bruce Cobb @12:52 pm ,
I hate to day it , but he could be right about the political climate :
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2013/12/16/Podesta-White-House

P Walker

That should be say , not day .

Rob Potter

What I noticed on the BBC article is that the increase was explained as being wind-drive – the ice was not being blow into warmers waters where it would melt as it had done previously. I doubt it it will get much air-time, but at least the impact of wind (as opposed to temperature) made it into the story.

Frank K.

I think all that new sea ice must have found its way into my backyard after yesterday’s big storm 😉
(Headed for a chilly -7 F tonight…this December is among the coldest I’ve experienced in western New Hampshire since I’ve lived here).

Truthseeker

“Nature proves Al Gore wrong again”
A tautology wrapped in the self-evident and encased by the bleeding obvious.

Troed Sångberg

November 5th 2008 I was attending Web 2.0 Summit in San Francisco, listening to Al Gore claiming the north polar ice cap would be gone in five years.
Video here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hI5t3Uwfkk&t=26m58s

Dermot O'Logical

Being picky, but I think that, from the graphs presented, all we can say about Arctic Ice Extent is that it is within 2 standard deviations of the reference line.
Is it actually within 1 SD?
As for the rest of the piece, well, I think Al Gore sells snake oil and is an utterly reprehensible individual.

Resourceguy

That will teach them a lesson…….to not use anything less than a 20 year prediction, when big money is on the line.

Dave

It’s worse than we thought.

SandyInLimousin

Jam tomorrow?

Grace

It’s been a while since The Gore Effect last struck. Is God showing His sense of irony again?

tom0mason

At the risk of repeating myself –
If all the Arctic ice was to melt, so what?!
(and yes it’s a rhetorical question)

Reblogged this on wwlee4411 and commented:
Global Warming truth.

DC Cowboy

About Update — It’s almost idiotic. Being a grad of the Naval Post Graduate School I’m ashamed that they put something like that out, regardless of the sloppy reporting in the article
1 – “US NAVY predicts” The US Navy did nothing of the sort. The article itself dispels that idea in the first paragraph. It was work funded by the Dept of Energy, not the US NAVY so the title should have read “US ENERGY DEPT predicts”. Guess they thought US NAVY had more impact.
2 – I’m still having a hard time believing this – the guy gives a 2016 +- 3 years so, the arctic ‘could’ be ‘almost ice free’ anywhere from 2013 – 2019. What exactly does ‘almost ice free’ mean? It also takes a ‘estimated trend’ and an ‘estimated volume’ of all of TWO MONTHS data from Oct-Nov 2007 and ‘projects’ that across a nine year period. Seriously? How on earth do you even get a trend with only two data points? Well, it certainly made the calculations a lot easier 😉
The reporter also seems to miss or purposely ignore what I thought was the most interesting part of the paper – the part that politely says that current GCMs (not that he even knows what GCM stands for – calling them Global Climate Models) are a load of crap.
“The paper is highly critical of global climate models (GCM) and even the majority of regional models, noting that “many Arctic climatic processes that are omitted from, or poorly represented in, most current-generation GCMs” which “do not account for important feedbacks among various system components.””

Robert

Albert Arnold Gore, Jr. on March 31, 1948, he followed in his father’s footsteps and ran for the same office in 1976, getting elected four times. http://bit.ly/1c80oog

Adam

He does not care. He made his money during the five years. Got is Nobel and all that. What are they going to do? Take it back!?
It is the same with e.g. Iraqi WMD. They lied about it. They did what they wanted to Iraq. Then they finally agree that there were no WMD. But so what? They got what they wanted. They don’t care about being proven “wrong”. These people have not pride, shame or humility. It did not help the dead Iraqis and US troops that the truth “came out in the end”.
My point? Unless we punish the administration which lied to us and unless we punish Gore for all of his BS which is killing people too, then this will happen over again.
Pattern of politics: Lie. Do what you want on the basis of the lie. The truth is found out. Nobody is punished and what was done cannot be reversed. Repeat forever.

Jaakko Kateenkorva

Thanks Bruce Cobb. Al Gore talks about civil rights, but seems immune to the wisdom of forgoers, such as Gandhi and Mandela. Instead of reconciliation between people, Al resorts to division of his own nation.
It is a mystery to me why US media still pays any attention to him. Are they cashing in on AGW controversy or have they moved on to Al’s undisputed ‘ridicule, which stings’-expertise?

It’s very good news that this clip has been found– very!
I recently asked Walt Meier now of NASA GISS if he could comment on the “normal” year for sea ice the world just enjoyed. This is what he said about global sea ice: “A plot of global sea ice is just not informative or useful.” Now many here are fans of Walt, and I am a fan of his willingness to engage with skeptics (including myself). But it is very hard to accept, even to imagine, that a scientist feels that global sea ice has no informative or useful purpose in a discussion of climate.

Txomin

I can guess who is doing the “casting” for those few breeding pairs…

rogerknights

Dave says:
December 16, 2013 at 1:51 pm
It’s worse than we thought.

I’m waiting for the next alarmism out of the Royal Society so I can say, “It’s Nurse than we thought.”

MattN

So, I posted the Cryosat data shoing a strong year-over-year increase in Arctic ice volume on another forum, and you would not believe the negative reaction I got. Really astounding. You would think that such news might be worth celebrating, but that doesn’t seem to be the case.

Question: What year of the 21st century had the greatest annual average global sea ice area?
Answer: 2013, which is the only year with a global average anomaly above the 1979-2008 average.
http://friendsofscience.org/assets/documents/GlobalSeaIceArea.jpg
Year Anomaly
2000 -0.026
2001 -0.136
2002 -0.588
2003 -0.040
2004 -0.064
2005 -0.641
2006 -1.019
2007 -1.149
2008 -0.368
2009 -0.452
2010 -0.681
2011 -1.359
2012 -0.905
2013 0.058

Needs more cow bell? Here is a clip of them playing live at the Filmore

Enjoy…

Brian H

tom0mason says:
December 16, 2013 at 2:39 pm
At the risk of repeating myself –
If all the Arctic ice was to melt, so what?!
(and yes it’s a rhetorical question)

Important to keep in mind. Roman or Minoan Optima? Bring it on!
No such luck, I fear.