UAH Global Temperature Update for January 2012: -0.09 deg. C
By Dr. Roy Spencer
PERSONAL NOTE: I’ve been unavailable for a while…my oldest daughter was in a bad car accident, will be OK eventually, but won’t walk for about 3 months. So, I might not be answering queries.
The global average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly for January, 2012 took a precipitous plunge, not totally unexpected for a La Nina January (click on the image for the full-size version):
The 3rd order polynomial fit to the data (courtesy of Excel) is for entertainment purposes only, and should not be construed as having any predictive value whatsoever.
Here are the monthly stats:
YR MON GLOBAL NH SH TROPICS
2011 1 -0.010 -0.055 +0.036 -0.372
2011 2 -0.020 -0.042 +0.002 -0.348
2011 3 -0.101 -0.073 -0.128 -0.342
2011 4 +0.117 +0.195 +0.039 -0.229
2011 5 +0.133 +0.145 +0.121 -0.043
2011 6 +0.315 +0.379 +0.250 +0.233
2011 7 +0.374 +0.344 +0.404 +0.204
2011 8 +0.327 +0.321 +0.332 +0.155
2011 9 +0.289 +0.304 +0.274 +0.178
2011 10 +0.116 +0.169 +0.062 -0.054
2011 11 +0.123 +0.075 +0.170 +0.024
2011 12 +0.126 +0.197 +0.055 +0.041
2012 01 -0.093 -0.059 -0.127 -0.138
Progress continues on Version 6 of our global temperature dataset. You can anticipate a little cooler anomalies than recently reported, maybe by a few hundredths of a degree, due to a small warming drift we have identified in one of the satellites carrying the AMSU instruments.
The big jump at the end sure kept it from being much more negative. Electro-scavenging? Well, this is the 3rd time in a row I’ve watched the daily temps after a CME event and the temps went up all 3 times. Anecdotal for sure, but I plan to keep watching …
Roy, hope your daughter has a fast and painless recovery.
Best wishes for a speedy recovery for your daughter Dr Spencer, and many thanks for your gret work over the years.
Dr. Spencer,
If I remember, you had a daughter who had an emergency C section recently, and now a daughter in an accident. Plus there was a tornado in your area last year. I think you have had plenty on your plate and I pray for a speedy recovery for both your girls and mental and physical fortitude for yourself. Thanks for all your hard work and dedication to family and job.
Green Sand, yes !
http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/jsdisplay/
And if you need some more help…..
http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/cgi-tao/cover.cgi?P1=dep_lon_20111231_EQ_0_250_t_hf_2012020214.gif&P2=xz27106_2012020214.plt001&P3=649&P4=828&P5=/cache-tao/st1/jsdisplay&script=jsdisplay/scripts/biggif.csh
http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/cgi-tao/cover.cgi?P1=dep_lon_20120130_EQ_0_250_t_hf_2012020214.gif&P2=xz5256_2012020214.plt001&P3=649&P4=828&P5=/cache-tao/sf1/jsdisplay&script=jsdisplay/scripts/biggif.csh
We’ve had the NZ January Temp stats released.
It appears overall for all of NZ. Temp were 0.7C below average.
That would explain the Summer snow parts of the South Island experienced off and on during January.
Good luck to your daughter and family Dr Spencer.
At least she can’t run away whilst you’re ear-bashing her for the next couple of months. Get all those “when I was your age” sermons out of your system.
Re: temps. With a 6-7 month lag, this weak La Nina’ should keep temps low well into this year.
X Anomaly says:
February 2, 2012 at 2:24 pm
Many thanks, I have been using the Oz BOM “ENSO Wrap Up”:-
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/
Will now go away and learn to drive NOAA
Thanks for all your hard work. We too will pray for your daughter. Hope she gets well soon.
Here’s to a full and speedy recovery for you daughter
What is the anomaly when compared to WMO’s “normal” average that goes from between 1961-1990, since they won’t update until 2020? Lots of countries in EU won’t update their official numbers to a more proper normal. Ironic that that period happens to be below normal compared to the earlier “normal” average. In essence my country will always be warmer unless it turns colder ‘an the below average ice age scare decade of the 70’s. Why would a met office with super new super computers use historical “normals”. 🙁
All hopes and best wishes for you and your daughter.
Thank you, Dr. Spencer, and every good wish for your daughter’s recovery. Look after her, and yourself, and let the temp anomaly take care of itself for awhile.
Steve
Dr. Spencer: I am very sorry to hear of your daughter’s accident and I echo the wishes of everyone else on the thread, that she may make a full and quick recovery. Thanks for all you do.
Thank you for all your work Dr. Spencer. As someone who was in a major accident that rendered me unable to walk for about 4 months I can tell you that with the support of friends and family,good medical care, a good attitude and hard work, recovery can be amazing. Two and a half years later it is almost as if the accident had never happened. I hope that the outcome is the same for your daughter. My thoughts are with you and your family.
Well spotted, Green Sand,
the new bom analysis definately shows the cool anomalies weakening at depth,
http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/oceanography/wrap_ocean_analysis.pl?id=IDYOC007&year=2012&month=02
But thats what happened this time last year….and La Nina still made a reasonable comeback!
http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/oceanography/wrap_ocean_analysis.pl?id=IDYOC007&year=2011&month=02
A very strong La Nina is still a statistical possibility, but as with all things statistical……..
I am sorry to hear about your daughter. My wishes for a complete recovery without any lasting effects. First things first.
Best wishes to your daughter Roy.
May your daughter enjoy a full recovery. I have been in a similiar place and all will be well.
Thanks, Dr. Spencer. Praying for you and yours.
Thanks, Dr. Spencer, for all your work. Best wishes to your daughter and your family.
X Anomaly says: “And for those interested, the -2 sub surface temperature anomalies in the east central equatorial pacific have expanded and risen towards the surface by around 60 meters in the last month.”
Please provide a link to something that illustrates what you’re discussing. Thanks
Dr Spencer,
Thanks for your fine work here and I wish your daughter a speedy recovery.
Dr. Spencer, best wishes for a speedy recovery for your daughter.
Kevin
Best wishes to your family. I hope your daughter has a speedy and complete recovery.
Thanks for the post, Dr. Spencer, and best wishes for your daughter’s speedy recovery.
Dr. Spencer, best wishes and prayers for your daughter’s quick and full recovery.