UAH Global Temperature Update for January 2012: -0.09 deg. C
By Dr. Roy Spencer
PERSONAL NOTE: I’ve been unavailable for a while…my oldest daughter was in a bad car accident, will be OK eventually, but won’t walk for about 3 months. So, I might not be answering queries.
The global average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly for January, 2012 took a precipitous plunge, not totally unexpected for a La Nina January (click on the image for the full-size version):
The 3rd order polynomial fit to the data (courtesy of Excel) is for entertainment purposes only, and should not be construed as having any predictive value whatsoever.
Here are the monthly stats:
YR MON GLOBAL NH SH TROPICS
2011 1 -0.010 -0.055 +0.036 -0.372
2011 2 -0.020 -0.042 +0.002 -0.348
2011 3 -0.101 -0.073 -0.128 -0.342
2011 4 +0.117 +0.195 +0.039 -0.229
2011 5 +0.133 +0.145 +0.121 -0.043
2011 6 +0.315 +0.379 +0.250 +0.233
2011 7 +0.374 +0.344 +0.404 +0.204
2011 8 +0.327 +0.321 +0.332 +0.155
2011 9 +0.289 +0.304 +0.274 +0.178
2011 10 +0.116 +0.169 +0.062 -0.054
2011 11 +0.123 +0.075 +0.170 +0.024
2011 12 +0.126 +0.197 +0.055 +0.041
2012 01 -0.093 -0.059 -0.127 -0.138
Progress continues on Version 6 of our global temperature dataset. You can anticipate a little cooler anomalies than recently reported, maybe by a few hundredths of a degree, due to a small warming drift we have identified in one of the satellites carrying the AMSU instruments.
Thanks for the update, Doctor.
Best wishes to your daughter for a full and speedy recovery.
Sorry to hear about your daughter, Dr Spencer. Best wishes to her and family.
I wish all the best for your daughter.
Thank you for your contributions to this dialogue.
It’s worse than we thought.
Family First Roy! Speedy recovery for your daughter.
Sorry to hear about your daughter. You and she are in our prayers.
So sorry to hear about your daughter, Dr Spencer, and hope she soon recovers
I have a daughter. I am most grateful that she is is healthy. I wish your daughter a speedy and uneventful recovery!
As Dr. Spencer observes, this not unexpected. But if the trend continues, we’ll soon be in an ice age. Even worse, if the trend accelerates, we’ll be at absolute zero by the end of the year.
OMG, the Mayans were right!
Here’w wishing your daughter recovers to full health, Dr. Spencer!
Best wishes to you and yours. Hope all turns out as expected for you.
Speedy recovery to your daughter!
I’m entertained by the 3rd order polynomial fit…It’ll be fun to see if it predicts the future better than the “climate models.”
Wish your daughter recover soon.
I think before cycle 24 reach its peak, we will still see bumping of the temperature.
Dr spencer
Wishing your daughter a speedy recovery
Tonyb
Thank God she will be OK. You and your family are in my thoughts, and prayers. All the best.
Prayers for your daughter, and I’ve put her and your family on a list that gets thousands of sincere, focused folks around the world praying for you all, too. Thank you for your work.
Very sorry to hear of your daughter’s accident. We will
pray for her recovery.
Look after your daughter, we will look after the planet.
Dr Spencer, I am sorry to hear that your daughter has had a very serious accident. It will be a tough time ahead…. but if my own sister could recover from being in a coma, and she had a broken leg, and my son can somewhat recover from breaking both ankles, and my daughter-in-law can be upbeat after losing her leg…. I am hoping that your daughter will have a brilliant recovery!!
Hope she gets well soon.
And for those interested, I’ve posted the preliminary Sea Surface Temperature anomalies for January 2012:
http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com/2012/02/01/preliminary-january-2012-sst-anomaly-update/
Best wishes for your daughter’s speedy recovery, Roy.
“Steve M. from TN says:
February 2, 2012 at 11:37 am
I’m entertained by the 3rd order polynomial fit…It’ll be fun to see if it predicts the future better than the “climate models.””
We really will be doomed if it does. As a 3rd order polynomial that has already had a minimum and then a maximum it can only keep going down.
I pray for her quick recovery and no complications due to the hospital stay! A harrowing time to deal with, for any family…
Sounds like broken leg(s) or pelvis.
I’ve known 3 people “been there/done that”. Painful. Tedious…but completely recoverable (particularily at her age, suspect < 30?) One of the three I know, no seat belt. Thrown out…would have been OK (cuts, bruises) except the darn car climbed the embankment, turned, came back and ran over his legs.
THAT was "traction" for like 5 weeks! That was 30 years ago, HE'S FINE NOW!
So…that's meant to say, "Chin up Roy!" Prayers and blessings on your daughter.
Sorry to hear about your daughter. I wish her and your family all the best during this difficult time.