The next hurricane to be is on the move: Katia

As we were given an early forecast of by Dr. Ryan Maue, NHC has now declared tropical depression 92L a tropical storm with the name Katia. UPDATE: 18z 08/30/2011 GFS forecast puts Gulf of Mexico in for a meandering powerful hurricane. While this is a long-range model — keep an eye on the Gulf…

The Models have it following a similar track to Irene, but more eastward:

ECMWF 10-day Maximum wind speed swath map

 

BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM KATIA ADVISORY NUMBER   6

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122011

1100 AM AST TUE AUG 30 2011

…KATIA SLOWLY STRENGTHENING OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION

———————————————–

LOCATION…12.3N 33.4W

ABOUT 630 MI…1010 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH…30 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

——————–

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

——————————

AT 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATIA WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 33.4 WEST. KATIA IS

MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH…30 KM/H…AND THIS

GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH…75

KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS

FORECAST…AND KATIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY LATE

WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES…55 KM

FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB…29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

———————-

NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY

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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM AST.