The Goreacle: Snowstorms caused by global warming

al-gore-office
Image by Handforged via Flickr Gotta love those power saving triple monitors!

Here Al Gore responds to Bill O’Reilly of Fox News on his blog:

An Answer for Bill February 1, 2011 : 11:43 AM

Last week on his show Bill O’Reilly asked, “Why has southern New York turned into the tundra?” and then said he had a call into me. I appreciate the question.

As it turns out, the scientific community has been addressing this particular question for some time now and they say that increased heavy snowfalls are completely consistent with what they have been predicting as a consequence of man-made global warming:

“In fact, scientists have been warning for at least two decades that global warming could make snowstorms more severe. Snow has two simple ingredients: cold and moisture. Warmer air collects moisture like a sponge until it hits a patch of cold air. When temperatures dip below freezing, a lot of moisture creates a lot of snow.”

“A rise in global temperature can create all sorts of havoc, ranging from hotter dry spells to colder winters, along with increasingly violent storms, flooding, forest fires and loss of endangered species.”

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Apparently, Gore has never noted that climate scientists once thought snowfall would disappear. But wait, there’s more.

According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”.

“Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said.

Apparently, Mr. Gore is unable to track the global monthly temperature either. There is no “global warming” this month.

Note to Al, the global temperature has been falling in December and January in concert with a strong La Niña.

When values are Negative: Cooling/La Niña | Positive: Warming/El Niño

Al, please note the pretty blue colors:

clickable global map of SST anomalies
Click to enlarge.

NOAA Aqua satellite TLT channel 5 shows us globally below normal at this point. I’ve helpfully added a big purple arrow to help Mr. Gore read the graph.

Dr. Roy Spencer takes him to task here. We’ll have the final January UAH global temperature anomaly in the next day or so. I hope Bill O’Reilly points it out to him on Fox.

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h/t to my local friend David Walton, who has been trying for two years now to get me a tip that I was not already on top of, proof that persistence pays off.

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RICH
February 1, 2011 3:07 pm

“the interior of the earth is extremely hot, several million degrees, and the crust of the earth is hot …”
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2009/11/18/al-gore-earths-interior-extremely-hot-several-million-degrees
What a gem. In Al’s mind, the planet IS on fire.

February 1, 2011 3:22 pm

“…it means a loyal willingness to say that black is white when [AGW] Party discipline demands this. But it means also the ability to believe that black is white, and more, to know that black is white, and to forget that one has ever believed the contrary.”
George Orwell – “1984”
Al Gore – 2011

Craig Moore
February 1, 2011 3:38 pm

Robert E. Phelan says:
February 1, 2011 at 2:58 pm
Hey, Big Al forgot to mention that global warming causes more teen pregnancies and erectile dysfunction as well. Where are the man’s priorities?

Regarding ED, like Gore engorging himself on carbon credits, the profit is in the pill. GW melts Frosty’s popsicle.

Ross
February 1, 2011 3:47 pm

A WUWT: Off topic: Some of the famed pink and white terraces did survive the Tarawera eruption:
http://static2.stuff.co.nz/1296602684/598/4608598.jpg
http://tvnz.co.nz/technology-news/scientists-make-discovery-pink-and-white-terraces-4011614

R. Gates
February 1, 2011 4:02 pm

Lot’s of BS out there for sure, but one thing that everyone who considers themself a student of climate ought to know is that the greater rates of accumulation of snow occur during warmer periods in earth’s history, not glacial periods. This seems counter-intuitive to the novice student of climate, but a tens of thousands of years of ice core history shows this fact quite clearly:
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/pubs/alley2000/alley2000.gif
The reason is of course that warmer temps allow greater amounts of evaporation to occur which can lead to great accumulation rates during warmer periods. During glacials periods, there is less accumulation each year, but because temps are lower, the snow that does accumulate does not melt during the summers and so the glaciers grow.
The lesson to take away is this, when the next glacial period comes, it will be not be marked by increasing accumulations of snow in the winter, but decreasing accumulations, with colder temps, but those colder temps will extend into the spring, summer, and fall, and so the snow won’t melt and the glaciers will grow once more.

Richard Lawson
February 1, 2011 4:11 pm

MikeCal says:
February 1, 2011 at 3:00 pm
Billy Liar says:
February 1, 2011 at 3:02 pm
Thank you gentlemen. Thats cleared that up nicely.
In all seriousness though, wouldn’t you just love to see him struggle to get his vast intellect into gear when asked that simple question.

rbateman
February 1, 2011 4:11 pm

Mr. Gore should be asked another question by Bill O’Riley:
If the warm air was caused by Global Warming, what caused the widespread extra cold air that has turned much of the East into popsickleland?
Gore is making this stuff up as he goes along, and drags everyone down who puts up with him.

Honest ABE
February 1, 2011 4:27 pm

“Robert E. Phelan says:
February 1, 2011 at 2:58 pm
Hey, Big Al forgot to mention that global warming causes more teen pregnancies and erectile dysfunction as well. Where are the man’s priorities?”
Oh my, I just had an idea about how we can spin global warming so that environmentalists will like it…
Global warming reduces male fertility since testicles need to be relatively cool! This means if we amp up the global temperatures we can greatly reduce the population of the human race!
Huzzah!

Al Gored
February 1, 2011 4:29 pm

Al notes that “Bill O’Reilly asked, “Why has southern New York turned into the tundra?” and… I appreciate the question.
As it turns out, the scientific community has been addressing this particular question for some time now…”
Really? That “particular question”? Why New York has become tundra?
Poor Al. He really has been gored, or something.

Gerald Machnee
February 1, 2011 4:45 pm

RE:
R. Gates says:
February 1, 2011 at 4:02 pm
Lot’s of BS out there for sure, but one thing that everyone who considers themself a student of climate ought to know is that the greater rates of accumulation of snow occur during warmer periods in earth’s history, not glacial periods. This seems counter-intuitive to the novice student of climate, but a tens of thousands of years of ice core history shows this fact quite clearly:
The reason is of course that warmer temps allow greater amounts of evaporation to occur which can lead to great accumulation rates during warmer periods.
——————-
Have you communicated this to Dr. Viner who in 2000 said snow would be a thing of the past in England in 10 years?
It is convenient to generate science on the fly.

Dave Springer
February 1, 2011 4:51 pm

CAGW is a house of cards and the winds of change are blowing.
Hasta la vista, baby!

DonB
February 1, 2011 4:58 pm

It’s true! It’s true! The crown has made it clear.
The climate must be perfect all the year.
A law was made a distant moon ago here:
July and August cannot be too hot.
And there’s a legal limit to the snow here
In Camelot.
The winter is forbidden till December
And exits March the second on the dot.
By order, summer lingers through September
In Camelot.
Camelot! Camelot!
I know it sounds a bit bizarre,
But in Camelot, Camelot
That’s how conditions are.
The rain may never fall till after sundown.
By eight, the morning fog must disappear.
In short, there’s simply not
A more congenial spot
For happily-ever-aftering than here
In Camelot.
Camelot! Camelot!
I know it gives a person pause,
But in Camelot, Camelot
Those are the legal laws.
The snow may never slush upon the hillside.
By nine p.m. the moonlight must appear.
In short, there’s simply not
A more congenial spot
For happily-ever-aftering than here
In Camelot.

Jim G
February 1, 2011 5:07 pm

So if Global Warming brings more snow to the Northern Hemisphere, what would the beginning of an ice age look like?
Hot and dry?

Editor
February 1, 2011 5:14 pm

R. Gates says: February 1, 2011 at 4:02 pm
“The lesson to take away is this, when the next glacial period comes, it will be not be marked by increasing accumulations of snow in the winter, but decreasing accumulations, with colder temps, but those colder temps will extend into the spring, summer, and fall, and so the snow won’t melt and the glaciers will grow once more.”
The next glacial period aside, the primary reason for the record January snowfall amounts in Southern New York;
http://www.nydailynews.com/ny_local/2011/01/27/2011-01-27_new_york_snowstorm_new_january_record_set_as_19inch_snowfall_pushes_city_past_19.html
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/01/27/us-usa-weather-business-idUSTRE70Q6M120110127
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-27/winter-storm-may-ease-as-new-yorkers-start-the-day-update1-.html
is that January’s temperatures were significantly colder than the period of our historical record, i.e. January 1st, 1869 to present for Central Park, New York City:
http://www4.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgi-win/wwcgi.dll?wwDI~SelectStation~USA~NY
Bill O’Reilly asked, “Why has southern New York turned into the tundra?” and the answer is, because it was cold. Do you agree?

Jim G
February 1, 2011 5:15 pm

I saw an interview with an interrogator once.
He was asked about deceiving the subject.
His reply was that it was easier to tell them the truth.
If you lie to them, you have to try and remember what you told them.
If they catch you in a lie; Then you will lose any trust that has been built as well as any hope of getting any further cooperation from them.
The AGW crowd would do well to heed that advice.
And they wonder why people are skeptical.

February 1, 2011 5:36 pm

I say its the volcanoes putting the additional moisture into the atmosphere now. Also the ash aerosols and gases are the driving force for the additional cloud formation and the ability to bring that moisture back down in the form of rains, floods, snow and heavy snows.  Eyjafjallajokull melted 100 million cubic meters of ice into steam, but there’s been a lot of other eruptions since then. The one I posted above, Merapi, Anak Krakatau, the one below and others.
New explosions at Kirishima shatter windows 8 km away – and its all caught on webcams! | Eruptions | Big Think
http://bigthink.com/ideas/26712
Eddie

richcar 1225
February 1, 2011 5:50 pm

Even my liberal friends think Al Gore is an idiot. Keep on talking Al. So long and thanks for the internet.

John M
February 1, 2011 6:03 pm

“Lot’s of BS out there for sure, but one thing that everyone who considers themself a student of climate ought to know is that the greater rates of accumulation of snow occur during warmer periods in earth’s history, not glacial periods.”
I guess these “students” need to put a dunce cap on.

Looks like R. Gates has a lot of letters to write to Washington.

Sun Spot
February 1, 2011 6:06 pm

@R. Gates says:
February 1, 2011 at 4:02 pm
Your comments are B.S. as per a PHD, see link below factoid 1)
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2011/01/omg-another-global-warming-snowstorm/

H.R.
February 1, 2011 6:14 pm

Nolo Contendere says:
February 1, 2011 at 2:35 pm
“Is there anybody on the planet who knows less about science than Al?”
Countless millions on the planet know less about science than Al…
… but they’re all dead ;o)

latitude
February 1, 2011 6:17 pm

R. Gates says:
February 1, 2011 at 4:02 pm
the greater rates of accumulation of snow occur during warmer periods in earth’s history
===================================================
Gates, that’s odd. The prediction was warmer winters, longer growing seasons, and less snow. Animals and plants are having to migrate higher, polar bears have no ice.
Birds are migrating north sooner and migrating south later. Species are going extinct in record numbers. There will even be world wide famines from the heat and drought.
The USDA has even been moving the plant hardiness zones north.
So far we’ve had record early winters, record low temperatures, record snow fall…………

charles nelson
February 1, 2011 6:31 pm

Here in Australia the AGW crowd have been turning their ‘story’ around…it’s a bit like a supertanker; it’s being going down the ‘increasing drought’ for so many years with clowns like Tim ‘Ghost Metropolis’ Flannery predicting that BRISBANE would become desert about now!
Their spin machine, like a stunned boxer trying to regain his composure is now frantically attributing all severe weather to GW… but you can hear that they spout the line without the same conviction they once had.
The wheels are coming off the wagon, the public are losing faith…great.
Finally the ABC and the BOM, having failed to predict the recent floods, are now over predicting everything about this cyclone. I’ve made a note of some of their claims for future reference.

J. Eads
February 1, 2011 6:35 pm

Anthony the first thing that caught my eye with the algore pic were the three monitors. I almost missed the 32 in. flat screen on in the background.

Oliver Ramsay
February 1, 2011 6:35 pm

R Gates
I hope you will flesh out the details of that; how the increased albedo leads to greater warmth and then more snow and then more albedo, leading to more warmth.
It sounds like an astrological recipe; take a few facts, add whatever you want, then serve repeatedly until somebody swallows it.

Theo Goodwin
February 1, 2011 6:42 pm

R. Gates says:
February 1, 2011 at 4:02 pm
“The reason is of course that warmer temps allow greater amounts of evaporation to occur which can lead to great accumulation rates [of snow] during warmer periods.”
You might understand what you tried to say, but you did not say it. Yes, warmer temps cause more evaporation but they prevent snow. You have to have cooler temps for snow. If warmer temps cause precipitation, it is rain not snow.
Also, notice that your toy model of glacier production embodies the standard communist assumption of absolute minimal change. You posit cool temps and low moisture causing light snow indefinitely as your glacier builds. What happened to weather fronts? Must there be no change for centuries to build a glacier? One good rainy spell and all that slowly accumulated snow disappears. Surely, you do not really believe that such conditions have ever existed except on mountain tops? No wonder you are all bothered by arctic melt. In your mind, the Arctic must be forever unchanging.