We’ve been told repeatedly that global warming has no upside. It’s all hellish temperatures and/or high water according to some. But, according to this USA Today -Weather Channel story, there is an upside in USA crop production.
They go on to say:
“Plant seed companies are making more productive, short-season varieties,” he said. “It’s both climate change but also technology change.”
Brad Rippey, a U.S. Department of Agriculture meteorologist, said warming temperatures have made a big difference for crops such as corn and soybeans.
…
For example, data from the National Agricultural Statistics Service show that in 1980, about 210,000 soybean acres were planted in North Dakota. That has gradually increased to more than 3 million acres in recent years.
Complete story here
From the USA Today article:
English is not my first language. That provides some disadvantages but also some advantages.
Sometimes I have to search for the right words to express myself properly, but that is outweighed by the advantage of having to understand words properly, so as to be able to make correct choices of words I wish to use or filling in those that others should have used.
I don’t generally confuse the spelling of “their” by wrongly using “there”, avoid using “aks” instead of “ask”, and have never yet used “affect” when “effect” is the correct word that should be used. While to use “aks” instead of “ask” is an obvious error that many people nevertheless are prone to make easily, the use of the verb “affect” instead of the correct verb “effect” is one error that is acceptable for many because it is not so obvious.
Why would a respectable and popular publication like USA-Today use “Climactic” instead of “Climatic”? Is that perhaps a pun that relates to the climax reached in a tipping point, or is it a blooper? If it is a pun, was it made deliberately (although nothing in the article would warrant making it), or was it made subconsciously?
At any rate, the USA Today article does not mention one obvious and proven reason for rising agricultural production. That is increasing availability of atmospheric CO2.
It seems odd to me that, in addressing the impact of climate trends on agricultural productivity, the National Climatic Data Center forgets all about CO2, an important and controlling causative factor for increased agricultural productivity.
The omission of CO2 is not only apparent in the USA Today article, but CO2 in relation to recent increases in agricultural production glares through its absence at the website of the National Climate Data Center.
Is there now climate change? I though that it was just ‘variability’…
Why is the NATO so concerned about climate change and the Arctic? Last time I checked on WUWT, there was no warming.
Maybe NATO is also part of the eco-fascist conspiracy.
We have all benefited from the climb up the warming side, of the LIA recovery. What steps are being considered, for the consequential slide down the other side of the cycle, when we must experience, the removal of these benefits. That could be a cruel lesson in reality. GK
The development of quicker maturing corn varieties is the dominant factor in successful ND corn growing. However, even with the quicker varieties, most corn crops did not mature in ND in 2008 and 2009 due to short cool summers. So the article is full of @ur momisugly#*!. Most farmers had to wait until the next spring to harvest the previous year’s corn. The 2010 crop has done extremely well. The corn harvest has just begun, but high yields are expected. Soybean harvest is almost complete with high yields this year. Bottom line, corn growing in ND, while potentially very profitable with todays high prices, is still very risky even with the quick maturing varieties.
A wet period began in ND starting with 1993. A local lake with no outlet has been rising. (Devils Lake). The lake is now nearing a level that will cause it to naturally overflow into a local river. But before anyone jumps to the conclusion that the lake level rise is caused by unprecedented climate change, they should be aware of the well documented fact that when the first explorers and settlers came to the Dakotas, the lake level was about where the current lake levels are now. The level went down from there to its lowest level in 1942. Ever since 1942, the lake has been on the rise, more or less.
Yup. It’s a dirty little secret, but warmer is better.
Tragically, the Earth is cooling, which is less than desirable, all things considered.
And humanity, taken en masse, is getting dumber, which may not be causational but it is certainly robustly correlated.
Here is another analysis of that story: http://meteorologicalmusings.blogspot.com/2010/10/two-papers-in-one.html
Remember… warmer is supposed to equal wetter, yet, over the last century, there has not been a detectable increase in the precipitations levels.
Mike says:
October 12, 2010 at 5:27 am
“It is the large pattern that matter the most.
Recent droughts stifled growth of terrestrial vegetation
http://www.sciencenews.org/view/generic/id/62396/title/Worldwide_slowdown_in_plant__carbon_uptake
”
From your link:
““Climate models are unanimous that temperatures will go up” in the future, says Running. “What’s unknown is whether precipitation will go up as well,” he adds. “We don’t have enough fundamental understanding of how climate is going to unfold.””
So, how accurate can projections up to 100 years into the future be accurate or even slightly realistic when it is unknown whether precipitation will go up, down, or stay the same? I think the answer is obvious: The IPCC’s reports are not worth the paper they are printed on, and all the money going into mitigation schemes and CO2 reduction is wasted.
Can anyone tell me if this 1974 CIA document,
http://go2.wordpress.com/?id=725X1342&site=omniclimate.wordpress.com&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.climatemonitor.it%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2009%2F12%2F1974.pdf&sref=http%3A%2F%2Fomniclimate.wordpress.com%2F2009%2F12%2F03%2Fworld-exclusive-cia-1974-document-reveals-emptiness-of-agw-scares-closes-debate-on-global-cooling-consensus-and-more%2F
is legitimate?
REPLY: Yes, it has been around in discussion for awhile. – Anthony
There has never been a downside to global warming, if it is true, there has only been fear mongering to squeeze billions of dollars out of the economy so we can throw it away on fraudulent science.
Anyone in their right mind knows that a warm planet is better than an ice age. And every farmer knows that CO2 is good for plants growth. The farmers who say otherwise are liars, and they are lying to get on the AGW gravy train.
This has never been about science, the truth, or plain ol’ common sense.
R. de Haan says:
October 12, 2010 at 4:20 am
Read this to laugh:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/10/12/fiat-lux/#comment-505435
The weather patterns this year have put a strain on crop production in the world. Commodity prices are up amid fears of shortages. So look for increased food prices down the road. The weather pattern for a season will make or break crop production, and this year was very unfriendly to many regions.
Then why are US crop yields down?
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/12b06cee-d300-11df-9ae9-00144feabdc0.html
This 1990 documentary has the CRU’s number already.
That’s documen …tary, not …tart. LOL
Tom Vilsack (USDA Secretary) blames their poor crop forecasts volatile weather patterns due to climate change. Has nothing to do with their forecasting methods, obviously (sarc off )
http://www.dtnprogressivefarmer.com/dtnag/common/link.do;jsessionid=D473C2376053DA4FD97BE52906011497.agfreejvm2?symbolicName=/free/news/template1&paneContentId=5&paneParentId=70104&product=/ag/news/topstories&vendorReference=b88006fa-b53c-4980-88e5-e3a4e3a4d33e
Vilsack doesn’t think there are gaps in reporting, necessarily, but he said 2010 was a unique year in weather patterns across the country. The secretary said the problems stem from volatile weather patterns that will increase because of climate change. “If it’s a wake-up call in respect to this, it’s that we’re going to continue to see more severe weather patterns and we’re going to continue to see, as a result of climate change, the need to adapt not only in terms of how we farm but also how we keep track of and make estimates on the impact on farming.”
Mike says: “Recent droughts stifled growth of terrestrial vegetation
http://www.sciencenews.org/view/generic/id/62396/title/Worldwide_slowdown_in_plant__carbon_uptake”
Here are a couple of quick interesting points about that article – and undoubtedly there are more.
The article describes a 1% drop in terrestrial vegetation during the last 10 years, but there was 6% increase before that. Not only are we ahead, but measures of global mean temperatures have slightly declined since 1998 while showing a increase before that. So warmer temperatures are associated with more vegetation and vice versa for cooler temperatures.
Also, the areas in brown are very interesting. No doubt drought played a role, but also there were a lot of human activities in those areas, including deforestation and land use changes – prompted by Congressional support for bio fuels – in the name of fighting global warming.
The irony continues . . .
You may be interested in an actual farmer’s experience. We in fact are using corn hybrids with shorter maturity dates than in the past. Scientists may tell us that the growing season is getting longer, but that is not what the frost is telling us.
I have cousins who are the 4th generation farming land first put into production by my grandfather. They have crop yield records going back 100 years. The consistent trend in productivity is upwards. A persistent trend that shadows this is atmospheric CO2 increase. (Not to mention other contributors like land leveling, irrigation, better seed lines, better equipment, better techniques, better ag. research services, …) I always kid them that every tank of gas that gets burned into CO2 is a farm subsidy for them.
I have to agree with Ryan that the story doesn’t make much sense as a “climate change” story. The good part? At least one story that suggests the change may be positive. Several thousand more stories like that and we might start getting close to some kind of balance in the reporting. 🙂
Now Anthony you’ll have to explain why higher night temperatures and heavier rainfall have to do with a warming scenario. If the press is still in the XX century when it comes Climate Dynamics, it doesn’t mean that you have to be there too.
if you are looking for more information on USDA plant hardiness zones, there is a detailed and interactive USDA plant hardiness zone map at http://www.plantmaps.com/usda_hardiness_zone_map.php which allow you to locate your USDA zone based on zipcode or city.