Cold start to fall continues, 252 more low temperature records set in the USA this week

This is what we would expect to see – natural short term fluctuations superimposed on the current long term global warming trend of 0.2°C per decade.

bushy (03:28:58) :
Those few high records slap bang in the middle of the cold ones need looking at.
Excellent point!
“The nails that stick up, severely tempt the hammer.”
Dear AGW folk,
I understand. You see the world and society being destroyed and you want a solution, any solution. But don’t be hasty! Any hasty solution is likely to be a mistake. Ludvig von Mises, Murray N. Rothbard and other economists of the Austrian school pinpointed a major root of the evil today.
It is government backed fractional reserve banking. This is the destructive enabler of fear, greed, waste and destruction. It is based on systematic fraud and theft of purchasing from the poor among others. It directly led to the Great Depression as Ben Bernanke admitted. That in turn led to World War II and 50 – 80 million men, women, children and babies killed.
So, attack the root and the branches will wither.
best wishes,
B2B

As I’ve mentioned before, the clean air acts have reduced early morning smoke and particulate pollution artificially increasing minimum temperatures and average temperatures (calculated as the average of the minimum and maximum temperatures).
Therefore, maximum temperatures are a (much) better indicator of current climate trends, and the high number of record low maximum temperatures does indicate the climate is cooling.
I maintain record high versus record low temperature counts is a better indicator of climate trends than averages, because the many site and local effects influnces temperatures – UHI and the smoke and particulate pollution effect, etc – have less effect on records.
I’ve been hoping someone would produce a running count of record highs versus record lows for various time periods expressed as +ve or -ve number, but maybe I’ll try and do it myself.

Icarus;
“This is what we would expect to see – natural short term fluctuations superimposed on the current long term global warming trend of 0.2°C per decade.”
What short term fluctuation are you referring to? Global temperatures have not risen for 11 years.
What long term warming trend are you referring to? From a millenium perspective there is no trend at all – only a cycling from the medieval warm period into the little ice age and out again. On a multi-millenium time scale the trend is one of decreasing maximums, which as any technical analyst will tell you, is the classic definition of a down trend.

The warmists congress and President have not acknowledged the reality of the map. Cap and tax, power and greed. Forget the map it is hot on Venus anybody knows that, now where is my money.

I try to encouage my friends to play with NOAA’s “Climate at a Glance” website because its interactive nature allows one to ‘see for themselves’. They can see that the the contigous US has been increasing at the rate of 1.2 degrees per century since 1895 and that temps have been declining at the rate of seven 7 degrees per century since 1998. I point out that at this rate the US will be at 1895 temps in 15 years. With 20 more years of the cool phase of the PDO likely I think this is a safe bet. I realize the US is but a small part of the globe but it is something my friends can get their minds around.
http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/cag3/na.html

1969,and 71-72 were weak/moderate El Nino years and those were very nasty
winters.Think PDO shift-colder….
’75 was a humdinger too-fell into the Yakima valley in a Piper Chieftain ice sculpture
when I was a green Co-Pilot on a Commuter Airline..
On that subject OT-I can see more Icing-related problems as the climate cools.
It will be something to watch…

Henry chance (06:03:10) :
“Obama can only campaign in Copenhagen. He knows of no cap and tirade legislation.
His line at MIT “the system we have now keeps us from creating new jobs” is an ignorant line. Actually the system we have now continues jobs he want to ruin.
Ed Scott (10:06:25) :
Off topic.
Trouble in Utopia.
President Obama won’t talk climate change in Copenhagen
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article6888165.ece”
Ed, Henry, I don’t think so.
This is tactics.
If Copenhagen is signed and Obama is the man who did it, he will get a lot more opposition.
If Copenhagen is not signed despite his “leadership” he will be smoked by the UN and all the hard working participant and at home.
If he keeps a low profile, he can state that Copenhagen has been negotiated by a BI PARTISAN expert team and state we simply have to execute what the “experts” have negotiated.
He can push for an approach in stages and grab the microphone as soon as the home front is wrapped up in a deal and claim victory without running any risks.
This strategy will be favorable for all scenario’s and for the future as well.
If riots break out in the USA, Obama can say “I can’t help it, we are simply executing directives which are out of our control”.
And if the scam crashes he still has an escape by denying any direct responsibility because he did not take the lead in Copenhagen.
This President has stopped risking his precious image. (think Olympics)
From now on he will operate on the safe side of the equations and others will have to do the dirty work.
He is going to be the first World Leader you know.
He is already running warm for the job.
The only thing he has to do is to organize “Whole Sale America” and shut the door when he leaves.
Mission completed.
Do you follow?

Vincent (08:53:52) : Icarus; What short term fluctuation are you referring to?
Interannual stochastic variations. Heatwaves, cold spells, cool summers, warm winters and so on will always happen regardless of long term trends, just because the climate is to some extent a chaotic system.
Global temperatures have not risen for 11 years.
If you look at short term fluctuations in global temperatures, they are typically around 0.2°C from year to year. The observed long term trend due to climate forcings is about 0.2°C per decade. So, it’s obvious to everyone that you’re going to need substantially more than 10 years of data to see the long term trend distinguished from the ‘noise’ of interannual variation. 11 years is barely one solar cycle, and other factors in the climate such as ocean cycles operate over longer periods than that. This is why most studies of global climate prefer 30 years of data in order to have reasonable confidence in their conclusions. However, even if we look at only 15 years of data, the long-term warming trend of 0.2°C per decade is very clear and is the same as we’ve been seeing for several decades (since about the mid-70s) –
https://sites.google.com/site/europa62/climatechange/15ytt2008
What long term warming trend are you referring to?
The warming due to human activities which has become very clear during the last half century or so.
From a millenium perspective there is no trend at all – only a cycling from the medieval warm period into the little ice age and out again.
We have only had the capacity to substantially affect the global climate in, say, the last hundred years, so there is no point in looking for the anthropogenic global warming trend on a timescale of thousands of years.
On a multi-millenium time scale the trend is one of decreasing maximums, which as any technical analyst will tell you, is the classic definition of a down trend.
All the natural forcings tell us that we should be in a downward trend, albeit a slow one, which is strong evidence that the upward trend we actually observe is due to human activities.

Is Miami under water yet?

Lots of early season snow and cold in Breckenridge, Colorado. Breckenridge ski area will open Nov. 12 and the base should be fantastic for so early. The upper mountain has the most snow I’ve seen this early on. It’s been snowing consistently since Sept. 21 and staying cold so what we’ve received hasn’t melted. Snow is in the forecast for the next week, at least. Wolf Creek, CO ski area opens on Halloween Day and Keystone opens Nov. 6. But, but, but, I thought with global warming ski areas would be opening later and later by now with less and less snow….
Photos here: http://www.flickr.com/photos/retroproxy/