Gore: "Entire north polar ice cap will be gone in 5 years"

This is from his address in Germany, recorded from German TV:

Write this date down so you can contact Mr. Gore in 5 years, then place your bets. I’m sure Lewis Pugh is making plans already.

Meanwhile at the Poznan climate talks, consensus remains in the eye of the beholder:

consensus.jpg

(h/t to Kate at SDA)

BTW, this is my 1000th blog post – Anthony

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Mike C

With all of the ice that suddenly disappeared yesterday, it should all be gone in just a few weeks.

Mike Bryant

Unbelievable. I would really like to see a catalogue of the predictions of the UN going back to ’88 or so, especially the ones with firm timetables.

Cathy

OK.
Seriously.
Does he believe what he’s saying?

Rick Sharp

I saw on another site he said that a year ago, so only 4 more years. Why doesn’t GM hire this guy to sell cars? I’m pretty sure he could sell refrigerators to Eskimos’.

SwampWoman

In other highlights of the program, Al Gore stated that he was so concerned about the state of the climate that he vowed to only do his intercontinental travel via sailing ships henceforth, while travel throughout the U.S.A. would be done by bicycle after the spring thaw. He also announced that he was donating his many mansions to house the poor while he and the Missus were moving to a small straw house in the midwest where they would grow their own vegetables and livestock in a sustainable, soil-building and carbon-sequestering manner.
/Since apparently we have tuned in to “Fairy Tale Theater”.

MattN

Is he looking at the same data we are???
REPLY: I don’t think Gore looks at data outside of the safe cocoon he has constructed for himself. – Anthony

Five years is JUST out of reach for a one-term Obama.
I guess we’ll have to elect Obama to a second term now, just to make sure he has time to get the job done.

Greg

The man is insufferable but capable of real comedy, albeit unintentionally. The good news for the “Goracle” is that the media is so in the tank for him that this will disappear down the memory hole without any notice from his adoring fans.

BTW, the current cooling trend illustrates how fast the globe is warming…..
I’m resigned to the wasted time and money by this crowd.

Anthony: For some reason, I laughed out loud when I read that headline. I still can’t wipe the smile from my face. Thanks. I needed that.

yonip nacirema

Of course they will claim because of their efforts global warming was reversed. It is all win-win for these shysters.
By the way, by that time he will be a billionaire.

As usual, the ridiculous scare tactics are used. Here is another example from surprise, surprise, the associated press know nothings.http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2008/12/14/time-running-obama-curb-global-warming/

Eric

The Arctic icecap does not actually have to be “gone” – merely, NANSEN will re-adjust the coverage to zero so that the real world conforms to the models and Gore will then be correct.

David Ball

Correct me if I’m wrong, but hasn’t every doom-sayer throughout history been wrong? We are still here, aren’t we?

Obama left with little time to curb global warming
By SETH BORENSTEIN, AP Science Writer – 19 mins ago
WASHINGTON – When Bill Clinton took office in 1993, global warming was a slow-moving environmental problem that was easy to ignore. Now it is a ticking time bomb that President-elect Barack Obama can’t avoid.
Since Clinton’s inauguration, summer Arctic sea ice has lost the equivalent of Alaska, California and Texas. The 10 hottest years on record have occurred since Clinton’s second inauguration. Global warming is accelerating. Time is close to running out, and Obama knows it.
HEAVY SIGH

David Ball

David Suzuki has stated that the world would see catastrophic warming in 10 years. Unfortunately, he said that 20 years ago, ….

Brent Matich

All I know is I sit here in a campground in Nanaimo B.C ( I’m building a new house here) , under a foot of snow, waiting to go back to my family and home in Calgary Ab. where it is – 30 C w/ windchills in the – 40’s.
Nanaimo is basically in a rain forest on Vancouver Island and it’s gonna be sub-freezing for over one more week!
Can I make a bet with you Al ? Five years , your NUTS!!!!!!
Brent In Calgary

Jeff Alberts

Cathy (17:48:38) :
OK.
Seriously.
Does he believe what he’s saying?

No, but he knows others will, so he just shouts louder, evidence be damned.

Jeff Alberts

David Ball (19:05:00) :
Correct me if I’m wrong, but hasn’t every doom-sayer throughout history been wrong? We are still here, aren’t we?

Like monkeys, typewriters, and shakespeare, so many doomsayers are bound to get one or two things “right”. Of course they’re never the really big things.

kent

So what happens when all that insulating ice “melts?”. Without the barrier to heat loss the Arctic sea will cool dramatically.
The formation of sea ice is about wind and multi-year ice. Without the multi-year ice, from which the sea ice grows, there would be much more cooling of the sea water because the longer Arctic water is without a protective layer of ice the more the water cools.

Graeme Rodaughan

Hey Guys, It’ll never happen.
Ref: http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24801373-601,00.html
Australia will save the world with a 5% CO2 emissions cut…
No – really we will – for absolute sure- we will.
We’re using an emissions trading scheme – much like Kyoto and that sure worked…

hunter

He is a liar and crazy. Look at him. If he was your neighbor, you would avoid him.
If he worked in your office, you would call HR about a dangerous threat.
My predictions three years was this:
As AGW claims continue to fail when measured against reality, as they are, the promoters and leaders in the AGW community will ratchet up their fear mongering to higher and higher levels of hysteria.
As we see.

Michael

5 years from now I probably won’t be able to afford an internet connection (after Obama’s economic/green agenda) so somebody will have to send me a card to let me know what happens.

Leon Brozyna

The pitchman will never be challenged on this latest prediction since he takes no questions.

Ed Scott

Prediction by the famous oceanographer, Ted Danson: Remember back in 1988, Ted Danson predicted that we only had ten years to live because the oceans were going to be dead and, if the oceans died, then we would soon follow?
We are living on borrowed time, 10 years worth.

Graeme Rodaughan

MattN (18:05:26) :
Is he looking at the same data we are???
***********
The science is settled – why would he look at any data?

Tom in Texas stopped quoting Seth Borenstein to quickly. Here is a link and some more quotes:
“The time for delay is over; the time for denial is over,” he said on Tuesday after meeting with former Vice President Al Gore, who won a Nobel Peace Prize for his work on global warming. “We all believe what the scientists have been telling us for years now that this is a matter of urgency and national security and it has to be dealt with in a serious way.”
* * *
“We need to start in January making significant changes,” Gore said in a recent telephone interview with The Associated Press. “This year coming up is the most important opportunity the world has ever had to make progress in really solving the climate crisis.”
Scientists are increasingly anxious, talking more often and more urgently about exceeding “tipping points.”
“We’re out of time,” Stanford University biologist Terry Root said. “Things are going extinct.”
* * *
In the early 1990s, many scientists figured that the world was about a century away from a truly dangerous amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, said Mike MacCracken, who was a top climate scientist in the Clinton administration. But as they studied the greenhouse effect further, scientists realized that harmful changes kick in at far lower levels of carbon dioxide than they thought. Now some scientists, but not all, say the safe carbon dioxide level for Earth is about 10 percent below what it is now.
Gore called the situation “the equivalent of a five-alarm fire that has to be addressed immediately.”
* * *
Mother Nature, of course, is oblivious to the federal government’s machinations. Ironically, 2008 is on pace to be a slightly cooler year in a steadily rising temperature trend line. Experts say it’s thanks to a La Nina weather variation. While skeptics are already using it as evidence of some kind of cooling trend, it actually illustrates how fast the world is warming.
The average global temperature in 2008 is likely to wind up slightly under 57.9 degrees Fahrenheit, about a tenth of a degree cooler than last year. When Clinton was inaugurated, 57.9 easily would have been the warmest year on record. Now, that temperature would qualify as the ninth warmest year.
=================================
Are panicked yet?

Are we panicked yet?
There, that is better.
BTW does anybody know where Borenstein is getting his “average global temperature” from? And whether those number mean anything?

Neil Crafter

Mother Nature, of course, is oblivious to the federal government’s machinations. Ironically, 2008 is on pace to be a slightly cooler year in a steadily rising temperature trend line. Experts say it’s thanks to a La Nina weather variation. While skeptics are already using it as evidence of some kind of cooling trend, it actually illustrates how fast the world is warming.
Huh?? Where do these people get their logic skills I wonder.

Ed Scott

Obama left with little time to curb global warming
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20081214/D952LKP00.html
Obama is pushing changes in the way Americans use energy, and produce greenhouse gases, as part of what will be a massive economic stimulus. He called it an opportunity “to re-power America.”
“We’re out of time,” Stanford University biologist Terry Root said. “Things are going extinct.”
The amount of carbon dioxide in Earth’s atmosphere has already pushed past what some scientists say is the safe level.
Scientists fear that what’s happening with Arctic ice melt will be amplified so that ominous sea level rise will occur sooner than they expected. They predict Arctic waters could be ice-free in summers, perhaps by 2013, decades earlier than they thought only a few years ago.
Obama is stacking his Cabinet and inner circle with advocates who have pushed for deep mandatory cuts in greenhouse gas pollution and even with government officials who have achieved results at the local level.
Mother Nature, of course, is oblivious to the federal government’s machinations. Ironically, 2008 is on pace to be a slightly cooler year in a steadily rising temperature trend line. Experts say it’s thanks to a La Nina weather variation. While skeptics are already using it as evidence of some kind of cooling trend, it actually illustrates how fast the world is warming.
Huh!

evanjones

Al Gore stated that he was so concerned about the state of the climate that he vowed to only do his intercontinental travel via sailing ships henceforth . . .
On a sailing ship to nowhere
Leaving anyplace
If the summer changed to winter
Yours is no disgrace

Robert

Sailing boats? Better watch out for those pirates from Somalia in their fast speedboats, wich is B.T.W. the real reason for dropping global temperatures. The more pirates there are the lower global temperatures accoording the Pastafarians.

Brian Johnson

This article could do with a wider audience…….
http://www.bayoubuzz.com/News/US/Politics/Al_Gore_New_Orleans_Snow_Obama_and_Global_Cooling__8080.asp
Don’t watch “The Day the Earth Stood Still”. Utter rubbish.

Peter

Hey Al,
I’ll take even money or even a shade of odds. How much can I get on!

Eamon

Dunno if it has been pointed out already, but Gore doesn’t say it WILL be gone by then but that it MIGHT be gone.
So no matter what happens he’ll be right.

Tom in nicely warming Florida

As we look this and at the article preceding, it is quite obvious that algorean science is stuck where the sun don’t shine.

christopher booker

Anthony, how appropriate that your 1,000th blog post should be on the Warmer in Chief, without whom we could all get back to our normal, quiet, uneventful lives.(Probably unfair to witch doctors) Well done. It’s been a heroic feat for the world!

stan

Al doesn’t believe it. He’s got $100 million bet that he can get governments to believe it. Follow the money.

just Cait

Congrats on the 1000th, Anthony!!
Gore bores me… yawn.

JP

Many years ago, a pundit tried to explain the mystery known as ALGORE. The famed Baby-Boomer, unlike his peers, the Robert Reich’s, Bill and Hillary Clinton’s, or Lawrence Summers had no real academic training. His degree was in journalism and like a good son, ALGORE loyally inherited his father’s political place in the world of Tennesse politics. Yet, his heart nor his mind were really not in it. He always had a gift for absorbing large ideas -both scientific and political. He reminded me of several friends I’ve known over the years. ALGORE and people like him can abosrb and recite general facts about all kind of scientific trivia: phyics and relativity; chemistry and biology; weather and climate.
Yet, if you were to set them down and look at a set of Einstein’s field equations they would be stumped. Differential Calculus let alone Tensor Calculus would be way above thier understanding and interest. They never took anything higher than Fresman Algebra. But like Cliff Claven from Cheers, thier superficial understanding of things never stops them from pontificating.
ALGORE is one of those people. Tragicaly, he is allowed to live in a fantasy world of his own making. Both scientists and other academics look the other way, or in Hansen’s case, they enable him to live his fantasy life of climate expert. Just think of it: a man who never took a class any more difficult than 10th Grade Earth Science is an accepted peer in a field that usually requires 10 years of post graduate work to just get your foot in. He has gotten an Oscar and Nobel Prize for his efforts; he is feted in every major nation, and flies in a Gulfstream to give six figure speeches and seminars.
ALGORE’s real talents lie in science fiction. There is no doubt he loves science as a hobby; he has an imagination, and the moral calling fo the true evangelist. Who knows’s what kind of books he could have written if he turned away from politics as a young man.

Rich

“We’re out of time,” Stanford University biologist Terry Root said. “Things are going extinct.”
I thought that was how Evolution worked. Or is Special Creation an essential part of AGW now?
Rich

Rhys Jaggar

Questions for Borenstein:
1. Why is there so much resistance amongst global warmers to investigate suitability of weather stations which contribute to this mythical ‘global temperature’ index?
2. Would he like to comment on the revision of US temperature data in USHCN stuff, and whether the lack of convergence of carbon dioxide with that amended record implies:
a. The new data is falsified.
b. The PDO/AMO data which DO fit the data are false.
c. The carbon dioxide theory is bullshit.
3. Would he like to comment on the MORE rapid return of winter sea ice in the Arctic this year, despite a miserable thickness of ice after the 2007 heatwave and an expectation that this season would have seen further rapid declines? Is this a self-correcting mechanism, an artefact or just data falsfication?
4. Would he agree to a moratorium on theories until a proper data acquisition record is set up and collected, covering the globe equally, as far as possible without stations subject to UHI and including Siberian stations on a representative basis, for both temperature and snow/ice extent?
5. Would he agree that Al Gore has a conflict of interest working for a leading ‘cleantech’ VC and therefore cannot be trusted to say anything other than that which will make himself and his business partners infinitely richer?
6. Would he agree that the Germans are uniquely well placed in ‘cleantech’ uptake to date in Europe and therefore have a strong interest in playing ‘climate scared-i-cat’?
7. Would he agree that the Russians have a self-interest in oil+gas which makes them favour a ‘lack of global warming’ hypothesis based on desire to continuing selling, prospecting for and profiting from oil?
Just to set the record straight of course…..
Very dangerous thing to do that.

bradley13

The trick would be: find a way to hold people like Gore accountable for the results of their idiotic prophesies. Never happen of course.
Anyone else notice that the doomsayers in the media are saying “global warming” less often – instead referring to “climate change”? This almost has to be a deliberate, cynical move: by the time the threat of global warming has collapsed like a house of cards, they want the public thinking in terms of any sort of change. Hurricane? Tornado? Freezing cold winters? It’s climate change, give us money.

paminator

Robert- you say “The more pirates there are the lower global temperatures accoording the Pastafarians.”
LOL!
Thanks for reminding me about the robust statistical correlation between pirate count and global temperature. I remember reading this about a year ago?
Gore needs to look into the green positions taken by Ethan Greenhart. I have been reading his book “Can I recycle my granny?- and 39 other eco-dilemmas”. I highly recommend it. He talks about your carbon skidmark, humanure, why laughter in environmentally unethical, etc, etc. I often confuse the statements in the book with comments I read over at dot earth, because they are so similar.
🙂

Craig D. Lattig

David Ball (19:05:00) :
Correct me if I’m wrong, but hasn’t every doom-sayer throughout history been wrong? We are still here, aren’t we?
David…
Well, yes and no. All of the end-of-the-world types have been wrong so far. Humans are an adaptable species…and seem to be fairly tough to kill off…almost as tough as cockroaches!
However, the guy who used to stand in the city square of Carthage [you KNOW there had to be at least one!] and forecast the impending doom of the city, pretty much nailed it.
In other words, neither AGW nor an ice age will kill of the race…but we could manage to wreck the US of A…and a loss of freedom in the US is a loss of freedom for the entire race. Right now, the odds of an ice age or AGW seems to be less than the chance that we will do it to ourselves… thru seriously misguided environmental goals. Preventing THAT would seem to be our biggest challange.
Just a few thoughts from the swamp….
cdl

Mongo

No one found it ironic that Al was speaking “with” dinosaurs to support his claims? Did dinosaurs have something to say about global warming, something that was vital to their survival?
Or is it more likely we associate the unproven theory of AGW to dinosaurs? Extinct (for the most part)?
Thanks Anthony! I got a good laugh at this – but sadly our policy makers are destined to save us from ourselves.

Craig D. Lattig

…kill OFF the race… [sigh]
Also…the doom sayers only have to be right ONCE! So their claims deserve at least a quality check. If their data is seriously flawed, then we ignor it and move on…except for AGW…which has all the signs of a religion which will probably still be around and bugging our grandchildren…….
cdl

Searching, as I strive to always, for the positives I feel gratified to be alive at this time.
There has been so much media coverage of this “catastrophe” that the weasels will not be able to avoid criticism if there is a next time.
The disgusting antics of the alarmists, for example in the way they have tried to claim that the “consensus” during the 1970ies that “the cold is coming” was “just a couple of articles”, cannot be repeated. Their fears are archived on Al’s Internet for all time, as is their massively despicable treatment of scientists who question their religion and “amateurs” who instinctively smell a rat when obvious political agenda is pushed as science.
There is, unfortunately, a massive divide between such positive thinking and the hope of seeing justice done.

edward

Evan Jones
I’m awed by your inspiration to pull in that “quote” but you forgot
“Yesterday a morning came, a smile upon your face.
Caesar’s palace, morning glory, silly human race,”
and
“Lost in summer, born in winter, travel very far,
Lost in losing circumstances, that’s just where you are.”

Joseph

Cathy (17:48:38) :
OK.
Seriously.
Does he believe what he’s saying?
******************************************
Considering that Gore is a politician, I think it’s most likely he simply recognizes AGW as a useful instrument for furthering his particular sociopolitical agenda. Even Jim Jones didn’t drink his own Koolaid.