Weather-related Natural Disasters: Should we be concerned about a reversion to the mean?

by Risk Frontiers July 31, 2017 Professor Roger Pielke Jr (University of Colorado Boulder) Roger is a long-term Research Fellow of Risk Frontiers and recently it was our pleasure to be able to host him, once again, in Sydney. During this visit, we were rewarded with an insightful seminar entitled Natural Disasters and Climate Change: The…


Tropical Storm Sandy

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach As at 2 PM Pacific time, here’s the current position of Sandy and the projected path. SOURCE: National Data Buoy Center I had said a couple of days ago, when Sandy was a hurricane, that it would not be a hurricane when it hit the coast. How did that go?

Hurricane Isaac's Stats

Don’t Underestimate a Cat. 1 State College, Pa. — 29 August 2012 — reports before pummeling Florida and the Gulf Coast of the U.S. with flooding rain, Isaac first became organized more than a thousand miles east of the Leeward Islands over the Atlantic. Here’s the interesting stats: 

Global hurricane activity at historical record lows: new paper

During the past 6-years since Hurricane Katrina, global tropical cyclone frequency and energy have decreased dramatically, and are currently at near-historical record lows.  According to a new peer-reviewed research paper accepted to be published, only 69 tropical storms were observed globally during 2010, the fewest in almost 40-years of reliable records. Furthermore, when each storm’s…

Hurricane Igor explodes to Category 4+

Update 11:00 PM EDT: Igor still intensifying, now at 130 knots (Cat 4) and now forecast to become a Category 5 within the next 12-hours. See NHC bulletin at the end of this post. Hurricane Igor has rapidly intensified into a Category 4 storm over the open Central Atlantic.  Winds are expected to remain above…