That Sinking Feeling

Our local media is up to their usual alarmism. From the San Francisco Chronicle (paywalled, so I quote). Emphasis mine.

A More Accurate Multiplier

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In my previous posts, yclept “Greenhouse Efficiency” and “The Multiplier”, I described a metric I’d developed to look at how successful the very poorly named…

This Is An Emergency!

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach We’ve just seen, up close and personal, the huge problems with the declaration of a State of Emergency by some potentate from City Mayor to…

The CERES Data

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I do a very large percentage of my work using CERES data. What is CERES? From their website: Climate is controlled by the amount of…

A Serious Question

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Apparently I must be a glutton for punishment, because here I am in the arena once again, discussing the results of my research and preparing…

The Multiplier

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach This is a follow-on from my previous post entitled Greenhouse Equilibrium. If you haven’t read it, you might want to, as it introduces many of…

Greenhouse Efficiency

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Buoyed by equal parts of derision and praise for my last post, “Surface Radiation: Absorption And Emission“, I once again venture into the arena. I…

Surface Radiation: Absorption And Emission

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In my recent post “Putting It Into Reverse” I discussed the relationship between temperature and total surface radiation absorbed. By “total surface radiation absorbed”, I…

A Balancing Act

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’m a visual guy. I understand numbers, but not in tables. I make them into graphs and charts and maps so I can understand what’s…

Putting It Into Reverse

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach We have an experiential understanding of the effect of radiation on objects. Oh, not nuclear radiation, that’s something different. I’m talking about things like solar…

Hot Sand

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I live up at the top left of the map in Figure 1, in Northern California between Santa Rosa and the Pacific Ocean. Down the…

Animals, Humans, and the Climate

As a young man, I lived for a short while in the arid countryside of New Mexico, in the American Southwest. From that glorious summer: Molly and I didn’t plan…

The Recent Decline

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Over in the Tweeterverse I saw that someone said: NASA GISSTEMP Global Mean went above 1.5C for 2 months in 2016. Hmmm, sez I ……

The Parts And The Whole

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach As with many of my meanderings through scientific landscapes, this one starts with “I got to wondering …”. In this case, I got to wondering…

A Sense Of Proportion

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [See update at the end] Let me start with a simple fact. The earth has been warming for about 300 years, since the depth of…

Peer Review Plus

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach A Modest Proposal For Improving Peer Review Abstract. A proposal is made for the design of a specific type of post-publication peer review. Background In…

Roaring And Screaming

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Among blue-water sailors like myself, the area of the ocean from 40° South to 50° South is called the “Roaring Forties” because of the strength…

Modeled Rain on a Modeled Plain

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Thanks to Nick Stokes, who pointed me to the University of Melbourne Computer Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) data repository, I got data on rainfall…

Proxy Rates of Sea Level Rise

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach My Twitter friend Wei Zhang @WeiZhangAtmos pointed me to an open-access study in Nature magazine entitled “Timing of emergence of modern rates of sea-level rise…

Climate Models Don’t

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [see update at end] Over at the marvelous KNMI website, home of all kinds of climate data, they’re just finishing their transfer to a new…

Temperatures and Yields

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I keep reading that increasing temperatures will cause decreasing yields of our food crops, resulting in widespread hunger … for example, the IPCC says: Declines…

The Uneasy Sea

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [Painting above, “Uneasy Sea” by Gennady Vytor] It is not the sea that sinks and shelves,But ourselvesThat rock and riseWith endless and uneasy motion,Now touching…

SWAG

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach As many of my posts start out, “I got to thinking about …”. In this case, I got to thinking about the Berkeley Earth global…

Too Much Rain, Not Enough Rain

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Drought is measured in several ways. One of them is the Self-Correcting Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI). There’s a clear description of it here. As…