India’s Record Crops Reject Food, Warming Alarmism

By Vijay Jayaraj

A claim that repeatedly clashes with observable reality demands scrutiny. Such claims survive only when contradictory evidence is buried, data selectively presented, or fear trumps fact. Such is the case with the apocalyptic narrative of climate change.

One among the many pretenses of doomsayers is that shifting climate patterns threaten global food security. Environmental websites like Mongabay warn that “climate change, extreme weather, and conflict exacerbate the global food crisis,” as if harvests are failing everywhere. “Science” blogs declare that climate change endangers food systems. The United Nations states that “the world’s food supply is made insecure by climate change.”

If this drumbeat matched reality, heavily populated agrarian nations would be showing signs of collapse, with my home country of India already a cautionary tale. Hundreds of millions of Indians still depend directly or indirectly on agriculture. Rainfall variability has shaped its economic history for generations.

Instead, India’s crop production has shattered records year after year, proving this thread of climate dogma false.

India’s agricultural miracle defies climate propaganda

India ranks as the world’s second-largest producer of rice and wheat, with output reaching 150 million and 117 million metric tons, respectively, in 2024-25. The country achieved record food grain production of 358 million metric tons, reflecting a strong shift towards high-value crops. Between 2020 and 2025, agricultural exports rose 50% to $51 billion. Agriculture and allied activities account for nearly one-fifth of the country’s gross value-added at current prices, employ approximately 46% of the workforce, and support nearly 55% of the population.

Does this look like a collapsing ecosystem to you? Do record-breaking harvests reflect a planet hostile to plant life? The shrieks of climate Chicken Littles are no match for millions of tons of harvested grain.

The toxic CO2 myth
How does a nation in the tropics, supposedly vulnerable to “extreme weather,” achieve consecutive record harvests? The answer lies partly in something climate alarmists refuse to acknowledge: Rising levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) accelerate plant growth, and natural warming of the modern era favors agriculture far more than the chill of the Little Ice Age, from which the planet emerged 175 years ago.

Carbon dioxide is not the pollutant that climate pseudoscience alleges. It is plant food. Every botanist and farmer understands this, as did school children before indoctrination replaced education in many classrooms. Elevated CO2 levels boost photosynthesis, increase crop yields, and improve water-use efficiency in plants.

NASA states that “CO2 is making Earth greener,” noting that a rising atmospheric concentration has added 5% to global green leaf area over the past three decades. Studies of plant growth consistently demonstrate that crops like wheatrice, and soybeans respond strongly to CO2 enrichment, with yield increases ranging from 15% to 30%.

Commercial greenhouse operators routinely boost productivity by elevating CO2 levels to 800-1,000 parts per million (ppm)—well above current atmospheric levels of 420 ppm. The results are striking: tomato yields increase by 40-50%, cucumber production rises by 30-40%, and growth of lettuce and other vegetables accelerates significantly.

This does not mean climate plays no role in agriculture. Of course it does. Rainfall, temperature, sunlight, and seasonal timing matter. The issue is whether the climate narrative accurately explains agricultural outcomes.

During the Little Ice Age, cold temperatures caused widespread crop failures. Growing seasons were brutally short. Frost destroyed harvests before they could mature. People starved in massive numbers across Europe and Asia. Today’s warmer temperatures and longer growing seasons are blessings.

Ours is an agricultural golden age. The air is richer in the compound that gives plants life. The weather is more conducive to growing food than it has been in centuries. The fabricated doomsday scenarios of the climate industrial complex are ludicrous.

Originally published at Real Clear Markets, June 5, 2026.

Vijay Jayaraj is a Science and Research Associate at the CO2 Coalition, Fairfax, Virginia. He holds an M.S. in environmental sciences from the University of East Anglia and a postgraduate degree in energy management from Robert Gordon University, both in the U.K., and a bachelor’s in engineering from Anna University, India. He served as a research associate with the Changing Oceans Research Unit at University of British Columbia, Canada.

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23 Comments
June 15, 2026 10:22 am

Doctrinaire Leftists in the U.S. and Europe: “The CO2 molecule is a dangerous pollutant and an existential threat to humanity!”

Normal, intelligent 6th-graders finishing their basic sciences class: “CO2 is a molecule critical for life since it is required for plant photosynthesis and is therefore the basis for every single significant food chain on the entire planet.”

Reply to  pillageidiot
June 15, 2026 2:03 pm

Supplying the C which forms half our ` mummy weight .

mleskovarsocalrrcom
June 15, 2026 10:37 am

It’s facts like this that adds skeptics to the AGW scam.

June 15, 2026 10:48 am

Adverse food impact is but one of several basic climate alarm predictions that has failed.
Sea level rise did not accelerate.
Summer Arctic sea ice did not disappear.
Extreme weather did not increase.

What has also failed are all the climate models on which these failed predictions are based. Two examples from CMIP6:

  1. All but one still produce a spurious tropical troposphere hotspot. The reason is enlightening. The one that didn’t is INM CM5. Its ECS is 1.8, the lowest in all of CMIP6—meaning the climate alarm could be cancelled.
  2. The range of model ECS increased. If climate models were improving, it should have decreased as improved models converged.
Ron
Reply to  Rud Istvan
June 15, 2026 3:45 pm

Don’t forget the endangered Polar Bears Rud! (sarc)

SxyxS
Reply to  Ron
June 16, 2026 6:44 am

It were those extinct polar bears who pushed the walrussians down the cliff,
which then was blamed on global warming by people like Attenborrough.
The lie went full circle.

And they’ll do the same once the fertilizer disruption results in lower crop rates – global warming will be blamed.

Joe Crawford
Reply to  SxyxS
June 16, 2026 11:14 am

Of course… global warming is responsible for hot, cold, and even the color of butter <:)

Tom Halla
June 15, 2026 11:04 am

Paul Ehrlich never did retract his late 1960’s predictions of mass famines, particularly in India. Reality and True Believers are not well acquainted.

Phillip Chalmers
Reply to  Tom Halla
June 15, 2026 11:45 pm

and he had the cheek to live to 90 while demanding that a vast number of other people should be terminated for the good of the planet.

SxyxS
Reply to  Tom Halla
June 16, 2026 6:55 am

Why should he retract a deliberate lie?

If he’d really believed in mass famines,
he’d never wrote his depopulation book Eco-Science.

You don’t make plans for deliberate mass sterilization on a global scale AFTER you predicted half a dozen world end scenarios that ‘ll wipe out humanity.
That’s like predicting an Ice age and then promoting global warming – and that’s what he also did.

And he also never retracted his ice age predictions he made alongside his Eco-Science co-author
who ended up as Obamas global warming tzar.

NotChickenLittle
June 15, 2026 11:17 am

The biggest threats to peace and productivity and prosperity are not the climate and its slight warming nor the large variability of weather from year to year, but instead it always has been and will no doubt remain, to be oppressive tyrannical government that demands allegiance to the collective and stamps out freedom of the individual !

Reply to  NotChickenLittle
June 15, 2026 4:25 pm

To the benefit of the rich and powerful and to the detriment of the masses.

In the United States, this is being played out in many or most major cities. Socialist communist, fascist, radical left, and or corrupt city leaders live fat in their sheltered and guarded lives, while they intentionally subjugate the middle income and the poor and simultaneously drive away the productive business owners and entrepreneurs, demonizing the wealthy and successful who provide the jobs and the products that keep the economy going. They fragment people into “oppressed” groups, pitting them against one another, and then they continually use incendiary rhetoric with intention of instigating violence. Since an educated populous might notice, they destroy the school systems in order to dumb down and indoctrinate children, all the while exacting higher and higher taxes and budgets for the schools to pay incompetent DEI, fat cat administrators and union leaders. Along with the flood of illegal immigrants that only make matters worse, this is the existential threat facing the United States.

is Vijay so well stated, we should be celebrating climate change, and the increasing productivity and milder weather visiting higher latitudes.

Underlying this is a relativistic, humanistic worldview. Taken to its logical conclusion, nothing is true and everyone lies about everything. Just listen to people who lived behind the Soviet iron curtain and who know this oh too well. The People and the forces pushing such depravity upon the West are in many ways much worse than the Ayatollahs of Iran, who at least tell you straight up what are their intentions.

Junkgirl
Reply to  pflashgordon
June 16, 2026 4:38 am

Large blue cities use rotten policy to corral minorities in areas they then call “Congressional Districts” aka their modern plantation system.

John Hultquist
June 15, 2026 12:31 pm

During the Little Ice Age, cold temperatures caused widespread crop failures. Growing seasons were . . .”

Insofar as this post started with reference to India, is there evidence of the Little Ice Age there?

Reply to  John Hultquist
June 15, 2026 12:48 pm

Interesting question, so I just checked. There are three lines of evidence that yes the LIA impacted India.

  1. Cave stalagmites indicate wetter colder summers.
  2. SW marine proxies indicate colder.
  3. Himalayan treeline receded and glaciers advanced.
John Hultquist
Reply to  Rud Istvan
June 15, 2026 3:01 pm

Thanks. I’m fond of the movements of treelines, believing that vegetation integrates climate. I live in the ecotone east of the Cascade Mtns where the Ponderosa Pine Forest biome meets the Sage Brush/Grass of central Washington State. I haven’t seen a stalagmite in about 55 years, walked on a glacier in 50, nor seen an ocean in 30. 🙂

Curious George
June 15, 2026 1:00 pm

Remember that everything on your dinner plate (except for water and salt) was carbon dioxide not long ago. If you are a vegetarian, less than two years ago.

Phillip Chalmers
June 15, 2026 2:27 pm

Three cheers for carbon dioxide! Preach it brother.
We in Oz are in the same situation, huge and widespread crops of wheat and maize and everything else that is sown for food. East and west, north and south it is the same – abundance.

Edward Katz
June 15, 2026 2:46 pm

It’s not only India that’s benefiting from whatever warming is occurring and the steady increase in agricultural output. According to Worldometer, the global population as of mid-June this year has increased by another 32 million, so the only ones really adversely affected by the climate crisis narrative are the governments, environmental groups and green product peddlers who hope to profit from the myth.

Reply to  Edward Katz
June 16, 2026 8:38 am

Adversely affected ?

ferdberple
June 16, 2026 9:46 am

Rice is mostly CO2

Elemental Composition of Dry White Rice (by weight)

Element % by weight
Oxygen (O) 49.8%
Carbon (C) 43.9%
Hydrogen (H) 5.7%
Nitrogen (N) 1.0%
Phosphorus (P) 0.1%
Total 100.0%

ferdberple
June 16, 2026 9:57 am

Dry White Rice — Elemental Composition with Oxygen expressed as CO₂
Component
% by weight
CO₂
68.4%
Carbon (C) remaining
25.2%
Hydrogen (H)
5.7%
Nitrogen (N)
1.0%
Phosphorus (P)
0.1%
Total
100.0%

ferdberple
June 16, 2026 10:00 am

WARNING: rice contains carbon