The Iran Oil Crisis + Australia’s Failed Green Energy Policies are Collapsing our Farming and Fishing Industries

Essay by Eric Worrall

Miners could be next.

War in the Middle East already making Australia’s fuel struggles the toughest in decades

By Luke CooperJessica RossJanel ShorthouseJoanna PrendergastTara Delandgrafft and Callum LiddelowTopic:Petrol Prices
Wed 11 Mar

In short:

Australia faces a worsening fuel shortage due to the conflict in the Middle East.
Regional businesses have started rationing fuel, while some towns, farmers and transport companies report they have been cut off completely.

What’s next?
Suppliers say farmers and fishing operations are days from grinding to a halt, and Easter food supplies are at risk.

Dozens of docked fishing trawlers and other vessels have been stranded as a result of Australia’s worsening fuel shortages, which some distributors have described as the worst they have seen.

Across the country, retailers have started rationing fuel or limiting sales to emergencies, while some towns, farmers and transport companies have been cut off completely.

Economists warn petrol prices nationwide could rise by 40 cents a litre in weeks, due to the impact on fuel supplies from the escalating conflict in the Middle East.

The fallout from the conflict has led officials to warn against panic buying.

Federal Energy Minister Chris Bowen has met representatives from the diesel and petrol industry to discuss the issue.How the Middle East war spiked Australia’s fuel prices

“They have confirmed to me that every single contract is being honoured,” Mr Bowen said in Canberra.

Danny Kreutzer, the founder of Queensland-based fuel transport company Westlink Petroleum, said his requests for fuel from Brisbane-based terminals to service his spot market clients were virtually cut off in the wake of the war in Iran.

We were only getting 10 per cent of our usage,” he told the ABC.

Eighty per cent of our business is farmers, transport operators [and] lot feeds.

“We’re just down to selecting who needs the fuel the most.

Read more: https://www.abc.net.au/news/rural/2026-03-11/iran-war-impact-on-australian-fuel-supply-worst-some-have-seen/106437924

I spoke to a farmer friend whose land is located near the national capital Canberra. According to him local diesel supplies are increasingly unreliable.

As a joke I suggested my farmer friend go electric, he laughed and said “I need my tractor for more than an hour per day”.

Nobody in his area believes Energy and Climate Minister Chris Bowen’s assurances about security of supply, because most of Australia’s supply comes through the Straits of Hormuz. Australia’s lack of domestic refinery capacity also means most of our fuel is refined in Asia.

The Asian refiners who supply Australia have a rich choice of alternative clients, including China, which is acting to secure its own supply. With everyone declaring Force Majeure because of the gulf crisis, those Asian refiners don’t have to honour their Australian supply contracts, especially if someone a lot closer to home offers more money, and is someone they are more reluctant to displease.

Farmers can do their own geopolitical calculations. All of the farmers my friend knows are filling 10,000 litre tanks or bigger, in anticipation of an imminent supply interruption.

I suggested my farmer friend drive to Canberra to fill up, because our federal politicians will be the last to run dry.

Unfortunately filling up in our national capital is not an option for Queensland farmers – the Queensland border is hundreds of miles from Canberra. Fuel shortages in Queensland are bad news for Australia’s food security.

In Australia’s northern breadbasket sowing season has already begun – in Queensland, especially in the tropical North, farmers practice extreme early sowing when growing temperate climate crops like potatoes, to beat the January summer heat. Even 10,000 litre diesel tanks won’t last long during sowing season. And once the tractors stop, once the diesel to run the irrigation pumps runs dry, let’s just say I’m not expecting an abundance of root vegetables or fruit this year.

Miners will likely be the last to shut down, because miners in remote locations at the end of long supply routes are used to dealing with slow supply chains and long interruptions caused by weather or other problems. But eventually they’ll run out as well. Unlike the East Coast of Australia, which can cover about 20% of demand from domestic production, Western Australia, where most of Australia’s mines are based, has no refinery capacity whatsoever. While Western Australia produces 70% of Australia’s condensate, Western Australians are 2000+ miles from the nearest East Coast refinery, with a lot of desperate East coast clients between them and any domestic refined fuel supply.

Australia has the resources to be energy self sufficient, and we export a lot of coal and gas, but our woke politicians refuse to allow companies to process those resources onshore to the fullest possible extent. Somehow shipping the gas, coal and condensate offshore is more climate friendly than running a domestic refinery. I can’t imagine the paperwork and bureaucratic reviews you would have to endure to commission a new refinery in Australia. In the State of Victoria, one of Australia’s most fossil fuel resource packed regions, and home until 2022 of the Altona refinery in Melbourne, a fracking ban was enshrined in the state constitution in 2021.

Australia could be about to pay a heavy price for our green regulatory purge of local refinery capacity.

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Tom Halla
March 13, 2026 11:09 am

The Democratic People’s Republic of California has the same issues, and for the same reasons.

claysanborn
Reply to  Tom Halla
March 13, 2026 11:42 am

I live in Texas, but I found this guy, Ramin “RealTalk” on youTube. He is a 20 year CA realtor that has the scoop on all things crap in CA. It’s apparently one economic disaster after another there as most of us on WUWT know; it’s Sacramento, stupid, kind of thing, oh and uh, Newsom of course. Ramin is very interesting: https://www.youtube.com/@RaminRealTalk

March 13, 2026 1:32 pm

……

648816976_10236820981577214_1431524822707132027_n
Reply to  bnice2000
March 13, 2026 11:10 pm

The most expensive is diesel. Today more expensive than Diesel Bad.

Bob
March 13, 2026 1:34 pm

The saddest part of this whole stinking mess is that the people responsible for it are some of the most highly educated. It is just stupid.

Reply to  Bob
March 13, 2026 6:58 pm

You mean they went to lots of schools, but didn’t actually learn much.

bobclose
Reply to  Bob
March 14, 2026 3:33 am

They might be educated but if they have been taught the postmodern way of thinking, they don’t believe in the scientific method of analysis, they can’t understand climate science and power engineering for a start. If they are into woke thinking they won’t understand or believe that renewables are inefficient costly power users and nuclear is inherently too dangerous to use.
If they only knew that CO2 is a benign non-toxic basic plant food that is needed for us all to survive and thrive, they would rapidly rid us of Net Zero and let us get back to fossil fuel basics that we have in abundance, and which keep our economy afloat. Modern scientific ignorance is astounding!

davidinredmond
Reply to  Bob
March 14, 2026 7:26 am

Credentialed no longer means educated, or smart, or wise, or informed. Too often stupid does apply, along with indoctrinated.

Bruce Cobb
March 13, 2026 1:57 pm

A good way to get people not to panic buy something is to tell them not to panic buy.

Reply to  Eric Worrall
March 13, 2026 3:06 pm

$2.60 /litre(7 USD/gallon) for diesel in central Victoria yesterday

Leon de Boer
Reply to  Bruce Cobb
March 13, 2026 5:56 pm

The problem is nobody believes the government based on their track record.

Chris Hanley
March 13, 2026 2:10 pm

Energy minister Bowen’s ‘Marie Antoinette’ comment on the gasoline shortage ‘buy an electric car’ (I know she didn’t really say ‘let them eat cake’) isn’t likely to endear him or the Labor Government to the electorate.

Reply to  Eric Worrall
March 13, 2026 4:35 pm

Everything he says is stupid

Bryan A
Reply to  Chris Hanley
March 13, 2026 5:01 pm

Could it illicit the same response though.
Guillotine Anyone?

March 13, 2026 2:24 pm

The sign in the AI generated image does not apply to Australia. Australia has plenty of gas. We are still exporting it.

My local servo has “Diesel Out of Order” sign on every pump apart from the four fast fuel diesel lanes that are just blocked off.

Gas is US slang for gasoline. Gasoline is unleaded petrol (ULP) in Australis.

Australia has been in rapid decline since Howard introduced the RET. Base load power cost $23/MWh in 2003. Back then Australia made road vehicles, refined crude oil, made twice as much aluminium as now. Since then four coal fired power stations have been blown up and base load power now costs $95/MWh.

Ed Zuiderwijk
March 13, 2026 2:40 pm

Bowen is an ignorant incompetent utter fool.

March 13, 2026 3:04 pm

“Australia has the resources to be energy self sufficient, and we export a lot of coal and gas…”

No big oil fields in Australia?

Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 13, 2026 4:03 pm

Lots of prospective oil.

oil-etc-Australia
Victor
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 13, 2026 4:06 pm

Farmers can grow oilseed and turn it into fuel oil for their agricultural machinery. Farmers become self-sufficient in fuel oil by growing oilseed.

Reply to  Eric Worrall
March 14, 2026 4:55 am

Has Australia been geologically thoroughly explored- at least regarding ff resources?

Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 14, 2026 4:16 am

This map gives you some idea.. We have plenty if we choose to use it.

oil-etc-Australia
Reply to  bnice2000
March 14, 2026 6:49 am

And there’s probably a lot more not yet discovered.

Victor
March 13, 2026 3:49 pm

High fertilizer prices benefit fertilizer producers. Yesterday CF Industries shares rose as much as 14%.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-12/cf-industries-shares-hit-record-as-risks-mount-from-iran-war

Urea FOB US Gulf Mar ’26 (JCH26)
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/JC*1

March 13, 2026 4:23 pm

Harold The Organic Chemist Says:
“No Warming in Adelaide Since 1857.”

Shown in the chart (See below) is plot of the annual mean temperature in Adelaide from 1857 to 1997. In 1857 the concentration of CO2 was ca. 280 ppmv (0.55 g CO2 per cubic meter of air), and by 1997 it had increased to ca. 368 ppmv (0.72 g CO2 per cubic meter of air, but there was no increase in air temperature in this port city. Instead there was s slight cooling that begin in ca. 1940. In 1997 the annual mean temperature was 16.7° C.

To obtain recent Adelaide temperature data, I went to:
https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/adelaide/average-temperature-by-year. The Tmax and Tmin temperature from 1887 to 2025 are displayed in a long table. For 2025, the annual temperature was 17.4° C. The slight increase in the annual mean temperature of 0.7° C is well within in the natural variation of the annual mean temperature in Adelaide. In 2025 the concentration of CO2 at the Mauna Loa Obs. in Hawaii was ca. 426 ppmv. At STP one cubic meter of the air has mass of 1,290 g and contains 0.84 g of CO2, a 17% increase since 1997. After 168 years, there has been no warming in Adelaide. Please note how little CO2 there is in the air.

The reason there was no increase in air temperature in Adelaide is quite simple: There is too little CO2 in the air to absorb enough out-going long wavelength IR light emanating from the land and water surfaces to cause warming of the air. The above empirical data and calculations falsify the claims by the IPCC that CO2 causes global warming and is the control knob of climate change.

The challenge is how to explain the above to Premier Anthony A. and the Canberra Climate Cartel that CO2 does not cause warming of air.

The chart was obtained from the late John L. Daly’s website: “Still Waiting For Greenhouse” available at http://www.john-daly.com. From the home page, page down to the end and click “Station Temperature Data”. On the “World Map”, click on “Australia”. A list of stations is displayed. Click on “Adelaide”. Click on the back arrow to display the list stations. Clicking on the back arrow again to return to the
“World Map”. Australian John L. Daly found over 200 weather stations whose temperature data showed no warming up to 2002.

NB: If you click on the chart, it will expand and become clear. Click on the “X” in the circle to contact the chart and return to Comments.

adelaide
Bryan A
March 13, 2026 4:58 pm

Dubai really needs to create a new canal from the Persian Gulf to the.Gulf of Oman bypassing the Straight all together. The rest of the oil dependent world, Australia included, should contribute to the cost.

Reply to  Bryan A
March 14, 2026 4:54 am

Makes sense. I’ve been wondering about that too. Perhaps there’s some geological reason why it would be prohibitive.

Bryan A
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
March 15, 2026 8:51 am

Well there is that Mountain Range right in the middle but nothing a series of Lifting Locks and good old UAE engineering can’t surmount.

1saveenergy
March 13, 2026 5:55 pm

The Extinction Rebellion subgroup Just Stop Oil wanted to ‘keep oil in the ground’.

Well, this is what it looks like:
Fuel, food, medicines, fertiliser, & the chemicals that keep us alive … everything is going up in price, & that’s after a few days of just 20% of the supply being restricted, so the green utopia is here, enjoy it while you can.
Ultimately, ‘you will have nothing & be happy‘ ( you will have nothing to be happy about).

George Kaplan
March 13, 2026 9:41 pm

I don’t quite get the point about Queensland sowing early to avoid the January heat. It’s March now which means autumn and cooling weather. It’s still hitting highs of 30+ around Cairns, but things are cooling. Perhaps Worrall meant harvest?

And while this piece says a 40c/litre increase, elsewhere I’ve seen it suggested petrol could hit AUD$10/litre (~USD$32/gallon), about 4x current prices, and 6x the pre-conflict price.

The Labor (~Democrat) government are saying one thing, but there are too many stories from outside the capital cities directly contradicting the government’s claims.

But then two-thirds of Australia’s population live in 1 of 5 cities which occupy an area slightly less than the Netherlands, roughly Maryland + Delaware. Since those tend to be the red (blue) voting areas, so long as they continue to have access to fuel there is no shortage – #$%^ the blue (red) voting country, who needs them right?

Of course when the food runs out …

The Expulsive
March 14, 2026 7:04 am

We have similar problems in Canada…abundant oil but no way of getting it to the east coast and limited export besides to America. We also have a lack of refining capacity, with the biggest refinery in NB importing oil to refine and then exporting a lot to America.

KlimaSkeptic
March 14, 2026 6:32 pm

Who on Earth put that picture at the top of this article? That is a BS! In Australia we say petrol. Only in poorly educated Yankee land can liquid be referred to as gas!