The overwhelming focus of the environmental movement over the past three decades and more has been the push to eliminate the use of hydrocarbon fuels and transform the world’s energy system into something based on supposedly cleaner wind and sun. This effort has always been doomed to failure, because energy produced by wind and sun does not work satisfactorily and is wildly too expensive. So it has long been obvious to the well-informed that this whole effort will inevitably go away at some point. But after the desperate cries of crisis and alarm from thousands of activists for decades on end, and after the trillions of dollars government funds invested, how could that possibly occur?
My prediction has long been that at some point the whole thing would just quietly fade away, as if it had never happened. It would become like dozens of other (admittedly less pervasive) environmental scares of my lifetime, from acid rain to gypsy moths to alar to bee colony collapse and many more. One day there would just be no more news stories about these things, and they would pass from public attention. Despite the much larger effort behind the climate scare, there is no reason that the same thing could not happen. Nobody who had promoted the scare would ever admit they were wrong. Those people would just move on to the next cause without mentioning that this one had been forgotten.
Frankly, with regard to the global warming scare, I thought that this would have occurred well before now. However, somehow trillions of dollars of government funding can have a magical effect of motivating those feasting on the bounty to keep the scare going.
But very recently, something significant seems to be changing. It’s not only that Donald Trump just decisively won the presidency on a promise of “drill, baby, drill”; or that Kamala Harris, to try to win the swing states, decided to back off her prior promises to ban fracking and internal combustion cars. As an example that something bigger may be going on, how about this: Do you even know that one of the big annual UN climate conferences just got under way in Baku, Azerbaijan?
These annual UN conferences have been big news for almost as long as I can remember. They started back in 1992 following the UN’s so-called Framework Convention on Climate Change; and they have occurred almost every year since, going by the name of “Conferences of Parties,” or “COP.” COP 21, held in Paris in 2015, was the meeting when the Paris Climate Agreement was signed, supposedly committing all the nations of the world to emissions reductions and energy transformations. Lots of big names showed up, including then U.S. President Barack Obama. The world press reacted with glee. There were hundreds upon hundreds of stories. Six years later, after a year off for the pandemic, it was COP 26, held in Glasgow, Scotland. The UK chaired the conference, and wowed the world with enhanced pledges of emissions reductions. No fewer than 120 heads of state attended, just a few highlights being UN secretary-general António Guterres, United States president Joe Biden, Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau, Dutch prime minister Mark Rutte, Egyptian president Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen, French president Emmanuel Macron, German chancellor Angela Merkel, Spanish prime minister Pedro Sánchez, Indian prime minister Narendra Modi, Indonesian president Joko Widodo, Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennett, Japanese prime minister Fumio Kishida, Nigerian president Muhammadu Buhari, Polish prime minister Mateusz Morawiecki, and Swedish prime minister Stefan Löfven. Again, the zone got flooded with press coverage.
By contrast, this year’s conference is passing largely under the radar. This year’s event goes by the name COP 29, now being held for the second year running in a petro-state (last year it was in Qatar). It would be an understatement to say that this conference has been totally overshadowed by the U.S. election. At the New York Times, one of their climate activist reporters, David Wallace-Wells bemoans the new situation in an article yesterday with the headline “Climate Change Is Losing Its Grip on Our Politics.” Excerpt:
[Donald Trump’s] election is . . . a confirmation of an international turn in the politics of warming as much as it is a sharp or distinctly American break. Yes, a global renewables boom is well underway, with worldwide investment in clean energy reaching $2 trillion this year and total solar capacity doubling since 2022. But the climate logic of that transition increasingly goes unspoken in all but the most committed corners, replaced by chin-scratching about energy politics. Governments have retreated from even their legally binding promises to decarbonize, trusting markets to deliver comparatively meager emissions reductions instead, and activists have been unable to generate meaningful public outrage at the walkback.
It’s almost as if nobody cares any more. This is most notable in Wallace-Wells’s list of who failed to show up — in summary, everybody important:
When the COP29 climate conference comes to an end next week, it will have concluded without an appearance by President Biden. . . . The president-elect isn’t attending, either. Neither is Vice President Kamala Harris. . . . Hardly any of the world’s most powerful leaders will be making an appearance in Baku, Azerbaijan . . . . President Xi Jinping of China won’t be there, and neither will Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission. President Emmanuel Macron of France, . . . is skipping the conference, too. Also missing will be Lula da Silva, who is the leader not just of Brazil but also of the Group of 20. As recently as the Glasgow summit in 2021, the annual climate confab was a who’s who of global power politics. These days, it’s more about who’s missing.
A separate New York Times article here notes that over 50,000 people will be attending this year’s conference, including participants, observers and media. That is a lot, but well down from around 70,000 last year. And what will they all be doing? It seems that the main point of the meeting is the attempt to reach a new “climate finance agreement “ — otherwise known as the effort by the governing cliques in developing countries to shake down the rich countries for sums in excess of $100 billion per year, using the cover of “climate” to fill their Swiss bank accounts. From Reuters, yesterday:
The main task for nearly 200 countries at the U.N.’s COP29 climate summit is to broker a deal that ensures up to trillions of dollars in financing for climate projects worldwide. . . . Wealthy countries pledged in 2009 to contribute $100 billion a year to help developing nations cope with the costs of a transition to clean energy and adapting to the conditions of a warming world. . . . Those payments began in 2020 but were only fully met in 2022. The $100 billion pledge expires this year. Countries are negotiating a higher target for payments starting next year. . . .
Yes, outgoing President Biden fell for this scam and sent off billions of dollars of U.S. taxpayer funds. Put this at the top of President Trump’s agenda: zero this one out. Once it becomes clear that the U.S. isn’t going along any more, maybe we can even save the annual expense of sending thousands of people off to these remote corners of the world.
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Unfortunately, yes. I think that “Al” as a nickname better represents “Charlatan” than it does “Albert.”
Maybe, just maybe,we can close the book on Maurice Strong’s wild fantasy of controlling the climate and wealth redistribution. It cannot come too soon.
The author reports, “over 50,000 people will be attending this year’s conference, including participants, observers and media. That is a lot, but well down from around 70,000 last year”. Can we project dropping to 35,000 next year and no COP in 2034? Am I dreaming? There should be a few SMR’s operating in 2034 providing a demonstrated alternative low carbon alternative….
SMR stands for exactly what?
Small Modular Reactors.
“As of 2024, only China and Russia have successfully built operational SMRs”
If there’s one company I’ll trust to build safe, reliable SMRs, it’s Rolls Royce. I trust them to keep me in the air when necessary, as do millions of people daily.
I hear you, I always like looking out the airplane window and seeing their corporate insignia on a jet engine. UK should be incentivizing Rolls-Royce to speed up their SMR project instead of destroying their economy subsidizing offshore wind.
Well Canada’s NORAD defence plan commits SMRs for their Arctic Circle installations.
(maybe they’re already conceding that Russia and China will be in control of the Arctic Circle installations?)
NuScale, Portland, OR, (NYSE:SMR) has ordered long lead time components
Estimated time of delivery: within the next 20 years, or “just around the corner”.
/sarc
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Eventually those people will drop dead.
Wishful thinking, I’m afraid.
If Climate Alarmism grants immortality then maybe they have a case.
Not when they travel in electric planes.
There will be a public revolt in any country that tries to raise taxes or use existing tax revenue to compensate developing world’s demands for “damage” done to their well-being from fossil fuel use. For starters, they’re using this form of energy themselves and who knows exactly where these funds would be going considering the records of bad governance and corruption in those countries. And with consumers bitter about rising living costs, the last thing they need is see good money follow bad, especially when international polls continue to show climate action to be of low priority worldwide .It’s time to bury the climate change exaggeration once and for all and concentrate on initiatives that have a likelihood of succeeding.
Beware of lucky billionaires finding Gaia in their dotage-
‘The world is watching’: Forrest backs treaty for fossil fuel phase-out
What! The coal to make steel in China with the money I dig up? Nothing to do with me.
And FMG shares keep dropping.. I wonder why !!!
APEC Peru 2024 is hosting Biden and Xi right now. Both consider that more important than COP29 given Trump’s comments on tariffs.
The transfer of wealth by the elite from the poor in rich countries to the rich in poor countries.
Proof that COP meetings increase atmospheric CO2 and cause global warming:
cop-curve-1995-to-2021-web.jpg (1134×762)
It’s a cop-out and the question is not where will the next one be, but will there be another one.A little bird tells me that we may have seen the last one, or else the one but last one. In any case, 30 years for an artificial scare is about the right time.
“who failed to show up — in summary, everybody important:“
Take that, Mr Starmer.
Those 50,000 freeriders are sadly relatively influential. They will not allow their gravy train to be derailed without a fight.
All you have to do is look out your window and you can see that despite forty years of scare stories, global warming simply isn’t happening. It is 43 degrees F this morning in Chicago. According to the National Weather Service the average temperature range for November 18th in Chicago is 33.1 to 47.1. So, we are just where we should be. Yeah, I know Chicago ain’t the whole world and that somewhere somehow the oceans are boiling, and the coral reefs are turning white, and the polar bears are being polar bears. But it is 43 degrees this morning where I live. So, could we please just move on already to the next global scare?
From the above article:
“When the COP29 climate conference comes to an end next week, it will have concluded without an appearance by President Biden. . . . The president-elect isn’t attending, either. Neither is Vice President Kamala Harris. . . . blah, blah blah“
Couldn’t all those missing politicians just be replaced by AI bots . . . or is that such bots don’t handout free money?
There are only two measures to judge the success or failure of wind, solar and EVs. How much has the concentration of CO2 gone down and how much has the average global temperature gone down? Everybody and I mean everybody knows that CO2 concentration has continued to climb. Everybody and I mean everybody knows that the average global temperature has continued to climb. The whole notion is complete nonsense, we need to stop this madness today.
Please do not celebrate yet. We have not dodged a bullet. The planet has spent over 10 $trillion and received not even hot air in return. The spending is growing still. When spending declines for IREs and rises for base power, then we will have made the turn.
But, not yet.
IREs make just electricity, intermittently and insufficiently. The planet faces, in the coming decades, the replacement of liquid hydrocarbons. H2 or NH3 are not the replacement. To accept the fantasy that they are is as much a scam as IREs are now shown and known to be.
“It’s All About the Benjamins”