Essay by Eric Worrall
Apparently you soft Brits have become so used to mild global warming weather, an almost normal Summer felt freezing cold.
Average months now feel cold thanks to climate change
Published: July 3, 2024 9.20pm AEST
Matthew Patterson
Postdoctoral Researcher, Atmospheric Physics, University of ReadingPeople in the UK love discussing the weather. For the first two weeks of June 2024, the cold, dull conditions were all they could talk about. Major news outlets like the BBC, the Guardian, Daily Mail and Daily Telegraph all carried stories on this theme.
The colder start to June was driven by winds from the north, bringing cool polar air down towards the UK. However, in the second half of the month, a high-pressure system took over and temperatures picked up, reaching 30.3°C on Wednesday 26.
In reality, June 2024 temperatures were pretty typical, about 0.4°C below the long-term average. The month was drier than usual and sunshine hours were slightly above average for the UK as a whole, though significantly below average in parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland.
…
The hottest five days in the UK since 1910, have all occurred in the past five years.
Such a rapid rate of warming means we have come to normalise extreme heat, while relatively cold or even average conditions feel unusual and thus newsworthy.
…
Public normalisation of hotter temperatures may also affect our perception of climate change and thus our willingness to act on it. Ecologists describe a phenomenon called “shifting baseline syndrome”, which is the idea that as the environment degrades, each new generation accepts the degraded situation they experience as normal. This also applies to climate change, as people forget or have no experience of the climate in the not-too-distant past.
…
Read more: https://theconversation.com/average-months-now-feel-cold-thanks-to-climate-change-233812
Obviously it would be a calamity for Britons to get used to Tomatoes reliably ripening in Summer, and swimming pools being warm enough to use, because they might demand more of the same. Imagine if you could visit a British beach and be confident of actually swimming in the water, I mean for longer than 5 minutes?
Clearly it is time to shut down the British economy and put an end to this subversive warmth, it is time to restore proper British Junuaries. Otherwise Britons might all end up like Australians, drinking beer in the sun and calling relatives who live in cold places to tell them how nice the weather is.
Think of the children!
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
Well into winter down here in the mid Hunter Valley.
First day in several without rain… thank goodness.
Reached around 16ºC maximum, with an overnight low of about 8ºC.
BBQ’d some sausages for lunch, with a glass of Hunter red.
Doing it tough ! 😉
red thumb is jealous ??
Here in north of England highs of 15C, lows of 9C and strong winds. This is our summer!!
That is what I was trying to point out.
I wonder which climate people really prefer. 😉
I presume the heading should refer to June 2024?
Junuary, Nick. It’s a play on how cold it felt in the UK June/January
Get it now?
No
A June that feels like January. Verstehen?
I believe it was actually warmer in January than the begining of June. Later June was pleasantly warm.
Why am I not surprised !!
Another “Mr 10%” moment from Nick !!
Getting all too frequent.
Seriously Nick. 5 minutes on the internet would have provided an explanation.
Well, Eric, I just missed the vowel switch. I suppose the SH equivalent would be Jane.
You’re getting there, Nick. Keep trying.
, Nick. Keep trying.
No no, Nick’s trying enough !!
For a PHD holder you sure get helpless a lot.
Nick, you need to get out more, old mate.
Junuary is also commonly used in North America to describe cold spells in June.
Happens most years.
Frustrates our tomato plans.
I’ve lost any respect for you Stokes if you are so dim as to not see that Junuary was a pun. You really must suffer from some sort of tunnel vision or cognitive dissionance.
=====
More depressing is that the UK has just voted for new government determined on even more fanatical Net Zero.
OK, my eyesight missed the u.
Come off it… no wonder you need all the pretty coloured crayons. !
Tell us Nick, do you have a wife that says things like …
” good on you…you answered all the questions”
Yeah, Jill was praising Joe after the debate, like he was in Kindergarten. And Joe grinned like a happy child at the praise.
I think Joe is on shaky ground now. Joe is determined to stay in the race, but his fellow Democrats are losing faith in him fast.
They lost that long ago. They just now realized that everyone else found out too.
Yes, they were hoping to carry on the charade just a little longer.
It seems to be a Canadian / US joke dating back to the 19th century. Meaning an unusually warm January. Or alternatively a reference to the typical North Western Junes, being cold and wet.
https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/Junuary
“The hottest five days in the UK since 1910, have all occurred in the past five years.
Such a rapid rate of warming means …….. “
I really miss the spaz emoji
OK, so the next “n” thousand in order must have all occurred between 1910 and five years ago.
UK population (including Ireland) 1910: 45 million, UK population 2024 (excluding Rep. of Ireland): 68 million – might have something to do with it?
Yep, basically all surface measurements are affected by urban warming.
So it was just as hot in 1910. Nothing unprecedented going on, contrary to what the Climate Alarmists want us to believe.
There it is.
I guess it gets warm with or without human CO2.
I suppose our June feeling cold was also down to Climate Change too? Our warmest May on record was down to Climate Change and not dodgy data and poorly sited weather stations, I’ve yet to meet anyone apart from BBC employees who say “wasn’t May lovely and warm”
Amazingly this article doesn’t trumpet Climate change. Although I can’t remember as many days in June and July when there was snow falls on the high tops in Scotland which you’d have thought was ideal for Climate disaster headlines.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cv2g6jq95l8o
The Earth is still in a 2.5 million-year ice age named the Quaternary(Glaciation) with 90 percent of the fresh water locked up in glaciers and ice caps.
Cold kills around 10 times as many people as heat.
People outside of the Tropics still have to live and work in heated buildings and use heated transportation most of the year.
Imagine if you could visit a British beach and be confident of actually swimming in the water, I mean for longer than 5 minutes?
Not if you don’t want a really good mouthful of E Coli.
The E. coli panic is the Government’s way of discouraging holiday makers from discovering how cold it is – despite Climate Change.
Every morning when I turn on my laptop I’m told by Microsoft Start that it has been one of the coldest nights ever in my location in July. Where is that global warming hiding? It must be in the same location where the oceans are boiling.
Look, it’s bloody awful.
I’ve lived in THailand since 2005 but have been in the UK since early April. We’ve had the heating on int he house at some stage of the day every day since I arrived. April was cold. May was cold even although the Met Office claimed it was the warmest ever or some such nonsense. JUne was cold with snow on the mountains at times. July has been cold so far again with snow on the mountains In the 45 years I lived in Scotland until I left in 3005 I only remember snow in June once – in 1975 – and never in July.
June 5, 1950 – The Flying Scotsman train derails at Tollerton, Nottinghamshire due to heat-buckled track.
2 June 1975 – A cricket match in Buxton, Derbyshire. between Derbyshire and Lancashire, had to be postponed due to a freak snow storm.
It’s called “natural variability”
I got caught in 2″ of snow in June 1975 ??
Near Storey Arms, Brecon
Obviously much warming has occurred since then….
I was in Buxton on that day and had planned on going to see the match. Interestingly it got hot a week or so later, the start of a two year drought!
“Imagine if you could visit a British beach and be confident of actually swimming in the water, I mean for longer than 5 minutes?”
Imagine if you could visit a British beach
and be confident of actually swimming in any uncontaminated water !!
Instead, you will be swimming in the company of — used Tampons, Condoms, Baby Wipes, Human Turds, Sanatory Pads, plus a soup of unidentifiable chemicals with a garnish of E.coli.
In the UK; Only 16% of assessed surface waters & 14% of rivers achieve good ecological status.
One of the main advantages of Brexit is … we no longer get fined (£ millions/day) for dumping raw sewage into rivers & coastal waters, But we have doubled our discharges in the last 12 mths.
(remember Boris’s Brexit bus ‘ We send the EU £360 millions/week ‘ https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-42698981 )
https://ieep.uk/publications/sewage-discharges-interaction-between-uk-and-eu-law-continues-post-brexit/
So Britain is in the shit in more ways than one?
Surface water drains into the sewage system. Wet weather, sudden downpours, flooding supercharges the sewer systems. The treatment plants cannot cope with the volume so have to release it into rivers/sea.
The obvious solution is to separate the two.
EU regs, which we still have, adversely affected land drainage. Water courses with run-off into rivers, normally maintained by farmers had to be left so as not to disrupt eco-diversity, to encourage wetlands. Rivers normally dredged with the silt stacked up on the banks as flood protection stopped, because the silt was deemed ‘hazardous waste’ so had to carted away to special hazardous waste disposal sites. Local authorities cannot afford this.
The result is waterlogged land, overflowing rivers, more water going into the surface drainage system.
The water companies could build new infrastructure – but how easy is it to do anything that might disturb the wildlife or biodiversity these days. Then the £million fines for sewage discharge is £millions less to build infrastructure. The outgoing Tory Government just figured that out last week.
Well we certainly can’t have that. It’s a stiff upper lip and a frozen solid Thames for me, else we’ve lost our national identity!
Hanging on in quiet desperation IS the English way.
Postdoctoral Researcher, Atmospheric Physics, University of Reading
Reading is a Wannabee Potsdam Institute for alarmist rubbish.
Why would anyone want to emulate the “damn potty” !
It is always full of ***t
That’s where the funding is.
The Conversation does not believe in free speech.
Ironic.
The name should be changed from “The Conversation” to “The Chorus”.
The Conversation recently published an article about how to survive a British summer and the inevitable heat-death of the Home Counties, and the shires…..
I have had to put the heating on in this July.
My late Father bemoaned, annually, that Mam turned the heating off on the 31st. July and only turned it back on when it got to August 1st. This year I am fearing that history is going to repeat itself or is it hereditary?
Fine. It’s 14c feels like 11c in the strong winds today in East Sussex.
The randomness of UK weather has always got tongues wagging but the climate change outfit have been telling us about the signs of global heating for more than three decades when the data suits them. When the data doesn’t suit them then it is demanded we treat these moments of departure as blips.
My problem with the UK Meteorological Office is they have already proven many, many times that they cannot be trusted and it is going to take many, many apologies and admissions of guilt before I am happy they are telling something close to the truth again.
Weather is weather and English weather proves that over and over. 12C and some quite heavy rain at times where I am this morning.
local RAF/USAAF airfield reports 12C and mist ….
With occasional peaks of 30c for unexplained reasons.
‘Junuary‘?
The average temperature for January in the UK, based on the 1991-2020 period, is 3.9C. The average UK temperature in June 2024 was 12.9C.
That June temperature is fractionally below the 1991-2020 June average for the UK, which is 13.3C. The standard deviation from that June average is +/- 0.9C; so there was nothing at all unusual about average UK temperature in June 2024.
Let’s not lose sight of the bigger picture: as Roy Spencer of UAH recently reported here, June 2024 was by far the warmest June in the UAH record, both globally and for the Northern Hemisphere.
But let’s forget about that and concentrate instead on a near-average June in the UK, a tiny fraction of global surface area. That’s the WUWT way, after all!
By the way, a June average temperature of 12.9C would have been above average in the UK for each decade from the 1970s to the 1990s (12.4C, 12.6C and 12.8C for the 70s, 80s and 90s respectively), which rather makes Matthew Patterson’s point.
Do check this for yourselves.
So what !!
All you are showing is the natural variability..
… and no human causation except really corrupted temperature measurements.
You’re saying Roy Spencer is producing corrupted data?
UAH data shows no human causation, only El Nino event warming.
I thought even someone as DUMB as you would have realised that by now.
And why the absolutely juvenile switch from UK urban/airport temperatures to atmospheric temperatures.
… which are even not produced for such a tiny place as the UK.
You seriously have some mental issues. !
UAH is a proxy, it does not report real temperatures.
Make sure that you’re sitting down Einstein. Did you also know that if you walk up a hill you reach higher elevations? Quite a shocker, eh?
I’m not the one comparing a near-average UK June temperature to January, but there we are.
Oh dearie me.. you really have massive comprehension issues, don’t you petal !
Even bellcurveman was smart enough to figure out the pun, but not TFN.
It’s not a pun – it’s a portmanteau.
Strictly speaking, it should be described as a “portmanteau word“.
(‘portmanteau’ having several other meanings / uses)
Pun is of uncertain etymology, and has only one distinct meaning.
I love the spell of pedantry in the morning . . .
No. It’s a portmanteau.
You can add “word” to it if you want, but that’s redundant given we were discussing a word. I doubt if anyone is going to think Junanary is a suitcase.
Well, spelling the word correctly would be a good basis for your riposte (it’s Junuary not Junanary).
(which did however serve as a reminder to me that I need to buy a new canary cage.
I don’t actually have a canary, so ask me why I need a canary cage.)
The Earth is still in a cold interglacial period with 90% of the fresh water frozen in glaciers and ice caps.
Which part of the UK are you in?
A part that gives me access to the Met Offices UK-average values.
(Northern Ireland, if you must know.)
I’m sure they love having you blow their alarmist trumpet
I wouldn’t trust the MO. You clearly do.
Its 14C here and raining, according to the MO we’re roasting
Where is that?
England
If you are anywhere near Valentia, you won’t have noticed any warming in your whole juvenile and pathetic life time. !
+1.3C warming in NI over my lifetime.
That’ll be Sinn Fein
WOW, That’s a lot of warming in 10 years !!
And if measured at your local class 5 weather station.. LOL !!
Valentia temps
“Nurse, quick, get the crash cart and start emergency defibrillator resuscitation!!
Valentia Unadjusted is flat-lining!!”
Oh no. That’s where I live! Are you thinking of moving, by any chance?
OMG… you really are an ignorant little clown, aren’t you !!
And still worshipping the NATURAL warm spike from the El Nino.
——
“nothing at all unusual about average UK temperature in June 2024.
Or any other year !!!
Just normal English weather.
‘But let’s forget about that and concentrate instead on a near-average June in the UK, a tiny fraction of global surface area’.
Let’s concentrate on bankrupting Britain and jeopardising our electricity supply with crazy Net Zero schemes, when CO2 emissions from Britain are a tiny fraction of global emissions.
Big deal. That record begins when the hype was all about a returning ice age. We were hoping it would warm a bit.
The Earth is still in a long-term ice age with 200,000 glaciers and polar ice caps, in a warmer but still cold interglacial period that alternates with very cold glacial periods.
Temperatures according to whom, the outfit with thermometers accurate to within +/- 5C sited at airports and heat sources in built-up areas?
Averages don’t exist. Ever let the average man or woman?
Average temperatures are meaningless, particularly the ones ‘accurate’ to tenths and hundredths of a degree.
Warmest in a 2+ million year ice age isn’t saying very much. There are still 200,000 glaciers and polar ice caps.
Everybody outside of the Tropics still needs to have warm clothes for most of the year.
So many people today haven’t been alive long enough to experience the wide range of weather that occurs naturally and think any twist in the weather is unprecedented.
As others have stated above about June 1975, I can remember cows grazing grass where 2 inches of snow had fallen, this then followed by scorching hot summers in 1975 and 1976.
The summer drought in 1976 was followed by a wet Autumn and winter where farmers had problems sowing winter wheat.
IIRC the longest day in June 1975 was colder than the shortest day the previous December.
In 1983 spring it was so wet that farmers were unable to turn cattle out until June.
Yes, they say the climate may change, but in which direction and for how long at any one time?
I think more work needs to be done checking past weather records and making sure that current measuring equipment is used on Grade 1 sites.
Past weather data debunks the claims of unprecedented weather today, made by Climate Alarmists.
There is no unprecedented extreme weather or temperatures today. We’ve seen it all before. Weather History tells us so.
Here in the UK summer has not even started May CET mean temperature were 14.1 C
June was 14.0 C and July so far is 14.0 C
1846 it was 18.2 C and 1976 the warmest summer on record it was 17.0 C
14.1C for May is the second warmest May in CET and fully 3 standard deviations above the 1961-1990 May average. Very unusually warm.
At 14.0C June was fractionally cooler than average (14.1C) but well within the normal range for CET.
‘14.1C for May is the second warmest May in CET and fully 3 standard deviations above the 1961-1990 May average. Very unusually warm.’
So if people lived through a record-breaking May, why did the Greens only get 6% in the election?
“why did the Greens only get 6% in the election?”
Because 6% of the population is colour blind,
CET has unfortunately been badly affected by bad sites.
Nothing coming from the Met office is relevant to real temperatures.
It is nothing to do with human CO2…, far more to do with MEt Office incompetence.
Did you know that of 58 installed weather sites since 2000, only 9 are class 1 or 2.
Met Office Still Opening Junk Weather Stations | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT (wordpress.com)
How can you possibly get a reliable “whole-of-England” temperature using JUNK like that. !
The trouble is, the MET office use 1960 / 1990 as a standard, and not the usual modern standard, which is 1970/ 2000
This is because the 1960s decade was unusually cold in both summer and winter.
And it is interesting that the average mean temperature forJune
from 1659 to 2023 is 14.3 C which includes the mini ice age.
The MET office also fails to allow for Urban heat effect, which makes comparisons with historic temperatures meaningless.
The main thrust of the headline is correct.
It’s been almost 10 years since we had a normal miserable UK June, people have forgotten that sweltering hot is not normal, thus they do find it hard to believe June 2024 was almost average warm. And especially after June was little different to May, because May was so crazy warm.
May was so crazy warm in Britain, that absolutely everybody realised that official statistics about record high temperatures meant nothing.
From the article: “This also applies to climate change, as people forget or have no experience of the climate in the not-too-distant past.”
Those of us who have experienced the climate in the not-too-distant past know that the climate then and the climate now are indistinguishable. There have been no radical changes in the climate. It is doing just what it always does regardless of CO2 levels.
There are now climate deniers who are denying that June 2024 in Britain was cold.
My simpler explanation is that we British always like to complain about the weather, and have very short memories.
“University of Reading”.
That’s a red flag. There’s a handful of UK universities where you know what is coming next when you hear the name.