Reliable energy, human rights, land impacts, air and water pollution, lost wildlife get ignored
Paul Driessen
This election year, several critical issues dominate voter concerns. Illegal immigration across unsecured borders by migrants, criminals, sex traffickers and terrorists. Anti-police policies, reduced prosecution of criminals and rising crime. Unprecedented prices for food, clothing, housing and other necessities.
Parental roles in education and sex changes for children. Threats to our republic and democracy from unelected, unaccountable bureaucrats who use their powers to persecute, prosecute, silence and even imprison opponents, and control our lives.
Also crucial: control over energy – the lifeblood of our civilization, jobs, health and prosperity.
Will America shut down coal, gas and nuclear electricity generation before it has sufficient reliable replacements? Will we have electricity when we need it, or only when it’s available, especially after we’re forced to convert gasoline cars and gas stoves, furnaces and water heaters to electric models?
What will families pay for that electricity and everything we eat, drink, build and use? Where will we get plastics, paints, pharmaceuticals, and thousands of other products made from oil and gas they want to lock in the ground? What will happen to our jobs, health, living standards – and personal choices about where we live, what we eat, what car we can drive and how far, whether we can fly places for vacation?
We’re told a great energy and economic transformation is underway – and is essential to prevent a “climate crisis.” In reality, the crisis exists in computer models, headlines and politicized science, but not in actual temperature and weather records.
In reality, there is no energy transformation. In 2023, wind and solar power generated 2.7% of the world’s primary energy; 81.5% came from fossil fuels. Between 1965 and 2023, North America and Europe cut their fossil fuel consumption almost in half; but over the same period, the rest of the world consumed seven times more than those two regions reduced their use. Emissions went up even more, because China, India and other developing countries require minimal pollution controls on power plants and vehicles.
In reality, a transition to an all-electric economy with no fossil fuels means millions of acres of America’s wild, scenic and agricultural lands would be covered with wind turbines, solar panels, transmission lines, and warehouses filled with batteries that can spontaneously erupt in flames.
In reality, we don’t know whether there are enough accessible metal and mineral deposits on Planet Earth to extract all the raw materials required to manufacture the turbines, panels, batteries, transmission lines, electric vehicles, transformers and other equipment the energy transformation would require – just for the United States, much less for the entire world.
We don’t know how many billions of tons of rock would have to be mined, processed and disposed of; how many millions of acres would be impacted; how many millions of tons of toxic air and water pollution would be emitted; what human rights would be violated to get those metals and minerals.
One of the most basic and vital metals for the energy transformation is copper. Average worldwide ore concentrations (0.04%) mean miners would have to remove some 40,000,000 tons of overlying rock and extract, crush and process nearly 25,000,000 tons of ore to get 110,000 tons of copper – enough for just the first 30,000 megawatts of President Biden’s offshore wind plan.
Worse, mining is essentially banned in the United States – and the Biden Administration has vetoed world-class mines that could have met US needs for copper (and other metals) for decades to come. And the problem isn’t just President Biden or the Biden Administration. It’s governors like Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer, and countless activists and mostly Democrat politicians who support these policies.
Recent studies question whether mining companies can even produce enough copper just for the electric vehicles people are told they must buy – much less for wind and solar power; to say nothing of a full US (or global) energy transformation. Again, that’s just the copper.
A 2022 International Energy Agency report examines the need for essential metals and minerals in energy transitions. Onshore wind installations, the report says, require nine times more materials than combined-cycle gas generating plants, to produce the same amount of electricity. Offshore wind installations require fourteen times more. (These IEA numbers do not include materials for transmission lines or backup power for windless-sunless periods.)
The IEA says its projections are “highly dependent” on how quickly and stringently the world actually tries to reach zero greenhouse gas emissions in power generation and all energy uses; on which wind, solar, battery and other technologies dominate; and on whether countries also try to utilize low-carbon (natural gas) or no-carbon (batteries) equipment in mining, materials processing, manufacturing and transporting wind turbines, solar panels, batteries, vehicles and other technologies.
However, the IEA calculates, demand for aluminum, copper, cobalt, graphite, iron, nickel, lithium, rare earths, concrete and other “green” energy materials is expected to skyrocket by 5, 20, 40, 50 or more times current global requirements by 2040.
The Agency says numerous “challenges” to actually acquiring those materials include actually finding producible deposits, plus land use, water scarcity and pollution, air pollution, toxic mining waste management, corruption and bribery, worker and nearby resident health and safety, and child labor.
Meeting these challenges, the IEA says, will require “systematic approaches,” the “development of institutions and the rule of law,” “inclusive legal frameworks,” “responsible” and “robust” pollution and waste management frameworks, “sustainable practices,” “international coordination,” “capacity building and knowledge sharing,” greater “transparency” and, ultimately, “international minerals governance.”
These actions will all help foster “sustainable and responsible supply chains that contribute to a low-carbon economy” worldwide, the IEA assures us.
But will these wishful terms survive collisions with the real world? Developing nations view coal, oil and gas as their key to jobs, modernity and prosperity. China, Russia and their allies perceive the West’s fixation on climate change and green energy as opportunities to control US and EU supply chains, geo-political options and military-economic capabilities.
The biggest wind energy project in the USA will soon blanket 1,600 square miles (1.25 times Delaware) of New Mexico, to generate 3,500 MW about 30% of the year. The Palo Verde nuclear plant in Arizona generates 4,200 MW from 6 square miles almost 24/7/365.
A Bloomberg research team says the world will need at least $200 trillion to stop global warming by 2050. Others estimate $275 trillion!
How can we head this economy-and-environment-killing craziness off at the pass?
Wise decisions at the ballot box are essential, of course. But state and local governments should enact laws requiring that utilities explain how they will generate wind and solar replacement power on windless winter nights, before they shut down a single coal, gas or nuclear power plant – or get approval for a single wind or solar project. (Those are just a few of the actions they can take.)
They should also demand full details on where raw materials will come from, and at what dollar, human rights and environmental costs – to state and local communities … and our planet.
America’s jobs, health, living standards, and right to choose our homes, cars and food depend on it.
Paul Driessen is senior policy analyst for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (www.CFACT.org), and author of articles and books on environmental, climate and human rights issues.
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1. More rain is not a problem.
2. Warmer weather is not a problem.
3. More arable land is not a problem.
4. Longer growing seasons is not a problem.
5. CO2 greening of the earth is not a problem.
6. There isn’t any Climate Crisis.
“During each of the last four glacial advances, CO2’s concentration fell below 190 parts per million (ppm), less than 50 percent of our current concentration of 420 ppm. When glaciers began receding about 14,000 years ago – a blink in geological time – CO2 levels fell to 182 ppm, a concentration thought to be the lowest in Earth’s history.”
“Why is this alarming? Because below 150 ppm, most terrestrial plant life dies. Without plants, there are no animals.”
.
“In other words, the Earth came within 30 ppm in CO2’s atmospheric concentration of witnessing the extinction of most land-based plants and all higher terrestrial life-forms – nearly a true climate apocalypse. Before industrialization began adding CO2 to the atmosphere, there was no telling whether the critical 150-ppm threshold wouldn’t be reached during the next glacial period.”
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“Contrary to the mantra that today’s CO2 concentration is unprecedentedly high, our current geologic period, the Quaternary, has seen the lowest average levels of carbon dioxide since the end of the Pre-Cambrian Period more than 600 million years ago. The average CO2 concentration throughout Earth’s history was more than 2,600 ppm, nearly seven times current levels.”
https://pioga.org/just-the-facts-more-co2-is-good-less-is-bad
Harold the Organic Says:
There is little CO2 in the air. At the MLO in Hawaii, the concentration of CO2 is 427 ppm
by volume. This is only 0.839 grams of CO2 per cubic meter at STP.
At 21 deg. C and 70%, the concentration of water vapor is 17,780 ppm by volume. This
is about 14.7 grams of water vapor per cubic of air. The concentration of CO2 is about
397 ppm by volume. Water is about 98% of the greenhouse effect.
The claim by the IPCC that CO2 is the “cause” of the recent “global warming” is a lie!
You should add to the list: 7. Cold weather is always a problem.
Floods and heatwaves are never a problem?
About 4.6 million people die each year from cool weather compared with about 500,000 from warm weather. Humans don’t have fur to protect us against cool weather, that’s why we have to live and work in heated building, use heated transportation, and wear warm clothes most of the year outside of the Tropics.
When it is cool our blood vessels constrict to retain body heat. This raises our blood pressure leading to the increase in stroke and heart attacks. Floods are a very small proportion of deaths.
That’s not what he said.
Expecting state and local governments to get serious is a fool’s errand.
In Washington State there are now 400K signatures (I-2066) to stop the State from enacting a gas ban in buildings and homes. A lot of politicians need to be (voted) out of office before the goal of intermittent energy is kicked to the roadside.
Just had a 5 hour power outage. We have an electric stove. I wish we had a propane stove because breakfast with no way to cook sucks.
More slushfunding and Gummint picking winners amongst subsidy miners-
Manufacturing push to boost renewables sector (msn.com)
What could possibly go wrong?
Very nice. I believe there are agencies tasked with ensuring ample energy supplies for the US. They are not doing their job. Criminal charges should considered.
Wrong. The transition is well under way. The developed countries have dramatically reduced coal consumption while China, India and Indonesia have stepped up their game to manufacture the stuff the developed nations can no longer make.
Heavy industry is dependent on coal. Eliminate coal and heavy industry dies. China already produces 56% of the global steel production. The only place that can make wind turbines, solar panels and batteries economically is China.
Australia’s energy infrastructure development is now 100% dependent on Chinese manufacturing. UK is almost there as well. USA is just a few years behind due to Trump’s previous intervention.
I’m reading a bio of Alexander Hamilton who fought hard to initiate industrialization of America, believing it’s necessary for national power.
The West has switched from burning coal to burning money.
The restrictions to the essentials of life, i.e. warmth, food and shelter, has become so bad many people in the West have decided to stop having children.
The elected authorities that are making life impossible are to blame. They are shutting down via legal process the things people actually need to survive?
The laws which authorities have enacted themselves, not laws passed by public demand are deployed to block development of and close affordable reliable sustainable energy options.
The same legal processes are then used to force the adoption of life changes that are unwanted, unpopular, unnecessary, unaffordable and unhelpful to nature itself.
The only rational explanation (I am being generous) is there is a concerted policy being progressed to destroy the West’s political hegemony by destroying the West’s economic power base.
The additional positive side effect (as seen positive by the green political class anyway) is the ongoing decrease in the number of humans living on the planet.
There is no question, when energy becomes too restricted to be universally available millions of people across the world will either die or simply won’t be born in the first place.
We are witnessing a coordinated destruction of civilisation. I say this because without affordable abundant reliable energy, civilisation can not exist in the developed mechanised/integrated state we currently do.
The destruction of ‘modern society’ is being promoted by a class of high wealth power brokers, who imagine they will be above the chaos and revolution they are advocating creating and funding.
They could not be more delusional or more wrong if they tried.
Trouble is, the people who are concerned about the direction of the civilised world are retreating from starting families, while the people who exist in their marijuana-addled fugue state are pumping out bambinos like there’s no tomorrow.
And good old taxpayers are conscripted to pick up the pieces as usual.
Birth rates are dropping all over the world because most children survive now.
People are having fewer children because most children survive now.
Computer models and the computers used to run them are created, written and managed by human beings. The data for all the records humans keep are created, written and managed by human beings. All our earthly problems are perceived by human beings as real but are only real if we decide to make them real. The planet existed and thrived long before humanity invented sophistry in order to push damaging and intentionally self harming policy onto itself. The harm doers get their way but only for so long. There is always a comeuppance.
There are those who may seem wonderfully creative when it comes to discovering problems where there are none – e.g. gender – but throughout our history the charlatans, liars and cheats have eventually been found out. Perhaps we seem to have gotten too stupid for our own health just lately but history always has that moment when the penny finally drops and our ‘machines’ do what we designed them to do and that is to deliver and churn out the truth in ways that are clear to even the most bigoted of our species. .
The proverbial penny is about to drop yet again (always it seems just in time) and the gear shift may be hideously noisy but the gearbox will survive and so will we, a little the worse for wear, but repairable. There are no right or wrong ways – only ways – and we discover the ‘best’ way most often via very convoluted routes.
That makes sense. But we live in a strange world where people can chose their facts to weaponise their Truth.
Take a look at the Biden/Trump ‘debate. Only those people were shocked by Biden who usually saw none of that through msm short clips of the President. Everybody else knew already. Same w the climate but much worse. Bad weather sells and there never seems a moment of truth a la Biden exposure. But people feel it in their pocket. Green was supposed to make things cheaper but the opposite happened. Or a little pain to get to Green Utopia but little turned to big. And so on. You can spin this and people will eat garbage and pretend it is tasteful. Just like the Obama, Clinton, Pelosi et al push to support Biden in the face of a real decay. Some even go so far as to propose a corps is better then Trump. The likes of Sam Harris come to mind. That’s how bad it is.
Ultimately it is the battle between those who want freedom and those who chose bondage. Clearly the uber environmentalistst neo marxists want bondage and authoritarianism. Those on the state payroll want to retain their jobs. Those in private jobs know the score. There are only so many ‘rich’ people you can tax to pay f subsidies of poor return investment. Poor people usually don’t count. If you hit the middle classes you lose. At some point the Green Dream becomes a nightmare no matter how much ideology you throw at it.
Meanwhile in the UK Ed Miliband, as reported in the Telegraph:
Britain’s march of the wind turbines is about to resume. Ten years after the rural backlash that forced David Cameron’s government to cancel onshore wind developments, Ed Miliband is planning to do battle in the shires once again.
If, as expected, Labour wins the election and he becomes energy secretary, one of his first acts will be to rewrite the planning rules that have blocked wind farm developments in England.
“Our mission involves doubling onshore wind, trebling solar, quadrupling offshore wind and backing hydrogen CCS [carbon capture and storage], nuclear and other clean energy technologies,” he told a recent conference of wind farm developers.
“We need all of these technologies…That’s why we would get started in our first weeks in office by overturning the Conservative onshore wind ban in England.”
Attentive observers will have noted that the specific plans are to raise wind total to 90 GW, solar to around 50 GW. Hydrogen storage in salt caverns is being alluded to, though no-one knows where the hydrogen is to come from. Notice the complete absence of storage. or backup, whether batteries or gas.
Its a recipe for a nationwide blackout with cold start in one of the winters around 2030. Imagine the usual winter blocking high, maybe in early January. Wind will produce less than 10 GW, often a lot less, solar almost nothing, interconnect and nuclear and biomass no more than 20. Demand is going to be around 55-60 GW, so a shortfall of 30+ GW. This will go on for a week or more. Blackout.
Its going to take a couple of weeks to restart when the wind picks up, and there is no guarantee that there will not immediately be another blocking high. A national disaster. Unless they blink and install tons of gas, starting now.
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/04/uniquely_democrats_promise_to_make_the_masses_lives_worse_not_better.html
I read one of the articles there, “Biden hands out U-visas to illegals flown to Martha’s Vineyard as ‘crime victims’ of Ron DeSantis”
Now that ticks me off.
Obviously a crime to place illegals where there is most spare room, because everyone owns mansions. ! 😉
Just got over a 5 hour power outage in my town in north central Wokeachusetts. It SUCKED bigly. No storm- not sure what happened- probably insufficient maintenance of the grid- given that so much $$$ is going to “clean and green renewable energy” which isn’t.
Oh boy, this will be my day to be downvoted grandly!
Paul, I get it that your against the net zero craziness and expexsive unreliable power generation. So am I. But your rant about the horrors of mining/pollution and “non sustainability” are as over the top as the “Dark Side” rants on global warming oceans boiling and the like.
Ironically you, and a few others are using Dark Side sourced hype from anti-minining and and development NGOs. Yes, China and some third world countries have grievously neglected the environment, health and safety but even China has responded to the need for better practices, even to improve profitability and quality .
Moreover, even in 3rd world countries, far and away the bulk of metal production is by large modern international mining companies who are obligated use state of the art mining, processing, environmental and safety protocols. Did you know that the United Nations has adopted Canadian protocols for international mine development, and for most major minerals traded, there is a certification procedure and chain of custody document required to sell mineral and metal commodities to the West (where all the renubles nonsense is perpetrated). Typically, there are 35 to 40 permits required to open a mine.
I’ve managed feasibility studies, mining exploration and due diligence exercises for companies in Canada, Africa, EU, Brazil, USA and Chile. I’ve consulted on lithium processing in China and hold international patents in processing for lithium and rare earths. BTW copper, @0.04%Cu isn’t anywhere near economic. Low grade ores in the giant porphyry Cu deposits may be as low as about 4x your figure (cut-off grade) but the average grade of the giants (100 million MT to over 10 billion MT) is ~O.5% Cu.
Please do the basic research. You are misleading your readers. Go to the US Geological Survey at least. Sceptics shouldn’t take the easy way.