Congratulations To Germany On Achieving More Than 50% Of Its Electricity Production From “Renewables”!


Francis Menton

On the march to Net Zero carbon emissions from usage of energy, the key first step is to eliminate fossil fuels from the generation of electricity, replacing them with the magical “renewables.” Or so we are told. Once electricity generation is fossil fuel-free, then all energy use can be switched to electricity, without any of the evil emissions. Voilà — Net Zero!

But somehow, in the places that have tried to go this route with wind turbines and solar panels, the push to get more electricity generation from “renewables” has seemed to stall out at around 40 – 45%. (Some small countries with lots of hydropower get higher percentages by counting the hydropower as “renewable.”). Countries may build more and more solar panels and wind turbines, but somewhere in the 40s the percentage that those things contribute to electricity generation just doesn’t seem to budge very much any more.

And that’s why it’s so exciting that in the first half of 2023 Germany finally crashed through the 50% barrier, becoming the first significant country with little hydropower to achieve more than half of its electricity generation from “renewables.” With a simple internet search, you can find large numbers of news sources relaying the great news. For a few examples, here are Reuters, June 27 (Renewable share of German power use climbs to 52.3% in first half”); Fraunhofer, July 3 (German Net Power Generation in First Half of 2023: Record Renewable Energy Share of 57.7 Percent”); Clean Energy Wire, June 27 (Renewables covered more than half of German electricity consumption in first half of 2023”); and Solar Quarter, July 5 (Germany Achieves Record 57.7% Renewable Energy Share in Net Power Generation for First Half of 2023”). Why the exact percentages vary a little from article to article, I cannot explain; but they are all at least a little in excess of the key 50% figure.

So this is surely Germany continuing to lead the way to the green energy transition. Certainly, Germany has only accelerated its pursuit of the idea that the route to Net Zero is the building of more and yet more solar panels and wind turbines. A site called compiles data on additions to Germany’s wind and solar generation capacity just in the first half of 2023: Record Additions in Germany: 8,000 MW of New Wind And Solar Capacity in The First Half of 2023.”:

[S]olar energy in particular is booming in Germany. From January to June 2023 alone, around 465,000 new solar plants with 6,500 MW capacity . . . went into operation and produce electricity, more than ever before in a six-month period. . . . In the first six months of 2023, just under 350 new wind turbines with a capacity of around 1,750 MW went into operation. . . .

The addition of 8000 MW of generation capacity in just six months is a huge increment in a country where peak electricity usage is less than 85,000 MW (or 85 GW).

So are these large additions to capacity what has succeeded in pushing Germany over the 50% threshold? Unfortunately, if you read deep into the Reuters piece linked above, you will start to get a very different understanding. It turns out that Germany’s percentage of electricity from renewables increased not because the production of electricity from renewables increased, but rather because Germany’s economy is shrinking. After decades of effort and hundreds of billions of dollars of subsidies and greatly increased consumer electricity prices, the contribution of wind and solar energy in Germany’s economy remains almost insignificant.

Despite all its new solar and wind facilities, Germany’s production of electricity from those sources has lately been going down rather than up. Here is the story for the first half of 2023) (from the Reuters piece linked above:

Renewables, at 137.5 TWh, represented 51.7% of total output, up from 46.4% in first half 2022, even as green power production volumes decreased by 0.6%.

The 137.5 TWh of electricity that Germany’s “renewable” facilities produced in the first half of 2023 is a pitiful percentage of their supposed theoretical capacity. A chart at Clean Energy Wire here gives Germany’s generation capacity of solar, plus onshore and offshore wind as 130.8 GW as of 2022. (In a country with only about 85 GW of peak usage!). Add the new 8 GW of capacity added in the first half of 2023, and you would have 138.8 GW of wind and solar capacity, or 602.9 TWh hours of capacity (138.8 x 24 x 181) for the 181 days in January to June 2023. That would mean that the wind and solar facilities combined produced at a rate of only 22.8% of capacity over that period.

So if production of electricity from “renewables” actually decreased, how could the percentage of electricity production from the “renewables” have increased from 46.4% to 51.7% of the total? Easy — the production from all other sources (fossil fuels and nuclear) went down dramatically:

Conventional energy sources – nuclear, coal, natural gas and oil – provided 128.4 TWh of output, down from 160.0 TWh a year earlier.

They ran the conventional generators less because the demand for electricity was not there:

The fall in conventional production reflected the phase-out of nuclear energy by mid-April and operators cutting output to match weak demand.

The change from 160.0 TWh to 128.4 TWh from conventional sources would be a 19.75% decline. That’s rather enormous in one year. Now, how could it be that Germany is experiencing that kind of a huge decline in the demand for electricity? You might check out the big front page article from today’s Wall Street Journal, “Germany’s Shrinking Economy Sparks a Struggle for Solutions.” (different headline online). The world leader in the supposed “green energy transition” turns out also to be in the unique position of having an economy that is shrinking, and not by a little:

Germany will be the world’s only major economy to contract in 2023, with even sanctioned Russia experiencing growth, according to the International Monetary Fund.

The WSJ piece goes into a variety of factors that may be contributing to the shrinking economy. But self-inflicted high energy prices turn up again and again:

Energy costs are posing an existential challenge to sectors such as chemicals. . . . Energy prices in Europe have declined from last year’s peak as EU countries scrambled to replace Russian gas, but German industry still faces higher costs than competitors in the U.S. and Asia.

And meanwhile, with Germany’s massive investments in wind and solar electricity generation, are those sources actually making any major inroads in the overall market for primary energy in the country? Here is an extremely revealing chart, again from Clean Energy Wire, with data from 2022:

In the “renewables” category for all primary energy (not just electricity), we learn that they include “biomass” as a “renewable.” Probably, that’s mostly wood, used for heating homes, and hardly a zero carbon source. The amount of energy produced from the “biomass,” at 1,040 PJ and 8.8% of primary energy, far exceeds the combined total from wind and solar (713 PJ and 6.0% of primary energy).

The whole “more than 50% from renewables” mantra turns out only to apply to electricity (far less than half of primary energy usage). And rather than representing the advance of the mythical wind and solar, the whole thing is just an artifact of a shrinking economy, largely itself caused by the destructive build-out of the wind and solar facilities. They are destroying their economy, and have almost nothing to show for two decades and hundreds of billions of dollars invested in the useless wind and solar farms.

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James Snook
August 30, 2023 10:06 am

The wind industry is up to their neck in deep water – today’s news:

Denmark’s Orsted, the world’s largest offshore wind farm developer, has revealed it may see US impairments of 16bn Danish crowns (£1.84bn) due to supply chain problems, soaring interest rates and a lack of new tax credits.
Orsted’s share price tumbled 20 per cent to its lowest level in more than four years and is down almost 70% from its 2021 peak.

“The situation in US offshore wind is severe,” Chief Executive Mads Nipper told reporters on a conference call. The company’s Ocean Wind 1, Sunrise Wind, and Revolution Wind projects are adversely impacted by several supplier delays, which may trigger impairments of up to five billion crowns, the company said in a statement.

Orsted said the company’s discussions with “senior federal stakeholders” on obtaining more US tax credits for its offshore wind projects had not progressed as expected, which in turn could lead to impairments of another six billion crowns.

On top of this, the increase in long-dated interest rates in the United States affected both offshore as well as some onshore wind projects and will cause impairments of around 5 billion crowns, Orsted said.

Reply to  James Snook
August 30, 2023 10:14 am

Mads Nipper – crazy name, crazy guy!

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  Graemethecat
August 30, 2023 1:00 pm

sounds like pig Latin 🙂

Reply to  Graemethecat
August 31, 2023 1:49 am

Among others, Mads Nipper is part of World Economic Forum’s (WEF) Alliance of CEO Climate Leaders, he is Co-chair of the roundtable on hydrogen production under the European Clean Hydrogen Alliance, and he represents Ørsted in the First Movers Coalition, a public-private partnership initiated by the US State Department and WEF.

Reply to  James Snook
August 30, 2023 10:57 am

Yep, something rotten in the state of Denmark!

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  James Snook
August 30, 2023 1:00 pm

which supplier delays?

Reply to  James Snook
August 30, 2023 1:50 pm

“Lack of new tax credits”

The State of New Jersey was going to supply an additional $1 billion in STATE tax credits, on top of the equivalent of 50% of FEDERAL subsidies

That means, the entire wind system would not pay any STATE taxes for about 20-years.
without that “credit”/giveaway that system would flounder, i.e., not pay!

With all that, the electricity would be sold at 8.2 c/kWh, escalating at 2%/y for each of 20 years.

New Jersey folks will be without whales and thoroughly screwed again

Reply to  wilpost
August 31, 2023 5:49 am

I forgot to add,

By 2043, New Jersey folks will have a much higher national debt, and much higher electric rates that kill economic growth, as in Europe, and daily rolling blackouts, aka demand management, aka prohibitions on using electricity via their all-knowing smart meters, as in the UK and Germany, both becoming economic basket cases

Reply to  James Snook
August 30, 2023 1:53 pm
James Snook
Reply to  Thomas
August 31, 2023 12:08 am

The zealots just don’t want know.

Reply to  James Snook
August 30, 2023 2:18 pm

On top of this, the increase in long-dated interest rates in the United States affected both offshore as well as some onshore wind projects and will cause impairments of around 5 billion crowns

US interest rates are not going to drop anytime soon.
When you print too much money in order to to pay off your debt you have to increase interest rates in order to sell that debt to some other sucker.

The end result is always hyper-inflation and default.
Get ready for it.

Josh Scandlen
Reply to  James Snook
August 31, 2023 11:19 am

wait, the US is giving a DENMARK company tax credits? What the holy hell?

Bryan A
August 30, 2023 10:17 am

Wow 52-57.?%…all they need to do now is to take ALL their current Wind and Solar installations and Double them to claim 100%. Then, to eliminate Gas heating & cooking and Petrol transportation they will need to Redouble that figure. Then install GWs of Battery Back-up with an equal amount of solar capacity to keep them charged.
I would guesstimate that achieving that magic 52% figure is actually about 10% of the way to Nut Zero

Bill Toland
Reply to  Bryan A
August 30, 2023 11:54 am

The first 10% is the easiest. Every 10% after that is much harder and exponentially more expensive. And look how expensive the first 10% has been.

Reply to  Bryan A
August 30, 2023 5:46 pm

52% plus all the interconnectors from adjacent countries selling even more power
Actual German generation- all sources- is down roughly 10%

Im sure those French nuclear and polish coal plants are getting very good prices for what they send to Germany.
they will tell you Germany is sending power as well- thats what happens when you cant control the wind or the sunlight- different story for peak load power at much higher prices- the really important part

Poland is 80% thermal coal generation

Philip Mulholland
August 30, 2023 10:23 am

What Scholz told Macron about PutinVon: Philip Fabian 28.08.2023 – 19:26 Uhr

Because Scholz cannot be put through immediately, Macron jokes with his advisers: If that doesn’t work, the “turning point” and the rearmament of the Bundeswehr are probably not going well either …

Then the Chancellor answered: “Ah, hello Olaf, how are you? How was your discussion this morning?”

▶︎ It’s “not getting any better,” says Scholz. “Something depresses me more than the talks: he (Putin) doesn’t complain about all the sanctions. I don’t know if he did that in conversation with you. But he didn’t even mention the sanctions.”

Macron replied: “Not for me either.”

Reply to  Philip Mulholland
August 30, 2023 10:40 am

I never expected the sanctions to have an effect on Russia. Maybe a small effect on consumer goods as well as an effect on inflation. Russia is a huge country and can fend for itself. It’s military may be the laughing stock of the world but otherwise Russia doesn’t care about economic saber-rattling from the west.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  leowaj
August 30, 2023 1:57 pm

What’s the Ruble worth now?

Reply to  Tom Abbott
August 31, 2023 12:57 pm

Moving from Ruble to any other currency is crap right now. Within Russia, I don’t know what its purchasing power is, frankly.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  leowaj
September 1, 2023 4:35 am

Well, the Ruble is worth about one U.S. cent now. One, one-hundredth of a dollar.

The oligarchs in Russia are not too happy.

michael hart
Reply to  Philip Mulholland
August 30, 2023 10:54 am

Yes, I also read that elsewhere. I wouldn’t answer their phone calls either.
There is something wrong with the world when I can have more respect for Vladimir Putin than I can for any Western political incumbent.

Back on-topic, the quoted headline that really gets my goat is:
“Clean Energy Wire “Renewables covered more than half of German electricity consumption in first half of 2023”.

In fact, renewables “covered” precisely nothing. Other traditional energy sources covered when the unreliables were not available at any price.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  michael hart
August 30, 2023 2:01 pm

“There is something wrong with the world when I can have more respect for Vladimir Putin than I can for any Western political incumbent.”

Something’s wrong. It may be a way of thinking.

You equate any Western political incumbent with a mass murderer like Putin?

Respect for a Mass Murderer? Yes, something’s wrong here.

michael hart
Reply to  Tom Abbott
August 30, 2023 2:36 pm

You think George W Bush isn’t equally bad?
I know he is no longer an incumbent, but when I add up the totals he probably beats Putin. (Tony Blair was his loyal sidekick.)

When I am tempted to describe Biden as the worst president for a century for desiring, provoking, and profiting from this war, I remind myself that the body toll of Bush is worse.

Reply to  michael hart
August 30, 2023 3:19 pm

Not even close to being true.

Frank from NoVA
Reply to  michael hart
August 30, 2023 5:35 pm

Don’t forget Bill Clinton:

“We have heard that half a million [Iraqi] children have died. I mean, that is more children than died in Hiroshima,” Stahl said. “And, you know, is the price worth it?”

“I think that is a very hard choice,” Albright answered, “but the price, we think, the price is worth it.”

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Frank from NoVA
September 1, 2023 4:38 am

Isn’t this referring to sanction placed on Iraq because Saddam Insane would not comply with allowing the inspectors in? And isn’t it debatable that half a million children died because of this? I think so. Who has confirmed that half a million children died as a result?

Tom Abbott
Reply to  michael hart
August 31, 2023 3:37 am

“You think George W Bush isn’t equally bad?”

Not even close.

“I know he is no longer an incumbent, but when I add up the totals he probably beats Putin. (Tony Blair was his loyal sidekick.)”

So you are judging by body count? Not the reason for the body count?

“When I am tempted to describe Biden as the worst president for a century for desiring, provoking, and profiting from this war, I remind myself that the body toll of Bush is worse.”

Biden is without a doubt the worst president the United States has ever had.

Characterizing Biden as a warmonger demonstrates to me that you don’t have a clue about Biden. Biden is an appeaser, first and foremost, he runs from fights, he doesn’t initiate fights. He has been dragging his feet from the very beginning in the Ukraine war, hesitating to upgrade Ukrainian weapons, and giving Putin hope.

Biden ran away from South Vietnam and threw them to the wolves. Biden ran away from the Iraq war and allowed the Islamic Terror Army to wreak havoc on the Middle East, throwing the Iraqis and everyone else in the region to the wolves. Trump finally came along and wiped out the Islamic Terror Army in about two months time. Biden ran away from Afghanistan and threw 25 million innocent people to the wolves.

Biden is an appeaser, among many other bad qualities.

August 30, 2023 10:41 am

What I cannot understand is Germany putting in ANY solar. That far north there is nothing significant for half the year.

Reply to  Fran
August 30, 2023 10:48 am

Incentives to do the inefficient or wrong thing can be very powerful on the weak minded.

Bill Toland
Reply to  Fran
August 30, 2023 11:40 am

There are solar farms in Scotland. They were built with gigantic subsidies. If you subsidise something enough, it will be built, no matter how stupid it is to build it.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  Bill Toland
August 30, 2023 1:04 pm

like the pyramids which didn’t do much for the standard of living of the natives

Reply to  Bill Toland
August 30, 2023 9:43 pm

There are solar farms in Scotland. They were built with gigantic subsidies.

And. along with wind turbines, helped in the destruction of millions of trees

Ben Vorlich
Reply to  Redge
August 31, 2023 1:53 am

And moving endangered Red Squirrels

Solar farm plan may evict red squirrels.
If built, the Kinnon Park solar farm would be the UK’s fifth-largest
Sorry link is pay walled and I can’t find another.

Bill Toland
Reply to  Bill Toland
August 31, 2023 12:17 am

There was a green energy subsidy scheme in Northern Ireland where the subsidies were actually greater than the cost of the fuel. So people were incentivised to burn more fuel to make more money.

Bill Toland
Reply to  Bill Toland
August 31, 2023 12:43 am

One of the insane results of the subsidy scheme is that the green subsidy contracts last for 20 years. So these subsidies will continue to be paid until 2035.

Reply to  Bill Toland
August 31, 2023 8:08 am

Correct – subsidies based on deceit are indeed fraud

Reply to  Fran
August 31, 2023 8:07 am

It’s about money, not energy, that’s the only interest in solar to power a nation so far north
The UK lies roughly at the same latitude as the Churchill polar bears and a quick reference to gridwatch solar generation clearly shows why polar bears don’t get sun burnt and the UK very little solar power

August 30, 2023 10:45 am

It’s too bad they can’t do a better job channeling their problems directly onto the Greens where it belongs.

August 30, 2023 10:46 am

Dead people have no problem dieting.

August 30, 2023 10:55 am

Yes, yes, but, be fair, some people made an awful lot of money.

August 30, 2023 11:40 am

sure biomass is renewable….if you use it VERY slowly.

Reply to  heme212
August 30, 2023 1:08 pm

Isn’t that coal?

Reply to  heme212
August 31, 2023 8:10 am

Coal is biomass – we should be using it to generate electricity

August 30, 2023 11:41 am

story tip (alarmists admit polar bears not good for fearmongering):

Some choice quotations:

Long term declines have already been recorded in three of the 19 polar bear subpopulations found across the Arctic”
i.e. 16 of 19 (84%) of the populations are growing or stable.

“It’s easier to tell the public simple stories: the sea ice is melting so polar bears are doing worse. But biology and ecology are very complicated”
i.e. nature isn’t cooperating with our simple alarmist narrative. We admit the narrative is dumbed down to useless levels to help with fearmongering.

“Despite [the] dramatic change in conditions [due to climate change], however, the polar bear population on Svalbard has yet to experience a decline…I have to say that I’m a bit surprised that polar bears do so well in Svalbard because the changes have been so big. They have three to four months’ less sea ice now than three decades ago on average, which is a lot.”
i.e. our doomsday predictions failed again. Quick, get back to talking about drowning penguins babies.

“[It] creates a lot of confusion working with Inuit hunters in Canada who say they’re seeing lots of bears. I say, ‘Yes, because you live in an area where there are lots of bears’.”
i.e. There are lots of polar bears and they are doing fine.

“A lot of the hunters that I know think that polar bears will do OK with climate change and it has created some interesting tensions.”
i.e. The Inuit, who have lived there for thousands of years, know a lot more about polar bears than us ‘climate scientists’. Thank goodness no one lives in Antarctica so we can’t get fact-checked on our emperor penguin doomsday stories.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Tommy2b
August 30, 2023 2:05 pm

The Climate Doomsters are limited in the dire climate change memes they can use, so they won’t give up the Polar Bear gambit.

August 30, 2023 11:52 am

I think that in order for them to show even more success all nuclear and fossil fuel energy including gasoline and diesel should be banned and made illegal. I for one am cheering them on.

August 30, 2023 12:20 pm

All their solar panels come from China and so does the bulk of their windmills. All the gearbox manufacturers have either gone bust or are in the process of shutting down. The last blade plant has closed. I hear that the Siemens Gamesa plant is piled up with boxes of components from China.

August 30, 2023 12:29 pm

China will be cheering on the energy transition, pushing them to increase the renewable portion to 100% as quickly as possible.

They’ll be happy to supply all the solar panels and wind turbines they need.

They’ll also be happy to help German business move their industrial manufacturing to China where low cost fossil energy from domestic coal and natural gas from Russia will help keep those companies price competitive.

In fact, they’ll have Chinese scientists help make improvements to the process and it a few years time they’ll let the German companies license back their own technologies with Chinese improvements if they want to keep their new manufacturing plants running.

B Zipperer
Reply to  Sean2828
August 30, 2023 5:29 pm

Was it Nikita Khrushchev who said something like “capitalists will sell us the rope with which we will hang them”. ?
China is laughing all the way to the bank with the West buying renewable energy equipment that in actuality will beggar our economy and destroy our society.

Reply to  B Zipperer
August 31, 2023 1:10 pm

I think it was Lenin. But it’s not capitalists who are selling the rope. It is our own home-grown socialists. We turned our schools over to socialists, and we ignored it. Now we are reaping whirlwind.

Reply to  Sean2828
August 31, 2023 8:11 am

The landfill sector also does pretty well from renewables

August 30, 2023 12:30 pm

Do the Germans even know that their precious solar panels come from components made in forced labor camps with guard towers powered by coal plants? Or do they look the other way as in other forced labor operations and camps from the past?

Tom Abbott
Reply to  ResourceGuy
August 30, 2023 2:06 pm

Obviously, they know. Obviously, they don’t care.

Reply to  ResourceGuy
August 31, 2023 1:58 am

from components made in forced labor camps with guard towers 
Touchy subject in Germany. They are not without their own experience of such practices.

August 30, 2023 12:31 pm

What should concern wind & solar acolytes is that all the low hanging fruit ideal sites for wind & solar have been used up in getting to 50%.

Where are the next sites coming from for the remaining 50%?

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Mr.
August 30, 2023 2:07 pm

I don’t think wind & solar acolytes think that far in the future.

Richard Page
Reply to  Tom Abbott
August 30, 2023 5:11 pm

I don’t think wind & solar acolytes think.

Reply to  Mr.
August 31, 2023 8:12 am

When Joe blots out the Sun to cool the earth, solar shares will tank!

Dennis Gerald Sandberg
August 30, 2023 12:52 pm

The author reports:

Renewables, at 137.5 TWh, represented 51.7% of total output, up from 46.4% in first half 2022, even as green power production volumes decreased by 0.6%.

Germany will be the world’s only major economy to contract in 2023, with even sanctioned Russia experiencing growth, according to the International Monetary Fund.

What is it we always say, correlation isn’t causation? hmmm, maybe this time?

Joseph Zorzin
August 30, 2023 12:59 pm

50% for how long? The entire year so far? For 10 minutes? For a week?

Rud Istvan
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
August 30, 2023 1:24 pm

As I read the post, for the first half of this year.

Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
August 31, 2023 8:16 am

when you make electricity with wind & solar that is so expensive that consumers use it in ever decreasing quantities, then it’s easy to supply 50% at some point
Telling consumers they must use more for heat pumps & battery cars, just takes vehicles off the road and increases cold related deaths – a win/win for the globalists

August 30, 2023 1:06 pm

Basically the climate cult, WEF, CCP, Putin (but I repeat myself) plan is working in Germany.

AGW is Not Science
August 30, 2023 1:37 pm

“Production.” Now THERE’S a nice squishy concept. How much was “produced” WHEN ACTUALLY NEEDED vs. was “exported,” at fire sale prices or even given away or PAID to get rid of, because it was “produced” when not needed (since it is “produced” ONLY “at the whim of the weather, and for solar, the time of day)? Exception for “biomass,” of course, but that’s not “sustainable” at industrial scale for very long unless you want your landscape to look like Haiti.

The elephant in the room is how much of the electricity ACTUALLY USED BY GERMANY was “produced” by “renewables” – and how much OF THAT was “produced” by wind and solar?!

Guaranteed, not the “more than 50%” (for six months in a collapsing economy) they’re crowing about.

B Zipperer
Reply to  AGW is Not Science
August 30, 2023 5:33 pm

And how much of the renwables were produced in other countries and sent to Germany via their interconnections?

Tom Abbott
August 30, 2023 1:53 pm

From the article: “It turns out that Germany’s percentage of electricity from renewables increased not because the production of electricity from renewables increased, but rather because Germany’s economy is shrinking.”

Germany is being called the “Sick Man of Europe” now. It didn’t have to happen. It’s all because of very stupid people who think they know what they are doing, but really don’t know what they are doing.

I read where VW is expanding a manufacturing plant in South Carolina. That’s what happens when stupid people run Germany into the ground over an unwarranted fear of CO2.

Reply to  Tom Abbott
August 31, 2023 8:18 am

Correct – if you cut demand by 70% because you make electricity so intermittent & expensive, then supplying 50% by weather dependent renewables is no great achievement, but it makes good spin

August 30, 2023 2:12 pm

Do the Germans even know that their precious solar panels come from components made in forced labor camps powered by coal plants? Or do they look the other way as in other forced labor operations and camps from the past?

Reply to  ResourceGuy
August 31, 2023 8:19 am

No, no and yes

Danley Wolfe
August 30, 2023 2:19 pm

I saw this on Francis Menton’s Manhattan Contrarian website; Redundant. Too much reposting…. how about focus on posting new original work and occasionally post a page of forwarded links. Or maybe warn readers of redundant reposting. At this point many readers are also readers of Francis Menton’s website .. it is pretty outstanding IMO.

August 30, 2023 2:54 pm

Germany has struck gold with its Energiewende but China of course. The carbon reduction in Germany is more than offset by the carbon increase in China as German industry moves to China. The price of that is giving up their intellectual proper[ty and know how that has taken a century or so. to develop.

Screen Shot 2023-08-30 at 8.11.35 am.png
August 30, 2023 3:29 pm

The addition of 8000 MW of generation capacity in just six months 

even as green power production volumes decreased by 0.6%.

Production going down as capacity goes up?
What’s happening? Is Germany seeing a drop in winds, an increase in clouds, or perhaps the efficiency of the installed base is going down as the installed base gets older?

4 Eyes
August 30, 2023 3:44 pm

Brilliant piece. Bookmarked, saved and printed. It is obvious that an awful lot of people don’t understand the simple fact that power and energy are not the same thing, that one is the integral /derivative of the other wrt time. Anyone who doesn’t understand this simple fundamental, mathematical, engineering fact should be excluded from any discussion or decision making about the provision of electricity to grids. Would anyone let a dentist do brain surgery on them? Yet society is letting totally unqualified people discuss and decide what the electricity generation makeup will be. My federal politician here in South Australia (yes, the state that matches Germany) says he enjoys reading my letters to him on this sort of thing, but he has never included a single number (MWh, MW, $, degC) in his vacuous responses. Utterly, utterly clueless and yet he supports Blackout Bowen 100% in the country destroying pursuit of net zero. What makes it worse and really scary, is that he doesn’t want to know anything. He and his colleagues and the majority of the conservatives think engineering is easy.

Reply to  4 Eyes
August 31, 2023 8:22 am

To politicians and other benefitting parties, it’s about easy self serve money, not reliable, affordable energy provision – that’s where you need to start from

August 30, 2023 5:26 pm

Energiewende did exactly what it was designed to do. The USSR’s KGB conducted an extensive campaign supporting antinuclearism among a host of German political parties and environmental groups. The purpose was to create a guaranteed market for Russian oil and gas, as the USSR produced nohting for export that any other nation wanted.In the absence of that oil and gas, Germany’s economy would be crippled.

Yuri Andropov’s program worked. It’s why he was promoted to succeed Brezhnev in 1982. They went after West Germany, because they accurately perceived it to be the weak link in the NATO alliance, as they knew that the Warsaw Pact would face a rapid defeat in the event of a war.

Reply to  cgh
August 30, 2023 5:50 pm

And the US , did the KGB also prevent the new nuclear plants from building ?

Yet France with a middling Communist party – more so than Germany where its tiny- has maintained its nuclear first philosophy

Your claims dont really add up with all the facts

August 30, 2023 7:44 pm
August 30, 2023 11:10 pm

German economy suffer!
Electric bill is skyrocketing.
To no surprise Electrical cars are not popular in Germany .

Iain Reid
August 30, 2023 11:30 pm

Percentages are a poor way to judge generation performance, actual figures give a more accurate picture.

The article does mention demand and as demand drops so does dispatchable generation, the type that keeps the grid in load supply balance (Normally fossil fuelled). So, assuming a steady output from renewables (I know it doesn’t happen but this is to illustrate the point.) between week day and week end, renewables’ percentage goes up without any increase in actual output.

The other lesser known question is how much dispatchable capacity is running at very low level, uneconomically, to provide essential inertia and reactive power control that renewables do not provide so as to keep the grid stable? I don’t know the answer but suspect it is a very high figure; some one must know?

Reply to  Iain Reid
August 31, 2023 12:38 am

Good point . The fossil fuel does the low output grid stability work which is expensive to have on call and then gets blamed for being too expensive.

August 31, 2023 2:22 am

Story tip. Victoria and S. Australia May struggle through summer to get enough power after demolishing coal plants.

John XB
August 31, 2023 7:14 am

Experiment: remove 50% of non-renewable generation and shut it down. Then see how Germany does with 50% non-renewable and 50% the magic stuff.

The end point is deindustrialisation, therefore the aim is not to replace fossil fuels with renewables, it is to replace them with nothing.

Some people still have not figured this out.

Start with the absence of any scaling up of copper ore mining to meet the demand for copper to make copper wire to build all the grid infrastructure, power generation, BEVs, charging points, electric replacement gas heaters/cookers – Worldwide by 2050. Do we see that? No.

They are just not putting in place anything that is required to be ready for Net Zero. Their efforts are entirely concerned with replacing efficient, reliable energy output with inefficient, unreliable energy output, forcing us to use less and less.

August 31, 2023 8:00 am

50% of electricity for only 2% of the sample time, is not a good statistic, or energy policy

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