By P Gosselin
German meteorologist Kau Zorn says plants in Germany have enough water, drought charts designed to produce artificial panic”…heavy rains and cool weather forecast for Central Europe the next 10 days.
By early summer this year, much of the the German media and authorities were outright giddy about a summer of extreme heat waves and drought, as forecast by the NOAA. And indeed June and the first 20 days of July came in much warmer and drier than normal, and the talk of a climate crisis ramped up even more. Everywhere in the media Germans could hear dramatic drought reports accompanied by alarming bright red drought charts, like the following for a soil depth of 1.8 meters (ca. 6 ft.).
The red colors denote areas with “extreme” to “extraordinary drought” conditions. Source: UFZ Helmholtz.
But, that has changed over the past week, as cooler and rainier weather has swept over the country and is forecast to intensify over the next 2 weeks. Rainfall across Germany is even expected to be heavy at times.
But, it ‘s not going to be enough, the climate alarmists insist. The drought crisis continues!
Enough water for the plants
Today, at his Youtube weather report, German meteorologist Kai Zorn dumped a bucket of cold water on the alarmist doomsayers’ fantasies, pointing out that this year’s summer will very likely end up being close to normal in terms of temperature and rainfall, and that Germans don’t have to worry at all about severe drought:
We don’t need to worry at all that drought and dryness are coming in the foreseeable future. That issue we can completely forgotten about this summer, the way things look now. It is completely irrelevant how this 1.8 meter depth appears.”
Zorn explains the 1.8 meter ground depth drought chart is designed to promote “artificial panic”, for 2 reasons:
“Firstly, these are values that have been calculated and not measured. And secondly, it takes weeks and months before it gets refilled again. But in the depth range where plants draw their water from, there’s enough there, and it’s going to stay that way.”
So what does it mean? It means the German media and alarmist authorities will now have to look elsewhere for extreme weather to fret about. This year Germany’s summer will end up being a bit warmer and with near normal rainfall.
“This year Germany’s summer will end up being a bit warmer and with near normal rainfall.”
I will let you know when we come back from the Harz mountains in a couple of weeks……
I presume by “normal” they mean average? I only make the distinction because there are those that visit these pages who will claim that any deviation from normal is indicative of an apocalypse.
#PleaseDon’tFeedTheTrolls
I was in the Harz from June 16 to June 23. I arrived in the rain. I had driven from Hofgeismar, near Kassel, and had heavy rain for the second half of my journey. I then had several dry days with the temperatures in the mid-20s. On one of these days I woke up to heavy rain but it stopped at about 9.30am. On another day, the trains stopped going up to the Brocken mid-afternoon because of a thunderstorm warning. Sure enough, at 7pm the heavens opened and there was very heavy rain for several hours. On the 23rd I drove to Höxter. It rained nearly the whole way. It became quite difficult to drive on the motorway because of the splash caused by other vehicles. The temperature the next two days was in the upper 20s. Today, the forecast for Wernigerode is thunderstorms but that was forecast for four days while I was there but only happened once and that was in the evening. The highest temperatures forecast for Wernigerode from July 6th to July 29th were, for each day: 21, 26, 31, 32, 24, 29,, 24. 22, 24, 31, 24, 23, 23, 23, 20, 19, 20, 20, 23, 19, 18, 18, 23 and 23.
Last year, a sailing on the River Weser was cancelled because of the low level of the river. This year the sailings on the River Weser at Höxter were not cancelled, not at least while I was there.
THe first attempt to post this was rejected as Spam. I don’t understand why. This is a second attempt.
I was in the Harz from June 16 to June 23. I arrived in the rain. I had driven from Hofgeismar, near Kassel, and had heavy rain for the second half of my journey. I then had several dry days with the temperatures in the mid-20s. On one of these days I woke up to heavy rain but it stopped at about 9.30am. On another day, the trains stopped going up to the Brocken mid-afternoon because of a thunderstorm warning. Sure enough, at 7pm the heavens opened and there was very heavy rain for several hours. On the 23rd I drove to Höxter. It rained nearly the whole way. It became quite difficult to drive on the motorway because of the splash caused by other vehicles. The temperature on next two days was in the upper 20s. Today, the forecast for Wernigerode is thunderstorms but that was forecast for four days while I was there but only happened once and that was in the evening. The highest temperatures forecast for Wernigerode from July 6th to July 29th were for each day: 21, 26, 31, 32, 24, 29,, 24. 22, 24, 31, 24, 23, 23, 23, 20, 19, 20, 20, 23, 19, 18, 18, 23 and 23.
Last year, a sailing on the River Weser was cancelled because of the low level of the river. This year the sailings on the River Weser at Höxter were not cancelled, not at least while I was there.
??? Your original post from 3 hours earlier came through fine. Please copy and paste whatever you saw, if it happens again.
Any excuse for ramping up the eco anxiety
Well this is just so fantastic..
That a (rainy) weather forecast for the coming week (end July start Aug) is capable of repairing the damage that 3 weeks of no rain bone-dry heat-dome did in June
That plants and soil bacteria that were stunted, killed and generally destroyed by that dessication at the very peak of their growing season will jump back to life as if Nothing Has Happened.
Even better, the 5ppm of atmospheric CO₂ taht would have been absorbed during that June growing season will all be recovered in the next week – by the reincarnated Dead Plants AND that the CO₂ which wasn’t absorbed during June will cause an even bigger yield of whatever via the well-established Carbon Oxide Fertilation Greening Effect.
On dead plants and soils.
<not holding any breath>
Here’s hoping for everyone that that rain doesn’t just turn into a few trillion tonnes of muddy slurry and fill you houses, shops and streets.
Falling onto bone-dry, dead soil and no plants – it probably will.
Esp by now a lot of farmer’s crops will have been harvested and vastly more acreages of dry soil will be waiting to shed the rain like water off the proverbial duck
The grass in my garden makes Lazarus look like an amateur
Native plants and local climate/weather were made for each other. Too much (for some value of “too much”) or too little (for some value of “too little”) heat, cold, sun, rain can be bad for non-native plants and crops but do little or no lasting damage to most native species. That’s why they’re native — they like the local climate with all its ups and downs.
As for non-native crops, many have been bred to survive and/or thrive in extreme conditions. From the USDA Economic Research Service …
https://www.ers.usda.gov/amber-waves/2019/march/drought-tolerant-corn-in-the-united-states-research-commercialization-and-related-crop-production-practices/
Who (in the north of Europe) harvests in July? Even August seems way early. September, usually mid to late, with occasional forays into October for good weather and hardy crops. If the land was well watered in May, a dry June is good for crops (lots of bad things can happen to young plants in saturated soils).
“Esp by now a lot of farmer’s crops will have been harvested and vastly more acreages of dry soil will be waiting to shed the rain like water off the proverbial duck”
What??? Harvest in July? Can one get in 2 crops without something like triticale growing under the snow?
“it ‘s not going to be enough, the climate alarmists insist. The drought crisis continues!”
ie Expect heavy rain in the next week or so. !!
It’s already here in southern England – has been all month…
I thought that was the definition of southern England 😉
Try telling the alarmists that!
They’re so miffed heatwaves passed us by
Actually southwest England is rather dry. It’s the north and west that gets most rainfall. It always rains in Manchester.
A judgement on Andy Burn’em.
Nope, that’s the definition of the northwest where I live and I can confirm July was a washout and august is forecast as the same
“Firstly, these are values that have been calculated and not measured.”
Once again, it’s models all the way down.
Models are nothing more than computer generated opinions.
Well, human-programmed computer generated opinions.
There is a low-pressure system just west of the UK, and the jet stream is aimed right at Germany, bringing moisture with it, and there’s a big high-pressure system south of the jet stream bringing warm temperatures to southern Europe.
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/500hPa/orthographic=-9.70,48.24,464/loc=-9.699,57.659
Yesterday we had around 24 hours rain enough, beside grass, all plants feel very well.
Now, now: next you will be telling us it’s just weather!
Yes, I don’t see how CO2 fits in that mix.
You just have to marvel at the remarkable abilities of CO2, aka “the magic molecule”, in causing both drought and flood conditions, when it isn’t wreaking havoc by causing the oceans to boil and fires to rage everywhere. Indeed, I am truly amazed every day by it.
It makes champagne work too!
And Dr. Pepper!
It makes wet droughts.
Bloody amazing
But remember the earth will be tilting at water tables.
The Continental Divide in the U.S. causes everything loose to roll into either California or the Northeast seaboard. You know, the two Left Coasts.
but, but, but…Griff promised us Germany was the wettest evahhhh!
I spent two weeks in mid-June driving through Central Europe
Austria germany Switzerland with one dip into Italy
Caley’s to high mountain passes, greenery and flowers everywhere, no dying trees even though I was assured climate change is wiping out trees.
Pleasant trip, except for the prices. $18 canadian for a Starbucks, yikes
Last week Calgary city council declared it extremely dry, so restrictions kicked. Then they predicted it will be hot and dry for the rest of summer so it promptly got cold and wet.
Going to rain again tomorrow and then later in the week.
Summer is just fine
There will be much more rain in Central Europe with spring temperatures. It will be such a small rainy season.
https://i.ibb.co/N9pY4xw/hgt300.webp