Guest essay by Larry Hamlin
In what has to be one of the most outlandish and expensive energy and emissions misrepresentations in U.S. history the energy and climate alarmist globally clueless Democrats have passed two CO2 climate emission reduction laws (Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 and the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law of 2021) which together they hype “could reduce emissions by approximately 1,000 million metric tons in 2030, or about a gigaton” from present levels.
As the Wall Street Journal article shown below notes this is yet another attempt by Democrats to destroy the cost effective, dispatchable, reliable and efficient U.S. fossil fuel industry that drives a successful economy.

What the Democrats and their media accomplices completely fail to disclose is that based on readily available EIA energy and emissions data (from the EIA 2021 International Energy Outlook report) their massively costly and globally emissions irrelevant “deal” for U.S. taxpayers results in the world’s CO2 emissions climbing by another 2+ billion metric tons by 2030 driven exclusively by the world’s developing nations (led by China and India) hugely increasing use of fossil fuels with these nations dominating global energy use and emissions by accounting for over 2/3rds (and growing) of all global emission totals.
The EIA IEO 2021 data reference below shows that the world’s developing nations CO2 emissions are projected to increase between year 2020 and 2030 by about 2.9 billion metric tons of CO2 with that resulting in a world year 2030 increase of emissions of over 3+ billion metric tons of CO2. Both the U.S. and EU emissions from year 2020 to year 2030 are projected by EIA to remain basically unchanged.

This concealed EIA emissions data by the climate alarmist renewable energy mandate driven Democrats hides the fact that their $430+ billion taxpayer soaking of U.S. citizens that allegedly is supposed to reduce U.S. emissions between 2020 and 2030 by “about a gigaton” results in year 2030 world CO2 emissions climbing by an additional 2+ billion metric tons.
Furthermore, EIA data shows that the world’s CO2 emissions after 2030 will climb by yet another 2.7+ billion metric tons by year 2040 and further climb by yet another 2.6+ billion metric tons from 2040 to year 2050 with 95% of these increases driven by the world’s developing nations.
Democrats dishonestly conceal this EIA data and analysis which shows world CO2 emissions climbing between 2030 to 2050 by an additional 5+ billion metric tons which exceeds the entire present U.S. CO2 emissions.
The Democrats further hype that their climate reduction laws represent a 40% reduction from year 2005 U.S. emissions levels.
The EIA 2008 International Energy Outlook report shows that U.S. CO2 emissions in year 2005 were 5.982 billion metric tons of CO2 (Table A10). The EIA 2021 International Energy Outlook report shows U.S. CO2 emissions in year 2020 were 4.552 billion metric tons a 24% reduction from year 2005 levels.
Additionally, the Democrats fail to disclose that the EIA data through 2020 showing that U.S. emissions levels declined by 24% since 2005 were achieved with about 2/3rds of this reduction attributable to increased use of lower cost, higher efficiency, dispatchable and lower emission natural gas power plants (shown below) that replaced coal fuel. Yet energy and emissions incompetent Democrats are doing everything in their power to reduce (also shown below) natural gas availability and use in the U.S. with these actions significantly increasing the price of natural gas in the U.S. and other global energy markets.


Biden and his energy and emissions incompetent Democrats have concealed the enormous energy and emissions benefits of low cost, higher efficiency, dispatchable and low emission natural gas and instead misrepresented and mandated a ridiculous program using high cost, unreliable and nondispacthable renewable energy while abandoning the development of fossil fuel resources and driving up energy market prices. The outcome of these Democrat idiotic policy schemes will cause the U.S. to experience the same energy debacle that now engulfs the UK and EU that have systematically destroyed their economies which were following the same flawed energy and emissions policy schemes as the Democrats propose with the catastrophic results illustrated below for Germany which now has electricity rates 4 times higher (and climbing) than are presently available in the U.S.

Germany has now reached the point where 60% of its population is experiencing energy poverty driven by huge energy and emissions policy failures mandating use of unreliable, nondispatchable and costly renewables while incompetently shutting down its own cost effective and reliable fossil and nuclear resources making the country subject to Russian energy and economic blackmail and contributing to market supply disruption and increasing prices of fossil fuel global markets.

Biden and his Democrats seem intent on destroying U.S. energy and economic viability in the clearly incompetent, misguided and false belief that they are “fighting climate change”.
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Adding more Bird Choppers (Windmills) and Solar Panels enrich China as they burn more Coal to supply the materials to add them. The Stupid Burns.
China can solve its real estate market trouble by shifting to construction of more forced labor compounds and coal plants. The rooftop solar lobby will silence and concerns with a new update on all the great employment gains.
Now we know why old Joe is hiring armed IRS soldiers. The way he wastes our money, adding to the debt, destroying our economy, how can any sane person not consider taxpayer revolt?
So Rambo the tax collector will soon be breaking into our homes, checking under mattresses and inside cookie jars, even rifling the sofa cushions for loose change.
But it won’t matter. His actions the last two years have dealt our economy a permanent blow.
Reduced emissions in the U.S. result from shift to natural gas, improved efficiency, off-shoring manufacturing, recent short-term impacts of COVID lockdowns, and only to a small degree wind and solar. Meanwhile, from 2005 to 2022, U.S. population increased 14%.
The Dim-ocrats’ plans will intentionally force further reductions by lowering the effective incomes and living standards of most Americans by means of government spending (i.e., printing money), increasing the cost of energy, food, transportation, goods and services, and increasing our dependence on foreign trade (greater trade deficits).
Hopes of energy independence?
That CO2 production is increased somewhere else (the far east) by any amount does not mean that a claim of CO2 reduction in some particular place (the USA) is not true.
What is probably true is that the advertised CO2 reduction will not occur, or will be far less than projected, so the total over everywhere will be still higher. But the bill will help insure that those individuals and corporations whose wealth has been increasing by many billions per year will continue to prosper.
No
As manufacturing moves overseas the Asian emissions increase even more than they would without USA policy like this
There is no gain
Only loss because less efficient use of power and transporting finished goods
A real answer has to include the high energy use required to “reduce pollution” which will almost surely not be expended in places line China and compare it with the additional energy involved in transporting goods.
Math is hard. Graphs are harder
Europeans will die this autumn – mostly from heart failure when they get their electricity bill. In winter they will die from the cold when the electricity supply shuts down.
Why should USA be any different! They voted Biden into office and deserve to follow the planet saving fetish that dominates in Europe.
Yesterday the UK day ahead electricity auction settled at GBP539/MWh – new record. That equates to USD636/MWh or 63c/kWh. You have to wonder who can afford that price?
It will not surprise me to see Europeans raiding government offices to take any combustible objects so they can burn them to get a little warmth – in the words of Jon Snow – winter is coming!
The following are from various “scary / clickbait headline” media articles, but the companies cited do appear to have actually put forward the numbers copied below.
The current UK “energy cap” (for households only, businesses have no equivalent) rose to an “unprecedented” £1277 last October, and caused much (real and virtual) newspaper ink to be spilt.
In April it went up to £1971, and the government announced that from October it would be updated quarterly (instead of two times a year).
Around the 8th or 9th of August, Cornwall Insight gave its latest “predictions” for future cap levels of :
October 2022 : £3582 (which was £200 more than its previous forecast)
January 2023 : £4266
April 2023 : £4426
July 2023 : £3810
October 2023 : £3781
On Monday (the 21st) Auxilione updated already “high” estimates released to the press less than a week earlier (in the middle of the UK media’s “silly season” …) to :
October 2022 : £3576
January 2023 : £5066 (up from £4650 just a week earlier)
April 2023 : £6552 (up from £5456) … or £5300 (from a Cornwall Insight update)
Never mind the exchange rate, going from 1277 monetary units (per year) on energy bills to 6552 (i.e. times 5.13, to 5300 would “only” be times 4.15 …) in just 18 months would probably provoke “social unrest” problems for any government.
It looks like the UK will face the new and improved “energy crisis” under the, erm, “leadership” (?!) of PM Liz Truss …
The Brits, in the UK at least (I’m an ex-pat based in France), are [ insert expletive here ] !
Add another $2,000 cost per adult taxpayer for the student debt forgiveness today. This open bar tab is getting more expensive by the day.
Of course this gives me no reason to think any higher of politicians, administrators and bureaucrats. Lousy parasites.
The environmentalists’ credo is a simple one: It may not work, but at least it’s Green
Yes. Oobjective reports by the EIA show clearly that the world is on track for CO2 emissions of 45 billion tons a year in 2050 (up from 37 billion today), and that nothing the UK, US or Australia can do will have any material effect on that.
The US is making heroic efforts in the Inflation Reduction Act, and they only result in a lowering of 1 gigaton. If (almost impossible) the UK was to succeed in its Net Zero policy, that would take another 450 million tons off.
The effect on climate would be unmeasurable.
And yet politicians and media in the US, the UK and Australia keep on positioning their programs as ‘tacking climate change’ or somehow affecting climate change in a positive way, or being justified by their effect on climate change.
Its mass hysteria on the part of the political classes and the media. The complete craziness of it.
— We will move electricity generation to wind and solar (which is impossible)
— we will convert heat and transport to electricity (which is also impossible, especially when at the same time converting power generation to technologies which will not work)
— and this will dramatically lower our emissions (which it won’t)
— and this will then reduce global warming (which it will not).
One starts to understand what a normal rational inhabitant of Salem must have felt as he watched his neighbors going mad in 1692. A mixture of astonishment and apprehension. What was happening to these people? And where was the searchlight going to touch next?
Well, we can see part of the answer today in the form of the ongoing lunacies about gender and race. But I am afraid we are not yet at the end of this descent into irrationality and should really be worried about what the next craziness will turn out to be..
And from the NY Times today, more of the same stupidity:
The new policy in California follows an expansive new climate law signed by President Biden last week. The law will invest $370 billion in spending and tax credits on clean energy programs, the largest action taken by the federal government to combat climate change. The legislation is projected to help the United States cut its emissions 40 percent below 2005 levels by the end of this decade.
This in a story which reports that California is going to ban sales of ICE autos by 2035. Also in the effort to save the planet by lowering global emissions. As if!
The rule, issued by the California Air Resources Board, will require that all new cars sold in the state by 2035 be free of greenhouse gas emissions like carbon dioxide. The rule also sets interim targets, requiring that 35 percent of new passenger vehicles sold by 2026 produce zero emissions. That requirement climbs to 68 percent by 2030.
Transportation is the nation’s top source of planet-warming greenhouse-gas emissions.
So they are doing this in order to lower CO2 emissions. But the story envisages this measure having a dramatic effect mainly by force of example. Other states are supposed to follow California’s example in phasing out ICE, and then other countries too. California will lead the world.
One imagines that Xi wakes up in the morning and his first thought is, what can I learn today from California? Quick, pass me the LA Times to see what they have thought of now!
A few inconvenient critics are quoted, asking such inconvenient questions as, how are people supposed to afford them, considering they are much more expensive. And, where is the power supposed to come from to charge them?
I guess the answer is, as the Xhosa prophetess might have said in similar circumstances, don’t worry, just close down all the power stations, ban ICE cars, and the Lord will provide.
From the above article:
“. . . hides the fact that their $430+ billion taxpayer soaking of U.S. citizens that allegedly is supposed to reduce U.S. emissions between 2020 and 2030 by “about a gigaton” . . .”
Let’s see, one gigaton = 1 billion tons = 1E+9 tons. These are assumed to be “short tons”.
Therefore, the supposed reduction of US (CO2) emissions would be at a currently-projected cost of ($430E+9/1E+9 short tons) = $430/short ton.
According to https://www.chemanalyst.com/Pricing-data/liquid-carbon-dioxide-1090 :
“the liquid carbon dioxide price in the American market during the end of the second quarter of 2022 was recorded at around USD 365/metric ton”, or about $332/short ton.
Therefore, I have this business
schemeventure to propose to the Federal government that I will be buying CO2 on the commercial market and releasing it into Earth’s atmosphere unless the Government pays me a subsidy (such is handed out to farmers to not grow certain crops) for NOT releasing it, to the tune of ($430-332) = $98 per short ton.I proposing starting my venture with a plan to buy one million tons of liquified CO2 on the open market, thereby extracting a
blackmailsubsidy of about $98 million gross from the Federal government.Anyone else care to join me in this can’t-fail venture?