The Coldest April in the Satellite Record over the Pacific Northwest

From the Cliff Mass Weather Blog

Dr. Cliff Mass

 You knew it was colder than normal over the Pacific Northwest during April.

But the cold was not limited to the surface.   Let me show you the chilly story in a very new way:  using satellite temperature soundings in the vertical.

By measuring infrared or microwave radiation emitted by the atmosphere, satellites can measure how temperature varies in the vertical.  Not unlike how infrared ear thermometers work by sensing the radiation emitted by your eardrum!

Below are the differences from normal of the April temperatures in the lowest 10 km (lowest 33, 000 ft) of the atmosphere, with normal being the average for 1991 through 2020.  

Blues are colder than normal and yellow/oranges are warmer than normal.   This map and associated data were provided by Professor John Christy of the University of Alabama, who is a well-known expert in such work.

The coldest temperature anomalies (differences from normal) over the entire planet are found the Pacific Northwest, with the deviations from normal exceeding 2.5 C! (4.5F).    A blow-up for the Northwest is shown below.


But there is another point you need to consider: there are all kinds of temperature anomalies all over the planet, including a major warm anomaly over Kazakstan.  
Differences from normal, both warm and cold,  are….well…normal.    These patterns occur naturally as troughs (low pressure) and ridges (high pressure) move and develop.
But there is more!    This cold anomaly over the Northwest is the COLDEST ever observed since the beginning of satellite temperatures collection (1979).  This is shown in the plot below.  


You will also notice something that else that is very important…there is little long-term trend for April temperatures over our region.   This is consistent with the observation that our snowpack has shown little long-term trend over the region.
May is Not Any Better
And now the depressing part.   May is also turning out to be cool….and wet.
At Sea Tac Airport, every day but one in May has been below normal, with highs on many days around TEN DEGREES below normal.


Slightly better in eastern WA, with Pasco’s temperature reaching normal highs twice this month.


The silver lining in all of this is that with lots of precipitation and cold temperatures, the snowpack has surged to well above normal for the entire state (see below).  Late ski season.  Delays wildfire season.  Lots of water for the summer.


During the last 24 hour,  NINETEEN INCHES of snow has fallen at Timberline Lodge on the slopes of Mt. Hood.  Amazing.

And now the REALLY depressing news for lovers of warmth.  The latest European Center ensemble forecast for the next ten days predicts MUCH cooler than normal temperatures over the region.


No wonder my tomato plants are unhappy……

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Alan
May 8, 2022 6:10 pm

But…but… there was record heat last year.

John Tillman
Reply to  Alan
May 8, 2022 6:34 pm

And record cold and wet this year. Again today. We had one day of spring WX last week in Pendleton, OR. That was it.

Now McKay Reservoir is close to flooding. Cool WX and plentiful rain and snow have the lake close to overflowing. But then in 2019 and 2020, the Umatilla River flooded, despite drought.

Rational Db8
Reply to  John Tillman
May 9, 2022 12:24 am

Send some of that cool & wet down my direction, would you? We’ve been running notably hot and dry (southern Nevada). More “normal” again for the next three days after being in the high 90’s already for a bit, then popping right back up & forecast by next Monday (16th) to be all the way up at 105. Sigh.

Kenji
Reply to  Rational Db8
May 9, 2022 7:53 am

So you moved to the desert only to complain about the heat? That’s like moving in next to the airport and complaining about jet engine noise.

Romeo Rachi
Reply to  Kenji
May 12, 2022 8:05 am

I live in Phoenix and we have enjoyed another pleasant spring. Although drier than normal, temperatures have been great. I think we have eclipsed 100 degrees one or two times total so far. However, that will change starting this weekend. That is typical for the southwest. Springs are fickle and May and even April can be very warm. Either month can see temps reach triple digits. Fingers crossed we get a monsoon season.

Reply to  Rational Db8
May 9, 2022 8:19 am

In the Reno area, it’s been colder and wetter than usual. Over night, I got an inch of snow at 5000 ft and am expecting a hard freeze for another night or so. The Tahoe area has also been on the cool side all winter, which is the only reason Decembers snow was still skiable.until the April storms despite almost no snow in Jan, Feb and March. Of course, there’s only so much solar energy to go around, so when it’s colder than average in one place it’s necessarily warmer than normal in another.

ATheoK
Reply to  Rational Db8
May 9, 2022 5:07 pm

May in Clark county, Nevada is full summer in most places.
+100°F in May is normal weather.

Usually, you can watch rogue thunderstorms escaping California dissipate as they approach Las Vegas airport.

Izaak Walton
Reply to  Alan
May 8, 2022 9:25 pm

And the warmest April on record in North India and Pakistan. But that doesn’t seem worth mentioning or writing about.

Alexy Scherbakoff
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 8, 2022 9:36 pm

There was mention of anomalous temperatures and their locations, with an accompanying map. What more do you want? I dare to ask.

Izaak Walton
Reply to  Alexy Scherbakoff
May 8, 2022 10:16 pm

How about fair coverage? Some mention of the heatwave would be warranted.
See
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/may/02/pakistan-india-heatwaves-water-electricity-shortages

Alexy Scherbakoff
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 8, 2022 10:32 pm

Re-read the title of the piece. If you want ‘fair coverage’ then submit your own piece.
When doing a review of a restaurant, there is no place for mentioning the starving people around the world.

Redge
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 8, 2022 10:36 pm

You think the Guardian gives fair coverage?

Mike Dubrasich
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 8, 2022 11:00 pm

The PNW “heatwave” last Spring was hugely beneficial. Last year’s garden was the most bountiful and productive in my 48 straight years of growing one. Conversely, the current cold dome parked over the PNW has shortened our already meager growing season by 4 weeks and counting.

You see, Isaac, warmth is much better for plants and animals than cold. You don’t have to be a biologist to know that. It’s just common sense and observation.

PCman999
Reply to  Mike Dubrasich
May 8, 2022 11:51 pm

The climate scientists can’t model common sense and since obviously none of them were born with it, they don’t have any.

The climate scientists have an office right next to the department of silly walks.

PCman999
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 8, 2022 11:48 pm

But you see, the Guardian did cover it already – any mention there about the severely cold temperatures? I didn’t think so.

And obviously this wuwt article is a chaser/rebuttal to the climate doom articles we had to endure last year FROM EVERY SINGLE MAINSTREAM MEDIA ORIFACE.

b.nice
Reply to  PCman999
May 9, 2022 1:04 am

Climate zealots like Izaak can’t stand it when someone presents a balance to the gruniad and other climate scaremongering !

TonyG
Reply to  PCman999
May 9, 2022 9:07 am

“But you see, the Guardian did cover it already – any mention there about the severely cold temperatures?”

Funny how “fair coverage” only works one way.

b.nice
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 1:02 am

India and Pakistan have heat waves this time of year..

Always have, always will.

Kazinski
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 1:35 am

Well if you want information about unusual weather in Pakistan search out blog posts by a Pakistani meteorologist, Cliff Mass happens to be a pacific northwest meteorologist, so that’s what he’s going to write about.

Despite this site having a viewpoint, they certainly do publish a lot of stuff with opposing viewpoints.

Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 2:47 am

You mean like the fair coverage that the MSM give? We only x numbers of years to live coverage? Come on, he states that the global anomaly is normal, when do you ever see that in the MSM? He lives in the north west and the anomaly is the lowest in satellite record, both justify the article. You slant every thing that comes down the pipe and get offended when someone doesn’t pick out a counter point location to the article he is writing? Where was he trying to imply that this had anything to do with global consequences? he makes it clear its local. You are such an F-ing fraud!

Jim Gorman
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 3:58 am

But there is another point you need to consider: there are all kinds of temperature anomalies all over the planet, including a major warm anomaly over Kazakstan.  

Differences from normal, both warm and cold, are….well…normal.  These patterns occur naturally as troughs (low pressure) and ridges (high pressure) move and develop.” (bold by me)

Old Man Winter
Reply to  Jim Gorman
May 9, 2022 7:43 am

Great quote- it’s called yawn, boring weather! It finally warmed up last
week & this morning, they’re having storms in S MN, with the potential
for baseball-sized hail, which while very rare in MN, is NOT unheard of.
Four yrs ago, we got snow in N MN mid-May. Just more weather!

beng135
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 10:13 am

How about fair coverage?

Fair coverage? You can’t be serious. The ONLY thing ever pointed out in any other media is how everyone/everywhere is dying of heat-death.

Rah
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 10:42 am
b.nice
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 1:02 am

In the urban sprawl, you mean !

Derg
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 1:25 am

All the CO2 you know?

Andrew Wilkins
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 7:27 am

Not the same:
Thermageddonists told us everywhere was going to boil in a fiery hell. These record low temps demonstrate that the thermageddonists, such as yourself, have been hopelessly and utterly wrong many times over the last 50 years. Tell me: does it really suck to have spent the last half century getting it wrong?
Just for all our delectation, here’s a marvellous and using list of every time your mob has got it wrong:
https://extinctionclock.org

Farmer Ch E retired
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 8:55 am

“And the warmest April on record in North India and Pakistan. But that doesn’t seem worth mentioning or writing about.” Perhaps it’s best to mention the bigger picture . . .

The Data gif.jpg
Paul Hurley (aka PaulH)
Reply to  Alan
May 9, 2022 5:23 am

Yep, there’s always a new record somewhere.

Tom Halla
May 8, 2022 6:11 pm

The La Nina is steering the rain from California to the Northwest or so it seems.

RMT
Reply to  Tom Halla
May 8, 2022 10:20 pm

No, it’s cow farts and soccer moms driving too much in California that is steering rain away from California. It couldn’t be some huge climactic system doing that.

DonM
Reply to  RMT
May 9, 2022 9:22 am

It was cold this morning, so I left my car running in the driveway for a few minutes … I’ll accept part of the blame.

Rob_Dawg
May 8, 2022 6:11 pm

But but “unprecedented” drought that has California restricting users and killing hundreds of thousands of acres of orchards in the Central Valley while not even slowing the approval of new connections.

Also. Several storage reservoirs are at record lows (managed). What efforts are being made to expand capacity and make a few billion with sale of the rich sediment?

MM from Canada
Reply to  Rob_Dawg
May 8, 2022 8:39 pm

The CA State Water Board manufactured the water shortage in 2021 in order to try their hand at increasing the salmon population by a whopping 1000 fish. They released a significant amount of water from the reservoirs – water that had been stored to get the state through a 5-year drought, if necessary.

RMT
Reply to  Rob_Dawg
May 8, 2022 10:23 pm

Californians passed Prop 1 in 2014 which allocated $2.7 B for new water storage. And any time new water storage facilities are proposed or current projects are advanced, count on the liberals and the greens to protest it. And when the proposal to raise the level of the current Shasta Dam, the Democrats opposed it claiming it would ruin the upstream wild and scenic rivers.
And now the Democrats have turned down a desalinization plant in SoCal.
So, the Democrats have no interest in adding more water storage to California, just as they have no interest in adding more electric capacity to California, despite their goals of more electric cars and homes. Rather they both tearing down dams and energy sources (nuclear and oil based ones) when in both cases – more capacities are needed to supply a growing population. Can’t have new oppressive laws unless a crisis exists. And it is crisis that Democrats are great at creating.

stinkerp
May 8, 2022 6:24 pm

I wonder how many Washingtonians are praying for global warming. The orchard owners in Yakima Valley are probably anxious about their apple crops.

Farmer Ch E retired
Reply to  stinkerp
May 8, 2022 8:43 pm

. . . and sweet cherry orchards. When I raised them, freezes & late-season rain were two big issues.

RMT
Reply to  stinkerp
May 8, 2022 10:24 pm

They need more cow farts and soccer moms driving and more pollution. Isn’t that what we are told is causing the climate to warm?

alexei
May 8, 2022 6:25 pm

I know how damn cold it is – still wearing 3 or 4 layers of warm clothes and can’t persuade the seeds to germinate.

MM from Canada
Reply to  alexei
May 8, 2022 8:40 pm

It’s cold in southern BC (Canada) too.

Pat from kerbob
Reply to  MM from Canada
May 8, 2022 9:49 pm

Snowing today

Will snow tonight in calgary, although that isn’t unusual

Pat from Kerbob
Reply to  Pat from kerbob
May 9, 2022 12:17 pm

Update, quit snowing here in Calgary at noon, yay us. Very late spring for us though, we moved down into the River valley last summer as usually the tulips and daffodils are in bloom by mid april, here on may 9 not a single one to be seen anywhere in the new neighborhood. Some green things out of the ground and leaves starting to come out on the trees, but that’s it

David
May 8, 2022 6:35 pm

I went hiking on Mt Baker last week and had to bring the heavy winter gear I’d purchased for next year.

Doonman
Reply to  David
May 8, 2022 7:44 pm

Winter storm warning and freeze warnings are in effect for Northern California as I type. Winter weather watch is in effect for 8 counties in the Sierra Nevada around Lake Tahoe.

RMT
Reply to  David
May 8, 2022 10:25 pm

California Sierras are covered with snow about the 6000 foot elevation.

Romeo Rachi
Reply to  RMT
May 12, 2022 9:21 am

Lassen Peak is still snow covered and getting more snow. It has been a cool spring. Check out the snow images from Crater Lake, Mt Hood, Mt Rainier or Hurricane Ridge. Lots of snow still for this time of year. It will be a late melt season.

May 8, 2022 6:39 pm

I’m in Florida and it’s chilly here too.

angech
Reply to  John Shewchuk
May 8, 2022 6:46 pm

Not sure how you Americans are working out the La Nina at the moment.
Our BOM in Australia consistently reports the least active projections .
Yet it shows a SOI that recently went above 20 again while their comment section was saying it was waning and about to disappear.
Roy Spencer’s UAH went up instead of down but all other indices tend to suggest a month or two at least of extra cold on the way [I hope].

Reply to  angech
May 8, 2022 7:19 pm

I moved to Florida to stay ahead of the next Ice Age, and so I’m hoping for more warming — but just a little. Looks like you may be right with the cooling trend, especially with La Nina. And, many believe the AMO (Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation) is beyond it’s max temp cycle and has started its cooling trend. Plus, the long-term sun-spot sequence (the 210 year DeVries cycle) has entered its cooling phase.

Peter W
Reply to  John Shewchuk
May 9, 2022 5:36 am

I’m with you all the way. I moved to Florida in 2018 (having put the NH house on the market in 2016) after studying the matter for several years. I had learned about ice ages in school in the 50’s and 60’s It was the temperature records in lecture 11 of “The Physics of History” by professor Helfand that finally did it for me.

Reply to  Peter W
May 9, 2022 6:48 am

Moved to the Villages in 2016 to beat the anticipated skyrocketing housing costs, because once those glaciers start growing again, everyone north of the Mason-Dixon line will be migrating south. 🙂

paul
Reply to  John Shewchuk
May 9, 2022 5:32 pm

had to ditch my shorts today for long jeans, socks & shoes… central coast Fla

Reply to  paul
May 9, 2022 6:29 pm

And I’m giving a talk about Global Warming this week (Friday the 13th) — it should be fun.

Mike Dubrasich
May 8, 2022 6:53 pm

Told you so. Coldest, soggiest April since the LIA. We’ve always had the garden in by May but not this year. Haven’t even started seeds. So far in ’22 only twice has the daily max reached 70°F. Otherwise 30’s and 40’s. Orchard is saturated. Standing water for months at a time drowns trees.

Anyone who thinks colder is better ought to be tied to a post in the town square and switch-whipped. We need sacrifices to the sun god, and I have a list of preferred victims.

The political season is underway here. Many loons are honking loudly. But not one candidate in any race has the stones to publicly aver that a little more warmth would be a thousand times better. Once again the choices on the ballot are limited to rats or mice.

PCman999
Reply to  Mike Dubrasich
May 9, 2022 12:02 am

Exactly. When people have some spare money, they go where it’s warmer. So what’s wrong if global warming were true and the whole planet ends up like Bali? Like it was during the Cretaceous – when the whole world was teeming with life.

Reply to  Mike Dubrasich
May 9, 2022 2:51 am

Mid Atlantic region pretty much the same thing, high 40s to mid 60s about where it stands, typically mid 70s by this time of year

BARRY HOFFMAN
Reply to  Mike Dubrasich
May 9, 2022 5:42 am

Where’s the data from the algorithm that creates a “global average” regarding the hot/cold regions? I know we only really care about what’s happening in “my” neighborhood. But the coldest April in the Pacific NW seems to be mitigated by a very warm Eastern Europe/Asia thermocline.

Mike Dubrasich
Reply to  BARRY HOFFMAN
May 9, 2022 7:55 am

We provincials are lucky to have you, Barry, a dude who cares – really cares – about everybody everywhere all the time. I mean, as compared to local people who only care about their own regions. We aren’t the Big We, are we? You’re the Big We, dude. Hang in there. Take two algorithms and call me in the morning.

Meab
Reply to  BARRY HOFFMAN
May 9, 2022 8:58 am

Ever hear about the guy who had one hand in a pot of boiling water and the other in a pail of ice water? On average his hands felt just fine.

It’s foolish to fixate on a global average that means much less than the entire range of temperatures which normally varies over a range a hundred times larger than the warming over the last century. When you fixate on the average you lose perspective on what really matters.

diggs
May 8, 2022 6:57 pm

You need to work on the color’s in your charts. Not nearly scary enough to portray how cold it was! I suggest blue for normal and dark blue for really cold so we can cover most of the globe in blue and scare the kids with the impending ice age. /sarc

Seriously though, I saw some climate alarmist map recently where all the “normal” anomalies were a shade of red, trying to make the whole world look on fire.

Richard Page
Reply to  diggs
May 9, 2022 12:14 pm

Go with black rather than dark blue – much scarier!

Eric Worrall(@eworrall1)
Admin
May 8, 2022 7:00 pm

There’s a reason I convinced my family to move somewhere very warm, with an option of moving even closer to the equator. Stuff will still grow here even if the world experiences a 5C temperature drop.

CD in Wisconsin
May 8, 2022 7:12 pm

April was quite a bit below normal here in the upper Midwest as well. Not many sunny days either. Solar panels on my roof would have been useless.

Ron Long
May 8, 2022 7:18 pm

Tell me about it! I just finished eating a dinner in a resturant in Reno, Nevada and it snowed hard during the whole dinner (and I’m not a fast eater). When is that Global Warming Deal going to kick in?

Gary Edward Miller
May 8, 2022 7:25 pm

I surely hope that Spring arrives before Summer is over!

Allan MacRae
May 8, 2022 7:30 pm

I nailed the current weather across the Great Plains – a late spring, cold and wet. My predictions are the same – from mid-March 2022, or 2019, or 2013, or 2002. All of them are correct, and I’d rather be wrong.
More CO2 is better. Warmer is better. End of story. This will end badly.
Regards, Allan
 
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/05/04/samantha-power-and-the-green-new-famine/#comment-3510941
 
FOOD SUPPLY CONCERNS FROM MID-MARCH 2022
20 years ago we predicted food shortages to start ~now.
Regards, Allan
https://energy-experts-international.com
 
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/03/18/climate-change-weekly-429-climate-change-poses-no-existential-threat-nada-not-any/#comment-3479947
[excerpts]
We also predicted in 2002 that solar-driven global cooling would start ~now, and that seems to be happening. There was a major crop failure across the Great Plains of North America in 2019 due to cold and wet weather, but good harvests elsewhere and lots of grain in storage meant prices were stable.
 
This year there may be grain shortages – I’m going to research this further in the next days. What I think now:
Nino34 SST’s are still quite cold so spring on the Great Plains should be late, cold and wet.
Nino34 is a good predictor of global average temperature ~4 months in the future.
comment image
Nino34 Index below -0.5 indicates a “la Nina” condition. It is now about -1.0.
 
Cold, floods and droughts have reduced crop yields around the world. Grain crops in Ukraine will probably be greatly reduced by the war.
____________________________
 
Here is more news on crops – NAILED IT.
 
AMERICA’S PLANTING DELAYS
May 3, 2022 Electroverse.net
Planting delays south of the border are also compounding global grain shortages and sending prices higher.
Iowa, for example –America’s largest corn growing state– suffered historic lows last week, and this week isn’t looking much better:

The Grand Solar Minimum is also delaying planting across the Dakotas, too.
“The weather has been a little bit strange,” said Paul Thomas, a farmer in north-central North Dakota.
“We were looking at a really early spring. In fact, we actually had our drill hooked up, ready to sow seed [in mid-April] before the snowstorm hit … We got hit with 40 inches of snow and it sure changed the outlook for spring work,” explained Thomas.
That Easter blizzard wasn’t a one-off, either — it was chased by additional snowstorms, an incredibly rare feat for April.
“The thing about this April storm compared to some in the past is we’ve stayed so cold since we’ve had the snow,” added Thomas. “We’re going on 12 days now, and we’re still looking at major snow banks and fields that are 60% to 70% covered with snow yet.”
Water-logged and/or snow-buried fields are still common sights across North Dakota, and with the calendar now showing May, Thomas is calling it a race against time before the planting window closes: “We’ll plant corn all the way out until about May 25,” said Thomas. “That’s kind of our drop dead date, but we try and get it all in by May 10 to May 15.”
However, a frigid weather outlook for the next two to three weeks is dampening any remaining hopes.

Izaak Walton
Reply to  Allan MacRae
May 8, 2022 10:20 pm

We also predicted in 2002 that solar-driven global cooling would start ~now, and that seems to be happening. “
Where is the evidence that this is happening? Globally the average temperature rose last month while 2021 recorded record ocean heat content. What evidence is there of any
significant change in solar output?

Finally if you ask people currently living through a record heat wave in north India whether global cooling was happening I suspect they would just laugh at you.

John Dilks
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 8, 2022 10:45 pm

Why are you talking about northern India when everyone else is talking about North America?

PCman999
Reply to  John Dilks
May 9, 2022 12:17 am

Exactly. The government’s thete ate ramping up electricity supply by increasing coal use, to get ready for all the extra air conditioner and fan use.

What are the farmers going to do about awful growing conditions?

Derg
Reply to  John Dilks
May 9, 2022 1:30 am

Because Izaak is a misanthrope.

PCman999
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 12:08 am

Are you going to trust the word of the farmers right there in the affected cold areas or are you going to ignore them and trust homogenized and averaged space data?

Wasn’t there some bad solar flares recently?

Sturmudgeon
Reply to  PCman999
May 9, 2022 3:34 pm

“Weren’t”

PCman999
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 12:13 am

Roy’s UAH data shows the US at -.26C. Australia was pushing up the average with a +.60C.

Worthless trying to take the temperature of the whole planet – like taking the average temperature of your pc instead of the cpu and video card, or the average temperature of your car (in the front, back, trunk or truck bed) instead of in the engine.

Last edited 18 days ago by PCman999
b.nice
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 1:05 am

Indai has always had heat waves at this time of year.

Their thermometers are also highly affected by urban sprawl, new air conditioners.. you name it. !

Allan MacRae
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 4:16 am

I expect “Isaak” is just making mischief, but I will comment anyway and will try to be polite – it’s a Canadian thing. 🙂

UAH LT global temperatures oscillate around a trend line and that trend is definitely a cooling one – since Feb2016 or Feb2020 – take your pick.

My colleagues and I are concerned about crop failures and food shortages happening ~now – major food price inflation is already a problem.

There was a huge crop failure across the Great Plains of North America in 2019 that Joe D’Aleo and I wrote about then. We are seeing the same conditions in 2022 – a cold, wet, late Spring. In 2019 fully 30% of the huge USA corn crop never got planted. There was plenty of grain in storage and good crops elsewhere so prices were stable.

We rejected the alleged global warming crisis (“CAGW” aka “Climate Change”) as false propaganda in 2002 – the alleged global warming crisis was always the “BIG LIE”, an unscientific, political fraud concocted by the extreme left – “wolves stampeding the sheep for political and financial gain”.

In 2002 we also rejected grid-connected “green energy” (wind and solar) due to intermittency and the lack of practical grid-scale storage.

My primary expertise is Energy and I’ve become educated in Climate, having studied the subject since 1985 and published on it since 2002.

“Cheap, abundant, reliable energy is the lifeblood of society”. It IS that simple.

Our society has fallen into the trap of letting idiot, corrupt politicians set energy policy. We have published against this climate-and-energy alarmist fraud since 2002 and we were correct – then and now. As we predicted, this is ending badly.

Excerpted comments from mid-March 2022:

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/03/15/claim-climate-change-driven-plant-growth-is-bad/#comment-3477744
 
New Study: The CO2-Drives-Global-Warming ‘Concept’ Is ‘Obsolete And Incorrect’ (notrickszone.com)
 
This paper is ok – it is essentially a review of the IPCC reports, and of recent work by the Russians and Soon et al, etc. It reflects limited predictive skill because most of the papers that predicted cooling were written after the big El Nino spike of 2016 – thus an observation, not a prediction. More interesting is the predictive skill of MacRae and Patterson (2002) and Landscheidt (2003), who both predicted cooling based on solar activity more than a decade before it started.
 
I suggest that we don’t have to wait until 2030 to answer the question – cooling is here now – as evidenced by the hundreds of significant very-cold events worldwide, documented by Cap Allon at Electroverse.net.
 
Some say global cooling started in Feb2016 but that was the peak of a huge El Nino, so I prefer Feb2020. In either case my 2013 prediction of global cooling starting within ten years is still correct.
 
Even the moderate cooling observed to date can be dangerous, because global cooling is accompanied by deviations of the polar vortex that destroy humans and crops – such as the extreme cold in south-central USA in Feb 2021 and the current extreme cold in India and China that I expect will cost many lives.
 
Our cooling predictions from 2002 and 2013 are described in these papers:

SCIENTIFIC COMPETENCE – THE ABILITY TO CORRECTLY PREDICT
October 20, 2021. Update May 4, 2022
https://correctpredictions.ca/

Mike Dubrasich
Reply to  Allan MacRae
May 9, 2022 8:01 am

Politeness is overrated, like marshmallows. Something blunt that leaves a mark is what’s needed, esp in CA these days. But you know that, Allan.

Allan MacRae
Reply to  Mike Dubrasich
May 9, 2022 9:27 am

There is a reason that Canadians have a reputation of being polite. It’s because our alternative is “hockey rules”. When somebody is rude, we don’t just yap at them, we punch them in the face. Hockey rules.
🙂

Tim Gorman
Reply to  Allan MacRae
May 9, 2022 4:38 pm

While the winter wheat here in central KS looks good, might be a bumper crop, the planting of corn, soybeans, and milo is running behind. Hopefully the coming week will dry things enough on the surface to allow planting to start.

Tim Gorman
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 5:30 am

Global cooling will be seen first at the higher latitudes, not the lower latitudes like India.

Carlo, Monte
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 6:42 am

This N Indian heat wave was caused by CO2?

Bob Weber(@coolclimateinfo)
Reply to  Carlo, Monte
May 9, 2022 7:25 am

No, the N Indian heat wave was caused by intense early summer-like sunshine:

comment image

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Carlo, Monte
May 9, 2022 11:42 am

I think the heatwave in India and Pakistan is caused by the large low-pressure system sitting off the Indian coast pumping warm, moist air into the region, and the jet stream has pulled to the north allowing high pressure to dominate and warm the area.

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/500hPa/orthographic=76.99,20.25,264

Richard Page
Reply to  Carlo, Monte
May 9, 2022 12:20 pm

No it’s the same pattern that occurs every year – high temperatures with short ‘mango showers’ often up to 50C then the weather breaks with the start of the monsoon. This is the pre-monsoon weather that the region has experienced since before we puny humans moved there.

Old Man Winter
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 7:54 am

Obviously, you didn’t get the latest climate bulletin. Since GC can be caused by GW, TheTeam™ discovered GC can cause the evil GW. We can never escape evil GW! 😮

JCD NTexas
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 9, 2022 9:17 am

“Globally the average temperature…”

I live in Gunnison County Colorado at 8,300 ft where my ‘average temperature’ (if such a thing actually exists!) has little to do with the average temperature of my hometown of Houston, Texas. And an average of these two locations’ temperatures is an utterly meaningless number. The notion we actually have the means to produce such a measure of ‘planetary average temperature’ — much less a meaningful one — seems unlikely to me, at best.

Sturmudgeon
Reply to  JCD NTexas
May 9, 2022 3:40 pm

Now, THAT’S polite!

Allan MacRae
Reply to  Allan MacRae
May 9, 2022 2:44 am
Kit P
May 8, 2022 7:36 pm

Not just cold but wind and rain too.

I have been back in eastern Washington State for a week and have yet to go sailing.

I was delayed leaving the desert southwest because of family matters. So I was running the A/C at night. Wearing a shirt and shorts.

I was in double sweats by Ely, Nevada. Fortunately most of my drive was sunny and and below the snow line in the mountains. The electric blanket is back on the bed.

I am the only one in the campground. Only two fishing boats used the boat ramp on a Sunday. The forecast for the next few days cold and too much wind for safe sailing. That is when it is is not raining.

Johne Morton
May 8, 2022 7:39 pm

Here in Colorado Springs April was +4.1°F above average. 0.01 inches of total liquid equivalent precipitation. Virtually no snow. Red flag warnings every other day. Tired of La Niña, El Niño, we need you now!

Jeff L
Reply to  Johne Morton
May 8, 2022 7:45 pm

Trough over the NW = ridge over the Rockies
Classic La Niña!

May 8, 2022 8:28 pm

Here (from here) is the fairly similar surface temperature plot, suggesting it was even colder around the Dakotas etc:

comment image

However, as Cliff says, it was also very warm in Central Asia. There is always something to talk about.

Globally, April was cooler; the uptick in March was undone. 

Last edited 18 days ago by Nick Stokes
Derg
Reply to  Nick Stokes
May 9, 2022 1:32 am

Did you get a new extra blanket this year to fight climate change 😉

Reply to  Nick Stokes
May 9, 2022 2:57 am

Nick

Why 1951 to 1980? Please oh please just make the leap and listen to your own brain!

Reply to  bob boder
May 9, 2022 4:38 am

Because that is what GISS uses. I use GISS levels and colors so that I can compare each month. Here, from here, is the comparison for February:

comment image

I’m switching to Robinson projection, which will be complete in April.

Meab
Reply to  Nick Stokes
May 9, 2022 9:41 am

Cherry picking, Nick. 1951 through 1980 includes the “ice age cometh” years. It’s a dishonest way to make the map look more red. Most thinking people immediately recognize this deception but you fell for it.

bigoilbob
Reply to  Nick Stokes
May 9, 2022 1:20 pm

I’m switching to Robinson projection, which will be complete in April.”

Later in May? June?

Reply to  bigoilbob
May 9, 2022 2:41 pm

Well, I mean for April data. But yes, even then the future tense is passé. It’s here.

bigoilbob
Reply to  Nick Stokes
May 9, 2022 5:08 pm

Thanks Nick. If I should have followed the thread before I aksed.

Pat from Traralgon
May 8, 2022 8:52 pm

Climate models prove that global warming will make the world 97% colder or something. The only hope is to turn all power stations into wind chime factories.

No Name Guy
May 8, 2022 9:43 pm

I live in the greater Seattle area. I haven’t planted my garden yet. FB memories are telling me in past years my beans had already sprouted and were looking good. I’m waiting until we get some warm weather and get the soil temps up before planting. I’m worried as I’m losing growing days. The 10 day forecast has temps mostly in the mid 50’s, one low 60 degree day. Lows mostly in the low 40’s. It looks like it’ll be a later than average start to the mountain hiking season with all the late season snow and unseasonably slow snow pack melt.

How is the global temp? Are we seeing any effects from that South Pac volcano that popped its top a few months back?

Ireneusz Palmowski
Reply to  No Name Guy
May 8, 2022 11:55 pm

I live in Poland and I prepare tomato, cucumber and zucchini seedlings in early April in my apartment. I plant in the middle of May. I also plant beans only in May. I don’t see warming up in the spring.

Ben Vorlich
Reply to  Ireneusz Palmowski
May 9, 2022 4:51 am

My Mother in Law used to say she was born on Kidney Bean day, 12th May the day when it was safe to plant Kidney Beans. East Midlands of England

Old Man Winter
Reply to  No Name Guy
May 9, 2022 8:16 am

I can see why you’re worried it may not get warm enough. In July ’83, I visited Tacoma & they were
in the midst of a veritable heat wave with the temps in the mid-80s, ~5°F-10°F < W TX where I
lived. With the higher humidity, it felt ~ the same.

Meab
Reply to  No Name Guy
May 9, 2022 9:50 am

I also live on the Puget Sound. I started many vegetable garden plants indoors in my sun room. Had to use heated mats to get them to germinate, transplanted them outside a week ago – big mistake as the cold never let up. I also lost many decorative plants to the extreme cold this winter – 12 year old bromylaids gone.

RMT
May 8, 2022 10:19 pm

This extra cooling is obviously a consequence of global warming. Don’t let the definitions of words fool you. Just listen to your green environmentalist betters. They know what’s best for all of us….

TheFinalNail
Reply to  RMT
May 9, 2022 7:31 am

This extra cooling is obviously a consequence of global warming.

Global is the operative word there. 90% of the above messages refer to local weather. According to UAH, April 2022 was the joint 4th warmest in the satellite record, globally.

Doonman
Reply to  TheFinalNail
May 9, 2022 9:16 am

But it should be the first warmest everywhere each and every month because well distributed and higher CO2 levels result in higher back radiation everywhere. And when well distributed radiative gases increase in amount, the temperature must increase. It acts like a blanket trapping heat, remember?

That is The Theory ™ after all.

So it is apparent by both The Theory ™ and your statement that something is wrong.

The only question left is when you will realize CAGW has observational problems instead of making excuses.

Pat from Kerbob
Reply to  TheFinalNail
May 9, 2022 10:27 am

Why is it only the 4th warmest april?
Why not the warmest?
Why was 2021 supposedly only the 7th warmest, even though CO2 increases year by year?
Why wasn’t it the warmest?

We had some “heat domes” last year that you could not stop talking about, but 7th warmest means there was even more cold offsetting that.

Right?

Ireneusz Palmowski
May 8, 2022 11:22 pm

This is not the end of the frigid weather in western North America.comment imagecomment imagecomment image
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat_int/

Rah
Reply to  Ireneusz Palmowski
May 9, 2022 10:51 am

Yep! Both the European and GFS are showing dark blue in the NW next week. Lighter blue in almost all of CA, NB, UT, ID. and west WY.

Ireneusz Palmowski
May 8, 2022 11:44 pm

According to the ozone distribution, it is also cold in the northeastern United States. This shows that from autumn to spring, the stratosphere has a large influence on the surface temperature. This is due to the low troposphere in winter at high latitudes. The height of the tropopause decreases during La Niña periods.comment imagecomment image

Last edited 18 days ago by Ireneusz Palmowski
UK-Weather Lass
May 9, 2022 2:35 am

“Differences from normal, both warm and cold, are….well…normal.”

So simply put and how valuable would a scientist be who could tell us just what normal is if it isn’t what we think it is … and prove it to everybody’s satisfaction.

Michael in Dublin
May 9, 2022 2:52 am

The weather people promised us a lovely warm May in Ireland and the UK. Unfortunately the weather did not receive the memo. 🙁

Louis Nettles
May 9, 2022 3:52 am

IIRC the satellite records starts just before Mt. Saint Hellen exploded.

fretslider
May 9, 2022 4:00 am

Imagine if climate scientists and their ilk were treated like the snake oil salesman Mr Meriweather in Little Big Man, would only the torso remain?

Last edited 18 days ago by fretslider
May 9, 2022 7:47 am

Global temperature for April in the same level of the atmosphere according to the same dataset (UAH v6 lower troposphere) was .26 degree C warmer than the 1991-2020 baseline of this dataset, warmest in the past 6 months. https://www.drroyspencer.com/2022/05/uah-global-temperature-update-for-april-2022-0-26-deg-c/

Joel O’Bryan(@joelobryan)
May 9, 2022 7:57 am

Texas and New Mexico are roasting now under a sustained high pressure ridge. The sustained LaNina is likely causal to this pattern.

Greg Bacon
May 9, 2022 10:15 am

A whole article about cold weather. Why is there no mention of the record setting heat wave in India/Pakistan happening now?

Pat from Kerbob
Reply to  Greg Bacon
May 9, 2022 10:22 am

It did mention it, and it shows up in the map above.
Record setting heat? We had some of that last year, remember? Even with that they could only declare it the 7th hottest year ever, meaning whatever heat waves we had there was even more cold.
Right?

Rah
Reply to  Greg Bacon
May 9, 2022 11:54 am
Ireneusz Palmowski
Reply to  Greg Bacon
May 9, 2022 12:01 pm

In India, a very strong monsoon season will start along with the tropical cyclone. La Niña has pushed all the warm water into the Indian Ocean. The surface temperature of the Indian Ocean reaches 31 degrees C over large areas. Since the ocean surface cannot exceed this temperature, the ocean will release huge amounts of water vapor. Numerous tropical cyclones are formed.

Last edited 17 days ago by Ireneusz Palmowski
Ireneusz Palmowski
Reply to  Ireneusz Palmowski
May 9, 2022 12:10 pm

comment image

Richard Page
Reply to  Greg Bacon
May 9, 2022 12:31 pm

Absolute rubbish – highs are around 44C; that is nowhere near ‘record setting’ for pre-monsoon weather in India – if the temperatures go over 50C then we can take a closer look at the records but not until then. The shallow end of the media gene pool has once again been seething with unfounded and misleading fake weather news – don’t buy into it, it’s all B.S.

ResourceGuy
May 9, 2022 11:11 am

This could be the 22nd warmest year on record in the Pacific Northwest, at least according to the weekly talking points guide sheet of the paid agenda troll network. Isn’t that right Griff.

Let’s ask Christopher Steele also.

Jackie Pratt
May 9, 2022 1:03 pm

although it was a mild winter for North America (wasn’t it?), the spring has been mild, if not a bit downright chilly…

Mr. Ice Age please don’t start anytime soon (human time, not geological).

Jørgen F.
May 9, 2022 1:23 pm

..in Denmark we haven’t had a day yet where temperatures reached 20c (Tmax). A few days ago it was 23 years ago we last had to wait so long – the record being 2. june 1873 – ( the early record being 18. march 1990.)
A linear regression based on max temperatures tells me that spring has become approx. 1/2 degree colder the last 15 years pushing spring forward in the calender by 14 days. Tree leaf out hasn’t changed either the last 15 years.
It’s getting colder – and it has been like that for a while now.

Sturmudgeon
May 9, 2022 3:56 pm

Just for Information: Southern Stevens County, NE Wash. State… stopped burning wood in March.. back to burning this week and last… nighttime temps. to be near freezing tonight and tomorrow at least… very little garden planting done yet, and apprehensive about the Peach trees and sweet Cherries, which are in full bloom… likely will get up before the Sun, and spray water, in hopes that will get them through to “set”… have never kept any written records of temps. at this time of year, but it does seem cooler.

Michael S. Kelly
May 9, 2022 5:04 pm

It’s still very cold here in the mid-Atlantic states. It was 38 degrees F this morning, May 9. We’re practically at the longest daylight period of the year – it’s 8:02 pm Eastern Time, and still light outside. This entire spring has been just like today, but all I read is that it’s “the hottest on record.” I call BS on that.

Jeff Alberts
May 9, 2022 7:44 pm

Seemed pretty normal to me on Whidbey Island. 50s F.

Everything is just WAY too over-scrutinized. Every little blip is a major thing, no matter which camp you’re in. It’s all rather silly.

griff
May 10, 2022 2:19 am

and in India and Pakistan?

which are apparently invisible to Watts?

Ireneusz Palmowski
Reply to  griff
May 10, 2022 6:02 am

As you can see, La Niña is going strong.comment image

Harold
May 11, 2022 3:30 am

Has Mann paid his 25 million dollar judgement – yet?

It’s called ‘weather’ – couldn’t forecast it 200 years ago – can’t forecast today with all the technology at hand – this and COVID – y’all are a laughing stock.

Jeff Labute
May 12, 2022 12:02 pm

In the Pacific North West we keep hearing from UBC on how the ice wine industry will soon be destroyed.

I’d be curious in seeing every month of data for the PNW. According to April, the summers don’t seem to be getting any longer in this part of the world.

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