Texas Tribune: Not enough done to prevent another winter blackout

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

According to the Texas Tribune, the state government has not done enough to secure the supply of gas against another winter deep freeze.

“People should probably be worried”: Texas hasn’t done enough to prevent another winter blackout, experts say

Mitchell Ferman and Jon SchuppeTexas Tribune and NBC News

MIDLOTHIAN — After last winter’s freeze hamstrung power giant Vistra Corp.’s ability to keep electricity flowing for its millions of customers, CEO Curt Morgan said he’d never seen anything like it in his 40 years in the energy industry.

During the peak days of the storm, Vistra, Texas’ largest power generator, sent as much energy as it could to power the state’s failing grid, “often at the expense of making money,” he told lawmakers shortly after the storm.

But it wasn’t enough. The state’s grid neared complete collapse, millions lost power for days in subfreezing temperatures and more than 200 people died.

No matter what Morgan does, though, it won’t be enough to prevent another disaster if there is another severe freeze, he said.

That’s because the state still hasn’t fixed the critical problem that paralyzed his plants: maintaining a sufficient supply of natural gas, Morgan said.

Read more: https://www.texastribune.org/2021/11/29/texas-power-grid-winter-storm/

If only there was a cheap, readily available power station fuel which could be stockpiled in a large heap using a bulldozer, which didn’t need expensive containment measures like enormous gas cylinders, or government intervention in the supply chain to secure supply, so even if extraction and shipping breaks down due to weather, power stations would have enough fuel onsite to keep operating until the crisis passed.

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Editor
December 2, 2021 10:54 am

What are the odds of this happening in Texas two years in a row?

comment image

Reply to  David Middleton
December 2, 2021 10:57 am

The February 2021 Arctic blast was essentially unprecedented…

Oklahoma City set a record for its longest straight period of temperatures at or below 20 degrees: 210 hours between Feb. 9 and 17 beat its previous record in 1983. The temperature dipped to minus-14 degrees on Feb. 16, the city’s lowest since 1899.

Dallas experienced its second-longest streak of temperatures at or below freezing and at or below 20 degrees, and reached its third-coldest temperature on record: minus-2 degrees.

Houston, which was placed under its first wind chill warning, observed a wind chill of 1 degree, its lowest since at least 1990, according to meteorologist Alex Lamers. Its high temperature of 25 degrees was its fourth coldest on record.

Kansas City set a record for the longest stretch with temperatures at or below 15 degrees, at 10 days.

Washington Post

February 16 was actually tied for the second lowest DFW temperature on record.

Coldest temp in over 70 years and the 2nd coldest temp ever recorded in the D-FW area
On Feb. 16 the temperature dropped to -2°.

This ties the 2nd coldest temp ever recorded.

On Jan. 31, 1949 the temperature also dropped to -2°.

The only time it has been colder was -8° back on February 12, 1899.

3 days in a row of record lows
Feb. 14, 15, and 16 all observed record low temps.

Feb. 14 the low was 9°, which shattered the old record of 15° set in 1936.

Feb. 15 the low was 4°, which shattered the old record of 15° set in 1909.

Feb. 16 the low was -2°, which shattered the old record of 12° set in 1903.

3 days of record cold high temperatures
From Feb. 14 to 16, all three days observed record cold high temperatures.

This means the afternoon was the coldest on that date that is ever been observed.

Feb. 14 the high was 22°. This breaks the old record of 27° set in 1951.

Feb. 15 the high was 14°, which shattered the old record of 31° set in 1909.

Feb. 16 the high was 18°, which breaks the old record of 21° set in 1903.

WFAA

Abolition Man
Reply to  David Middleton
December 2, 2021 11:31 am

Thanks, David!
It really warms the cockles of my heart looking forward to the cooling of the Misanthropic Era!
The climate conmen need to get rich quickly before their funding gets frozen along with numerous energy-impoverished high latitude dwellers!

Jeffery P
Reply to  David Middleton
December 2, 2021 11:50 am

In this case, “unprecedented” really means “unprecedented.” That’s not usually how that word is used when talking about the climate.

December 2, 2021 1:44 pm

Why is it the responsibility of the Texas state Government to fix the problem? Shouldn’t the utilities fix it?

MarkW
Reply to  Retired_Engineer_Jim
December 2, 2021 2:27 pm

The utilities in Texas can’t do anything without the permission of the Public Utilities Commission.
In other words, government.

December 2, 2021 2:26 pm

You could just run the pipeline compressors on gas to much the same effect. Gas from storage was keeping up with power station demand until grid mismanagement led to major trips that cut power to electric pumping on the pipelines, starving the power stations of fuel. There was enough dry gas (not liable to hydrate icing) in store to have ridden through the incident, despite the loss of production volumes.

The real problem was lack of dispatchable capacity to allow demand to be met with sufficient reserve to handle any outages. Maybe that can be handled by trying to minimise maintenance in midwinter, shifting it to shoulder seasons when extreme demand is unlikely. But I think that is probably insufficient. So Texas is going to need a market in firm dispatchable capacity, not open to intermittent sources, to provide sufficient revenue to ensure that backup plant can afford to keep itself at the ready.

Might want to top up that storage though.

South Central NG storagechart.png
Editor
December 2, 2021 2:32 pm

Thanks Eric. Sometimes it takes a smart Australian to see the problems right here in Texas! Thank goodness I’m not on ERCOT, I have Entergy and a backup generator that runs on natural gas. When the power goes out my neighbors hate me.

When will people notice that during the winter there is no wind? Duhhh!

Joe B
December 3, 2021 5:22 am

The single biggest reason for the Texas grid shut down – of several – was the number of compressors that went offline as rolling electricity shut downs took place. (These initial shut downs were largely prompted by the near cessation of electricity from the wind turbines).
As the compressors stopped, there was no fuel – natgas – moving downstream to the Combined Cycle plants, causing them to shut down.
This rapidly spiraled into a self perpetuating loop of offline compressors causing more gas generators shutting down.
The excruciatingly embarrassing part is that the compressor operators merely needed to pre-notify ERCOT that they were a Critical Infrastructure (like police/fire/hospital ) and thus spared the micro precise process of targeted blackouts.

Ulkair
December 6, 2021 4:33 pm

Hopefully more texas freeze to death. The more dead the more they will realize that all this alarmisim is bunk.