A few days ago I tweeted this in response to a tweet from Ryan Maue:
Climate Change causes EXTREME CALM!
Originally tweeted by Charles Rotter (@crotter8) on October 9, 2021.
Here is a more comprehensive take on the subject. Reposted from MasterResource
“Global Stilling” from Global Warming (latest EU/UK energy excuse)
By Robert Bradley Jr. — October 12, 2021
“The explanation of [wind speed anomalies] points to the phenomenon called global stilling and it is related to #climatechange induced warming in the poles.” (Roberta Boscolo, UN World Meteorological Organization, below)
“… we were told not to worry … it would resolve itself, they said, either because wind is usually blowing somewhere, or through the development of electricity storage in giant battery farms. This was plain wrong.” (Matt Ridley, September 20, 2021)
The present UK/EU energy crises, expected to head into the winter, have much to do with forced energy transformation from coal/natural gas to wind/solar. After looking the other way, the mainstream media now recognizes the problem but is offering excuses.
Excuses, excuses. It’s COVID and an economic snap-back that was faster than expected, as well as poorly coordinated international energy planning, states Thomas Friedman in the New York Times. Or it’s just a cost of doing business in the climate emergency: a bump in the road, not overinvestment in dilute, intermittent energies and underinvestment in dense, mineral energies.
Add something else. Someone, somewhere has a brand new theory–and the cause of the global energy crisis is … you and me via the human influence on climate. Global warming for global stillness….
Surprising? Not really. The human influence on climate is all bad things, after all. (Anthropogenic benefits? That’s politically incorrect, relegated to the sidelines.)
———————————-
Add to our sins global stillness, which is responsible for the lower-than-expected wind output of northern Europe and is allegedly caused by global warming. A consulting firm, Vortex, calculated that up to 15 percent less wind on average was occurring. (Never mind that other studies point toward the opposite, so “Wind Speeds Drop as They Speed Up!“)
Roberta Boscolo, Lead of Climate & Energy, UN World Meteorological Organization, stated:
Great coverage of Financial Times on the wind speed anomalies that affected #windpower generation in Europe. According to @vortex (https://lnkd.in/dsGt8Fb7) the wind strength across northern Europe was 15% less on average since the beginning of 2021. The explanation of this trend points to the phenomenon called global stilling and it is related to #climatechange induced warming in the poles.
An article in the Financial Times (paywall), “Europe’s electricity generation from wind blown off course,” pushed this narrative.
On LinkedIn, where you can actually debate climate science issues, some comments raised some questions to one Stilling post.
“Of course, more hurricanes and cyclones from climate change, but also less wind because climate change. Completely logical.” (Geoff Cruickshank)
“Climate change the great explainer for everything. All of a sudden we have this global shortage of energy yet 2 years ago the papers were full of oil and gas consumption falling due to energy efficiencies, renewable capacity increasing, nuclear, electric cars, hybrids etc, all softening demand. Two yrs ago the price of renewable energy stocks like Vestas, Hylion, Siemens price going through the roof and barrel of oil on the floor. Now renewables share prices getting hammered…. ” (Michael Desmond)
“Having priced and structured many derivatives on wind speed, a monthly average windspeed 15% lower than average is not that big and will happen sometimes…. In terms of wind stilling causing these low speeds this year it may have had an impact, however it will be dwarfed by the volatility in the wind speed that is usually there.” (Antony Stace)
“One possible explanation is that we always underestimate the range of natural variability. “Since records began” , “in living memory” are pretty irrelevant when establishing a realistic base-line and ranges. Maybe, just maybe, periods of calm are normal, if not frequent or typical….” (Richard Norris)
And of course I had to chime in:
Climate change lost my homework.
We live in a crazy world where emotions and agenda drive climate science, at least in the telling. The experts are getting edgy and concerned; will midcourse corrections be made?
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Solution: glue ER protesters stuck in front of windmill and tell them: blow, blow, whilst Greta addresses the blades to not dare not turning.
Here’s this morning’s weather radar report from the NWS peeps:
Freeze warnings north of San Francisco; hard frost and freeze warning in NM spilling into Texas, blizzard warnings in Wyoming and snow/freezing weather in surrounding states.
This all comes when it should but the world is somehow burning up? It comes up as rather normal weather forecasting for this time of year, so where is all that globull s–t warming coming from, huh?
The OFA says my general area will likely have a cold but dry winter this time (meaning less snow than last winter) which might be good since we’ve had so much rain this summer and into fall. And my new furnace is more fuel-efficient than the old one, which is a bonus. It’s been 10 years since the last blizzard piled 4’7″ of snow against my storm door and my neighbor had to dig me out. I have a bodacious photo of that pile of snow, too.
So just where is this globull warming I keep hearing about? And where does this “globull stilling” exist?
“This all comes when it should but the world is somehow burning up? It comes up as rather normal weather forecasting for this time of year, so where is all that globull s–t warming coming from, huh?”
AGW does not exist solely in your back garden, or at any specific time of year ….
It’s called weather.
The moving around of airmasses.
Notice how the opposite side of the swing of the pendulum is giving the eastern US and especially Canada temp anomalies of + 10C, balancing the – 10C anomalies over parts of the Rockies.
I noticed the temperature differences this morning when I looked at the weather map. We have been inundated with rain for weeks now, where I live, and the temps are now normal for where I am at this time of year. But we should be having “fall/autumn” colors, and instead, everything is still green, or just dropping dead leaves. Upsets in the weather cycles sometimes do happen.There have been chinooks in the middle of winter when I lived in the center of the state (grade school thru high school) and no one thought anything about it other than the roads were clearing out.
And when I look at all that cold air in Europe (on the map) flowing south into Africa, I don’t think that is a coincidence.
I’m starting to notice more and more people calling bullshit, even if they believe in catastrophic climate change.
Here again, we have an example of believing at least 6 impossible things before breakfast… lo
If your models were any good, how come you went and built a bunch of wind turbines where the winds would go calm?
Modified from commentor below:
“LULZ before the storm”.
The “scientists say” part is how you know it’s bona fide and true.
”Climate change” or “global warming” are the wagon, observations are the horse. Wherever the horse goes the wagon follows and the useless idiots keep explaining how the wagon is pushing the horse. The wagon tracks are human CO2 emissions.
It’s complicated.
1) Since the effective emission height for CO2 is well into the stratosphere, adding more CO2 will lead to overall cooling of the planet. Ignore the irrelevancies of downwelling IR. It is meaningless in the overall picture.
2) More CO2 also will also aide the latitudinal distribution of energy. Hence, the energy we do get will spread out more evenly across the planet. As a result, differences in temperature will be reduced and the average wind speed will be reduced.
So, it is likely this wind reduction will continue into the future.
Don’t still waters reflect more IR and visible light. Maybe this is the beginning of a great cooling! 🙂
We humans cannot effect the seas or the air in any meaningful way: we are insignificant in the grand scheme of things. BUT we can destroy our lives and economies by controlling energy, water and food sources. Having human wealth managed by our deep state government is generating crisis after crisis which could cause major disruption of our culture and lead to war. None of that will change the weather. The sun is our life source and we cannot control it or anything else of celestial magnitude. Read C.S. Lewis for a reasoned view of life.
An overall reduction in average wind speeds (if true) could have some beneficial effects, particularly in winter. Weather forecasters often mention “wind chill factor”, where exposed skin “feels” colder during high winds than during on calm days, for the same outdoor temperature. This is due to the fact that heat loss from the skin surface is faster in windy weather (with turbulent air flow over the surface) than in calm weather, when the heat transfer by conduction only is much slower. This is the reason why people like to sit in front of fans during hot weather, to increase the heat loss rate.
This is also true for buildings. In cold, windy weather, the heat loss rate on the windward side of a building is much faster than in calm weather at the same outdoor temperature (heat transfer is faster in turbulent air flow than in laminar air flow in calm weather). This means that a reduction in average wind speeds will tend to lower the amount of fossil fuels (gas or heating oil) to be burned to keep peoples’ houses or offices comfortably warm.
This could make up for the reduced power generated by wind turbines. There would also be a benefit for predatory birds, who have less chances of being killed by a wind turbine turning slowly than a wind turbine spinning rapidly in high winds.
Well, I do have to drop this in here:
Wind has currents, as do water bodies, and sometimes, they just are not obvious to the casual observer. Water bodies may be still and quiet on the surface, but there are currents below that are invisible to the “observer” , just as the atmosphere has currents that don’t show up on the weather maps. It is short-sighted and lacks understanding something that appears to be calm, when it is not, to say “Omigodd!! There isn’t any motion in the whatever!!! We’re doomed! Doomed, I tellya!!”
If you’ve ever lived in farm country, you know that there are days when there is literally NOT a breath of air stirring and it’s like being under a glass dome. And then WHOOSSHHH! in comes the storm and people complain even more because it’s so windy!!!
Falsifiability is the one and only necessary and sufficient condition for a theory to be scientific and therefore fall under the purview of science. If a hypothesis is not falsifiable, it cannot be considered scientific, and thereby disqualifies from the realm of science as well as from scientific discourse.