The dark side of California – the sunshine state

Our resident cartoonist Josh has come up with a political cartoon response to the “rolling blackouts” in California.

For some background, see these two WUWT posts:

CAISO President: California Power Grid teetering close to the edge of collapse

and

In CAISO Emergency Break Glass

Like his work? Buy him a pint.

47 thoughts on “The dark side of California – the sunshine state

  1. Some states have seen NG plants close because they are very old ones and new NG peaker plants are not being built in some sunny places because they cannot compete with solar with grid batteries (AZ). But only in California do they close NG plants when they are definitely needed in a high priced wholesale market. Add them to the list of states waiting around for Federal money to bail them out for being consistently ignorant, alongside Illinois, NY, and NJ.

    • Taiwan was really smacked by SARS. The result was that Taiwan, having learned from its experience, was ready for the WuFlu and took quick and effective action without shutting down its economy.

      California was really smacked by the Enron debacle. Sadly, unlike Taiwan, California seems to be incapable of learning from its mistakes.

      I’m no expert but the current mess in California sure smells like the Enron mess. Does anyone disagree that criminally stupid government policies set the stage for both messes?

      • The ENRON mess was the result of a short-term market manipulation by unscrupulous actors working in a de-regulated void of a monopolistic utility resource. It was monolpoly for the consumer as the customers couldn’t opt out of their provider (people only had one electricity provider like CalEd or PG&E as end users).

        This current Black-out fiasco is years in the making. It is directly due to Democrats believing effectively in magic and forcing the power utilities via mandates and regulatory oversight to also act on those magical beliefs. It is akin to a belief in magic to expect that unreliable wind and solar could substitute for reliable base-load generation sources. It was predicted. It is just those predictions were not heeded by the planners being shackled by politicians believing in solar and wind unicorns.

        • It is a lie that the CA utility market was ever deregulated.
          There were at least as many new regulations as the previous regime, they were just different, and poorly thought out.

      • Here’s what I was talking about re. Enron:

        After passage of the deregulation law, California had a total of 38 Stage 3 rolling blackouts declared, until federal regulators intervened during June 2001. These blackouts occurred as a result of a poorly designed market system that was manipulated by traders and marketers, as well as from poor state management and regulatory oversight. Subsequently, Enron traders were revealed as intentionally encouraging the removal of power from the market during California’s energy crisis by encouraging suppliers to shut down plants to perform unnecessary maintenance, as documented in recordings made at the time. These acts contributed to the need for rolling blackouts, which adversely affected many businesses dependent upon a reliable supply of electricity, and inconvenienced a large number of retail customers. This scattered supply increased the price, and Enron traders were thus able to sell power at premium prices, sometimes up to a factor of 20x its normal peak value. link

        Government ineptitude made it possible for traders to game the system to the disadvantage of California consumers. I’m not sure I would call the traders corrupt for playing the game according to the rules. Were any of them even prosecuted? Yep. OK, I guess they were corrupt.

        • Wait until the unemployed youth start playing “nightlight” ( when several wind turbines are tied together with cord in there blades ) shoot a small cord attached to a heavy steel one .

    • Grid batteries in AZ? I find that hard to believe. Any possible reference would be appreciated.

    • The only way solar with grid batteries can compete with NG is when the solar is heavily subsidized.

    • I just got an email from TEP (our Tucson provider) asking to conserve afternoon energy so they will have some “left over” to sell at exorbitant rates to CA…. 🙂

      • Hmm. I don’t have one in my inbox…

        Maybe they know how I would reply. The California idiots pay Arizona to take their oversupply when the wind blows too much – and pays Arizona to make up their shortfall when it doesn’t.

        Yet my electric bill keeps going up. While they send a little flyer in every larger bill about all they are doing to imitate the idiots.

      • And again for today…… 🙂

        “TEP Requests Second Day of Voluntary Energy Conservation from 3-8 p.m.

        August 19, 2020 – After yesterday’s call for conservation helped avert regional energy shortages, Tucson Electric Power (TEP) is asking customers again today to reduce energy use between 3-8 p.m. to limit strain on the western grid.

        Although TEP expects to have enough energy to serve our customers, we’re joining other Arizona utilities in calling for a second day of voluntary energy conservation to support reliability throughout the southwestern United States. Similar calls are being issued by Arizona Public Service, UniSource Energy Services and Trico.

        “We saw a meaningful impact on peak energy use as customers responded to the call yesterday,” said Erik Bakken, Vice President of System Operations and Energy Resources. “Thank you to everyone who participated, and we appreciate continued efforts again today as we try to do our part to support regional electric reliability”

        Today is likely the last day such efforts will be needed, Bakken said, as weather forecasts and wholesale energy prices indicate easing pressure on energy supplies beginning tomorrow.”

    • There’s really no such thing as solar with grid batteries. The world’s largest grid battery back-up, the Hornsdale Power Reserve in Australia, can supply 70 MW for just 10 minutes or 30 MW for 3 hours. It cost about $100 million US. To back up a 1000 MW solar farm, the size of a single nuclear power plant, for 12 hours overnight you would need a backup battery 133 times larger for a total battery cost approaching the cost of a nuclear plant. Even at that, a battery that big wouldn’t be large enough to get through a few cloudy days. The total cost, including the cost of the solar farm itself, accounting for Solar’s low availability factor, would be twice what a nuclear plant costs. So what does Hornsdale do? It backs up wind power just long enough to bring a Natural Gas turbine on line when the wind dies down, and it charges when power is cheap, and discharges when power is expensive.

    • Yes, they are the sunshine state without much solar PV.

      For the month of April 2020, Florida got 79.3% of their in-state generated electricity from natural gas, 11.2% from nuclear power, 4.7% from coal, and a paltry 4.8% from wind and solar (zero from hydro). About 1/3 of their renewable production was solar PV, or 1.6% of total.
      Their baseload generation means that they won’t “California their grid” unless socialist Federal policies from Biden-Harris communist government forces them to.

      Compare that to the Peoples Republik of Kalifornia (PRK), currently enjoying their Socialist Green virtue of blackouts:
      For the month of April 2020:
      The PRK got 34.6% of their in-state generated electricity from natural gas, 14.2% from hydroelectric, 11.7% from nuclear power, 0.0% from coal, and a 39.5% from wind and solar, split pretty evenly between wind and solar, or about 19% from solar PV.

      That huge dependence by the PRK on unreliable, intermittent wind and solar at almost 40% of instate production is why this week they are facing blackouts of unprecedented scale and it will only get worse in the coming years.

      Meanwhile Florida at less than 2% from solar PV enjoys the sunshine and night-time A/C and lights without interruption.

      • Their baseload generation means that they won’t “California Kalifornicate their grid”

        Fixed it for you.

      • “and a 39.5% from wind and solar, split pretty evenly between wind and solar, or about 19% from solar PV.

        That huge dependence by the PRK on unreliable, intermittent wind and solar at almost 40% of instate production is why this week they are facing blackouts of unprecedented scale and it will only get worse in the coming years.”

        Yes, somewhere in that range is the breaking point for wind and solar South Australia is about 35 percent wind and solar. Germany is in that range. They are reaching their limits, it appears. Troubles seem to be popping up everywhere this is tried.

        Nuclear reactors are the solution. Forget the wind and solar. They are very expensive deadends, as we are starting to see. It’s delusional to think it is a good idea to pave the world with windmills and solar farms. It’s a *very* bad idea.

  2. Well, they don’t have any major fires this time to blame the grid failure on. The disgusting cretins claimed last time that they had to turn the power off to keep people from burning up. This time, people on a desert or near-desert climate are literally burning up in no-AC buildings. This story got barely a peep on any of the National fake newscasts, but they whined on and on the last time around.

    • Yep, they don’t have the high and dry winds from the East downsloping off the Sierra’s to blame for this one.

      The unreliable, intermittency of solar and wind is now biting them hard. Not only with black-outs but ever higher bills. As I write this (2:07 pm) , I have window open on my browser that shows that CA ISO is paying over $691/MW-hr on the spot market to cover the margins for all of Southern California. And for the rest of central and Sacrament to the Bay Area, CA-ISO is paying over $100 MW-hr on the margins to cover demand.

      That slaps the rate payers hard at the end of the month when those spot market electricity buys are put on everyone’s bills there.

      • “Yep, they don’t have the high and dry winds from the East downsloping off the Sierra’s to blame for this one.”

        I’ve read that some commenter, perhaps a politician, is saying that utilities are blacking out areas where the wind is high, in a too-precautionary manner, although the real risk of a fire is low.

  3. During the last rolling blackouts, I worked on a campus that had diesel generator backup. It encouraged a lot of us to stay at work until the power came back on.

  4. People who lived in Bulgaria in 1959 knows this well.

    Back to the Future … California Edition.

  5. AARGH63 is right. Florida is the “Sunshine State.”

    California is the “Golden State.” Would have been funny except Josh got the wrong state.

    • He might have got the State wrong, but he didn’t get the state wrong, although I had no blackouts here in The East Bay.

    • Nothing wrong with retiring older plants and replacing them with newer, more efficient designs. But that is not what California did of course.
      They believed in the solar and wind that would unicorns would ride to their rescue with cheap, emissions free electricity as the ordered older NG plants shutdown. It was epic stupidity, not just simple ignorance because the predictions from independent experts that this would happen were always there if they bothered to heed to them. They purposefully chose not to, and went with corrupt university academics like a certain Civl Engineering professor at Stanford spewing engineering malfeasance paid off by the Steyer Green Slime machine.

      • Part of their magic thinking is that peaker plants can be replaced by backup battery farms like Tesla’s.

  6. I used to comute through the Altamont Pass windmill farm by train quite regularly. When others on the train would gush about renewables I had a standard response. What happens when there is fog over 1,200 feet deep and zero MPH wind speed? Crickets.

    pbh

  7. Regarding the rolling electricity blackouts in California – as we predicted in our 2002 publication:

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/08/15/in-caiso-emergency-break-glass/#comment-3062342

    Quelle surprise! In 2002 Dr Sallie Baliunas, Astrophysicist, Harvard-Smithsonian, Dr Tim Patterson, Paleoclimatologist, Carleton U and Allan MacRae TOLD YOU SO 18 YEARS AGO:

    friendsofscience.org/assets/documents/KyotoAPEGA2002REV1.pdf

    1. “CLIMATE SCIENCE DOES NOT SUPPORT THE THEORY OF CATASTROPHIC HUMAN-MADE GLOBAL WARMING – THE ALLEGED WARMING CRISIS DOES NOT EXIST.”
    See Michael Shellenberger’s 2020 confession “On Behalf Of Environmentalists, I Apologize For The Climate Scare”. quillette.com/2020/06/30/on-behalf-of-environmentalists-i-apologize-for-the-climate-scare/

    2. “THE ULTIMATE AGENDA OF PRO-KYOTO ADVOCATES IS TO ELIMINATE FOSSIL FUELS, BUT THIS WOULD RESULT IN A CATASTROPHIC SHORTFALL IN GLOBAL ENERGY SUPPLY – THE WASTEFUL, INEFFICIENT ENERGY SOLUTIONS PROPOSED BY KYOTO ADVOCATES SIMPLY CANNOT REPLACE FOSSIL FUELS.”
    See Michael Moore’s 2020 film “Planet of the Humans”. youtube.com/watch?v=Zk11vI-7czE

    The green objective is to destroy prosperity and move the USA into a planned economy – with a few rich at the top looking down on the many poor peasants. That model now describes most of the countries in the world. Europe and Canada are far down that “road to Venezuela”, and the USA will follow if Biden and the Demo-Marxists are elected.

  8. …as long as those clowns don’t move over here, they can suffer in their own dark night.

    Anyone who is dumb enough to believe that “renewables” are the wave of the future gets no sympathy from me.

    A nuclear plant like something the size of the nuke plant on an aircraft carrier could support a small town, maybe several towns or an entire country. I asked a good friend who spent a good portion of his Navy career on a bird farm (aircraft carrier) what the comparison of the ship’s nuke plant would be to a standard nuclear plant like a reactor downstate from me, which serves over 4 million customers. Considering that it has to both run the ship’s engines and provide juice to the ship’s systems such as electronics and electricity, he said it can be compared to the needs of a heavily populated county.

    But let’s do watch while those birdbrained ecohippies ruin their own cities in LaLaLand. Reality is the best teacher, in my view.

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