Cold pattern continues for much of the US with the next impressive Arctic blast arriving late in the week in the Mid-Atlantic/NE US and another one early next week

Guest post by Paul Dorian

12Z GFS forecast maps of 500 mb height anomalies show strong ridging from Alaska to the west coasts of Canada and the US both late this week (left) and early next week (right). This type of upper-level air flow will allow for the transport of these next couple of Arctic air masses from northern Canada into the central and eastern US. Maps courtesy NOAA, tropicaltidbits.com

12Z GFS forecast maps of 500 mb height anomalies show strong ridging from Alaska to the west coasts of Canada and the US both late this week (left) and early next week (right). This type of upper-level air flow will allow for the transport of these next couple of Arctic air masses from northern Canada into the central and eastern US. Maps courtesy NOAA, tropicaltidbits.com

Overview

November has started off much colder-than-normal across the nation and there won’t be any let up for the eastern 2/3rds of the nation into at least the middle part of the month. The cold start to the month follows a colder-than-normal October across the CONUS with more than twelve-hundred sites experiencing the lowest temperature ever in the month of October and, even-more impressive, many locations set their monthly record for the month as a whole. Multiple cold air outbreaks will ride along the polar jet stream during the next couple of weeks from the northern part of Canada to the Mid-Atlantic/NE US with the first one arriving in the Thursday night/Friday time frame and another next Monday. The late week cold blast will also feature rain-changing-to-snow in parts of the interior Mid-Atlantic and NE US and several inches can accumulate from western New York State to upstate Maine.

The nation as a whole was colder-than-normal during the month of October (left) and has started well below-normal in November (right). Maps courtesy Weather Bell Analytics, NOAA

The nation as a whole was colder-than-normal during the month of October (left) and has started well below-normal in November (right). Maps courtesy Weather Bell Analytics, NOAA

Recap of the October cold

A few of the standout new monthly lows (data courtesy of NOAA, “electroverse.net”):

· Eureka, NV‘s reading of 2°F on October 30 broke the previous monthly record of 3°F set back 1971, and is now the town’s lowest-ever October temperature in 131 years of data.

· McDermitt, NV set a new cold-record in books dating back 127 years — last month’s -10°F busted the previous record October-low of -6°F set in 2002.

· Lamar, CO‘s Halloween low of 1°F is now the coldest October temperature since records began some 126 years ago, smashing 1991’s previous record of 8°F.

· Haskell, TX surpassed its previous monthly low from way back in 1917 — the 18°F observed on the 31st is now the city’s lowest-October temperature in the record books dating back to 1893.

In terms of monthly temperature records, a few of the noteworthy highlights included Spokane, WA which suffered its coldest October-ever in the record books dating back to 1881. The National Weather Service data confirms the average temperature of 42.3°F observed last month broke the city’s all-time record of 42.8°F set way back in October 1905 (the Centennial Minimum). Also worth nothing is that three out of four of Spokane’s coldest Octobers ever (in 138 years of records) have occurred this century — including 2002 and 2009. Another example included Rapid City, SD — the NWS reports that the average temp of 38.1°F registered at Rapid City Airport was the coldest-ever for the month of October in books going back 100+ years, beating out the old record of 38.7°F from 2009.

Finally, the coldest temperature ever recorded in the continental US during the month of October was likely set in Peter Sinks, Utah. Peter Sinks is a natural sinkhole in the northern part of Utah at an elevation of around 8000 feet and is known for its highly localized effects.  Nonetheless, the unofficial overnight low temperature there of -43.6°F on 30 October was pretty amazing. Nearby Salt Lake City, Utah provided some supporting evidence of the extreme cold on that day as it set a low temperature record of 14°F for 30 October and records there go all the way back to 1874.

These “backward trajectory” plots display movement of air parcels from way up in Canada to Atlanta, Georgia (left) and New York City (right) for the late week Arctic blast. Maps courtesy NOAA

These “backward trajectory” plots display movement of air parcels from way up in Canada to Atlanta, Georgia (left) and New York City (right) for the late week Arctic blast. Maps courtesy NOAA

Late week cold blast

A significant cold air outbreak is headed to the Mid-Atlantic/NE US from the northern part of Canada at the end of the work week. As high pressure ridging intensifies across Alaska and western Canada, the upper-level air flow will develop in a manner which allows for the transport of air from way up in Canada to the central and eastern US. In fact, forecast maps of “backward-trajectories” ending on Saturday morning depict air movement from northern Canada into places like New York City and even into the Southeast US (Atlanta, GA). This type of upper air pattern was an important factor in the 2019-2020 “Winter Outlook” issued by Perspecta Weather in October.

As the cold air pushes to the southeast late this week, moisture will push northeast along the advancing frontal boundary zone. This should result in a rain-changing-to-snow scenario in much of the interior Mid-Atlantic and NE US with several inches of accumulating snow possible from western NY to upstate Maine by Friday morning. In addition, the Great Lakes “snow machine” will get turned on late in the week as the unusually cold air crosses over the still relatively warm waters causing instability in the lower part of the atmosphere for downstream locations. While there can be some snow shower activity in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor with the arrival of the cold air at week’s end, the bigger story in these areas will be the cold.

The colder-than-normal pattern continues for the eastern 2/3rds of the nation through mid-month with average 850 mb temperature anomalies for days 6-10 (left) and days 11-15 (right). Maps courtesy NOAA, tropicaltidbits.com

The colder-than-normal pattern continues for the eastern 2/3rds of the nation through mid-month with average 850 mb temperature anomalies for days 6-10 (left) and days 11-15 (right). Maps courtesy NOAA, tropicaltidbits.com

Cold blast early next week

All signs point to another cold air outbreak for the central and eastern US early next week and this too can feature snow in interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic/NE US and Great Lakes. Much like the late week cold air outbreak, this next air mass will drop southeastward across Canada and then push through the Great Lakes to the eastern seaboard. Once the cold air is established, we’ll have to watch for a possible wave of energy to rotate through the upper-level trough which could result in snowfall for the Mid-Atlantic/NE US by the middle of next week. Looking even farther ahead, it appears this colder-than-normal weather pattern that began in the eastern US on the very first day of the month may very well continue for much of the month of November.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian

Perspecta, Inc.

perspectaweather.com

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148 thoughts on “Cold pattern continues for much of the US with the next impressive Arctic blast arriving late in the week in the Mid-Atlantic/NE US and another one early next week

  1. Paul

    How is the cold/snow compaired with last year,? I know you guys had a long cold winter last year, are the starting dates for this current cold spell earlier than last year?

    Northern and north east Europe are also into a very cold spell with cold and snow records being broken in Sweden, have a look at the total snow accumulations for the N/H note it’s way out of the average again and started much earlier, it does not cover mountain snow

    http://www.globsnow.info/swe/GCW/GCW_Snow_Watch_plot_20191104_SWE_NRT_v1.3.png

    • Last year on Nov 30th was the 1st time I, in my 50 years on this planet, had ever been ice fishing that early.

      5” of ice on a Lake south of the Twin Cities. This winter is starting out much colder 🙁

      • Yep so cold yet MSM Completly ignore all this real climate news, I have already part funded a pending court case against the BBC there blatant biased reporting is against there charter. How much luck we will have with a increasingly left wing judiciary is to be seen.

          • You know that article is some what deceiving, it attributes a polar vortex as being driven by climate change,its not polar vortexes have been happening for ever its natural event vortexes are ethier weak or strong a weak vortex moving cold air south is due to sudden stratospheric warming.amongest other things,again this is not a new phenomenon ,what you produce is at best a interpretation of climatology goop ,you need decades of observations to show if climate change is having a perverse effect on polar vortexes ,considering climatology has been telling us for decades were going to cook and it has not happened I would take any junk article like you produce and light the fire with it.

      • As of yesterday, Finland broke twice the all time autumn low… -28.2 degrees C. Which is only observed in december or january…

        • -14C here in Finland today, ice building on the sea – snow has been on the ground 2 weeks already – exceptional for this area of Finland for October, early November.

        • . . . and alarmists and the MSM industrial complex give a balanced look at hot and cold?? /snark

      • Krishna Gans

        What about having first a look at Germany?

        Berlin

        1. Forecast December 2019
        https://www.accuweather.com/en/de/berlin/10178/december-weather/178087?year=2019

        2. Forecast January 2020
        https://www.accuweather.com/en/de/berlin/10178/january-weather/178087?year=2020

        Do you want me to remind you about Berlin’s temperatures in 2014, 2011?
        And in 1986, 1963, 1956?

        It’s amazing to see people always telling ‘nothing unusual’ when it gets warm, but cr<ying and shouting when it gets cold.

        iceage.info?
        Pffff.

        • Forcasts one and two months away, yes very convincing I am sure.
          Why compare one City in a small country to half of the USA, Norway, Sweden, Finland, Southern Australia and Russia?
          All of those places where Cold Records have been broken by large amounts not the 0.01 of a degree like warm ones.

          Getting worried that evidence no longer supports your CAGW meme?

        • Haha, you’re trying to use Accuweather’s speculative long-range forecast as an argument in a discussion? I think I might have some property on the moon I could sell you!

          • i contacted “accuweather” about a couple of high temps in the 50 to 60 degree C range a while back when they still had historical data on their site. Pretty unusual temps for northern Minnesota one would think Never heard back from them.

            For fun I now take a screen shot on a month by month basis for the forecast and compare it to the actual data a month later. Always interesting.

        • I’m laughing at all these replies.

          Why?

          Because while CONUS experienced harsh low temps during the last two winters (remember Cotton, MN with -49 °C, Mt Carroll, IL with -40 °C), Western Europe (and thus not only ‘a little country’) had very mild winters, including UK despite some claims about -20 °C on one or two February days.

          And these two very mild winters were predicted by… exactly this NOAA so many of you discredit all the time.

          When I read ‘All of those places where Cold Records have been broken by large amounts ‘, I would appreciate real information about this: that means, NOT coming from professional Coolistas like iceage.info!

          Show me these officially credible COOOLD RECORDS!

          Then I’ll start believing you.

          • You could start by looking at average temps then looking at the present readings try Scotland for a start lets see if your figures match mine, why do you not acknowledge the USA had its last winter the coldest for over a hundred years and following suit this year,have you seen the posts on here about below record breaking temps in Norway and Sweden,surley you dont think these ares are insignificant, so were exactly does co2 fit in is it not supposed to be warming the planet, are you telling me it turns off in the winter its selective and seasonal. Exactly what part is c02 playing in the above areas right now?

          • B d Clark

            Again and again: no need for me to read prosa!
            I await real information, e.g. official temperature information.

            But anyway: next week I’ll download GHCN daily’s October data, that is raw raw info.
            I will then see which stations worldwide did report what you write in a non-committal form.

          • The temperature readings are true in the given areas , i see you did not except the 10min challenge at most to do a comparison of average vs now temp readings for Scotland, nor did you explain the vagaries of cold areas in the N/H with regard to c02 influences, it does seem to be selective and seasonal does it not.

          • Have you seen this https://electroverse.net now you could accuse them of being selective but its huge areas of the planet and they dont lie and make things up look at the thread for Australia. Now given all time records are being broken why do the media main stream not publish this particularly the BBC who have a charter to be representative, I would say their gross denial of what’s really happening with the climate is criminal, before you say its weather,one day of heat in the summer is flounced as climate change, there is no co2 causing warming it’s getting colder and colder.

        • Yuo will compare “forecasts” with real temps ?? Realy ?? 😀
          What are you dreaming at night ? 😀
          It’s a joke, isn’t it ? 😀
          Look in a mirror, and than continue laughing, with best reasons 😀

        • What a joke.
          Cherry picked distant forecasts.

          Tell us what the temperature actually is when it arrives.

          Meanwhile, amuse yourself with the very overwarm forecasts NOAA’s weather model has been churning out, year after year, season after season, month after month.

          A forecast that they deep six while their model forecasts slowly resemble the actual cold weather outside.

          Speaking of “It’s amazing to see people always telling ‘nothing unusual’ when it gets warm, but cr<ying {sic} and shouting when it gets cold.";. That is pure projection coming from an alarmist troll who chases warm days, droughts, floods, melting sea ice, etc., desperately seeking their wayward lost global warming.

          It is also amazing to hear the same crowd that pushes global warming, Anthropogenic Catastrophic Global Warming, climate disruption, climate catastrophe, climate change; where they treat every major storm as caused by climate change, every heat wave is caused by climate change, every dead walrus is caused by climate change, wailing over the same low sea ice levels every year (while mostly pretending Antarctica doesn’t exist); on and on, the illogical rational of alarmists bemuses and confounds every scientist. Yet, here you are right after all the alarums raised over Eastern storms, warm Octobers, heat waves in Australia (don’t forget BOM’s bodged fudged temperatures).

          The article states clearly what fronts are bringing what kinds of cold weather to town.
          This week and next week.
          Based on the accurate to date forecasts that identified the causes and possibilities for extended cold weather.
          Once snow cover forms, albedo is biased to keep it old.

        • I left Berlin in the 197x, so why shouldt I care Berlin ?
          1956 I was 4, no idea and dosn’t care.
          1963 was a cold one, very cold.
          Over the winter, we had some waxwings (Bombycilla garrulus) from Russia in our school foyer. They escaped the Russian cold.
          And now ?

    • The long cold winter of 2018/19 started on January 1st 2019, and lasted into May in Northern California. I expect to see similar with this winter. The comparison to date of this fall versus last fall is very similar, early rains in Sept, some early October rain, and then mostly dry all the way through December. That is exactly what has taken place in recent months. The fire danger is still elevated for the area as a result.

      So the forecast is that farmers will face another miserable year for next years growing season.

      • Yep I watch a YouTube channel that’s not climate related hes based in northern California showing exactly what you observed ,he also showed the snow pack in the sierras several times, hes given a good account of the fires up there this year.

      • Central PA had fairly nice weather last October. November turned cold and rainy, and December and January had several heavy snows and cold temps. April and much of May were cold and wet delaying planting of crops like much of the mid-West.

        Lousy warming trends, it’s always someplace else.

        • My only concern is that there are no actual references shown on Electroverse, only a general one referring to NOAA.
          Some Station data or City Declarations would have been nice.

    • Lower Lakes region (Lake Michigan, etc.) and the cold and snow started on Hallowe’en – naturally! – in Chicago and the surrounding counties. I had 5.25 inches of snow on my front steps. I am 8 miles south of the IL-WI state line and the rest of my county and counties to the west were also inundated by it.

      So I would say the traditional/official start of the winter season may be the winter solstice, but the Weather Gods have other ideas. And we’re all due for more snow over the next three days. In re: temperatures were average for snow: low to mid-30s in most places, but that may have something to do with which side of Lake Michigan you’re located on.

      Does that help?

      • Yes thank you .it really does seem that after a very cold snowy winter last year for you guys ,its started even earlier this year, same in northern /eastern Europe.

      • It’s supposed to be 22F tonight, with snow before morning.

        What the H E double hockey sticks happened to Globull Warming? PLEASE, I beg you – PLEASE BRING IT BACK!!!!!!!

    • You forgot the /sarc

      And he’s quoting from glob snot info dot something or other

      Sorry, I’ve been binge watching Corner Gas today.

      My best comment, JackAss!

  2. These severely impressive Arctic blasts make it look like the US has run right out of those old-time Global Warming effects. The Alarmists will have to fall right back onto the more reliable Climate Change to startle the proles into line. Climate Change has been going on for millions of years and can always be relied on.

    • This PROVES the CO2 impact, right? The US has lowered our CO2 output to 1980’s levels, and Europe has been increasing theirs! So…………we get the cold and they get the warming. 🙂 I think that analysis is about as good as the Climate Catastrophists, really.

  3. Wait a minute…. I thought we was going to burn to death due to CO2? What will, The CO2 seeing High Lord greta have to say about this? (Sarc lol)

    Seriously though, what caused the polar jet stream to be off this year? Im in england, and its been windy all year, maybe ive been to busy to notice it before, but due to climate anxiety, (this site helped the anxiety) ive started noticing the weather more, even during the hottest day of the year, we had a cool breeze… It felt weird.

  4. Yes CC is the fall back position. We should confront the Green blob by
    asking them where the CC comes from,. what causes it ?

    Make them admit that it all starts with the warming of the Planet. Then asks
    them where is it right now.

    Of course they will all pint to the Southern Hemisphere, especially to
    Australia. This country is almost as good a place as the Polar Bear scare.
    We are a land of fires, floods and droughts, perfect for the Greens scare
    campaigns.

    MJE VK5ELL

  5. But, but, but …the BBC news tonight is saying we have had the warmest October on record!
    Which record is unspecified and no doubt depends on what they can select to fit their narrative.

    Meanwhile the loony in charge of the Labour Party is saying his government, assuming the asylums will be opened to bolster his vote, might ban private jets – the victory of the terminally resentful over reason (and no I don’t own a private jet). In other U.K. loony tunes news the BBC is trying to mislead people that electric passenger planes will soon be available. Good luck with that.

      • The temperature anomaly data in the BBC article they have provided is clearly faked. Temperatures in Siberia have been record cold thoughout Oct. with most of Siberia below zero continuously from the arctic coast in the north and into northern China from an early Sept freeze. Their anomaly chart does show the cooling in Britain and the US, because they knew they couldn’t fake that data and get away with it, but they have fudged the data on Siberia – if they showed the actual situation in Oct 2019 they entire bulk of the European continent east of Moscow would be blue.

          • But this one shows cold very cold for northern Asia Russia, the devil is in the detail

            We were talking about the month of October not one day.

          • Weather article explaining cold in Russia October http://www.hmn.ru/index.php?index=1&ts=191013132047

            Another article for the same period, interesting that it says the same period data is missing from noaa records no wonder I’ve had a hard time confirming what we all heard a few weeks ago https://electroverse.net/russia-breaks-multiple-116-year-old-cold-records/

            Spencer’s graph is a average there is cold and warm around the centre axis so the two weeks of cold as above is well within tolerance

          • Temperatures in Siberia have been record cold thoughout Oct. with most of Siberia below zero continuously from the arctic coast in the north and into northern China from an early Sept freeze.

            This was what Greg posted to which I responded, ‘throughout’ does not mean ‘two weeks’.

          • But you did not, the only reply you gave to Greg was produce Spencer’s map.ive just looked ,Spencer’s graph in this case is a snap shot a monthly average, and I’ve provided some absolute observations.it has indeed been very cold in the regions I reproduced, if you really are interested in true temperature readings perhaps your efforts would be well spent finding out why noaa appears to have lost the data for that area in the time frame discussed

          • But you did not, the only reply you gave to Greg was produce Spencer’s map.ive just looked ,Spencer’s graph in this case is a snap shot a monthly average, and I’ve provided some absolute observations.it has indeed been very cold in the regions I reproduced, if you really are interested in true temperature readings perhaps your efforts would be well spent finding out why noaa appears to have lost the data for that area in the time frame discussed
            Greg said:
            Temperatures in Siberia have been record cold thoughout Oct.
            How could that be consistent with a monthly average showing a positive anomaly?

            Usually monthly averages of station data don’t come out until mid month because all the data isn’t available until then. NOAA hasn’t produced their global climate report for October yet.

        • That -0.6C is of course the “anomaly”, not the actual, and it’s compared with 1961-90 because the World Met Office knows that that was the perfect 30 years in human existence.

          The BBC’s claim was about global temperature, not UK, but seems to disagree with UAH.

    • Well, they have to lay the groundwork for the announcement next January that 2019 was the hottest year ever. Perhaps they will relent and let it be the second-hottest ever.

      And if anyone challenges the climate wisdom, it will be pointed out that “The Models” predicted the cold weather this year in North America. Don’t forget that global warming can cause cooling too, such is the wondrous power of CO2.

  6. Don’t worry in a few months the record will be adjusted to show October was the second hottest on record.

  7. Greta Thunberg
    Am I correct, she stuck in the USA?
    **********************************
    Well, now she can relax and enjoy the show… I mean the snow!
    She achieved her objective and cooled the USA… don’t forget to use your CO2 blanket overnight.

    I know, this is unfair… in the tropics the H2O blanket much more efficient for the kids… toughen up princess 🙂

    • She is now traveling east, through the southern states, so won’t be personally experiencing the snow and cold until she heads north – perhaps back to NYC.

      • I was wondering how she was getting around…she seems to be traveling all over the country

        …how is she doing that with zero emissions?

        and if she isn’t….what’s the difference in flying to Spain

      • Maybe she and Big Al have something in common. Wherever they go Mother Nature will smack in the face.

    • That weather anomaly map you linked to uses 1979 as its “normal”. Why 1979? Why not1969 or 1929, or the full 100+ years of temperature data available? The problem with 1979 is the 1970s were cold; so cold the scientific consensus of the time said that we could be slipping into an ice age. Then the cold stopped. Using 1979 as the “normal” makes the later normal temperatures look much hotter, just to scare the naive viewer.

      • Exactly, what about the 1930’s? That was some insane highs as well as droughts. Historical news articles at the time mentioned it very frequently.

      • Why 1979?

        Yes, I notice that too. I look at the climatereanalyzer site, but why in the world would they continue to use 1979-2000 as a base? Same reason, I assume, as all the other politically-infiltrated “weather” sites — to keep the anomalies higher. The traditional standard for climate anomalies is 30 yrs, anyway. They SHOULD be using 1980-2010.

    • @Larry, here’s a question for you:

      What is the global average temperature right now and how does that compare with the last 100 years, 1000 years, 10000 years? Not anomalies, actual temperatures.

    • Larry, take a look at NuSchool Earth, especailly at that really hot band over what was the old USSR.
      Temperatures ranging from -10 to -30 Degrees C.
      Not exactly a heatwave.

  8. Not only up there. This is the coldest spring in southern Australia in at least 17 years. At least where I am.

  9. NOAA issued a ‘warmer than average’ winter forecast for the USA. Given the continued ‘cool’ here in the Great NorthWet and across the norther tier of the USA, m’thinks they are a bit barmy…. again.

    • Good comments, thank you J Mac.

      The highly competent forecasters at WeatherBell updated their August 2019 Winter forecast on October 31. I will share it if I am permitted to do so.

      WeatherBell’s 2019-20 Winter Forecast reminds me of 2014-15 – warmish in the West and cold in the East, completely different from the U.S. government’s National Weather Service (NWS) Winter CFSv2 model, which again projects a warm winter across the USA. I’ll vote for the WeatherBell forecast – again.

      As Yogi Berra said, “It’s like déjà vu all over again”.

      The U.S. National Weather Service forecast a warm winter for 2014-15, and meteorologist Joe D’Aleo of WeatherBell called me in October 2014 to say he was concerned that the NWS forecast was seriously incorrect, and that the next winter would be particularly cold and snowy, especially in the populous Northeast. This was the second consecutive year that the NWS has made a very poor (excessively warm) Winter forecast.

      Joe and I had been working together on a paper on Excess Winter Mortality, and we agreed that this incorrect “too-warm winter” NWS forecast was dangerous, especially if the country and its people were unprepared.

      I proposed an approach, and we sent a presentation to my friend at the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). At the EIA’s request, Joe prepared a month-by-month, region-by-region USA Winter Forecast, and the EIA re-ran its winter energy demand calculations. Using Joe’s forecast, the EIA projected 11% more winter energy required for the USA than the “too-warm” NWS forecast had projected.

      After that brutally cold and snowy winter, the actual energy used was 10% more than the EIA had projected using the NWS forecast, and just 1% less than Joe’s forecast. That is a huge amount of energy for the entire USA. I’m not sure if we saved any lives, but we definitely improved the EIA’s forecast of winter energy demand.

      Regards, Allan
      ________________________________________

      Following are two relevant papers co-authored by meteorologist Joe D’Aleo and me.

      Our first co-authored paper was published in 2015 on Excess Winter Mortality. We had published the paper previously and then the excellent treatise by Gasparrini et al appeared in the Lancet, so we re-issued our paper including that valuable information.
      WINTERS NOT SUMMERS INCREASE MORTALITY AND STRESS THE ECONOMY – NEXT MINI-ICE AGE APPROACHING?
      By Joseph D’Aleo and Allan MacRae, July 5, 2015
      http://icecap.us/index.php/go/new-and-cool/winters_not_summers_increase_mortality_and_stress_the_economy/

      This is the second paper I’ve written with meteorologist Joseph D’Aleo. It concerns regional cooling and the major crop failure in the North-central growing area of North America in 2019.
      THE REAL CLIMATE CRISIS IS NOT GLOBAL WARMING, IT IS COOLING, AND IT MAY HAVE ALREADY STARTED
      By Allan MacRae and Joseph D’Aleo, October 26, 2019
      https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/10/27/the-real-climate-crisis-is-not-global-warming-it-is-cooling-and-it-may-have-already-started/

      • NEXT WEEK’S ARCTIC BLAST WILL BE SO COLD, FORECASTERS EXPECT IT TO BREAK 170 RECORDS ACROSS US
        USA TODAY, Nov.8, 2019

        This week’s cold snap is only an appetizer compared with the main Arctic blast that’s coming next week, meteorologists said. That freeze could be one for the record books.”
        “The National Weather Service is forecasting 170 potential daily record cold high temperatures Monday to Wednesday,” tweeted Weather Channel meteorologist Jonathan Erdman. “A little taste of January in November.”
        The temperature nosedive will be a three-day process as a cold front charges across the central and eastern U.S. from Sunday into Tuesday.
        The front will plunge quickly through the northern Plains and upper Midwest Sunday, into the southern Plains and Ohio Valley Monday, then through most of the East Coast and Deep South by Tuesday, the Weather Channel said.
        _____________________________________
        Some people will say this cooling is caused by CO2 and global warming. They will be wrong.

  10. Great lakes now at very high level, oh but the climate models said they would dry up. Models are climate QUACKERY.

    • The missing sea level rise appears in the Great Lakes. Who’d have guessed it?

      Seriously, Great Lakes water levels are to a large extent controlled by dams at the outlets of Lakes Superior and Ontario. The outlet of Lake Erie is semi-controlled by weirs and by the rate of drawdown for hydro plants on both sides of the border at Niagara Falls. And the level of Lake Erie effectively determines the levels of Huron and Michigan.

      There was concern about low water levels a few years back so they started holding back more, then the exceptionally wet weather and snowfall this last year made the lakes rise to inconvenient levels. Apparently, there’s a limit to how fast the levels can be lowered – something to do with ships trying to sail upstream in the St. Lawrence and St. Clair Rivers. Great Lakes water policy is run by the IJC – International Joint Commission on Boundary Waters.

  11. The Old Farmers Almanac, a long-time harbinger for Winters for MANY years, says we are in for an unusually hard, cold winter. They have right for much of their many years of forecasting. So, it’s nothing new.

    • Out of a couple of dozen Woolly Worms I’ve seen this fall, all but 2 have been completely dark, and I haven’t seen any that are completely light. Most have been larger than usual and one was as large as my index finger (I wear XL gloves).
      If those critters really tell you anything, this winter looks to be bad here at 90 west and 39 north.

  12. the Great Lakes are warmer than normal at this time so you would think there would be record lake effect snows 10-12 Nov

    however, to get really good lake effect snows the wind field has to stay consistent for six hours or so and thus we may only get some moderate lake effect out of this arctic blast

  13. Ground frost here this morning in northern NSW- not unprecedented but also not very kind to young tomato seedlings. More warming please.

    • Sorry, I must have missed where he made that assertion.
      It’s been colder than usual in Antarctica too. Is that a significant enough part of EARTH?
      While Europe was feeling the heat this past summer, an equal or larger area of Russia was equally anomalously cold. Which part of EARTH was more significant there?

      • The problem is that GLOBAL Warming isn’t in any way global and most of it is where no one lives.
        THe point is that these are Records broken in areas with some of the longest running records in the world.

  14. Well, I can testify that winter is here for the UP of Michigan. I just drove 405 miles from the UP to northern Indiana and the first 150 miles was nothing but snow squalls and white-out conditions on I-75, all the way from the Soo to Grayling. Global Warming my ass……hell, I wish my ass was warm……

  15. The cold start to the month follows a colder-than-normal October across the CONUS with more than twelve-hundred sites experiencing the lowest temperature ever in the month of October and, even-more impressive, many locations set their monthly record for the month as a whole.

    All this – remember – during the “hottest October ever!!”. The climate editors and script writers are getting way too greedy and forgetting the need for even a shred of credibility. As a result they’re blowing their cover and making fools of themselves.

    • Or you could say the obvious: “gee it must’a been hot in plenty of other places for the average to be +’ve.”

      But no, they’re all fools.

  16. I’m hoping for a pattern change soon – to a wet pattern for California. Mammoth opens on Saturday. They were fortunate to get enough cold nights to make enough snow to open one or two runs but this week has been too warm to even make snow.

    Time to kick ski season off, let the flakes start flying!

  17. Folks, just remind your family and friends at your winter’s Holiday season parties a nd gatherings that its the Democrats that want to double and triple everyones electric bills while making their natural gas too expensive to even consider.
    Climate Change is nothing to fear compared to the Climate Change policies being pushed by Democrats.

  18. A realisation came to me earlier regarding climate change.
    I realised, climate change actually means, no matter what the climate is, it must be changed to suit the Green socialist agenda. So voila, Climate Change, you can’t argue with a green, they know what Climate change is. It is what ever they decide it is. Thankfully an ever increasing number of normal people, are waking up to the no longer hidden agenda, that is Climate Change.

    • It is accurate to state that “every scary global warming prediction by the IPCC and its CAGW acolytes has proved false-to-date” – the warmist cult have a perfectly negative predictive track record and thus perfectly negative credibility. Nobody should believe them.

      To their credit, the warmists’ masterful use of deceitful Goebbels/Alinsky propaganda tactics have deceived gullible fools around the world, including most politicians and their minions.

      The CAGW hypothesis has been falsified many ways over the decades – some of those falsifications are described here:
      https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/06/15/co2-global-warming-climate-and-energy-2/

      The warmists have strategically moved their false rhetoric from “catastrophic human-made global warming” to “climate change”/”wilder weather”, which is a non-falsifiable hypothesis. The warmists have again deceived the gullible public, but competent scientists know that a non-falsifiable hypothesis is non-scientific nonsense.
      “A theory that is not refutable by any conceivable event is non-scientific.” – Karl Popper

      These climate fraudsters should really be the subject of ridicule – they are the world’s greatest bullsh!tters, even greater than Goebbels and the Third Reich.

      “THE END OF THE WORLD” – “Beyond the Fringe, 1962.

    • Ed Zuiderwijk, Justin Trudeau’s office is kept warm by lots of emptied / half emptied renewable plastic fresh water bottles and plastic cups gassing out rest CO2.

  19. And once again I remind you that this is a nasty side effect of a warming arctic and receding sea ice (which incidentally is still at second lowest for date in the 40 year satellite record nearly 2 months after minimum)

    • Once again, Griff doesn’t explain WHY we should be worried about it, he certainly never tries to show that CO2 is the culprit. He goes on and on about low summer ice, zzzzzz.

      The same broken record Griff who keeps (deliberately) forgetting that Polar Bears population keeps increasing, long after the low 2007,2012 very low levels have come and gone, they are still stable or increasing in numbers anyway, which is now 7-12 years ago…..

      The same man who has been told DOZENS of times about periods of little to zero Summer ice in the region, yet no calamitous events occurred. This anti science dude tries hard to ignore the published papers posted in from of him, this Eddie boy never gives a dam that he has been given hard evidence that he is overselling pseudoscience baloney.

      • Krishna Gans

        “http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php”

        You manifestly don’t understand the graphic presented by DMI.

        1. The graphic presents only data for latitude bands above 80N; Arctic starts at 60N, but DMI doesn’t provide us with that.
        2. All red points above the green plot mean ‘warmer than average’.
        3. Though 2019 is lower than 2018 and 2017, look for example at 2010 or earlier years to find what you mean.

        4. Of the 1000 highest Arctic temperatures anomalies computed out of the raw GHCN daily data set wrt the mean of 1981-2010, 412 belong to the 2000’s.

        If there is a person needing to learn before commenting, Krishna Gans, than certainly that’s you.

  20. Time will tell if the US cold will propagate to Madrid, where it snows every 5 years or so: 10°C max day temperature and 2°C min night temperature.
    https://www.weather2travel.com/december/spain/madrid.php

    Snow comes to Madrid every five years, but stays no longer than 24 hours, according to this:
    https://www.notesfromspain.com/2009/01/09/once-every-5-years-snow-in-madrid/

    There is currently a lot of riots in Barcelona and if this triggers riots in Madrid, then maybe Stockholm in Sweden could offer last minute COP-festival hosting. Then Greta is on home-ground, and the celebrities can experience real weather and the taste of Global Cooling.
    Not sure if the Swedish meatballs will contain meat though.

  21. Having studied many geological, biological and Holocene Interglacial historical records since the 1970s in my teen’s. One thing stands out about Glacial Maximum and Interglacial cooling events and that is the Northern Hemisphere Glaciers always have a center of the Atlantic Ocean. From the Northern Rocky Mountains to the European Alps the glaciers have gone closer to the Equator along the American Appalachian and eastern U.S. coastline and in Europe the same glacial scaring is found east of the Alps down into southern European countries. When The Little Ice Age peaked it was Western Europe and Eastern America that had the coldest temperatures. South Eastern Asian countries and Western America were cold but didn’t get the kind of glaciers those other areas had, except in the higher mountains. Fossil records tend to show this for previous Glacial Maximums going back to the formation of The White Cliffs of Dover, even though they went extinct from the Oxygenation the Glacial Maximum occurred then too. My basic point is all the past Global Cooling both large and small tends to center with the Atlantic Ocean in the Northern Hemisphere. And that in the Southern Hemisphere with less land mass to get records from. And I have not researched it. How did Glaciers form in Australia and New Zealand or South America or the tip of Africa? Did the Antarctic in the South Pacific or/and Indian Ocean reach to create glaciers there? That Earth tilting during Solar Minimum and our orbit would cause the effects of Glacial Maximums as I’ve described in the Northern Hemisphere. It would imply that those Southern Hemisphere lands would show a similar results. Especially since the Antarctic Glaciers become much bigger during Glacial Maximums. And of course it depends on your opinion of Continental Drift or Expanding Earth theories.

    • l think the key point here is the fact there are 2 huge land masses on each of the Atlantic on which for snow to settle and grow into glaciers. Which drives cold out of the Arctic and down into these land masses. Which on turn changes the jet stream and weather patterning as a cooling N America and yet still warm Pacific ocean will likely do.

  22. As one would expect just after the hottest October ever, (/sarc) among US midwest farmers there’s a run on propane.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-propane-demand/scramble-for-propane-marks-mother-natures-latest-challenge-for-u-s-farmers-idUSKBN1XF1FA

    Everyone is harvesting soggy corn after both spring and fall were cold and wet. Now everyone’s chasing propane to dry the harvested produce (and stay warm themselves) and propane is getting scarce and expensive.

    • They better get right with the climate crusade gods and go electric and batteries for drying. Propane is on the bad list, at least after the election.

  23. Just so you know, it doesn’t matter how cold it gets in Spokane because it’s safely out of sight and out of mind for libs in Seattle. They would send trucks of ice there as a relief effort if the Governor asked.

  24. It’s snowing in the Dakotas, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Michigan again today.

    The Climate Change Alarmists are shoveling the ‘Global Warming’ feces while the hardy denizens of the US northern tier states are shoveling snow. Which group do you suppose is honestly confronting reality?
    Take your time. No hurry…..

  25. No wonder NY is again exporting homeless people to warmer places. They can’t have homeless people frozen in the streets that were supposed to be getting hotter for citizens with heat stroke warnings.

    Heat dangers in NY from 2013
    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/05/20/heat-related-deaths-in-manhattan-projected-to-rise-except-reality-shows-them-going-down-in-the-usa/

    Homeless exports now
    https://katu.com/news/local/beaverton-mayor-denny-doyle-responds-to-new-york-city-sending-homeless-to-town

  26. Finally, Climate Change is over and a few days of cold air in the Eastern US is all the evidence needed!

    That was a close one, what with the highest average temp 5 years occurring in the past 5, with the slope of the regression going back to 1980 at 0.26 C/decade (land).

    Anyone who believes its over should start speculating on Florida water-front real estate! (or Put Your Money Where Your Mouth Is, as the economists say). My sisters live on Sanabel Island and they can’t give their property away.

    • It has been 40 years of propaganda and rhetoric, that if we don’t follow the GREEN AGENDA the enhanced greenhouse effect will make this planet inhospitable to human life, and life in general.
      What did we get?
      Weather that varies from day to day, week to week, year to year, and decade to decade.
      There is just no evidence that we are effecting the climate in a negative way.
      And that is what the GREEN AGENDA will never admit, no matter what the actual data says.

  27. Spell check knows better.

    worth nothing is that three out of four of Spokane’s coldest Octobers ever (in 138 years of records) have occurred this century — including 2002 and 2009. –>

    worth noting is that three out of four of Spokane’s coldest Octobers ever (in 138 years of records) have occurred this century — including 2002 and 2009.

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