Guest essay by Eric Worrall
In the wake of a series of good snow years in Australia’s alpine regions, property investors are increasingly ignoring dire CSIRO predictions of the imminent end of snow.
Alpine property in hot demand despite climate change worries
By business reporter Daniel Ziffer
Updated Fri at 9:43amAlpine real estate is getting more expensive at Australian ski resorts, despite concerns that climate change will diminish natural snowfalls.
Nearing the end of a solid snow season that has seen record crowds of visitors at many resorts, there is no chill in the market.
“It’s probably a little bit surprising that values have risen again in 2019 — given the broader housing market conditions — but you’re also seeing rents rising,” said Cameron Kusher, head of research at property analytics firm CoreLogic.
“So I think that really does highlight there is growing demand for housing in those areas and it’s not necessarily just people buying investment properties.”
It does not seem to make sense — a pricey asset in a rugged environment, hours from the capital cities and heavily exposed to climate change. But investors cannot seem to get enough.
“They’ve been very good [years] actually,” said Christa Smit of Zirky Real Estate, who is based at the Victorian resort of Falls Creek.
“The alpine [market] has definitely had a resurgence over the last three years.
…
Modelling from the CSIRO predicts average seasons will fall by between 20 to as much as 80 days in the next three decades, potentially all but annihilating the 112-day ski season.
In the worst-case scenario that would leave just a month of skiing by 2050.
…
Read more: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-09-20/snow-homes-not-melting-despite-climate-change-concerns/11516176
As a child I remember the first week of Fall was pretty much the end of the Aussie snow season, but lately the season seems to have stretched by at least a few weeks.
Some of that longer snow season is due to better snow management, but in recent years the season has been especially good for Aussie skiers. This year West Australia, which normally doesn’t get any snow other than maybe a few flakes which don’t settle, had the earliest recorded snowfall event in West Australian history.
I believe failed end of snow predictions will be the undoing of the global warming movement. They can fiddle the temperatures all they want, and make authoritative sounding arguments about the ocean swallowing their homework excess accumulated heat, to explain away unexpected “pauses”.
But tangible outcomes people can actually experience for themselves are far harder to disappear. It is becoming increasingly difficult for climate believers to explain away what may be a rising global accumulation of good snow years, in the context of their increasingly shrill “hottest year evah” claims.
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On the one hand there’s Climate Belief, and on the other, there’s reality. Never the twain shall meet. And in a similar vein you have ClimateLogic™ on one hand, and reasoned thought on the other.
“…and make authoritative sounding arguments about the ocean swallowing their homework…. ”
Oh, come on, now! Give the loons a break, willya? They gotta have something to complain about.
Someone local complained to the local newspaper that Lake Michi Gamu was overrunning the area between the lake shore and the wetland areas and drowning the wetlands, which – very long ago – were swamp land and before that, part of the bottom of Lake Michigan. But let’s not EVER let Mother Nature take its course and do what comes naturally.
I’m looking forward to the day when the ice way up north not only does NOT melt back in the spring, but starts flowing south…. to engulf Trudeau’s living space in ice… and return the ice sheets to the Upper Midwest. But that’s just me. You all have a great week!!!
Snow in southern Australia that isn’t going away? Well, good. The ecohippies are correct: the climate IS changing, but not the way they think it will be. I wonder how they’ll survive without heavily caffeinated quarts of coffee in oversized paper cups…. What??? I can dream, can’t I?
“Canada’s global warming models threw out actual historical data and substituted models of what the temperature should have been”
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2019/09/canadas_global_warming_models_threw_out_actual_historical_data_and_substituted_models_of_what_the_temperature_emshouldem_have_been.html
“In other words, the computer models Canada uses to measure and project “global warming” are themselves based on other computer models. The expression “Garbage in / garbage out” refers to the vulnerability of all computer models to poor quality data used as the basis of their calculations. This raises the awkward question of the quality of the models used in place of actual historical data.”
Frozen N.U.T.S. !
Q1: have these modellers ever lived in the mountains, spent day after day in the mountains, gained a deep understanding and affinity with mountains?
If not, why believe them rather than those who commune with mountains over a thirty year period?
Q2: Have skeptics ever asked at what temperature the heaviest snowfalls occur?
The answer is +3C, so actually you expect heavier snowfall if things get warmer, until snow turns to rain. There is nothing abnormal about heavier snowfall in a warming climate.
As for property prices in Aussie mountain resorts, it all depends what the value offering is. Whistler in BC, Canada is pretty much a 365 day a resort, so although snow is important, it is not the be-all-and-end-all. If the resort is a 16 week a year ski resort and nothing else, then obviously prices are linked tightly to snow season prospects.
30 years ago I worked a season in a ski resort, the third of three very odd/dodgy seasons (mine was odd with no snow until February then continuous valley level snowfall right through until late April) with huge high pressures from Russia to Spain sitting over the European Alps. Global warming propaganda was strong even then, but the 1990/91 season started strongly and continued strong. 1991/2 saw the most perfect February conditions imaginable. From then on it was back to good seasons and bad seasons. You know: climate variability. Do something about it!!
My hypothesis: the triple big planet conjunction of Saturn, Uranus and Neptune affected climate in the late 1980s. The Uranus-Pluto conjunction in the 1960s covered the infamous 1963/4 season, after all.
Perish the thought that solar system events could affect climate. The thought that we humans might not be responsible is surely the trigger for mass suicide gatherings!
Seems like an incredible investment opportunity to me, from alpine ski lodge today to beach front property after a few short years of catastrophic sea level rise! Which way to the real estate agent’s office?
“Venus was likely habitable for 3B years. Then something mysterious happened.”
https://www.foxnews.com/science/venus-habitable-for-3b-years
We tried to adjust the climate, but something went wrong. Sorry.
Flashback 2000: ‘Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past’: According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become ‘a very rare and exciting event. Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.’
The warmist CSIRO in 2003: The high impact scenario for 2020 leads to reductions of 30-40 days in average season lengths. At higher sites such as Mt Hotham, this can represent reductions in season duration of about 25%, but at lower sites such as Mt Baw Baw the reduction can be more significant (up to 60%).