Guest essay by Eric Worrall
Global warming was not reversed by the year 2000 – yet we are still here.
U.N. Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked
PETER JAMES SPIELMANN June 30, 1989UNITED NATIONS (AP) _ A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.
Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of ″eco- refugees,′ ′ threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of the New York office of the U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP.
He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.
As the warming melts polar icecaps, ocean levels will rise by up to three feet, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations, Brown told The Associated Press in an interview on Wednesday.
Coastal regions will be inundated; one-sixth of Bangladesh could be flooded, displacing a fourth of its 90 million people. A fifth of Egypt’s arable land in the Nile Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply, according to a joint UNEP and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study.
″Ecological refugees will become a major concern, and what’s worse is you may find that people can move to drier ground, but the soils and the natural resources may not support life. Africa doesn’t have to worry about land, but would you want to live in the Sahara?″ he said.…
Read more: https://www.apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0
Link to a PDF copy of the AP article, in case the original is “disappeared”.
What other great examples of failed climate warnings can you remember?
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A prime example of why we should get out of the UN that takes US money on US property and returns no benefit.
But you see the time frame for disaster is if don’t do anything about the problem. But we have done a lot about the problem.
We have held hundreds (thousands?) of conferences involving flying thousands (tens of thousands?) of experts to potentially affected (i.e., exotic) locals with luxury hotels.
We have created thousands of models showing the drastic effects of CO2.
We have published tens of thousands (hundreds of thousands?) of papers describing the oncoming Armageddon.
The news media nationwide have spread the gospel to one and all and effectively marginalized the voices of heretics.
We have promoted the most stupid among us (like AOC and Greta Thunberg) as modern day prophets and visionaries.
I could go on but it’s clear we have done a great deal to stave off the disaster and that’s why it hasn’t happened yet.
+100 to everything said here. The supreme irony of our age of course is that all of this is so transparently about power and the many ways it can be abused, but the mainstream media and the average person are far too stupid to understand this. How I long for the good old 1980s, when young peoples’ rallying cry was “question authority“! Now it’s “please, MORE AUTHORITY!”
Pathetic.
+200
Were they so incredibly wrong in 1989 due to incompetence or malfeasance?
There’s certainly much incompetence on the scientific front. Bogus feedback analysis, blatant violations of COE, linearizing the T^4 relationship between temperature and forcing, misinterpreting ice cores and so much more were introduced and canonized as ‘settled science’ in AR1.
The malfeasance originates at the UN where the IPCC, whose chartered bias in support the UNFCCC presents a serious conflict of interest where they needed a large effect from CO2 emissions regardless of the scientific truth. Somehow they managed to construct a self serving ‘consensus’ around the reports they generated based on the incompetent science.
The malfeasance and incompetence seems to have strongly reinforced each other (positive feedback) which makes the scientific truth so incredibly hard for alarmists to accept. After introducing the emotional trigger of ‘we need to save the world’, otherwise intelligent brains turn to mush.
Yea, Olen, but think about the UN headquarters’ massive monetary contributions to NY’s alcohol, drug and prostitution industries!
CAGW Alarmists never notice that their old alarmist predictions failed totally, as they are now busy pressing ahead with a totally new wave of alarmist predictions with new and different names to the old ones.
Global cooling and a coming new ice age were the climate catastrophe I was taught about in college.
That was ~10 years before this.
“..What other great examples of failed climate warnings can you remember?”
I keep this one bookmarked on my PC:
The Guardian, 31 July 2008…
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2008/aug/01/climatechange.carbonemissions
“…Time is fast running out to stop irreversible climate change, a group of global warming experts warns today. We have only 100 months to avoid disaster. Andrew Simms explains why we must act now – and where to begin…”
So let’s see….If my math is correct, 100 months from the article date was 30 November of 2016. Two years and 7 months ago. UAH satellite record shows the Earth has been cooling since the 2015 El Nino peak.
I’m lovin’ it. Happy anniversary UNEP!
A big mistake of that article, like so many others, is the claim that CO2 is the most prevalent or important GHG. It is not.
Did NY infect the UN or was it the other way around?
“10 years” reminds me one of Obama’s aides quoting him as saying after Hillary lost, “Maybe we should have waited another 10 years.”
We dodged a bullet.
Don’t give them another shot.
In 1989 I was in college majoring in geoscience. That’s when the global warming fear-mongering started. I didn’t believe it then and I never have.
I particularly remember the disasters that were to befall us due to acid rain and the ozone hole. I never did understand how fluorocarbons, released at ground level in North America, made their way to the stratosphere above the South Pole. I also recall reading plenty of articles about the alarming destruction of the Amazon jungle and how much of it would be gone by 2000. Oh! And AIDS was going to jump into the heterosexual community and ravage the population. Ah, memories….
Big AL (Gore) said the Arctic would be ice free by 2009.
“Big AL (Gore) said the Arctic would be ice free by 2009.”
To be fair, he said it “can” or “could” do so, IIRC.
“Great” moments in the failed climate science apocalypse: 2020 – 6 months to go …
1986:
“Hansen said the average U.S. temperature has risen from 1 to 2 degrees since 1958 and is predicted to increase an additional 3 or 4 degrees sometime between 2010 and 2020.”
https://news.google.com/newspapers?id=llJeAAAAIBAJ&sjid=AWENAAAAIBAJ&pg=5501,1378938&dq=james-hansen&hl=en
To be fair, he was talking about Fahrenheit, IIRC.
Perhaps.
It says carbon dioxide is a chemical, where as it is a chemical compound.
Who knows what Hansen meant?
It’s science Jim, but not as we know it.
FWIW, Mr K, Global temperatures on track for 3-5 degree rise by 2100: U.N (5.4-9.0 degrees Fahrenheit)
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-climate-change-un/global-temperatures-on-track-for-3-5-degree-rise-by-2100-u-n-idUSKCN1NY186
Pick a century, any century, use the same numbers … it’s the worst apocalypse. Ever.
The reality is that the climate change we have been experiencing is caused by the sun and the oceans over which mankind has no control. Despite the hype, there is no real evidence that CO2 has any effect on climate and there is plenty of scientific rationale that the climate sensitivity of CO2 is zero. That is why the predictions have been wrong.
Good comment William Haas. You wrote:
“Despite the hype, there is no real evidence that CO2 has any effect on climate and there is plenty of scientific rationale that the climate sensitivity of CO2 is zero.”
A minor quibble – I would say “zero or near-zero”, certainly not enough to drive dangerous global warming.
I say that the upper bound of climate sensitivity is ~1C/(2xCO2), and the lower bound is ~0. Theoretical analyses at the molecular scale do not attract me, because of the huge scale-up errors possible from molecular to full-Earth-scale. However, the evidence suggests feedbacks are negative and perhaps strongly negative, so I believe that “near-zero” is the best probable answer.
In any case, this is a purely scientific question, since any climate sensitivity of 1C/doubling or less is too low to cause catastrophic global warming or dangerous climate change.
ALERT. ALERT.
THE SEVERAL POSTS IN MY NAME (ABOVE) WERE WRITTEN BY AN IMPOSTER WHO, IN THE LAST WEEK HAS TAKEN TO WRITING UNDER MY NAME. PLEASE WIPE THEM.
I AM CONTACTING CTM FOR FORMAL INTERVENTION.
THE REAL ME IS A SENIOR RETIRED SCIENTIST WITH AN ENVIABLE RECORD OF GETTING THE SCIENCE CORRECT. The imposter is a slug. The imposter does not know that I bought my first small computer in 1970, before IBM released the Personal Computer. My network of computer geek friends have enormous power to punish slugs, one way or another.
Geoff
You should consider it a great honour that some worthless little lefty troll has tried to hijack the thread by using your good name.
Geoff. Don’t worry, no one believed ‘you’.
From WUWT Dec 26th 2013 ship of fools a comment: “Unrelated (but hilarious) — Peter Glieck has made predictions of an ice-free Arctic by 2020, today on HP.”
I hope for the day when a climate scientist announces we are in an interstadial period. Oceans are supposed to rise and ice is supposed to melt. In addition, the resulting greening of the Earth increases food supplies that travel throughout the food chain. It is a season of plenty and we should all be glad we are in it.
Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply, according to a joint UNEP and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study.
″Ecological refugees will become a major concern, and what’s worse is you may find that people can move to drier ground, but the soils and the natural resources may not support life. Africa doesn’t have to worry about land, but would you want to live in the Sahara?″ he said.
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Tourism and Tuareg LOVE the Sahara :
https://www.google.com/search?q=tourism+tuareg+Sahara&oq=tourism+tuareg+Sahara+&aqs=chrome.