Climate change could end human civilization by 2050: report

Hyberbole from the New York Post

By Ebony Bowden

June 3, 2019 | 6:29pm | Updated

A harrowing new climate change report warns we may be on the way to extinction, claiming there is a “high likelihood” human civilization will come to an end by 2050 unless action is taken on greenhouse gas emissions.

The dire paper, which predicts a biblical-like scenario of devastating floods, drought, famine and a breakdown in international order, has been endorsed by the former chief of Australia’s military.

The analysis, published May 30 by Australian think tank the Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration, calls for a new approach to climate change and paints a bleak picture of the world in 30 years if nothing is done to combat greenhouse emissions.

Assuming we stay on our current trajectory, emissions will lock in a 3 degree Celsius (37 degrees Fahrenheit) global warming, setting off a disastrous chain off events which the report’s authors claim will lead to “a high likelihood of human civilization coming to an end.”

According to the report’s central “2050 scenario,” one billion people will be forced to relocate from unlivable conditions while food production will become inadequate to feed the global population.

North America will suffer from devastating weather extremes including wildfires, heatwaves and drought — while other places in the world such as the Middle East and West Africa will become unlivable.

Meanwhile, 55% of the global population would be subjected to more than 20 days a year of lethal heat conditions, “beyond the threshold of human survivability.”

Read the full story here.

And even more hyperbole from Vice if you can hold your nose to go there.

And the full policy paper here, Existential climate-related security risk: A scenario approach.

HT/Alan T

0 0 votes
Article Rating

Discover more from Watts Up With That?

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

174 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
ResourceGuy
June 4, 2019 7:40 am

So let it be written that the final days of newspapers were sour and manic. The Age of High and Mighty Opinion went out with no one caring in the end.

n.n
June 4, 2019 7:41 am

The end of the world is nye… nigh. There is a Project prosecuting a disinformation campaign on Youtube to influence elections. The Project claims that “our [unplanned] Posterity” will not know Florida, which will be submerged beneath the waves, joining Atlantis. It seems that Alphabet will sell anyone a platform, with approval?

Robert W Turner
June 4, 2019 7:41 am

I would like to take this moment to call the authors of this paper dumb- just plain dumb.

Ve2
June 4, 2019 7:49 am

2050? Bugger, I had planned on spending all my money by 2030.
Can I sue AOC.

Rod Evans
June 4, 2019 7:58 am

Yesterday the temperature difference here between the hottest past of the day i.e. 20 deg C and the coldest part of the day last night was 12 deg C.
Should I be concerned as this is more than double what is being billed as the end of civilisation?
So far I am feeling fine, the temp and rain today are cooling things down but I am expecting another day where temp variation is greater than the alarmist fear threshold of 3 deg C.
Maybe humans become more delicate and vulnerable to change, as the Green anxiety overcomes them?

Ouluman
Reply to  Rod Evans
June 4, 2019 8:58 am

Here in Finland it is common to have temp swings of 20c or move in 24h period. Having lived here 20 years now I am seeing later and longer winters. Still no blossom on the trees where I live and winter tyres stayed on til May 12th this year – ” unprecedented!”

F1nn
Reply to  Ouluman
June 5, 2019 7:21 am

Here in south Finland we have still this “alavilla mailla hallanvaara” so I haven´t change tyres yet. Let´s see, maybe in midsummer.

June 4, 2019 8:08 am

has been endorsed by the former chief of Australia’s military.

… after a few pints of Foster’s. Wonder how he felt after watching “On the Beach”?

ozspeaksup
Reply to  Mumbles McGuirck
June 5, 2019 3:32 am

dunno but by chr**T im glad hes an EX, but gives one the shivers if he got that far, had tht much power
and is an utter dipsh*T
as if we dont have enough to worry about with not enough Mil and equipment.

schnurrp
June 4, 2019 8:15 am

I have decide to totally ignore all such warnings until those issuing them become more realistic about the use of nuclear energy. This would allow both sides to have their cake and eat it too.

June 4, 2019 8:23 am

They are right about one thing; we will all die. If the cause is climate, it will likely be cold.

John Chism
June 4, 2019 8:26 am

Perspective; that the global population of Termites produce twice the volume of CO2 than all of mankind’s contributions from Fossil Fuels and have been doing this for at least 10,000 years after “The Last Ice Age” that created this Holocene Interglacial. Makes “Anthropogenic” Climate Change total nonsense. Humans could completely stop everything they’re doing – including breathing and just die- and the CO2 will keep increasing by 2 or more parts per million every year and the climate is still going to change whether humans exist or don’t. Simply because Carbon Dioxide does not have the effect/affect that scientist have given it. You cannot attribute the Global Warming Event that ended “The Last Ice Age” that had 280 ppm of Carbon Dioxide to causing it to warm, nor can any of the temperature fluctuations of warming and cooling with constantly increasing Carbon Dioxide in this Holocene Interglacial. You cannot have an over 18 years hiatus of temperature, when the Carbon Dioxide increased by 2 ppm each year and have any significant connection between CO2 and temperature.

Olen
June 4, 2019 8:27 am

That disaster can they keep kicking down the road must be well beat up by now. I forgot it is a virtual reality can recreated with each prediction.
Virtual: not physically existing as such but made by software to appear to do so.

Sciwiz
June 4, 2019 8:34 am

Yesterday it was 4 degrees C hotter than the day before in Central Florida. I guess we are all dead since we passed that magic 3 degrees. I don’t know if I should go out and tell all the plants and animals they are suppose to be dead.
These people are jokes and those of us that know better need to voice our opinions. Easier said than done since we have lost the independent journalism platform.

Phoenix44
Reply to  Sciwiz
June 4, 2019 10:06 am

Today is ten degrees colder than it was on Sunday here in London. If the trend continues by next week we will be at absolute zero.

Tom Abbott
June 4, 2019 8:36 am

From the article: “Assuming we stay on our current trajectory, emissions will lock in a 3 degree Celsius (37 degrees Fahrenheit) global warming, setting off a disastrous chain off events which the report’s authors claim will lead to “a high likelihood of human civilization coming to an end.”

I had no idea CAGW would lock in 37 degree F weather!
That would *really* be a disaster! Crops don’t grow very good in weather that cold.

gmak
June 4, 2019 8:39 am

If anything ends civilization by 2050, it will be the ceaseless activities of the CTRL-LEFT who may finally succeed in marginalizing men and removing them from the equation.

Nick Werner
June 4, 2019 8:41 am

…’there is a “high likelihood” human civilization will come to an end by 2050 unless action is taken on greenhouse gas emissions.’

That’s about thirty years. When given enough power, socialists have been able to accomplish the same thing in less than half that time.

Jonathan Ranes
Reply to  Nick Werner
June 4, 2019 12:20 pm

zing!

F1nn
Reply to  Nick Werner
June 5, 2019 7:15 am

Todays greensocialists are much weaker than their idols, but they are angrier because they are always hungry. And they don´t have enough muscle to take power. That must be frustrating, as their behaviour indicates.

What if this global warming is just greensocialists farts?

Jeff Dunn
June 4, 2019 8:50 am

Yet no attempt made here to obtain the report, analyse the risk analysis and point out where it goes wrong.

That makes this post and the raft of commentary worthless.

(The LINK was posted for everyone, INCLUDING YOU to read and comment on:The dire paper. Where is YOUR comment on it?) SUNMOD

Phoenix44
Reply to  Jeff Dunn
June 4, 2019 10:09 am

When the conclusions of a paper are so absurd as to make it obvious nonsense, why waste an electron on reading why they have written nonsense?

I don’t bother reading papers that claim the Earth is flat, vaccines don’t work or gravity is an illusion either – and they are less stupid than this one.

Andrew Cooke
Reply to  Jeff Dunn
June 4, 2019 11:03 am

Yep, I read it.

Are you actually defending this useless tripe? This is a policy paper, written from a socio-political viewpoint. This is not risk analysis.

A real risk analysis paper would have a Failure Modes Effects and Analysis chart, easily traced and supported data, an exceptional amount of detail and recommended mitigation options based on feasibility and cost.

This piece of trash paper is pure propaganda, filled with talking points and quotes from established thought leaders who engage in proper rightthink. Anyone who would defend this ignorance is quite obviously a brainwashed true believer.

If you want to convince intelligent and critical thinkers, you had better produce better propaganda than this.

Dan Sudlik
June 4, 2019 8:53 am

I read the NY Post online and went back and checked the 6/3 edition and there was no sign of this article. Just did the link and none of that was online. This is strange.

CD in Wisconsin
June 4, 2019 8:58 am

Oh joy, another reprieve! Human civilization has been granted another twenty years until the end (2050 instead of 2030). Allow me this moment to extend my gratitude to the high priests of the climate cult have seen it in their hearts to give us this extension. Praise be!

At the rate we keep getting reprieves, human civilization is going to go on indefinitely. If there is one interesting characteristic about doomsday prophesies, the end-date is never set in stone. The high priests reserve the right to change it on a moment’s notice as they see fit.

markl
June 4, 2019 9:00 am

Pick any year in the future. Write a paper or make a political statement about a climate catastrophe taking place by that date and you get published or receive press. Write a paper or make a political statement contradicting climate catastrophes and you are either ignored or demonized. Controlling what information gets disseminated is more important than the information if you want control. Trump is smart in attacking the media and if it weren’t for the internet we would be living in a much different political world today. Progressives realize this and we’re already seeing online manipulation of information and who gets it. AGW is just one of the information victims but will affect the world profoundly if we don’t take a stand now.

DMA
June 4, 2019 9:05 am

I thought maybe the paper was actually sarcasm so I opened it up and conclude that the authors are being serious. It is written in a journal like format with footnotes and graphs and headings.
I see it as a clear example of the necessity for skepticism of any climate related article. This one is so wild it is hard to accept that the authors are serious but I have seen responses to serious and reasonable skeptical papers that sound like the comments here on this one.

Dagfinn Reiersøl
June 4, 2019 9:18 am

I looked at it briefly. They’re using the “hothouse earth” paper, while conveniently neglecting to mention that the time frame is centuries or millennia.

oeman50
June 4, 2019 9:21 am

“high likelihood”

Looks like they are trying to piggy back onto the terminology the IPCC uses to gain credibility. But that assumes the IPCC even has credibility……

richard
June 4, 2019 9:26 am

Oh it’s all so complicated-

“World population projected to reach 9.7 billion by 2050 | UN …”

Greg Woods
June 4, 2019 9:44 am

Civilization ends in 50 years. Would that be in the afternoon?

June 4, 2019 9:56 am

Ehrlich 1968: civilization will end by 2000.

Why is the apocalypse always conveniently 30 years into the future?

June 4, 2019 9:58 am

Not sure it’s necessary to post each & every ridiculous claim by the news-equivalents of the National Inquirer. If I wanted to, I could do that in the grocery checkout line.