IPCC to release “October surprise” on climate change

With all the crazy talk about “Russian meddling” in the 2016 Presidential election, one wonders if the same sort of crazy talk might be applied to the release of a special climate report just weeks before the U.S. mid-term elections. Given the timing, you can be sure that whatever is in the report will be front page news and used by the left as a political tool. Here is a press release from the IPCC, h/t to Dr. Willie Soon


Save the Date: IPCC Special Report Global Warming of 1.5ºC

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will meet in Incheon, Republic of Korea, on 1-5 October 2018, to consider the Special Report Global Warming of 1.5ºC. Subject to approval, the Summary for Policymakers will be released on Monday 8 October with a live-streamed press conference.

The press conference, addressed by the IPCC Chair and Co-Chairs from the three IPCC Working Groups, will be open to registered media, and take place at 10:00 local time (KST), 03:00 CEST, 02:00 BST, 01:00 GMT and 21:00 (Sunday 7 October) EDT.

Registered media will also be able to access the Summary for Policymakers and press release under embargo, once they are available. They will also be able to attend the opening session of the meeting at 10:00-11:00 on Monday 1 October. All other sessions of the IPCC meeting are closed to the public and to media.

The opening session of the meeting will include statements by the Chair of the IPCC, senior officials the IPCC’s two parent bodies World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and United Nations Environment Programme (UN Environment) and of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), and senior officials of the Republic of Korea.

The IPCC meetings and the press conference will take place at Songdo Convensia in Incheon.

Arrangements for media registration, submitting questions remotely, booking interviews, and broadcast facilities will be communicated in the coming weeks.

The report, whose full name is Global Warming of 1.5°C, an IPCC special report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty, is being prepared under the scientific leadership of all three IPCC Working Groups.

Formally, the meeting will start with the 48th Session of the IPCC. Next a joint session of the three Working Groups chaired by their Co-Chairs will consider the Summary for Policymakers line by line for approval. Then the 48th Session of the IPCC will resume to accept the Summary for Policymakers and overall report.

The IPCC decided to prepare the report, in response to an invitation from the UNFCCC Conference of the Parties at its 21st meeting in December 2015 when the Paris Agreement was signed.

Source: http://www.ipcc.ch/news_and_events/ma-p48.shtml

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September 24, 2018 1:48 pm

I wonder how much longer the influence of water vapor on average global temperature will be ignored. Long term WV trend is rising but current short term trend is declining. Water in oceans, water vapor and clouds is by far the principal regulator of average global temperature. The warming trend might be over.comment image

Reply to  Dan Pangburn
September 24, 2018 1:52 pm

Oops, wrong link. Try this.comment image

Meh
Reply to  Dan Pangburn
September 25, 2018 7:42 am

Isn’t water vapor the central positive feedback in the current climate models, and pretty much the only reason they run hot?

Reply to  Meh
September 25, 2018 8:31 am

Apparently WV is not modeled correctly. According to NASA/RSS WV is increasing about twice as fast as calculated based on surface water temperature increase. WV has increased about 8% since 1960.

John Bell
September 24, 2018 2:00 pm

They should be all rounded up at the conference, nuff said.

September 24, 2018 2:33 pm

I thought that this was the subject of an earlier post today:

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/09/23/guardian-climate-scientists-massaging-un-report-to-placate-nations-which-support-fossil-fuel/

… where the GUARDIAN reported that a “reviewer” said this report would downplay or water down earlier IPCC positions.

Moderately Cross of East Anglia
September 24, 2018 3:01 pm

Amazing how the IPCC doesn’t manage to get anything much right and seeks to justify its latest shuffle of its Tarot card prognostications by claiming unless we believe everything they say the fight against poverty will be set back.

Funny that, the fight against poverty is actually progressing well. Actually it would have probably have succeeded by now if the IPCC and its supporters hadn’t diverted trillions of dollars and other resources into the pockets of unscrupulous politicians, greens, empire building academics, renewable energy magnates and other chancers.

MarkW
Reply to  Moderately Cross of East Anglia
September 25, 2018 3:21 pm

Mankind was doing a marvelous job of eliminating poverty.
Then government got involved and progress all but stopped.

September 24, 2018 3:48 pm

Now the IPCC panic level is down to 1.5 degrees, would anyone be able to detect this without a thermometer?

September 24, 2018 4:10 pm

The fight against poverty would have probably have succeeded by now , if 50 years ago the investments had gone to schools with high academic standards in the inner cities.

The pre-1955 Dunbar High School (previously M Street School) in Washington DC is a prime example. Thomas Sowell summarizes its history in his “Wealth, Poverty, and Politics.”

It opened with high academic standards. Its student body was all African American. It was over-crowded. But teachers and students were dedicated. From about 1916 through 1955, its students ranked with the best in the state, comparing favorably to the top three academic high schools in DC.

Dunbar graduates were high achievers. Several achieved serious prominence in their fields. Thomas Sowell has an essay here, with this summary, “Over the years from 1892 to 1954, thirty-four of the graduates from the M Street School and Dunbar went on to Amherst.

Of these, 74 percent graduated from Amherst and 28 percent of these graduates were Phi Beta Kappas. Other graduates from M Street High School and Dunbar became Phi Beta Kappas at Harvard, Yale, Dartmouth and other elite institutions….

Sowell goes on, “ No systematic study has been made of the later careers of the graduates of this school. However, when the late black educator Horace Mann Bond studied the backgrounds of blacks with Ph.D.s, he discovered that more of them had graduated from M Street-Dunbar than from any other black high school in the country.

” The first blacks to graduate from West Point and Annapolis also came from this school. So did the first black full professor at a major university (Allison Davis at the University of Chicago). So did the first black federal judge, the first black general, the first black Cabinet member, the first black elected to the United States Senate since Reconstruction, and the discoverer of a method for storing blood plasma. During World War II, when black military officers were rare, there were more than two dozen graduates of M Street or Dunbar High School holding ranks ranging from major to brigadier general.

But all that ended in 1955. Dunbar High is now a local school, with all the usual problems. But the example remains. There is no substitute for standards, rigor, and integrity.

The Progressive gifts of eschewing the ‘cis-hetero-normative dead white male patriarchy’ and imposing so-called equity, inclusion, and diversity have achieved worse than nothing.

Rob_Dawg
Reply to  Pat Frank
September 24, 2018 4:59 pm

Fascinating but a shame you posted this here rather than someplace topical.

I wish you only the best of success in making this topic known among the appropriate comment areas.

schitzree
Reply to  Rob_Dawg
September 24, 2018 6:39 pm

It was topical to the fact that whenever a Leftist mentions fighting poverty it is inevitably followed by a plan that is guaranteed to increase poverty.

~¿~

Walter Sobchak
Reply to  Pat Frank
September 24, 2018 6:25 pm

“The Progressive gifts … have achieved worse than nothing.”

Which is exactly what they want. After all, if the objects of their charity achieved self-sufficiency and success, they would no longer need the “Progressives”. Now would they?

John MacDonald
September 24, 2018 4:31 pm

Well, if the report title and the release date doesn’t scream “politics all the way down” then nothing does.
And for bonus points, now we get sustainable development and poverty relief thrown into the mandate.

Rob_Dawg
September 24, 2018 4:54 pm

> Registered media will also be able to access the Summary for Policymakers and press release under embargo, once they are available. They will also be able to attend the opening session of the meeting at 10:00-11:00 on Monday 1 October. All other sessions of the IPCC meeting are closed to the public and to media.

Spot the bezzle. No public and only one media accessible event.

Don’t get me started on the “location” and “season. Incheon will be 72/64°F for the entire time and a honking huge airplane flight for the supermajority of all attendees.

Pop Piasa
September 24, 2018 5:27 pm

Since nobody posted this yet…

September 24, 2018 5:33 pm

It appears that only the SPM is going to be released. When will the full report, with its incredibly long title, be released?

September 24, 2018 5:58 pm

Might be an idea for the US contribution to the UN coffers be reduced by the amount being spent by the IPCC and the UNFCCC.

September 24, 2018 6:24 pm

Which country hosts the IPCC official site? China.

September 24, 2018 6:28 pm

Which country hosts the IPCC official site? ipcc.ch China.

Walter Sobchak
September 24, 2018 6:29 pm

The IPCC’s October Surprise will be completely ignored.

The real October surprise will be Robert Muller’s report outlining the grounds for the impeachment of Donald Trump. It will be released during the last week of October.

Bank on it.

Reply to  Walter Sobchak
September 24, 2018 7:41 pm

He will be violating long-held DOJ policies if he does release such a report before the mid-terms. Not that that would be unexpected for someone who is desperately trying to salvage his legacy from his past buffoonery and screw-ups. If one actually objectively scrutinizes Mueller’s past, he comes up as bozo.
Mueller totally ruined his reputation on the 2001-2002 anthrax investigation. And even earlier Mueller had totally destroyed his integrity on the Whitey Bulger mess in Boston.
If anyone is curious and deosn’t know of what I write, just Google it all.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Walter Sobchak
September 25, 2018 7:27 am

There are no grounds for impeaching President Trump.

Mueller looks to me like he is part of the Obama plan to undermine the Trump administration. Mueller has a lot of questions to answer, like: Why didn’t you recuse yourself from this matter since you have multiple conficts of interests with Trump and the Trump administration?

Another question Mueller should be asked is why did you allow Hillary Clinton to sell 20 percent of U.S. uranium to Russian front companies. Mueller just happened to be FBI Director at the time and knew all about the fraud being perpetrated by Hillary Clinton and others in the Obama administration (he had an informant right in the middle of all these goings on), yet he allowed the sale to go through without protest. So he must have been onboard with this action. Why?

I hear Attorney General Sessions is afraid to go after anyone who is connected with the Clinton’s. He declined to investigate one of Clinton’s cronies recently saying they were too close to Clinton. Sessions actions since being appointed Attorney General have caused me to wonder if maybe someone isn’t blackmailing him into inaction and silence. What else would explain his failure to take action when it is obvious that action needs to be taken by the Attorney General?

September 24, 2018 7:35 pm

The IPCC started out with a 3-6 deg C existential calamity by 2100 claim based on 1950 temp baseline.

They are down now carnival barking about 1.5 deg C calamity based on 1850 (pre-industrial) starting temp.

Pretty much a sad, dishonest lot the IPCC is when you realize how much they had had to move the goalposts for their alarmism.

Pop Piasa
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
September 24, 2018 8:58 pm

..And now they prepare to move the goalposts once more. If it weren’t for the support of post-reality academia, this bureaucratic burden based on BS would have broken its back.

lee
September 24, 2018 7:50 pm

Will this SPM actually be a summary of the science or of the politicians?

brians356
September 24, 2018 8:19 pm

“Women and children hardest hit.”

Non Nomen
September 24, 2018 10:10 pm

What a pity Lord Monckton won’t be present in Korea. Or will he – in disguise?

Hivemind
September 24, 2018 10:15 pm

It would be a real surprise if the “fessed up” and admitted that it was a scientific fraud from day one.

September 25, 2018 12:26 am
knr
September 25, 2018 5:29 am

48th Session of the IPCC !
they certainly clock up the air miles there , but I suppose when all the job you have is jetting aroudn the world having meetings then to keep the money rolling it you are going to keep doing just that .

September 25, 2018 5:51 am

QUESTION: How many words does it take to explain bull shit? ANSWER: Two.

Yet, the IPCC seems to require 800 pages.

IPCC = Incompetent Politically Correct Corruption

2 degrees was ridiculous enough. Now 1.5 degrees. Do I hear 1 ? How soon before they go below the margin of error?

800 pages to justify concern for 1.5 degrees. I don’t think that I could come up with 800 words to explain how stupid this is.

Dr. Strangelove
September 25, 2018 6:16 am

Preview of “October surprise”

Jimmy
September 25, 2018 8:38 am

Let me guess; this is based on computer modrls