The Extent of Global Warming Deception and the Damage is Not Hyperbole

Guest Opinion: Dr. Tim Ball.

Normally, I don’t respond to comments about my articles. However, comments about my last article raise questions that I think require context and explanation in the ongoing search for openness and free debate on climate. This applies to even the most extreme challenges to the status quo. Many of the comments are predictable because they come from people who constantly beat the same old drum. It is usually possible to predict who will respond to any subject and what they will say. They are not necessarily trolls, although trolls are ever present, and are usually called-out or ignored. The critical issue is the danger of skeptics becoming a narrow-minded, tunnel-vision group that attacks, rejects, or simply ignores skepticism about the skeptic’s position or views. This is always a problem but is particularly problematic when the prevailing view in this polarized world is that if you are not with me, you must be against me.

The global warming debate has divided into promoters of the claims of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) and the skeptics. It is the nature of any group behavior to become increasingly dogmatic. It is part of the conditions that create Groupthink. The promoters are de facto ensnared in Groupthink. The skeptics are in danger of falling into the same condition. Anthony does a very good job of publishing material from across the spectrum. He also struggles with censorship of comments, being as accommodating as possible under the circumstances. It is imperative that as skeptics we keep open minds – that is, skeptics must be open to skepticism about their skepticism.

One of the comments said the article was more reasonable than those I usually produce. The writer said he could understand my anger because of the attacks I experience. While I appreciate his claim, I reject it because the one thing you learn when you choose to challenge authority is that you have no idea how nasty and demoralizing it becomes. People have a sense of the cost, and that is enough to make the vast majority remain silent. There is a reason they pass whistleblower laws, even in America where free speech is championed. As Voltaire said,

“It is dangerous to right in matters where men in authority are wrong.”

The truth is I consciously moderate my writings because of Ingersoll’s comments. Unfortunately, because of events and facts fading into history and the relentless spin and cover-up by AGW proponents, the level of deliberate deception and extent of the damage done is not appreciated by most anymore. But don’t just take my word for it. Consider the words of the late Professor Hal Lewis, Emeritus Professor of physics, when he discovered that the executive of the American Physical Society (APS) had given their support, without consultation with the membership, to the AGW story. He resigned in a very public protest. As he wrote in his October 2010 resignation letter,

“the global warming scam, with the (literally) trillions of dollars driving it, that has corrupted so many scientists, and has carried APS before it like a rogue wave. It is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist.”

Challenges to official climate science of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) began small and gradually grew. It was pushed harder than normal for a few reasons;

  • The people selected to participate in the IPCC were picked and controlled by the UN World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
  • Because of protests, a charade of external examiners was created. It was a charade because none of the early submissions were included.
  • Several prominent people, like Richard Lindzen and Chris Landsea, resigned from the IPCC in protest about the practices and procedures.
  • By 1995, the first major scandal involving Benjamin Santer and unauthorized alterations to Chapter 8 were exposed.
  • After the forecast failures of the 1990 Report, the IPCC created a range of projections to improve chances of being correct.
  • The IPCC did not follow scientific method because they set out to ‘prove’ the hypothesis rather than disprove it.
  • The attacks on scientists who dared to practice proper science by challenging the hypothesis drew concern and attention.
  • Growing awareness of the disparity between the Science Report and the Summary for Policymakers.
  • Many knew that Al Gore’s claim that the science was settled is wrong.
  • Important early skeptical web sites, like John Daly’s Still Waiting for Greenhouse, Anthony Watt’s Watts Up With That?, Steve McIntyre’s Climate Audit, and Sherwood Idso’s CO2 Science, provided forums for the skeptical view suppressed by those trying to prove the AGW hypothesis.

The shameful behavior was and continues to be by the business world, especially the energy sector. They profess to have a social conscience and care about the environment, but their actions belie those claims. If anyone has the expertize to know that the science of anthropogenic global warming was wrong, it is the energy companies. Despite this, they chose to appease the environmentalists. They are now learning that you cannot appease extremists. Besides as Churchill said,

“An appeaser is one who feeds the crocodile, hoping it will eat him last.”

Donna Laframboise wrote about the millions of dollars the appeasers paid out in a 2012 article titled, “Big Oil Money for Me, But Not for Thee.”

When I think of the devastating cost to me, both financial and emotional, all based on lies and misinformation made by these receivers of oil money, it is surprising I am as calm and controlled as I am. Remember, the basis for their proof is that I am a liar and totally compromised because they say I received money from oil companies. The sad part is I never received a single penny from any oil company. Presumably, the environmentalists who did receive the money are the ones compromised. At the very least, they are absolute hypocrites.

The truth is the oil executives didn’t care about the scientific truth regarding global warming or carbon dioxide. It was profitable public relations to say they were saving the environment and the planet because they received tax write-offs for the contributions and simply passed on other costs to the consumer. They were also able to practice advocacy advertising, an activity environmentalists condemned in the 1970s and 80s. This was the charge that corporations were advertising political positions rather than a selling a product. Environmentalists, who said they could not afford such advertising, wanted a law requiring the corporation provide money, or pay for equal time and space, for their opposing view.

Perhaps the ultimate irony in all this expensive game-playing, or by its official name, politics, is that it could occur at all. The impact at the political level was not consequential or damaging, besides it is likely they were being paid off. The trillions of dollars Lewis speaks about all came out of the pockets of the people. Worse, it came at the expense of development and improvements in all sectors of the economy. This was starkly brought home when India said that the claimed damage to the environment that justified restrictions and imposition were as nothing compared to the number of people starving to death or without electricity. In this fatuous world, it is no surprise that the US Senate made somewhat similar first-world comparisons of hardship when they voted not to vote on the Kyoto Protocol (KP). They put on the cloak of green by avoiding a vote on the KP. Instead, they voted on the Byrd/Hagel resolution, which asked if they should vote on KP. The debate involved consideration of the socio-economic costs and benefits of implementing KP. They voted 95-0 not to vote on the KP.

A similar situation exists today concerning the Paris Climate Agreement. The energy companies and politicians could easily show that the science doesn’t justify the policy, but they continue to be complicit. They could also show that the environmental and climate impacts from implementing the complete Agreement are laughable. Bjorn Lomborg says,

The climate impact of all Paris INDC promises is minuscule: if we measure the impact of every nation fulfilling every promise by 2030, the total temperature reduction will be 0.048°C (0.086°F) by 2100. (His emphasis).

Even if we assume that these promises would be extended for another 70 years, there is still little impact: if every nation fulfills every promise by 2030 and continues to fulfill these promises faithfully until the end of the century, and there is no ‘CO₂ leakage’ to non-committed nations, the entirety of the Paris promises will reduce temperature rises by just 0.17°C (0.306°F) by 2100.

Notice that even if he is 100% wrong it is still inconsequential. How many real-world problems of suffering, misery, and death, could be eliminated using the billions of dollars wasted every day on the completely false claim of AGW? The underlying objective of the AGW deception was to reduce world population. It is not a problem, but if it was, the best solution is development using fossil fuels.

Climate is a vehicle for wealth transfer in the naive belief it will help ‘poor’ people. Ottar Edenhofer, co-chair of the IPCC WGIII from 2008 to 2015, explained.

“One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy,” “We redistribute de facto the world’s wealth by climate policy.”

It is another aid program, but like them all, it doesn’t and can’t work.

I listened to a professional emotion-laden plea for money for children starving in Ethiopia because of a drought. The problem is there are always droughts in Ethiopia. How did these people manage in the past? The children are dying because of the decisions of their parents and government and the abetting provided by our giving to such appeals for funds or our foreign aid. Why aren’t the adults and government of Ethiopia helping? They always have money for guns and bombs.

Ethiopia spent $5,438,000,000 on their military budget in the 12 years from 2001-2012. They reduced the amount as the civil war ended, although they still spent $329 million in 2012, but by 2015 it was back up to $404.5 million. Yes, the children are the innocent bystanders, but it is pure exploitation of emotions to make it my concern when the parents and people of Ethiopia can’t get their priorities right. Worse, we further the failures and distortions with any aid. As it is said, foreign aid is taking money from the poor people of the rich country and giving it to the rich people of the poor country. What this tells me is that there is a failure of leadership at both ends of the transfer of funds. I believe it will continue until we get angry enough to expose and stop it. Environmentalists and energy companies are complicit with the politicians in the perpetuation of abuse, death, and destruction.

I know this article will trigger the predictable narrow responses and the trolls. However, I also hope it will remind others of the extent of the deception, and loss of lives and lost opportunities of this greatest deception in human history.

—————

Post Script:

Sad to lose John Coleman who I had the privilege of meeting at Heartland Climate Conferences. He was confident, forthright, and powerful, but not bullying in his views because he revered what Robert Ingersoll called the Holy Trinity of Science, Reason, Observation, and Experience. T.B.

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123 Comments
February 4, 2018 1:28 pm

Ditto current, recent and past postings.
Think my observations are incorrect? Step right up, bring science, etc.
As a retiree clipping coupons, corporate etc. back lash not of concern.

February 4, 2018 1:34 pm

It is another aid program, but like them all, it doesn’t and can’t work.

These are two different statements:

It is another aid program

OK. Your article proves that is true as the IPCC agrees that the Paris Accord will do next to nothing to affect the climate.

but like them all, it doesn’t and can’t work.

That is mere opinion.

February 4, 2018 1:35 pm

May Mr. Ball live to the age of Moses, we need his voice, his experience and most of all his humanity.

NME666
February 4, 2018 1:35 pm

the greatest impediment to human advancement in science, social standing, and wealth, is belief!

judtaylor
February 4, 2018 1:41 pm

Voltaire quote
from
“It is dangerous to right in matters where men in authority are wrong.”
to
“It is dangerous to be right in matters where men in authority are wrong.”

Ben of Houston
February 4, 2018 1:44 pm

As an employee of one of said energy companies, I can confirm that we know precisely what we are doing. The legal team actually pitched Carbon Trading to the environmental group by talking about how much money we were going to make off of it.
“Green” Investment decisions are made by public relations, not the HSE department. We are responsible for reducing real pollutants, such as VOCs, NOx, and HAPS. The solar investments are made by financing, not engineering. Real science need not apply because they are not relevant to making a profit.

February 4, 2018 1:47 pm

Tim, you have the “redistribution to the poor” wrong. The redistribution is a basic one-off to impoverish America primarily. The unparalleled strength, innovativeness and productivity of America’s free-enterprise system is the bugbear of the Neo-Marxybrothers, whose record by comparison makes for poor advertising of their ideology. The Neo stuff is really тоталiтагеаиэм by Champagne Soshulists (Champs). The Davos gang will be fine but the rest of us will be completely controlled. You have an inkling of the truth re the oil companies, really, the Champs are paying off big industry to join them by ensuring big profits. Its exactly how Maurice Strong was using capitalism – to fund the elitist global control element. The poor are already screwed. The constituency for Trump was just such people and this may have been the last chance for a reversal because another election cycle with all the walking dumb having completed their non-educations and would then be of age to swing the “Progressives” agenda – they want the world’s poor to simply die off (that’s always been part of it). Third world countries are easy to control because you just have to give payola to the heads of state to do as they are told.

Bruce Cobb
February 4, 2018 1:50 pm

“It is imperative that as skeptics we keep open minds – that is, skeptics must be open to skepticism about their skepticism.”
Of course. But that assumes that our “skepticism” is simply a knee-jerk reaction. For many, if not most of us, our “skepticism” was not a priori. Au contraire, many of us were believers before, although it was because we simply didn’t know what the argument was. We simply assumed that what we were being told was true, having no reason not to. Therefor, it was precisely having an open mind which led us to skepticism in the first place. And now, you are telling us to “keep an open mind”. LOL.

Mike McMillan
February 4, 2018 1:55 pm

“It is dangerous to right in matters where men in authority are wrong.”
… to Be right …”

markl
February 4, 2018 2:14 pm

I agree with your assessment but find no solace in a solution.

F. Leghorn
February 4, 2018 2:30 pm

Well said, sir. Live long and prosper.

Editor
February 4, 2018 2:32 pm

Dr. Ball ==> I have emailed you thru your website contact app.

Ron Long
February 4, 2018 2:33 pm

Unlike you Tim, I took money from an oil company. Big bucks from CONOCO! As a Geologist I wrote a Letter to the Editor for the Reno, Nevada newspaper talking about the unlikely validity of the Anthropogenic Global Warming theory based on common geologic markers showing normal variance. My house phone rang and it was this guy and his son waiting for me in my front yard to beat the hell out of me for my support of pollution. I was a concealed carry permit holder and I went out to eliminate this risk to my household. They fled immediately, but what a sobering experience for a scientist expressing a personal opinion about a scientific process. Your story reminds me also of Willie Soon and others like him. Thanks to Anthony Watts for great forums like this one where scientific opinions are shared.

The Reverend Badger
February 4, 2018 2:55 pm

Dr.Ball’s work and efforts in this area are very much appreciated in the anti-CAGW circles which I frequent.
The comment about skeptic groupthink is quite important. We (anti-CAGW groups) still appear to have competing and mutually exclusive opinions on how the atmosphere really works.
For example there are those who agree almost entirely with the radiative forcing theories of CAGW but think the effect is smaller (e.g. <1 degree per 100 years) and therefore no cause for worry. There are those who believe there is no greenhouse effect at all and/or no such thing as a greenhouse gas. There are those who have some outlier theories about gravity / pressure such as Nikolov & Zeller and the charismatic Doug Cotton. There are also a few who are honest enough to admit that, being scientifically rigorous, we actually do not know for sure how the atmosphere works.
I suggest the time has come for all skeptic sides to unite under the idea of trying to find out exactly how the atmosphere does in fact work and to do so via carefully designed experiments which may eliminate or confirm one or more of the competing theories.
By carefully designed experiments I do not mean people who have doctorates messing about with hand held I.R. thermometers , heat lamps, trays of ice cubes or any nonsense like that.
Whatever your personal view on which theory is correct or which is BS you should not be afraid of seeing some experiments take place which may confirm or refute your view. If you are afraid or argue against conducting such experiments I would suggest you are a member of a "religion" and not a club of scientists trying to find out the truth.
I would therefore like to see some intelligent discussion of how we can test one or more of the theories of atmospheric heat transfer by real world experiments. We have had enough talking about it both from those who are highly qualified, from those who get even the basics wrong and even (as seen on WUWT) supposedly qualified experts who both get the basics wrong AND spend 50% of their time hurling insults around.
Enough already ! To the lab…… Who is with me?

Carlie J. Coats, Jr., Ph.D.
February 4, 2018 3:08 pm

About the WMO…
Contrary to international treaties dating aback as far as 1833, the duly-enacted ISO Standard 6709, and all of the GIS software on the planet and all the maps, for that matter, which all insist that the proper range of lonbgitudes is from -180 to 180, the WMO continues to push its “standard” interpretation of Longitude as ranging from 0 to 360.
Enough said!

David McGruer
February 4, 2018 3:26 pm

Dr. Ball, reading this article invoked a feeling of deep sadness in me – sadness at the depth of the AGW deception, sadness at the loss of rationality in society and sadness at the harm to so very many human lives perpetrated by the AGW fear mongers. Thank you for caring so passionately and sharing your insights.

Ferdinand Engelbeen
February 4, 2018 3:34 pm

Dear Dr. Ball,
You said:
It is imperative that as skeptics we keep open minds – that is, skeptics must be open to skepticism about their skepticism.
Sorry, but I do see some a fundamental lack of skepticism in your own writings of last time about ice cores. You still think that the late Dr. Jaworowski was right about what he wrote in 1992 (and repeated in 2007). Many of his objections against ice cores were already refuted in 1996 by the work of Etheridge e.a. on three ice cores at Law Dome.
Moreover, since that time ice core research didn’t stop looking for better methods. Where they needed a few meters of core in the 1980’s for a CO2 measurement, they now need a few cm3 and with the latest sublimation / mass spectrometer measurements, nothing can hide in the ice cores of any solid, liquid or gas in all its isotopes.
Skeptics indeed should be more skeptic about their own ideas and prejudices, especially where the other side is right or they discredit themselves where the other side is on more shaky gounds.
It is not because one accepts that ice cores are good quality – be it smoothed – stores of ancient air and that humans are responsible for most of the recent 110 ppmv increase in the atmosphere, that one does accept that much of the recent warming is from that increase. That are unrelated questions…
Thus please, while I do admire most of your work and your years of struggle with the money and power of the other side, a did expect a little more self-skepticism from you in the case of ice cores research…

HDHoese
February 4, 2018 3:39 pm

I have said this before, but the degree in which too much of academia has degraded in the last several decades is at a minimum juvenile, at the most criminal, as in varying levels of defamation. Some juvenile behavior might be expected in younger faculty and researchers, but seems to have crept into administration where the individuals are older and supposed to be responsibly wiser. I have experienced and observed this in parts of science relevant, but not limited to, the climate problem and some few other academic fields. Just read what is now allowed to be written in ‘scientific’ publications.
I was told from good authority that in Louisiana, at least, if you accuse somebody erroneously of a felony, you do not have to prove damage, but just that someone said it. It may have changed, but it doesn’t take much to accuse someone of a tort at least close to a felony.
Rumor and innuendo are all too human, but one would think that responsibility would be ingrained in an educated class simply by learning its operation and successful past. Outlining ethical behaviors, as is now common, means that the barn door has been long open, many horses lost. Dr. Ball, losing horses has repercussions. Hang in there.
Disclaimer, I have taken oil money, but they did not always like what I told them.

Bruce Cobb
February 4, 2018 3:56 pm

[snip -over the top -mod]

Edwin
February 4, 2018 5:16 pm

I was raised, educated and worked as a scientist. I was taught that skepticism, especially of one’s own work was vital to the process. I was hanging around climatologists and oceanographers when AGW first begin to hit the mainstream. I was told by some of them to beware of what was coming. Like some others I started out believing that there was some truth to AGW. Yet as I dug deeper and paid closer attention I discovered that good science was certainly not the driving force behind those that were becoming ever more vocal about the issue. I was then asked by several high level officials in my state to delve deeper into the issue and give them my assessment. That led me to discoveries of behavior by people calling themselves scientists that made me ill. The gross manipulation of facts and data, the deliberate ignoring of historical perspective, all solely to support the “hypothesis” of AGW to the public and high official made me sad and to a certain extent angry. That almost all of the so called catastrophic warming predictions was based on computer models, well I had seen that story before working in marine fisheries management, which involved some of the same federal agency promoting AGW.

February 4, 2018 5:18 pm

” …. in Louisiana, at least, if you accuse somebody erroneously of a felony, you do not have to prove damage, but just that someone said it. ” Yes, under English Common Law, which applies to most of the UK Commonwealth (or former Commonwealth) countries, accusation of a felony eg an arrestable offence, is actionable per se. Common Law principles are now subject to erosion by “progressives”. Good luck claiming the right to self-defence, right to use reasonable force to repel trespassers etc.

Sheri
February 4, 2018 5:49 pm

Did anyone here recognize AGW for the unscientific mess it is from the beginning?

February 4, 2018 5:49 pm

This is not about science. It is about money going somewhere or other people imposing their personal belief system on you.
If you want to pay money to someone and let them impose their beliefs on you, you can agree with the global warming religion.
Otherwise, you should DEMAND proof.

Gerald Machnee
February 4, 2018 5:51 pm

Dr. Ball’s remarks about the oil industry are correct.
However they will likely have to change their attitude and hire real scientists (skeptical version) to fight the scamming lawsuits in New York and California. They should not pay a cent.
Because governments like our own in Canada have accepted the “word” of the pseudo-scientists rather than real science could face the same problem. However politicians are not too concerned as they are playing with taxpayers money.

February 4, 2018 6:04 pm

Dr Ball.
Another succinct and valuable contribution.
Some thought that the election of Trump would change things in short order. Now Trump is keen on renegotiation of Paris agreement. If he renegotiates it will be a form of endorsement.
The level of entrenched agw belief is so strong, it will take years and a lot more than trump to reverse. In New Zealand the AGW mandate is in full swing, with not a single skeptic heard on radio or TV. Trump is portrayed as a buffoon so anything he says on AGW is dismissed.
With regards.