Guest essay by Eric Worrall
Scientists are worried that in 100 years, the effect on global temperature might almost be measurable, if the USA pulls out of the Paris Agreement.
Scientists explain what will happen if Donald Trump pulls out of Paris climate change agreement
The Earth will get dangerously warm even sooner if the U.S pulls out of pledge to cut carbon dioxide pollution
Seth Borenstein Saturday 27 May 2017 22:48 BST
Earth is likely to hit more dangerous levels of warming even sooner if the US pulls back from its pledge to cut carbon dioxide pollution, scientists said. That’s because America contributes so much to rising temperatures.
Calculations suggest it could result in emissions of up to 3 billion tonnes of additional carbon dioxide in the air a year. When it adds up year after year, scientists said that is enough to melt ice sheets faster, raise seas higher and trigger more extreme weather.
“If we lag, the noose tightens,” said Princeton University climate scientist Michael Oppenheimer, co-editor of the peer-reviewed journal Climatic Change.
One expert group ran a worst-case computer simulation of what would happen if the U.S. does not curb emissions, but other nations do meet their targets. It found that America would add as much as half a degree of warming (0.3 degrees Celsius) to the globe by the end of century.
Scientists are split on how reasonable and likely that scenario is.
Another computer simulation team put the effect of the U.S. pulling out somewhere between 0.1 to 0.2 degrees Celsius (.18 to .36 degrees Fahrenheit).
The scientists interviewed by The Independent are also worried a US walkout might trigger a general walkout, which speaks volumes about the alleged international commitment to climate action.
But the impact of the US contribution to climate change is clear. Even if we accept exaggerated climate models, all that international angst, all that politicking and doom mongering, all those US jobs at risk, to deliver a temperature shift so tiny that it will take a century to even have a chance of detecting it.
President Trump, tear up that useless job destroying Paris Agreement.