The hidden agendas of sustainability illusions

Absurd, impractical sustainability precepts are actually a prescription for government control

Guest essay by Paul Driessen

As President Trump downgrades the relevance of Obama era climate change and anti-fossil fuel policies, many environmentalists are directing attention to “sustainable development.”

Like “dangerous manmade climate change,” sustainability reflects poor understanding of basic energy, economic, resource extraction and manufacturing principles – and a tendency to emphasize tautologies and theoretical models as an alternative to readily observable evidence in the Real World. It also involves well-intended but ill-informed people being led by ill-intended but well-informed activists who use the concept to gain greater government control over people’s lives, livelihoods and living standards.

The most common definition is that we may meet the needs of current generations only to the extent that doing so will not compromise the ability of future generations to meet their needs. Sustainability thus reflects the assertion that we are rapidly depleting finite resources, and must reduce current needs and wants so as to save raw materials for future generations.

At first blush, it sounds logical and even ethical. But it requires impossible clairvoyance.

In 1887, when the Hearthstone House became the world’s first home lit via hydroelectric power, no one did or could foresee that electricity would dominate, enhance and safeguard our lives in the myriad ways it does today. Decades later, no one anticipated pure silica fiber optic cables replacing copper wires.

No one predicted tiny cellular phones with superb digital cameras and more computing power than a 1990 desktop computer or 3-D printing or thousands of wind turbines across our fruited plains – or cadmium, rare earth metals and other raw materials suddenly required to manufacture these technological wonders.

Mankind advanced at a snail’s pace for thousands of years. As the modern fossil-fuel industrial era found its footing, progress picked up at an increasingly breathtaking pace. Today, change is exponential. As we moved from flint to copper, to bronze, iron, steel and beyond, we didn’t do so because mankind had exhausted Earth’s supplies of flint, copper, tin and so on. We did it because we innovated – invented something better, more efficient or practical. Each advance required different raw materials.

Who today can foresee what technologies future generations will have 25, 50 or 200 years from now? What raw materials they will need? How we are supposed to ensure that those families meet their needs?

Why then would we even think of empowering government to regulate today’s activities today based on the wholly unpredictable technologies, lifestyles, needs, and resource demands of distant generations? Why would we ignore or compromise the needs of current generations, to meet those totally unpredictable future needs – including the needs of today’s most impoverished, energy-deprived, malnourished people, who desperately want to improve their lives?

Moreover, we are not going to run out of resources anytime soon. A 1-kilometer fiber optic cable made from 45 pounds of silica (Earth’s most abundant element) carries thousands of times more information than an equally long RG-6 cable made from 3,600 pounds of copper, reducing demand for copper.

In 1947, the world’s proven oil reserves totaled 47 billion barrels. Over the next 70 years, we consumed hundreds of billions of barrels – and yet, in 2016 we still had at least 2,800 billion barrels of oil reserves, including oil sands, oil shales and other unconventional deposits: at least a century’s worth, plus abundant natural gas. Constantly improving technologies now let us find and produce oil and natural gas from deposits that we could not even detect, much less tap into, just a couple decades ago.

Sustainability dogma also revolves around hatred of fossil fuels, and a determination to rid the world of them, regardless of any social, economic or environmental costs of doing so. And we frequently find that supposedly green, eco-friendly and sustainable alternatives are frequently anything but.

U.S. ethanol quotas eat up 40% of the nation’s corn, cropland the size of Iowa, billions of gallons of water, and vast quantities of pesticides, fertilizers, tractor fuel and natural gas, to produce energy that drives up food prices, damages small engines and gets one-third less mileage per gallon than gasoline.

Heavily subsidized wind energy requires standby fossil fuel generators, ultra-long transmission lines and thus millions of tons of concrete, steel, copper, rare earth metals and fiberglass. The turbines create chronic health problems for people living near them and kill millions of birds and bats – to produce intermittent, wholly unreliable electricity that costs up to 250% more than coal-based electricity.

For all that, on a torrid August 2012 day, Great Britain’s 3,500 giant wind turbines generated a mere 12 megawatts of electricity: 0.032% of the 38,000 MW the country was using at the time.

The United Kingdom also subsidizes several huge anaerobic digesters, intended to convert animal manure and other farm waste into eco-friendly methane for use in generating electricity. But there is insufficient farm waste. So the digesters are fed with corn (maize), grass and rye grown on 130,000 acres (four times the size of Washington, DC), using enormous amounts of water, fertilizer – and of course diesel fuel to grow, harvest and transport the crops to the digesters. Why not just drill and frack for natural gas?

That brings us to the political arena, where the terminology is circular, malleable, infinitely elastic, the perfect tool for activists. Whatever they support is sustainable; whatever they oppose is unsustainable; and whatever mantras or protective measures they propose give them more power and control.

The Club of Rome sought to build a new movement by creating “a common enemy against whom we can unite” – allegedly looming disasters “caused by human intervention in natural processes” and requiring “changed attitudes and behavior” to avoid global calamities: global warming and resource depletion.

“Building an environmentally sustainable future requires restricting the global economy, dramatically changing human reproductive behavior, and altering values and lifestyles,” said Worldwatch Institute founder Lester Brown. “Doing this quickly requires nothing short of a revolution.”

“Current lifestyles and consumption patterns of the affluent middle class – involving high meat intake, the use of fossil fuels, electrical appliances, home and workplace air conditioning, and suburban housing – are not sustainable,” Canadian arch-environmentalist Maurice Strong declared.

“Minor shifts in policy, moderate improvements in laws and regulations, rhetoric offered in lieu of genuine change,” former Vice President Al Gore asserted – “these are all forms of appeasement, designed to satisfy the public’s desire to believe that sacrifice, struggle and a wrenching transformation of society will not be necessary.” Environmental activist Daniel Sitarz agreed, saying: “Agenda 21 proposes an array of actions intended to be implemented by every person on Earth. Effective execution of Agenda 21 will require a profound reorientation of all humans, unlike anything the world has ever experienced.”

“Sustainable development,” the National Research Council declaimed in a 2011 report, “raises questions that are not fully or directly addressed in U.S. law or policy, including how to define and control unsustainable patterns of production and consumption, and how to encourage the development of sustainable communities, biodiversity protection, clean energy, environmentally sustainable economic development, and climate change controls.” In fact, said Obama science advisor John Holdren, we cannot even talk about sustainability without talking about politics, power, and control. Especially control.

Of course, the activists, politicians and regulators feel little pain, as they enjoy salaries and perks paid by taxpayers and foundations, fly to UN and other conferences at posh 5-star resorts around the world, and implement agendas that control, redesign and transform other people’s lives.

It is We the Governed – especially working class and poor citizens – who pay the price, with the world’s poorest families paying the highest price. We can only hope the Trump Administration and Congress will dismantle and defund sustainable development, the alter ego of cataclysmic manmade climate change.


Paul Driessen is senior policy analyst for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (www.CFACT.org), and author of Eco-Imperialism: Green power – Black death.

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ossqss
February 9, 2017 7:39 am

Don’t forget the newest one…… where is my Borg picture…..
https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/post2015/transformingourworld

February 9, 2017 7:44 am

I hate to think of those lousy grandkids zooming about the snowy streets of Sydney in their fancy australinium-powered jetson-mobiles sniggering at our attempts to guess future climate and future tech.
Some things – like cast iron cookware and mud brick – are for the ages. Most technology and most resources are for using and dumping when something better comes along. So use and dump. Nothing runs out.
As for those sniggering grandkids…

Tom Halla
February 9, 2017 7:47 am

Good discussion of the socialist fantasy/delusion.

markl
Reply to  Tom Halla
February 9, 2017 10:05 am

+1

Roger Graves
February 9, 2017 8:16 am

A much more useful concept than sustainability or conservation is efficiency, and in particular, energy efficiency. An energy efficient system is always to be preferred over a less efficient system. The problem with wind and solar energy is that they are inefficient. Both forms of energy generation are intermittent in nature and hence require on-line backup, which in itself is grossly inefficient. Both tend to be located far from the end-users, requiring lengthy transmission lines. Quite apart from their cost, lengthy transmission lines are inefficient because they dissipate energy in the form of heat.
Probably the most efficient form of large-scale energy generation is nuclear energy, because it does not require a major fuel delivery infrastructure and can be built fairly close to the end users (no lengthy transmission lines). Hydro-electric is highly efficient with regard to energy generation, although it usually requires lengthy transmission lines. Gas-fired thermal generation is efficient because its fuel delivery infrastructure, i.e. a pipeline, once built, is very cheap to operate, and the generating stations can be built close to the end users.

Griff
Reply to  Roger Graves
February 9, 2017 8:29 am

solar is frequently located right on your roof, so in fact there isn’t any transmission loss. Latest HVDC lines lose little in transmission.
I’d rather the nukes were quite a way from me!

phaedo
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 9:11 am

“I’d rather the nukes were quite a way from me!”
Thank you Griff, you’re a NIMBY as well.

RHS
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 9:21 am

Who lives under the panels at a solar farm such as the one at Indianapolis Airport or Denver International Airport then?
There is a hell of a lot of transmission loss from these Plus the fact the power is generated in DC and has to be inverted AC, even more power loss.

MarkW
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 9:56 am

Those panels on your roof provide only a tiny fraction of the power needed by your house.
You are also ignoring people who live in apartments, the way you alarmists want most of us to live.

ferdberple
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 10:22 am

there isn’t any transmission loss.
==================
Not true. 12 VDC as used in solar panels has huge losses requiring extremely thick and expensive cables. Just look at the 12 VDC battery cables on your car. Now look at your 120 VAC household kettle or hair dryer. They use about the same amount of power as your car’s starting motor, yet the cables are relatively thin and light weight. Imagine trying to use a hair dryer with your cars battery cables connected to it and the wall.
Now add in solar losses for AC/DC conversion, angle of the sun, batter charging/discharging. Now add in the simple fact that current battery technology only manages about 1000 charge/discharge cycles before the battery must be replaced. With day/night storage requirements, this means replacing all your batteries every 3 years best case. And the batteries can easily match or exceed the cost of the panels.

Curious George
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 12:47 pm

Griff does not use his home at night. What a great companion.

Michael of Oz
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 7:19 pm

~20% loss converting from DC to AC from my rooftop PV. Rooftop solar hotwater also wont work after four days of monsoon trough settling over the city so the booster gets turned on.

Mark T
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 8:56 pm

You really should refrain from comments regarding concepts you don’t really have any understanding of. Other people do. It makes you look even sillier than most assume you are.

myNym
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 9:51 pm

There are always transmission losses. Those who say otherwise are selling something.

drednicolson
Reply to  Griff
February 11, 2017 8:52 am

There’s no dodging the Thermo2 taxman. He always collects what is due him.

Chris Hagan
February 9, 2017 8:19 am

Windmills affect human health and kill vast numbers of birds. Does anyone now if the low frequency vibrations kill Bees or affect their health?

Griff
Reply to  Chris Hagan
February 9, 2017 8:27 am

no, they don’t.
Only a handful of wind sites cause harm to large numbers of birds. Multiple studies have shown no health risk

sonofametman
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 9:22 am

Griff:
A friend of mine lives near Fenwick in East Ayrshire, in a once beautiful spot now dominated by numerous wind farms.
The value of homes in the area has been destroyed by the wind farms, and it’s difficult to sell your house at any price if you want or need to move.
People are kept awake at night by the noise, and there have been well documented problems with water supplies, as many houses are off-mains and have private supplies.
Don’t try and pretend that people’s health is not affected by sleep deprivation and financial stress.

ferdberple
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 10:10 am

Multiple studies have shown no health risk
==================
Same holds true for smoking.

Barbara
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 4:25 pm

Information about wind turbine bird kills has been gathered and recently published in Ontario. Use internet search for Ontario Wind Resistance .Org. The bird kill information for Ontario is posted there.

Barbara
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 5:16 pm

Posted Jan.24, 2017
Scroll down to:
‘Wind Turbine Bird & Bat Mortality Reports, with Summary – Ontario Canada’
Follow the links to the records/data.
http://www.ontario-wind-resistance.org

myNym
Reply to  Griff
February 9, 2017 9:53 pm

Griff is wrong again. (sigh)

Logoswrench
February 9, 2017 8:30 am

The government is even too incompetent to predict the past. Why does anyone think it can predict the future?

Retired Kit P
February 9, 2017 8:32 am

‘Paul Driessen is senior policy analyst’ = BS artist selling a book.
I happen to think intentional misleading statements are the same as lying.
“U.S. ethanol quotas eat up 40% of the nation’s corn, … gets one-third less mileage per gallon than gasoline.”
American farmers are really smart productive folks. They process the excess energy out of feed corn producing a better feed and the ethanol is an additional product they can . E-10 does not change the thermal efficiency of ICE. The purpose of the 2005 Energy Bill mandate was to demonstrate an alternative to Saudi Arabia crude.
George Bush and American corn farmers were not worried about sustainability.
Paul D is full of BS.
Speaking of BS (cow actually):
“The United Kingdom also subsidizes several huge anaerobic digesters, intended to convert animal manure and other farm waste into eco-friendly methane for use in generating electricity. But there is insufficient farm waste.”
AD is primarily an animal waste processing system. The largest application is for human waste. The best thing AD do is convert highly toxic animal waste to a safe and stable fertilizer by capturing 90% of the nitrogen. Electricity is a less valuable byproduct. The interesting thing about cow manure compared to chicken, is the enzymes that break down cellulose. This allows those AD to be used to process biomass waste stream for a tipping fee.
“Why not just drill and frack for natural gas?”
Paul D do you still beat your wife? The loaded question is a device used by liars not stupid people. Farmers and ranchers play the hand they are dealt. I have seen plenty of corn fields with gas and oil gather gear. Why not do both?
“It is We the Governed – especially working class and poor citizens – who pay the price”
I got even money that Paul D is not part of that ‘We’.

MarkW
Reply to  Retired Kit P
February 9, 2017 10:02 am

So much idiocy.
Whether farmers are smart or not isn’t relevant when discussing the fact that much of the US corn crop is diverted from consumption to making fuel. This drives up both the price of food and fuel.
Yes, the left overs from ethanol production are being used as cattle feed, but the total nutritional value is still well below what was there prior to it being processed for fuel.
In your opinion, adding a fuel that has only 1/3rd the energy density of gasoline has no impact on gas mileage?
As to the rest of your rant. If I could figure out what it is you are ranting about, I would respond.

Paul Penrose
Reply to  Retired Kit P
February 9, 2017 11:45 am

The loss of mileage from ethanol laced gasoline has nothing to do with thermal efficiency; it derives directly from the fact that ethanol has less energy per unit volume than gasoline. Although I think the 30% figure is for pure ethanol, so that is likely wrong. But make no mistake, adding ethanol to gasoline reduces mileage. Ethanol is also more corrosive and has a shorter shelf life (due to a higher affinity for water) than gasoline, making it a poorer and more expensive fuel.
Ethanol is basically a hand out to corn farmers and ethanol distillers intended to buy votes in the midwest. I live in corn country. Everybody that farms corn around here knows that without the government ethanol mandates and subsidies, corn prices would not be as high as they currently are, and profits would be less.

schitzree
Reply to  Retired Kit P
February 9, 2017 2:12 pm

I happen to think intentional misleading statements are the same as lying.
“U.S. ethanol quotas eat up 40% of the nation’s corn, … gets one-third less mileage per gallon than gasoline.”
American farmers are really smart productive folks. They process the excess energy out of feed corn producing a better feed and the ethanol is an additional product they can . E-10 does not change the thermal efficiency of ICE. The purpose of the 2005 Energy Bill mandate was to demonstrate an alternative to Saudi Arabia crude.

…wait.
Nick? Is that you? Are you trying to get around your moderation with a new sock puppet?
Accusing others of intentionally misleading or lying while using a misleading statement to ‘prove’ their point sure sounds like our boy Racehorse.
On the gripping hand, even Nick should know about conservation of energy, and that you can’t take energy (in the form of alcohol) out of corn and still have the same amount of energy for feeding the cows. So there is nothing misleading about that statement.

myNym
Reply to  Retired Kit P
February 9, 2017 9:56 pm

“Paul D do you still beat your wife?”. Do you still beat yours?

Russell
February 9, 2017 8:35 am

Those sustainability and Agenda 21 promoters won’t be satisfied until we, the proletariat, are all crowded into urban, East German-style government-owned tenements, from which we emerge every morning to ride government transportation to drop off our kids at government daycare before we and our spouse report to our government jobs.
That is not an exaggeration or sarcasm.

February 9, 2017 8:42 am

Excellent post, and it inspired this one in response: http://climatelessons.blogspot.co.uk/2017/02/tell-your-children-sustainable.html

Johann Wundersamer
February 9, 2017 9:20 am

Absurd, impractical sustainability precepts are actually a prescription for government control
Paul Driessen – let’s differ to
Absurd, impractical sustainability precepts are actually a prescription for controlling the government

Johann Wundersamer
Reply to  Johann Wundersamer
February 9, 2017 9:46 am

“Minor shifts in policy, moderate improvements in laws and regulations, rhetoric offered in lieu of genuine change,” former Vice President Al Gore asserted –
and developed
“Absurd, impractical sustainability precepts as prescription for controlling the government.”

February 9, 2017 9:35 am

I point out, whenever appropriate, that the word “sustainability” didn’t exist when I was attending university. It’s a made up word, who shifted the meaning of that which can be sustained–as in non-declining/sustained yield timber management–with a policy which reacts to changes in market forces.
Before the woods were closed to logging by concerns over an owl, there was a robust discussion of modifying non-declining/sustained yield (dn/sy)to reflect producing more logs when timber prices went up, and fewer logs when prices went down. But that policy, today, operates as a vestige of current resource utilization. We’re logging well below levels of nd/sy. due to lawsuits, regulations and the removal of large parts of the state from logging, period.
“Sustainability” is a lie. There will always be enough of a thing if you’re wiling to pay the price for the thing.
.

john
February 9, 2017 9:40 am

Tayport solar farm connection delay threat to subsidy
https://www.thecourier.co.uk/fp/news/local/fife/362568/tayport-solar-far
A solar farm near Tayport could lose government subsidy after councillors delayed giving the green light for its connection to the grid, it has been claimed.
Around 5,000 panels are to be installed west of Kirkton Barns Farm but developer Sel PV 03 warned that unless the go-ahead was given on Wednesday to lay an underground cable connecting the site to a substation at Pickletillum it would lose the subsidy.

Bob Denby
February 9, 2017 9:43 am

Congratulations to (nearly) all above for great commentary! This essay needs to be required reading for every government agency and posted in all public places!

Peta from Cumbria, now Newark
February 9, 2017 9:48 am

….” who can predict what technologies will families need in 200 years…
I can.
Families will need food.
Information tech, tiny cameras, silica fibres – oh great. To do what apart from create noise and spread gossip, rumour and alarm. That fills stomachs alright. Bring it on.
And they will want something better than glucose (processed starch) because the penny will drop that this is killing people. We are not evolved, even after 10,000 years of eating that mush, to actually eat it. It is an emergency stop-gap but lazy muddle headed people like that way. Humans eat plants when there is nothing else yet now it is regarded as ‘staple’
Yet the consumption of sugar makes people lazy and muddle headed…Talk about a perfect positive feedback system.
Another penny will drop in that it will be realised that most of the CO2 now appearing in the sky is coming out of farmer’s fields, exactly to grow nutrient free & tasteless mush, though sadly quite addictive.
There’s not much good quality dirt on this planet to start with and we are eroding it (chemically with nitrogen and actively letting it wash away) at about 1 inch per ten years. Given that it was at most 2 feet deep, you do the sums.
Also, that CO2 is being relentlessly sucked into the ocean, from where it won’t be seen for 10s & 100s of millions of years when its puffed out of a volcano or two. There is not an infinite amount of easily usable carbon out there, so there’s your crunch point – dirt and organic (available) carbon.
The technology will therefore be the means of getting organic carbon out of (probably limestone) rock, turning it into something edible that does not contain the myriad toxins (esp glucose), irritants and allergens that come from eating plants (lettuce and broccoli – I’m looking at you!)
But then, we’re down to eating rock, an even more desperate situation than eating plants.

Editor
February 9, 2017 9:57 am

Y’all might enjoy my previous post here at WUWT entitled “Nothing Is Sustainable” … dang, it’s five years old already, but there’s nothing new under the sun.
w.

Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
February 9, 2017 11:27 am

Willis, I just reread it. Excellent, as is Paul’s.
What struck me as I read it is that, if one really looks at the Sustainabilitite’s logic, life itself — in any form — is unsustainable. But didn’t we already know that about them? Despite their near supersonic handwaving to the contrary, they are anti-life.

Johann Wundersamer
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
February 9, 2017 12:12 pm

Hello Willis,
your name is not printed VISIBLE on MY representation of wuwt comments .
Maybe tapped like a ‘link’.
You have a tip to restore ?
Thanks – Hans

Reply to  Johann Wundersamer
February 9, 2017 3:02 pm

Dunno, Johann, it works fine for me.
w.

ferdberple
February 9, 2017 10:00 am

It could be argued that only poverty is sustainable. Every other activity consumes resources, and ALL resources are finite because the earth is finite.
Either one is content to live in poverty, or one can use the resources of the earth to generate wealth and use this wealth to create and protect a society that benefits its members.
Digging oil from the earth for example generates wealth that builds roads, schools, hospitals, factories, homes, etc. Leaving the oil in the ground does nothing.

myNym
Reply to  ferdberple
February 9, 2017 10:07 pm

I guess you could say that the universe is finite. Whether that is true or not remains to be seen.
Not all of the energy available to us on Earth has yet been realized. If (Once?) we get fusion under control, you will only need a thimble full of matter to energize all of your needs.

ferdberple
February 9, 2017 10:03 am

If it is not sustainable for us today to dig up the oil, that we should leave it for future generations, then how can it be sustainable for future generations? Shouldn’t future generations by the same argument also leave the oil in the ground for generations that follow after them?
As a result, doesn’t the “sustainable” argument mean that we cannot consume any of earth’s resources, because on a finite earth everything is finite. If you consume it, eventually it will run out.

Paul Penrose
Reply to  ferdberple
February 9, 2017 11:48 am

You just made my point for me. Thank you.

myNym
Reply to  ferdberple
February 9, 2017 10:12 pm

If you consume it faster than it is replenished, then it could eventually run out.
Or, we move on to other resources. We once consumed whale oil faster than it could be replenished. We have since moved on to other resources.
Your position only holds if we do not move on to other resources, some time into our future. Can you say that authoritatively? I would think not.

markl
February 9, 2017 10:15 am

Why does the UN believe it has the charter to produce Agenda 21 or even host the IPCC? The West needs to wake up to the true intentions of the UN which are couched in terms like “sustainable” and “voluntary” but have nothing to do with maintaining peace.

Chris Hanley.
Reply to  markl
February 9, 2017 12:55 pm

The UN = mission creep on stilts.

myNym
Reply to  Chris Hanley.
February 9, 2017 10:13 pm

Time to send in the Killer Attack Beavers.

nc
February 9, 2017 10:30 am

Here is a link that parallels this topic. Also check the other links.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/02/09/delingpole-renewables-doomed-fossil-fuels-future/

myNym
Reply to  nc
February 9, 2017 10:14 pm

Please include at least some quotes from links. I don’t click blindly.

February 9, 2017 10:38 am

Ethanol is a highly toxic, long lasting greenhouse gas, yet the gov. subsizes it.
The toxicity of mercury is well documented, yet the gov. mandated the installation of mercury vapor lighting in homes.

Jer0me
Reply to  John D. Smith
February 9, 2017 2:20 pm

Ethanol is best when mixed with CO2.
Beer, Champagne, etc 🙂

February 9, 2017 11:15 am

Bravo, a wonderful essay indeed.
Our moral obligation to future generations is to MAXIMIZE our progress in science, technology, and material use, in order to help provide our progeny with the foundation to exploit resources that we do not even know about or currently see as resources.
We need to trust that doing the best for ourselves IS doing the best for them.

Daniel
February 9, 2017 12:16 pm

Anti-progressive complacent negativity backed by fear and denseness of mind. Paul Driessen, who pays you to manipulate minds with half-truths?
[who pays you to have an opinion and comment on it here? -mod]

Germinio
February 9, 2017 12:43 pm

Ultimately we need to move to a sustainable system. There is no way that exponential growth
and use of resources can continue given that we are stuck on a finite sized planet. Whether you like
it or not in about 200 years time the only sources of electricity will be renewable (unless you believe the hype about fusion). And we will all be eating organic food so we need to start preparing for that
transition.

Reply to  Germinio
February 9, 2017 2:02 pm

Germinio, exponential growth assumes people keep doing the same thing. For example, whales were hunted nearly to extinction for their oil, until fossible-based oil companies emerged and saved them.

Germinio
Reply to  Max Photon
February 9, 2017 5:03 pm

And what are the alternative to fossil fuels? There is no infinite supply of them and they are bound to run out before the sun expands and destroys the earth (in several billion years time). More concretely they will run out in less than 1000 years.
More realistically exponential growth is in fact only possible because people do different things.
The exponentially increase in energy use was possible because people switched from whales to
oil. Moore’s law only holds because new technologies are invented that allows smaller and smaller features to be written. The growth in communications capacity is again only possible because new
technologies are being invented. If there is nothing new being introduced the rate of progress stalls
and eventually stops.

myNym
Reply to  Max Photon
February 9, 2017 10:23 pm

Germinio, there are lots of alternatives to fossil fuels. Fusion for example works, as it is the power source of our Sun.

schitzree
Reply to  Germinio
February 9, 2017 2:31 pm

Sorry, but anyone who thinks Fusion (which powers the sun) is hype, yet thinks ‘Organic’ is anything more then a marketing strategy aimed at Millennials, probably has no business commenting on Sustainability.
As for ‘exponential growth’ the only places experiencing population grown are the places without First World Infrastructure and Civilization. Solve world poverty and you solve population.
The only thing ‘Sustainability’ sustains is poverty.

Germinio
Reply to  schitzree
February 9, 2017 5:09 pm

Fusion is probably hype. Or at least sustainable fusion on earth is. For starters all current plans
rely on burning tritium which does not exist naturally and decays with a 12 year half-life. Thus no
current fusion reactors are viable long-term power sources (even if they broke even power wise).
And the proposals for creating tritium are laughable — they assume that 100% of the neutrons produced by a fusion reactor will hit a lithium atom and create a tritium ion with 100% efficiency.
Chemists will then need to extract every tritium ion from the lithium blanket again with 100% efficiency and recycle it.
Long term (>200 years) there are only two viable energy sources for the earth. The first is solar
and the second is Deuterium-Deuterium fusion. We know how to do solar but there are no
currently feasible plans for a D-D fusion reactor.

myNym
Reply to  Germinio
February 9, 2017 10:19 pm

Flying cars are available. They are not yet cost effective.

Mickey Reno
February 9, 2017 12:48 pm

What an inspired article. The whole argument for sustainability has many parallels with past utopian movements which have sought to bend science to favor their Progressive political aims.
I’m currently reading (actually listening via audio book) G.K. Chesterton’s “On Eugenics and Other Evils” written in 1921, but conceived prior to the First World War. There are many eerie similarities in rationale, justifications, claims of scientific truth, and beliefs by the would-be controllers of men in their ability to predict and control the onset of a Utopian future. Much of what was considered as scientific truth in the Eugenics movement could easily be recognized as Post-Normal science by CAGW skeptics, today.
Here’s a link to the free audio book via LibriVox.org https://librivox.org/eugenics-by-chesterton/

yarpos
February 9, 2017 1:05 pm

Seems a very convoluted argument to support the do nothing, maintain the status quo option.