National Weather Service forecasters have been tracking a low pressure area that moved from the Midwest into the Atlantic Ocean today, and is expected to become a strong nor’easter that will bring blizzard conditions to the northeastern U.S. The path of the system was captured in a NASA movie of NOAA’s GOES-East satellite imagery.
An animation of visible and infrared imagery from NOAA’s Geostationary Operational Environmental or GOES satellite captured over the period of January 24 through 26 showed the progression of the developing nor’easter.
The satellite animation began on Jan. 24 when clouds associated with a cold front preceding the low, pushed off the U.S. East coast. The front was followed by a low pressure area that moved from the Midwest to the southeast. That low moved over the Carolinas and exited into the Atlantic Ocean on Jan. 26. NOAA’s National Weather Service forecast calls for the low to intensify along the Eastern Seaboard and bring blizzard conditions to the northeastern U.S. on Monday night, January 26 and Tuesday, January 27.
On Monday, January 26, 2015, the National Weather Service noted: A storm system off the East Coast will continue to strengthen as it develops into a major nor’easter on Monday. As the storm moves up the coast, it is expected to bring snowfall of 1-3 feet or more to many parts of the Northeast through Tuesday evening, including New York City and Boston. Strong, gusty winds will combine with the snow to create blizzard conditions along and near the coast.
Winter storm warnings are in effect for the panhandles of West Virginia and Maryland, much of interior New England down to the northern Mid-Atlantic as well as for Nantucket Island, Massachusetts. Winter weather advisories are in effect for portions of the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic and the southern Appalachians as well as a narrow area across interior New England.
To create the video and imagery, NASA/NOAA’s GOES Project located at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland overlays the cloud data from NOAA’s GOES-East satellite on a true-color image of land and ocean created by data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer, or MODIS, instrument that flies aboard NASA’s Aqua and Terra satellites. Together, these data create the entire animation of the storm and show its movement.
GOES satellites provide the kind of continuous monitoring necessary for intensive data analysis. Geostationary describes an orbit in which a satellite is always in the same position with respect to the rotating Earth. This allows GOES to hover continuously over one position on Earth’s surface, appearing stationary. As a result, GOES provide a constant vigil for the atmospheric “triggers” for severe weather conditions such as tornadoes, flash floods, hail storms and hurricanes.
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Looking at the radar, I don’t think it’s as bad as predicted…(at least for PA/NJ)
It cannot beat the one 20 years ago because it was trumpeted as the “worst of the century”.
Different century
@Rienk – Very true, but very witty as well!
Rienk: Your reply reminded me of my high school days. The local paper was publishing stories about
new school records in various track and field events being constantly broken.- were our athletes that good?- the answer was , our high school was only four years old. In the first year, every high mark was a new school record. You could expect about half the records to be broken the second year, a third the third year, etc. So this year, about 1/15 of all events will be the event of the century.
Can’t possibly be the worst of the century. Storms will get steadily worse as we continue to pour carbon pollution into the air. /sarc
It doesn’t have to be as bad as predicted. Once the snowmageddon alarmism has been paraded loudly enough, the mental image of “climate change” and “climate weirding” lingers. The few locales that got over a foot of snow will be prominently featured in MSM, I predict.
One thing is certain, the systems theory of requisite variety will apply here for the government systems as they will lack the requisite variety to deal with the problems of the 30 million or so folks involved. The system population is too large and the problems too complex.
https://www.facebook.com/wcvb5/photos/a.102575809444.88706.68174059444/10153066802604445/?type=1
Thanks for the view, Anthony.
Listened to Joe B on FoxNews today give his update via XMSirius radio. Nice interview Joe.
Joe kept telling the common folks how this is like storms of 77/78 and 50’s. The AGW nutjobs hate that.
3 years ago I would have been shoveling and blowing that with my 10hp blower just outside Boston. In 2011 I had sveral storms put snow 3 feet up on garage door. This one will be worse, probably 4-5′ by moorning.
Glad I am in Tucson Arizona now where it was 70f today. Loving it.
Global warming is so underappreciated. Or maybe not… considering how low it ranks on public opinion polls.
Pet peeve: When a time lapse is called an “animation.”
If it is a time lapse of real photos or real sensor data, then why not call it a time-lapse video or a time-lapse reconstruction? In contrast, if it is a computer-generated, non-real set of images, then great, an ‘animation’ it is. Makes things clearer to keep the terms distinct. Otherwise an “animation” means, what? Real data? Partial data? Real data mixed with other stuff? A fully-computer-generated simulation? A synonym for the word “video”? A superfluous descriptor?
The short weather video above is probably not the most egregious example, and is maybe on the line, as it might be a mix of real data and computer generated simulation. But in recent years I’ve seen so many examples of real time-lapse, visible-light, photography/videos, billed as “animations” that it has started to stick in my craw. Calling all of these things “animations” is not a helpful use of terminology.
/rant
I know, I know. We can’t fight the changing use of words. Just getting old and cantankerous, I guess. 🙂
“Otherwise an “animation” means, what? Real data? Partial data? Real data mixed with other stuff? A fully-computer-generated simulation? A synonym for the word “video”? A superfluous descriptor?”
It’s a carry over term, misapplied here NOAA/NASA. Probably from working with too much data “corrections”, homogenization, GCMs, etc.
Been watching Flightradar24.com since yesterday.
Even now at 06:03 UTC (01:03 ECT) the USA and East Coast are still of bee’s hive of activity.
Got suspicious when New York Daily ran stories of Thousands of Flight Cancelations (meaning Billions of flights canceled).
Typical Main Stream Media rags will print anything as long as they think no one can check the facts.
Ha
BTW, NOAA’s NWS said this winter would be warmer than average. They were wrong.
NWS said the same thing about last winter, and were wrong then too.
At least they are consistent.
________________________________________
I posted this in October 2014:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/10/11/agricultural-losses-in-2014-due-to-cold-temperatures/#comment-1759748
I wrote this twelve years ago in an article published Sept 1, 2002 in the Calgary Herald:
“There is even strong evidence that human activity is not causing serious global warming.”
“If solar activity is the main driver of surface temperature rather than CO2 [as I believe], we should begin the next cooling period by 2020 to 2030.”
In 2002, SC24 was projected to be robust and we now know it is a dud. If anything, global cooling will happen sooner and perhaps has already started.
Bundle up this winter – looks like another cold one like last year, especially in Central and Eastern North America.
Regards to all, stay safe and warm, Allan
Climate change is the blame says Bill Nye
http://youtu.be/Ifpfd-ydBHo?t=40s
Pls dont put MSNBC lies here. Dishonesty to them is akin to breathing.
Did I just hear Bill Nye say the ONLY way to change the pressure inside a football is with a needle and a pump? Or was I hallucinating?
Isn’t ALL bad weather, whether cold, hot,wet or dry caused by climate change? We never used to get extremes of weather when I was little!
Speaking of which on this side of the Atlantic we are about to experience “a rare and exciting event” for the fourth or fifth time this winter!
The majority of conformists, and careerist “zeitgeist” followers like Nye, are not a bit wiser than the superstitious humans of the 16th century who believed every bad weather was produced by the devil and his witches.
Today, only the name of the devil has changed into “CO2” and the whole insane CAGW crusade is nothing else but a embarrassing and increasingly stupid witch-hunt…
“…are not a bit wiser than the superstitious humans of the 16th century who believed every bad weather was produced by the devil and his witches.”
The only difference now is; they want US to burn, not the devil and his witches.
…correction, we are the devil and his witches. Eliminate the devil and his witches in the name of Gaia.
Bill Nye the pseudo science guy.
A squealing propagandist telling the world that adding radiative gases to the atmosphere will reduce the atmosphere’s radiative cooling ability.
The man is a flying F…wit.
That just means they couldn’t find a real climatologist or meteorologist who was willing to ruin his credibility with such a claim.
In case that popular- or pseudoscientist have had an epiphany and decided to refuse this kind of self-humiliation, the progressive elites at MSNBC would have presented a weather lore like “A blizzard in the northeast proves Global Warming’s Pause has ceased” to their even more progressive and more elitist viewers.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/12/26/northeast-us-blizzard-proves-global-warming/#comment-559890
http://quixoteslaststand.com/2014/03/08/updated-list-of-things-caused-by-global-warming/
http://youtu.be/WidigCsya5w
Sick, hyperventilating idiot! He gets play in school for the kiddies….I’ve informed my kids of the ruse.
Bill Nye has been repeating the same mantra ad nauseam for years. They already know what Bill Nye is going to say, but somehow the media never get tired of hearing him say it I guess. Eventually, they’ll figure out that the messenger is actually killing the message through meaningless repetition.
“Blah, blah, blah…..global warming…blah,blah…climate change….blah, blah,,blah…danger! danger Will Robinson!….blah, blah carbon pollution, blah, blah, burp!”
What’d he say?
Bill Nye is a mechanical engineer who also occasionally teaches introductory-level astronomy at Cornell.
Hey Bill yeah if idiots cancel thing because of computer models then that is really bad. So maybe we can learn not to follow computer models so darn blindly.There was 2 inches of snow on the ground in central park. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/OKX/CLINYC
Thanks Allan.
Love You guys up north. A hardy lot. Sorry that you have to endure the moronics of our Commie Pres re: Keystone XL. You deserve better.
But, globull warming/change/stagnation/pause, it’s never going to snow again, snow will be a thing of the past. this is just a conspiracy of the deniers, it’s not snowing. Who you gonna believe, me or your lying eyes?
” it’s never going to snow again, snow will be a thing of the past. this is just a conspiracy of the deniers”
Nope, you d#&!ers gotta keep up with the rant. Latest “news” is that AGW causes MORE snow. It falls under the category of “extreme weather”. BTW, it’s also scheduled to cause significant increase in severe La Nina events too.
Who knew CO2 was so life changing…
Actually global warming causes both more snow and less snow, if this happens simultaneously you get typical snow, so even an ordinary year can be considered proof of global warming – clever eh.
NASA and NOAA….yup. I’m convinced it’s all true ( do I need a /s tag?)
Would it devalue the pi**taking currency too much to invoke again the Viner proclamation at this point?
Thanks joel, I simply cannot believe the objections to pipe lines, I know without pipelines of ANY sort (other than lead), we’d still be carrying water in buckets on the backs of donkeys.
Well, uh, on the Yellowstone River there was an oil spill in July, 2011 that was 60 times as large as the spill a week ago. Think how far the Yellowstone is from a refinery. Job creating portable refineries can be set up where the oil is, without having to pipe the oil long distances to some massive refinery. Then truck the portable refineries to another location after the oil is gone. Probably save a lot of natural resources required to build out pipelines and pumping stations.
http://www.ventech-eng.com
You seem to be confused about the difference between modular construction and portability. The reality is that so called portable refineries are less efficient than large installations and are by no means truly portable.
A typical Ventech installation requires in the order of 20 large modules that need to have access to local utilities on a prepared site. They are usually custom designed to handle the local crude. This makes sense if you are dealing with a localized demand that has to be met. Countries like Russia, Iraq and Nigeria make use of them to meet domestic requirements while exporting the majority of their oil. It may make sense to use such technologies in the USA as unconventional oil reserves are exploited in locations such as North Dakota but in general terms by far the most efficient and safe method is to ship the oil out by pipeline.
And how do the products of these refineries get to market without accidents??
Well how do the fuels produced get to the market now??? Just do it, bet they’ll have a lot less disasters than moving bitumen & dilbit.
Asybot said: “…without pipelines of ANY sort (other than lead), we’d still be carrying water in buckets on the backs of donkeys.”
Nah! Democrat policies don’t hold water.
Polar vortex. Stratosphere 15 km.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat_a_f/gif_files/gfs_z100_nh_f00.gif
Stratospheric waves.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat-trop/gif_files/time_pres_WAVE1_MEAN_JFM_NH_2015.gif
Waves neutrons.
http://cosmicrays.oulu.fi/webform/query.cgi?startday=01&startmonth=01&startyear=2015&starttime=00%3A00&endday=27&endmonth=01&endyear=2015&endtime=00%3A00&resolution=Automatic+choice&picture=on
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat_a_f/gif_files/gfs_t100_nh_f00.gif
Wicked Rex Block here on the Left Coast. Da bums are stealin’ our storms! January may pass with nary a drop.
6. Conclusions
The data presented above show that the stratospheric polar vortex plays an important part in solar-climatic links. The vortex location is favorable for different physical mechanisms of solar activity influence on the lower atmosphere involving variations of cosmic rays, UV fluxes, and atmospheric electricity. The detected long-term variations of SA/GCR effects on troposphere pressure at middle and high latitudes, i.e., on the development of baric systems in these regions, were found to be strongly related to the evolution of the polar vortex. The sign reversals of SA/GCR effects coincide well with the transitions between the different states of the vortex. A pronounced intensification of both extratropical cyclones and Arctic anticyclones associated with GCR increases at minima of the 11-year solar cycle is observed only under the strong vortex conditions. During the epochs of a weak polar vortex the SA/GCR effects change the sign. A possible reason for these sign reversals may be changes in the dynamical coupling between the troposphere and stratosphere depending on the vortex state. The vortex strength was found to reveal a roughly 60-year periodicity which is likely to explain the detected ∼60-year oscillations of the amplitude and sign of SA/GCR effects on the lower atmosphere circulation.
http://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S0273117713005474-gr2.jpg
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0273117713005474
“The vortex strength was found to reveal a roughly 60-year periodicity which is likely to explain the detected ∼60-year oscillations of the amplitude and sign of SA/GCR effects on the lower atmosphere circulation”
Yes, the last time we were in this part of the cycle/pattern was the 1970’s. This is why I thought 1976/77 was a good analog to our Winter of 2013/14.
I have been seeing similarities with 1977/78 and this Winter (2014/15). 77/78 had an extremely cold and snowy 2nd half of Winter. However, the Pacific origin jet stream this Winter has had enough influence at times to overpower and/or deflect the northern stream.
The northern stream flows in tandem with and at times helps carve out a Polar Vortex very far south ala last Winter.
The weather models had trouble all of last Winter in recognizing the tenacity of the northern stream……..constantly under forecasting its strength and longevity.
The last few days, some weather models on some runs have been trying to really warm things up during week 2 of the forecast, sort of like last Winter. This is with regards to the Midwest and Eastern US.
It’s hard to go against this guidance(models) using pattern recognition from previous experience, analog years or whatever because weather models usually do a decent job, even during the week 2 part of the forecast when it comes to recognizing general patterns/circulation.
With a +AO and +NAO predicted in week 2, it also makes it less likely to stay very cold. Of course the predicted sign of the AO/NAO is also coming from the same models so if they are wrong, they will be wrong about that and the weather pattern. If they are right about the pattern, they will likely be right about the AO/NAO as well.
asybot
The animal libers would have us carrying it in two buckets on a shoulder pole these days
Precipitation will end to in the afternoon 28. Frost does not goes away.
It’s 0400 Tuesday here in Gloucester County, NJ and we have about an inch of snow. Plenty of bare spots, but the snow is still coming down lightly. It took a long time for the forecasters to climb down for the huge projections for our area. I’m sure eastern New England is getting hammered, but it’s a non event in the Delaware Valley.
I worry for the little kiddies who may never see snow in their lifetimes….
Radar.
http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/new-york-ny/10007/weather-radar/349727
OMG Snowmageddon! Here in NJ we are sheltering in place, preparing for days without power, following the state wide travel ban for…
,,,two inches of snow. ROFLMAO!
More modeling failures, but trust us climate models are more accurate!
Always good to seek refuge hear in the Village – always a predictably extreme-weather-free zone
Apparently it’s been exaggerated / overestimated. Is anyone surprised?
The journos and news crews are again frustrated and devastated by not having a disaster to show the world.
It is the same in Australia when a cyclone fails to materialise or only reaches Category 1.
IEEE certified —–> Imagine, Estimate, Exaggerate, Extrapolate!