Global warming dud predictions on the Great Barrier Reef

by Andrew Bolt

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Andrew Bolt, left, Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, right

THE ABC was among the first to fall for it, of course. In 2002, it reported the Great Barrier Reef was as good as dead already.

Host Kerry O’Brien groaned that our “once-spectacular” reef was “threatened by global warming” and “up to 10 per cent of the reef has been lost to bleaching since 1998”, turning it “bone white”.

Up popped Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, a Queensland reef researcher with a natty patter, to warn us to “change our lifestyles” or the reef would go — killed by hotter seas.

My god, but journalists are suckers for warming scares.

It’s like they actually want to be fooled — or to fool you.

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Hoegh-Guldberg is now arguably the world’s most influential reef scientist in global-warming circles, having got big government grants, chaired a $20 million World Bank study of warming, and worked as an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change lead author.

Last week, he bobbed up again, waving a report he’d just done for the WWF green group to help promote this month’s Earth Hour.

Again journalists lapped it up, not bothering to check how all Hoegh-Guldberg’s other warnings had panned out. (Answer: terrible, as you’ll see.)

(Read full article here.)

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Walter Allensworth
March 10, 2014 10:58 am

Is this the same reef that survived the heat of the “Holocene Optimum,” about 8000 years ago, which was much hotter than it is today?

Jimbo
March 10, 2014 11:30 am

Below are various other reasons for coral destruction / bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef. Warm water caused by man’s greenhouse gases is a small time player.

REDUCED SALINITY FROM FLOODS & HEAVY RAIN
Abstract – 2003
Effects of hypo-osmosis on the coral Stylophora pistillata: nature and cause of ‘low-salinity bleaching’
http://cat.inist.fr/?aModele=afficheN&cpsidt=14833207
—————
SOLAR IRRADIANCE
Abstract – 2004
Exposure to solar radiation increases damage to both host tissues and algal symbionts of corals during thermal stress
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00338-004-0392-z
—————
CROWN OF THORNS (Starfish)
Abstract – 2012
Predator Crown-of-Thorns Starfish (Acanthaster planci) Outbreak, Mass Mortality of Corals, and Cascading Effects on Reef Fish and Benthic Communities
http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0047363#pone-0047363-g005
—————
COLD WATER
Abstract – 2011
Catastrophic mortality on inshore coral reefs of the Florida Keys due to severe low-temperature
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02487.x/abstract
—————
VIRUSES
Abstract – 2012
Unique nucleocytoplasmic dsDNA and +ssRNA viruses are associated with the dinoflagellate endosymbionts of corals
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ismej.2012.75

Jimbo
March 10, 2014 11:31 am

Good old water pollution also plays a role

Jimbo
March 10, 2014 11:35 am

I hear hurricanes are gonna blast them there corals to pieces. It’s worse than we thought.

Abstract
Recent, global mass-mortalities of reef corals due to record warm sea temperatures have led researchers to consider global warming as one of the most significant threats to the persistence of coral reef ecosystems. The passage of a hurricane can alleviate thermal stress on coral reefs, highlighting the potential for hurricane-associated cooling to mitigate climate change impacts. We provide evidence that hurricane-induced cooling was responsible for the documented differences in the extent and recovery time of coral bleaching between the Florida Reef Tract and the U.S. Virgin Islands during the Caribbean-wide 2005 bleaching event. These results are the only known scenario where the effects of a hurricane can benefit a stressed marine community.
Hurricanes benefit bleached corals
http://www.pnas.org/content/104/29/12035.short

Jimbo
March 10, 2014 11:39 am

Shouldn’t we ask the IPCC to reduce tropical cyclones and the Star of Thorns?

Abstract – 2012
G. De’ath et al
The 27-year decline of coral cover on the Great Barrier Reef and its causes
“…Tropical cyclones, coral predation by crown-of-thorns starfish (COTS), and coral bleaching accounted for 48%, 42%, and 10% of the respective estimated losses, amounting to 3.38% y-1 mortality rate….”
doi: dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1208909109

Jimbo
March 10, 2014 11:40 am

Enough of this garbage, I’m moving onto another thread till maybe later.

Louis
March 10, 2014 11:54 am

“He (Hoegh-Guldberg), does not seem to learn from his mistakes.”
Why would he learn from his mistakes when there are no consequences for being wrong? In fact, the more mistaken he is, the more rewards and fame he receives. If you reward failure, you will get more of it. if you punish good science, you will get less of it. The sad thing is that after 17 years of no warming and failed predictions, many governments want to double down on rewarding failed science.
If warming resumes anytime soon, even if it’s just natural variation, we will have to fight this battle for decades to come. These people have made it their life’s mission to save the world, and I don’t meant the people in the world. I mean they wish to save the world FROM mankind. They will jump at any excuse to do so. They don’t care if the reason is fake, only that it is useful, and that people in power can be made to believe it.

Eamon Butler
March 10, 2014 5:02 pm

Love the ”Claimet Change” term. Whatever happens, Claimit.

Alan Wilkinson
March 10, 2014 8:48 pm

Flew over the reef about 10 years ago with a pilot out of Cairns who had been flying over the reef daily for decades. He was also a keen swimmer on the reef. He said then the claims of the reef dying were b.s.

observa
March 10, 2014 9:59 pm

There’s no lack of comedic material for Bolty to work with and add another to the list-http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/desperate_warmists_now_try_the_smallpox_scare/
Beware the creatures from the ooze folks.