The White House gets into the 'polar vortex' climate change blame business

Watch John Holdren struggle to explain  the “waviness” of the circumpolar vortex aka the ‘polar vortex’ in today’s news cycle. Also, he says:

“If you’ve been hearing that extreme cold spells like the one we’re having in the United States now disprove global warming, don’t believe it,”

“The fact is that no single weather episode can either prove or disprove global climate change.”

From the video description:

President Obama’s Science and Technology Advisor, Dr. John Holdren, explains the polar vortex in 2 minutes—and why climate change makes extreme weather more likely going forward. Learn more at http://wh.gov/climate-change.

Seems they had to rush this to press so as to not to miss the news cycle before the cold air went away. Watch, and be sure to have your air sickness bag handy.

I’m too busy at work right now, so I’ll leave readers to point out the weaknesses.

h/t to Steve Milloy

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bobl
January 9, 2014 4:10 am

Oh, Puke.
What a stinking pile of horse poo – if you look at his graphic the extended polar vortex over thousands of kilometers would cause an enormous global drop in average temperature. Measured the way they do, that would represent global cooling, not global warming! The video is in effect saying Global Warming causes Global Cooling and that is a nonsense.

January 9, 2014 4:13 am

“… we control the horizontal … we control the vertical …”
Ah. The glories of analog transmission. It is all bit rates now. And jumps/static images if the signal is not strong enough. I miss the old days when you could calibrate your frequency counter with the color burst signal.

Reply to  M Simon
January 9, 2014 7:26 am

@M Simon – yea, instead of snow, you get “pixilation”.

Bill Illis
January 9, 2014 4:14 am

The weather models now have North America being above-normal to the end of the forecast period on January 25th. As good as it gets in January.
So vortex here, gone tomorrow.
Now Europe and Russia are going to get the Arctic air-outflow.

Algebra
January 9, 2014 4:45 am

PhD = Piled higher and deeper.

hunter
January 9, 2014 5:48 am

Holdren, it should always be recalled, is a disciple of Schneider, who pushed lying for the cause of science policy. And especially part of Ehrlich’s neo-Malthusian delusion and career funding scam.

Vince Causey
January 9, 2014 5:59 am

“The reason why the activists are pushing the ‘Polar Vortex’ meme is so that people can relate to the movie, ‘The Day After Tomorrow’ ”
Yes, I remember that – the movie showed how global warming would lead to an ice age. Better stay indoors lest you freeze solid in seconds.

Alec, aka Daffy Duck
January 9, 2014 6:06 am

Where the DATA? I should be easy to find polar out breaks when the ice extent was large vs the last 8 years when the extent was small.
I’m a layman so I don’t where to find it BUT here’s a big Measured hint:
Major Florida Freezes….1977, 1981, 1983, 1985, 1989, end/stopped
http://flcitrusmutual.com/rend…freeze_timeline.aspx
They tightly measure crops, and crop failure…. there have been no major polar outbreak large/deep enough to hit Florida since 1989!

John Boles
January 9, 2014 6:15 am

He said “no single weather episode…” but I take it that means that lots of weather episodes (of any kind) can be thought of to be caused by global warming/climate change…blah, blah.

herkimer
January 9, 2014 6:48 am

Their current argument is that no single event proves or disproves that there is no global warming. That is fair.However some of the alarmists then turn around and use the same single events to prove that global warming exists, like the single warm month in Russia and the warm summer in Australia . They argue in circles that is both dishonest and deceitful . Even when one presents longer term evidence that there has actually been no global warming for 17 years and the winters across the Northern Hemisphere have been cooling now for at least 15 years and to the extent that this cooling now carries through to the spring season in Canada and the cooling is starting already in the fall in United States , the policymakers try to hide these fact of a cooling planet from the public as we saw with the latest IPCC report . In United States cooling has been well underway now for at least 15 years The same is happening in Canada.
The following are monthly temperature trends for Contiguous US or 48 state as calculated by the NCDC/NOAA Climate at a Glance web page for the last 15 years [1998-2013 The figure reflect the linear trend in Fahrenheit degrees per decade
JAN -1.49 F/decade (declining)
FEB -2.64 (declining)
MAR +1.39 (rising)
APR -0, 22 (declining)
MAY -0.58 (declining)
JUN +1.18 (rising)
JUL +0.28 (rising)
AUG +0.03 (flat)
SEPT +0.09 (flat)
OCT -0.58 (declining)
NOV -0.75 (declining)
DEC -0.70 (declining)
Summary
7 months are declining, 2 months are flat, and 3 months are rising
WINTER AND FALL have DECLINING TEMPERATURES
SPRING AND SUMMER have RISING TEMPERATURES [spring is almost flat]
ANNUAL OR 12 MONTHS (JAN-DEC) -0.16F/decade SLIGHTLY DECLINING OR (almost flat)
Winter temperatures have been declining since 1998 in UNITED STATES All major temperature regions used by NCDC/NOAA show winter cooling for 1 5 years

January 9, 2014 7:07 am

M Simon says:
January 9, 2014 at 3:58 am
u.k.(us) says:
January 8, 2014 at 9:04 pm
Gunga Din says:
January 8, 2014 at 8:28 pm
Us former commercial artists have you guys beat, hands down. We take an
X-Acto knife and use it to whittle down the blunt end of a pencil; scraping the wood away from the lead, making it more or less into a crude point. Then we pull out our trusty sandpaper pads. The sandpaper pad looks a little like a small wood paint stirrer with strips of sandpaper glued or stapled to it; as the sandpaper gets used up it’s torn off to reveal a clean sheet. Anyway, we sand the lead down into a fine point. If we’re true professionals we check that point against a fingertip. Then we start to work.

herkimer
January 9, 2014 7:39 am

We should not let this single SSW/polar vortex breakout event hide the fact that winters have been getting colder in North America before this event already, The polar vortex event reduced the base winter temperatures further . The polar vortex breakout event is like turning on the air coditioning in a room that was already getting colder due the colder winter trend . There is a colder winter temperature trend developing in many parts of Canada since 1998 and this colder air will sooner or later affect United States and North America
In Canada, the winter temperature departures from 1961-1990 averages [as per Environment Canada data] have been basically flat since 1998 when measured on the National level. However regionally it is quite a different picture. 7 of 11 major temperature regions represented by about 53 % of Canadian land areas [, mostly western and north western Canada,] have had winter temperatures declining since 1998. For another 20 % of the land areas involving Northeastern forest areas (Ontario and Quebec], the winter temperatures have been flat since 1998. Only the Atlantic region and Arctic Tundra, Mountains and Fiords, representing about 27 % of the land area show winter warming since 1998 mostly due to the past warm Atlantic Ocean. However the Canadian Arctic region has now started to cool post 2010 and winter temperature departures have already been 4-5 degrees cooler in the Arctic, tundra mountains and fiords. The current winter looks like it is going to be extremely cold across most of Canada but especially in the west, northwest and the Great Lakes region where temperatures around -55 C are being recorded. January and February are predicted to have below normal temperatures. I see Canadian winters getting even colder over the next several decades and new winter records being set as both coastal areas and the Arctic also cool due to cooling north Atlantic and North Pacific ocean SST.

Terry
January 9, 2014 7:43 am

“Decreased temperature difference between the tropics and the poles results in stronger storms”
Wouldn’t that actual cause more moderate storms?
Was thinking of watching it twice but the music tries to put me into a catatonic state to be brainwashed and my bs meter went off shortly into the video anyway.

January 9, 2014 8:28 am

Holdren says “a growing body of evidence suggests that the kind of extreme cold being experienced by much of the United States as we speak, is a pattern that we can expect to see with increasing frequency”.
Back in 1971 John Holdren believed that human activity was going to cause a new ice age. When that didn’t happen and things got warmer through the 80’s and 90’s he switched his stance saying that human activity is causing global warming.
For the last 17 years however temps have plateaued and now they seem to be heading back down again. But instead of just switching back to the whole ice age thing again Holdren seems to be mixing the two theories by saying that it’s getting warmer in the North Pole which is causing it to get colder here in the U.S..
So he’s basically politicizing the weather by saying, whenever there is bad weather of any kind, man is to blame, so we need to tax you so we can make good weather.
I am reminded of the scene from the movie ‘Wizard of Oz’ when Dorothy discovers that the Wizard isn’t a wizard at all but just smoke and mirrors when she sees the man behind the curtain. Being revealed as a fake the wizard tries to divert Dorothy by saying “Pay no attention to man behind the curtain!”
I am also reminded of the famous George Bush quote.
“fool me once, shame on — shame on you. Fool me — you can’t get fooled again.”

January 9, 2014 8:34 am

George Lawson says:
January 9, 2014 at 2:45 am
Where was Holdren’s explanation for the past 17 years of no warming or the increase in sea levels that his cohorts were forecasting?
Before we ask where his explanation was, we need to be sure he even believes it. I do not know what he thinks, however I would really like to know if he or someone else advised Obama according to:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/07/21/ten-years-of-accelerated-global-warming/
“During the July 2013 U.S. Senate hearing at which Roger Pielke Jr. and Roy Spencer gave stellar testimony to the visible discomfiture of the climate-extremist witnesses, none of the “Democrat” Senators and none of the people they had chosen to testify before them was at all anxious to defend Mr. Obama’s assertion that over the past decade global warming has been accelerating at an unforeseen rate.
At a fund-raiser for the “Democratic” Congressional Campaign Committee in Chicago May 29, he had said, “We … know that the climate is warming faster than anybody anticipated five or ten years ago.” He had added, “I don’t have much patience for people who deny climate change.””

Russ R.
January 9, 2014 8:52 am

“The fact is that no single weather episode can either prove or disprove global climate change.”
What one single weather episode can prove is that “Political Science” is the only science that “Planetary Regime” Johnny cares about.

Jimbo
January 9, 2014 9:44 am

What does the ultimate authority on global warming have to say on winters?

An increased frequency of heat waves will increase the risk of death and serious illness, principally in older age groups and the urban poor. The greatest increases in thermal stress are forecast for mid- to high-latitude (temperate) cities, especially in populations with limited air conditioning. Warmer winters and fewer cold spells, because of climate change, will decrease cold-related mortality in many temperate countries.

So, the White House is wrong on the causes of the Polar Vortex and the IPCC is wrong on warmer winters. Hmmmmm. Any claims on the polar vortex breakout being caused by man’s greenhouse gases needs to be published in the scientific journals please. That’s what Warmists insist on so insist on that.

Gail Combs
January 9, 2014 10:04 am

Alec, aka Daffy Duck says: January 9, 2014 at 6:06 am
They tightly measure crops, and crop failure…. there have been no major polar outbreak large/deep enough to hit Florida since 1989!
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Sorry, there you are wrong.
Arctic blast devastates Florida’s citrus, wildlife

January 27, 2010
…A massive arctic blast plunged through much of the nation’s heartland and into the southeast, bringing with it one of the worst cold snaps Florida has seen in more than 20 years. Record-low temperatures sent farmers scrambling to protect their crops, some unsuccessfully….
…bone-chilling temperatures also took a toll on Florida’s wildlife. More than 100 manatees have been found dead since the beginning of the year, and the Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission (FWC) said at least 77 of them died from “cold stress.”
Officials also think the cold snap killed thousands of saltwater fish….

Resourceguy
January 9, 2014 10:27 am

I find this documented case of arm waving and excuses very encouraging. The reason is that there will be many more random and excited excuses to follow as the AMO declines in combination with PDO decline, south Atlantic cooling, and solar cycle fall off. Although win-the-day political strategy has the advantage of short time horizons for ridiculous ploys, there will still some cataloging effect taking place to undermine the next attempts to carry on the parade of lies and science fraud by party leaders. (I do not believe in focusing on one leader and administration when party line is the main culprit.) Documenting the intertwined political and politicized science along the way is important to display the timeline of fraud and policy fail as it unravels.

Janice Moore
January 9, 2014 11:24 am

(inspired by Elmer at 8:28am, today)
Yes, indeed, Resource Guy (10:27am), all the “arm waving and excuses {are} very encouraging.”
AGW is soooo over.

HA, HAAA!

JP
January 9, 2014 12:47 pm

The President is correct. No one weather event proves anything. However, way back in 2000 Dr David Viner of CRU warned that winters are getting warmer and in the future children will not know what snow is. This narrative was repeated ad nauseum through the first half of the decade.
Until it became obvious that the globe no longer was warming, most Alarmists kept to the script. Therefore, it is important that we should point out every major snow event and cold outbreak, and remind the world of the past predictions made by the IPCC and the Alarmists.

Resourceguy
January 9, 2014 1:20 pm

I’m surprised Holden did not hold a similar press conference to speak out against the end of the one child policy in China, given his research and public policy stance in the past on forced population controls.

clipe
January 9, 2014 2:14 pm

clipe says:
January 8, 2014 at 3:34 pm
“I’m too busy at work right now, so I’ll leave readers to point out the weaknesses.”
Beat me to it.
http://i22.photobucket.com/albums/b331/kevster1346/trends_zpsdda86712.png

Oops!
http://i22.photobucket.com/albums/b331/kevster1346/trend2_zps020fd9c5.png

herkimer
January 9, 2014 3:31 pm

Dr. Holdren tells the American people that climate change [global warming] makes extreme weather events [like the cold spell that we just had] more likely. The problem that I see is, what is an “extreme” event ?. Some are suggesting that the current polar vortex breakout is an extreme winter event , like the similar event in January 1985[ 26.37 F] . Yes it was cold , but a check of the NCDC /NOAA records shows that there have been at least 15 cold January ‘s like 1985 January. This year’s average January temperature is not yet available. So perhaps this recent “extreme” event is just an extra colder than normal January that has happened on a fairly frequent basis since 1895 . Some say that the 2010 winter was an extreme event when the cold went all the way to Florida and froze the orange trees [ 30.55F] .. Yet there have been approx .55 January’s as cold as 2010 January since 1895. So what the alarmists now call as ‘extreme’ event winters supposedly are just regular colder winters that we have all forgotten about and are part of our periodic seasonal winter patterns. There is no evidence that these colder winters today or 100 years ago were caused by greenhouse gases generated by man nor are they all extreme events .

Atomic Rooster
January 9, 2014 5:56 pm

Eric (The Unready) Holder is a crackpot. He warned about global cooling in the 70s. In his book Eco-science,(1970s) he said food aid should be cut off to India to reduce the population, and that lithium should be added to the water.

Pamela Gray
January 9, 2014 7:01 pm

My sweet man said this about himself and to post it here, “No, he doesn’t fly fish, now, his hobby is following a 90 pound Rotto-Rooter who chases long tails.”
The Rotto-Rooter is an older huge golden lab who is an absolutely priceless dog. He loves to point out pheasants to his master. And once in a while he chews them up instead of bringing them back. I would be the same way if my guy asked me to retrieve chocolate. Every once in a while I would eat one. Well maybe more often that every once in a while. This sweet guy saves articles on agriculture for me to read, including things related to weather and crops. So yeh, I am in heaven.
Loved the quip about shipping fish! That was funny!
The Polar Vortex is winding down, as we all knew it would. It will spring to life again. My local Oregon El Nino discussion has this to say about extreme weather events and ENSO neutral conditions: extreme stuff happens (my paraphrase).
http://www.oregon.gov/ODA/nrd/docs/dlongrange.ppt