Gore’s “ice free Arctic” prediction from five years ago, falsified by nature itself
The great bloviator has been pwned again, by the actions of nature itself. In Germany, five years ago this past Saturday, Al Gore claimed that the ““Entire north polar ice cap will be gone in 5 years” .
Also, in Gore’s Dec. 10, 2007 “Earth has a fever” speech, Gore referred to a prediction by U.S. climate scientist Wieslaw Maslowski that the Arctic’s summer ice could “completely disappear” by 2013 due to global warming caused by carbon emissions.
He’s been proven wrong on those two predictions, and he’s likely to be proven wrong on a third, when he moved the goalposts in 2009 in this video.
While we had a new record low in 2012 for the summer minimum, the 2013 rebound made Gore’s predictions a certain failure.
![AMSRE_Sea_Ice_Extent_L[1]](http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2013/12/amsre_sea_ice_extent_l1.png?quality=75)
Arctic sea ice withing a standard deviation of the 1981-2010 average line:
![N_stddev_timeseries[1]](http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2013/12/n_stddev_timeseries1.png?quality=75)
![global.daily.ice.area.withtrend[1]](http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2013/12/global-daily-ice-area-withtrend1.jpg?quality=83)
To convince his followers in the future, maybe Mr. Gore will have to resort to airbrushing out the Arctic ice cap, like he did on his book: Not finding any, Gore airbrushes in hurricanes for his new book:
Above: Al Gore’s book cover foldout with 4 scary hurricanes, some rotating the wrong direction – hey where’s the ice? (Image courtesy of Dr. Ryan Maue).
With such a track record, one wonders why anyone but the “galactically stupid” would listen to Gore, the great bloviator, on climate any more.
James Lovelock was right about Gore, this from Climate Depot:
Climate Shocker: In 2007, Lovelock Predicted Global Warming Doom: ‘Billions of us will die; few breeding pairs of people that survive will be in Arctic’
There are too many Ehrlichs running amok in the media.
UPDATE: More goalpost moving. Now the new year is 2016 according to this story.
UPDATE2: It seems that it just isn’t extent and area that rebounded in 2013, but volume of the sea ice as well, something we’ve been told by top climate advocates was not likely to happen:
Data from Europe’s Cryosat spacecraft suggests there were almost 9,000 cu km of ice at the end of this year’s melt season.
This is close to 50% more than in the corresponding period in 2012.
Related articles
- Great Moments in Predictions — Al Gore’s Ice Forecast (coyoteblog.com)
- FIVE YEARS AGO TODAY… Al Gore Predicted the North Pole Will Be Ice Free in 5 Years (thegatewaypundit.com)
- Al Gore’s 2007 prediction that all arctic ice would be gone by 2014 now proven to be alarming fear mongering (sgtreport.com)
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Al Gore, still peddling his lies now says he’s more optimistic than ever that the issue has reached “a tipping point” (this from an August interview). Here’s one of his gems:
The conversation on global warming has been stalled because a shrinking group of denialists fly into a rage when it’s mentioned. It’s like a family with an alcoholic father who flies into a rage every time a subject is mentioned and so everybody avoids the elephant in the room to keep the peace. But the political climate is changing. He does live in a fantasy world.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/08/21/al-gore-explains-why-hes-optimistic-about-stopping-global-warming/
Bruce Cobb @12:52 pm ,
I hate to day it , but he could be right about the political climate :
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2013/12/16/Podesta-White-House
That should be say , not day .
What I noticed on the BBC article is that the increase was explained as being wind-drive – the ice was not being blow into warmers waters where it would melt as it had done previously. I doubt it it will get much air-time, but at least the impact of wind (as opposed to temperature) made it into the story.
I think all that new sea ice must have found its way into my backyard after yesterday’s big storm 😉
(Headed for a chilly -7 F tonight…this December is among the coldest I’ve experienced in western New Hampshire since I’ve lived here).
“Nature proves Al Gore wrong again”
A tautology wrapped in the self-evident and encased by the bleeding obvious.
November 5th 2008 I was attending Web 2.0 Summit in San Francisco, listening to Al Gore claiming the north polar ice cap would be gone in five years.
Video here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hI5t3Uwfkk&t=26m58s
Being picky, but I think that, from the graphs presented, all we can say about Arctic Ice Extent is that it is within 2 standard deviations of the reference line.
Is it actually within 1 SD?
As for the rest of the piece, well, I think Al Gore sells snake oil and is an utterly reprehensible individual.
That will teach them a lesson…….to not use anything less than a 20 year prediction, when big money is on the line.
It’s worse than we thought.
Jam tomorrow?
It’s been a while since The Gore Effect last struck. Is God showing His sense of irony again?
At the risk of repeating myself –
If all the Arctic ice was to melt, so what?!
(and yes it’s a rhetorical question)
Reblogged this on wwlee4411 and commented:
Global Warming truth.
About Update — It’s almost idiotic. Being a grad of the Naval Post Graduate School I’m ashamed that they put something like that out, regardless of the sloppy reporting in the article
1 – “US NAVY predicts” The US Navy did nothing of the sort. The article itself dispels that idea in the first paragraph. It was work funded by the Dept of Energy, not the US NAVY so the title should have read “US ENERGY DEPT predicts”. Guess they thought US NAVY had more impact.
2 – I’m still having a hard time believing this – the guy gives a 2016 +- 3 years so, the arctic ‘could’ be ‘almost ice free’ anywhere from 2013 – 2019. What exactly does ‘almost ice free’ mean? It also takes a ‘estimated trend’ and an ‘estimated volume’ of all of TWO MONTHS data from Oct-Nov 2007 and ‘projects’ that across a nine year period. Seriously? How on earth do you even get a trend with only two data points? Well, it certainly made the calculations a lot easier 😉
The reporter also seems to miss or purposely ignore what I thought was the most interesting part of the paper – the part that politely says that current GCMs (not that he even knows what GCM stands for – calling them Global Climate Models) are a load of crap.
“The paper is highly critical of global climate models (GCM) and even the majority of regional models, noting that “many Arctic climatic processes that are omitted from, or poorly represented in, most current-generation GCMs” which “do not account for important feedbacks among various system components.””
Albert Arnold Gore, Jr. on March 31, 1948, he followed in his father’s footsteps and ran for the same office in 1976, getting elected four times. http://bit.ly/1c80oog
He does not care. He made his money during the five years. Got is Nobel and all that. What are they going to do? Take it back!?
It is the same with e.g. Iraqi WMD. They lied about it. They did what they wanted to Iraq. Then they finally agree that there were no WMD. But so what? They got what they wanted. They don’t care about being proven “wrong”. These people have not pride, shame or humility. It did not help the dead Iraqis and US troops that the truth “came out in the end”.
My point? Unless we punish the administration which lied to us and unless we punish Gore for all of his BS which is killing people too, then this will happen over again.
Pattern of politics: Lie. Do what you want on the basis of the lie. The truth is found out. Nobody is punished and what was done cannot be reversed. Repeat forever.
Thanks Bruce Cobb. Al Gore talks about civil rights, but seems immune to the wisdom of forgoers, such as Gandhi and Mandela. Instead of reconciliation between people, Al resorts to division of his own nation.
It is a mystery to me why US media still pays any attention to him. Are they cashing in on AGW controversy or have they moved on to Al’s undisputed ‘ridicule, which stings’-expertise?
It’s very good news that this clip has been found– very!
I recently asked Walt Meier now of NASA GISS if he could comment on the “normal” year for sea ice the world just enjoyed. This is what he said about global sea ice: “A plot of global sea ice is just not informative or useful.” Now many here are fans of Walt, and I am a fan of his willingness to engage with skeptics (including myself). But it is very hard to accept, even to imagine, that a scientist feels that global sea ice has no informative or useful purpose in a discussion of climate.
I can guess who is doing the “casting” for those few breeding pairs…
I’m waiting for the next alarmism out of the Royal Society so I can say, “It’s Nurse than we thought.”
So, I posted the Cryosat data shoing a strong year-over-year increase in Arctic ice volume on another forum, and you would not believe the negative reaction I got. Really astounding. You would think that such news might be worth celebrating, but that doesn’t seem to be the case.
Question: What year of the 21st century had the greatest annual average global sea ice area?
Answer: 2013, which is the only year with a global average anomaly above the 1979-2008 average.
http://friendsofscience.org/assets/documents/GlobalSeaIceArea.jpg
Year Anomaly
2000 -0.026
2001 -0.136
2002 -0.588
2003 -0.040
2004 -0.064
2005 -0.641
2006 -1.019
2007 -1.149
2008 -0.368
2009 -0.452
2010 -0.681
2011 -1.359
2012 -0.905
2013 0.058
Needs more cow bell? Here is a clip of them playing live at the Filmore
Enjoy…
Important to keep in mind. Roman or Minoan Optima? Bring it on!
No such luck, I fear.