Claim: '[in]ability to adapt to changes in climate patterns' is causing losses in third world countries

From Inderscience Publishers and United Nations University:

Loss and damage from climate change

Despite attempts at adaption losses and damage from climate change are significant

An open access special issue of the International Journal of Global Warming brings together, for the first time, empirical evidence of loss and damage from the perspective of affected people in nine vulnerable countries. The articles in this special issue show how climatic stressors affect communities, what measures households take to prevent loss and damage, and what the consequences are when they are unable to adjust sufficiently. The guest-editors, Kees van der Geest and Koko Warner of the United Nations University Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS) in Bonn, Germany, introduce the special issue with an overview of key findings from the nine research papers, all of which are available online free of charge.

‘Loss and damage’ refers to adverse effects of climate variability and climate change that occur despite mitigation and adaptation efforts. Warner and van der Geest discuss the loss and damage incurred by people at the local-level based on evidence from research teams working in nine vulnerable countries: Bangladesh, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, The Gambia, Kenya, Micronesia, Mozambique and Nepal. The research papers pool data from 3269 household surveys and more than 200 focus groups and expert interviews.

The research reveals four loss and damage pathways. Residual impacts of climate stressors occur when:

  1. existing coping/adaptation to biophysical impact is not enough;
  2. measures have costs (including non-economic) that cannot be regained;
  3. despite short-term merits, measures have negative effects in the longer term; or
  4. no measures are adopted – or possible – at all.

The articles in this special issue provide evidence that loss and damage happens simultaneously with efforts by people to adjust to climatic stressors. The evidence illustrates loss and damage around barriers and limits to adaptation: growing food and livelihood insecurity, unreliable water supplies, deteriorating human welfare and increasing manifestation of erosive coping measures (e.g. eating less, distress sale of productive assets to buy food, reducing the years of schooling for children, etc.). These negative impacts touch upon people’s welfare and health, social cohesion, culture and identity – values that contribute to the functioning of society but which elude monetary valuation.

The publication of this set of research papers is very timely as loss and damage will be a key topic during the climate negotiations in Warsaw next month (11-22 November 2013), and empirical evidence is still scarce. The findings also contribute to the emerging body of literature on adaptation limits and constraints, a topic that – for the first time – is discussed in a separate chapter of the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Working Group 2 (IPCC AR5 WG2).

The issues that have arisen through this research point to an even greater urgency for ambitious mitigation and adaptation that are sufficient to manage climate stressors. If this goal is missed, loss and damage will undermine society´s ability to pursue sustainable development.

“The special issue of the International Journal of Global Warming focuses on a crucial topic: ‘Loss and damage’ which refers to adverse effects of climate variability and climate change that occur despite mitigation and adaptation efforts,” Editor-in-Chief Ibrahim Dincer of the University of Ontario Institute of Technology says. The issue reports on the first ever multi-country study on this emerging topic from the perspective of vulnerable communities in Africa, Asia and the Pacific. The research papers included show that current mitigation and adaptation efforts are not enough. People across the study sites were not passive victims of climate change. A large majority implemented a wide variety of adaptation and coping measures to avoid impacts of climate stressors, but these measures were often insufficient or came at a cost. The negative effects were not simply monetary, there were cultural losses and non-economic costs, in terms of time investment, social-cohesion and livelihood security, were also widespread. “IJGW positions itself uniquely by addressing the issue and offering solutions,” Dincer adds.

###

“Loss and damage from climate change: local-level evidence from nine vulnerable countries” in Int. J. Global Warming, 2013, 5, 367-386

In the interests of enhancing global discussions of critical and urgent issues arising from climate change now, the research papers are being made available by Inderscience Publishers free of charge to all readers at the following link:

http://www.inderscience.com/info/inarticletoc.php?jcode=ijgw&year=2013&vol=5&issue=4

Loss and damage from climate change: local-level evidence from nine vulnerable countries

Koko Warner; Kees Van der Geest

DOI: 10.1504/IJGW.2013.057289

Abstract: Loss and damage is already a significant consequence of inadequate

ability to adapt to changes in climate patterns. This paper reports on the first

ever multi-country, evidence-based study on loss and damage from the

perspective of affected people in least developed and other vulnerable

countries. Researchers in Bangladesh, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, the

Gambia, Kenya, Micronesia, Mozambique and Nepal conducted household

surveys (n=3,269) and more than a hundred focus group discussions and open

interviews about loss and damage. The research reveals four loss and damage

pathways. Residual impacts of climate stressors occur when: 1) existing

coping/adaptation to biophysical impact is not enough; 2) measures have costs

(including non-economic) that cannot be regained; 3) despite short-term merits,

measures have negative effects in the longer term; or 4) no measures are

adopted – or possible – at all.

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James Strom
October 25, 2013 1:13 pm

If there were an empirical study of the effects of warming (or climate change) on human populations–just as with plant and animal populations–it would have to span the years from 1970 to 1997 approximately, since there hasn’t been appreciable global warming since that time.

October 25, 2013 1:16 pm

What “climate change” or “changes in climate patterns” are they talking about?

TomRude
October 25, 2013 1:17 pm

I thought that David Suzuki was selling travel tours in Bhutan where people who die earlier and are poorer are supposedly the happiest in the world… Must be Suzuki’s carbon footprint LOL

Zeke
October 25, 2013 1:20 pm

“…growing food and livelihood insecurity, unreliable water supplies, deteriorating human welfare and increasing manifestation of erosive coping measures (e.g. eating less, distress sale of productive assets to buy food, reducing the years of schooling for children, etc.). These negative impacts touch upon people’s welfare and health, social cohesion, culture and identity – values that contribute to the functioning of society but which elude monetary valuation.”
Sustainable policies in water and agriculture have precisely the same effects!
What little purchasing power they have is easily destroyed by rising food prices.

Editor
October 25, 2013 1:26 pm

Here’s the authors’ bios”

Biographical notes: Koko Warner is a Section Head (Environmental Migration, Social Vulnerability, and Adaptation) and Executive Director (Munich Climate Insurance Initiative) at the United Nations University, Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS). Her research interests include limits of adaptation and consequences for loss and damage, human mobility, and risk management.
Kees van der Geest is a Senior Researcher at the United Nations University, Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS) in the Environmental Migration, Social Vulnerability, and Adaptation Section. His research interests include impacts of climate change, vulnerability, adaptation, livelihoods, environment, development and human mobility.

In other words, successful parasitic rent-seekers working at something called the “United Nations University”. I note that one of them is trying to sell “Climate Insurance” on the side …
I file this under the heading “Never ask your barber if you need a haircut”
w.

October 25, 2013 1:27 pm

Tom-the UN calls it the World Happiness Report and it commenced in 2012. Richard Layard from UK is involved. The OECD calls this push that trumpets Bhutan so as “subjective well being” and it is yet another area that the bureaucrats wish to use as an excuse to administer all of us. With respect to every aspect of our existence.

Jimbo
October 25, 2013 1:27 pm

The issues that have arisen through this research point to an even greater urgency for ambitious mitigation and adaptation that are sufficient to manage climate stressors.

Grrrrrrr. Mitigation and adaptation against what? Rising sea levels? Sea levels have been rising for thousands of years and aren’t accelerating. Heat? There’s been no surface warming for over 15 years and slight cooling over the last decade. Worse tornadoes and hurricanes? Where’s the data they have been getting more extreme over the last 40 years or more? Economic damage? There are more people alive with more property in areas such as flood plains, tornado alley and fire prone areas.
Never let the facts get in the way of a good story. What a load of bollocks.

19 November 2011
The Odd Omission in IPCC’s Summary for Policy Makers for SREX on Extreme Weather and Climatic Events
More importantly, the SPM SREX fails to inform the public and policy makers that, as many readers of this blog probably know, empirical data show that deaths and death rates from extreme weather and climatic extremes have declined over the past few decades (Figure 1).
————————————
5 July 2008
“Going Down: Death Rates Due to Extreme Weather Events”
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/07/05/going-down-death-rates-due-to-extreme-weather-events/

Editor
October 25, 2013 1:38 pm

The study itself is hilarious. They went around, and found whatever “climate-related stressors” people were experiencing. Things like say floods. Or droughts.
Then they asked the people what they were doing about those “climate-related stressors”.
Brilliant.
Here’s the countries, and the stressors:
Bangladesh , Salinity intrusion
Bhutan , Changing monsoon
Burkina Faso , Drought
Ethiopia , Flooding
Gambia , Drought
Kenya , Flooding
Micronesia , Coastal erosion
Mozambique , Drought and flood
Nepal , Flooding
Gosh … people in Ethiopia get stressed by droughts, and people in Bhutan worry about the monsoon? Who would have guessed?
My first guess for “salinity intrusion” in Bangladesh would be overpumping of a thin layer of fresh water over salt … and my first guess for “coastal erosion” in Micronesia (Kosrae) would be reef modification/destruction.
Other than that, the study determined that droughts and floods stress societies and countries.
w.

Editor
October 25, 2013 1:39 pm

Above I said

… and my first guess for “coastal erosion” in Micronesia (Kosrae) would be reef modification/destruction.

A bit of research shows (emphasis mine):

Mr. Ramsey’s presentation explained the varied impacts of coastal erosion in Kosrae in each village. By superimposing 1944 photos on current ones, people could see the changes in Kosrae’s shoreline in the last 80 years. He explained that the primary cause of the recent erosion is the removal of coral boulders from the reef flats as filling material for roads and buildings foundations after WWII. The coastal structure of Kosrae, Mr. Ramsey explained, is a result of sand and broken coral on the reef flat, which builds up and eventually begins accumulating soil and vegetation. When people build on these coastal areas, there is a substantial risk of coastal flooding as waves will continue to pass over the beach into developed areas.

I’ve been doing this too long …
w.

Latitude
October 25, 2013 1:42 pm

How awful for those people….
…imagine how bad it would be it the temperature actually changed
either that, or they are saying these people are so stupid they haven’t been able to adjust to a 1/2 degree

Claude Harvey
October 25, 2013 1:48 pm

Think of the good that might be done were the funds squandered on such foolish studies diverted to most anything that might actually assist third-world people directly. A nice load of dry socks would be preferable to this shipment of scientific garbage.

KNR
October 25, 2013 1:50 pm

‘International Journal of Global Warming ‘ a journal whose entire reason to exist disappears in ‘smoke ‘ if ‘the cause’ falls
And the chances of them not producing research that support AGW are?

H.R.
October 25, 2013 1:52 pm

[…] International Journal of Global Warming […”]
Kind’a says it all.
Idle musing; I wonder how long that journal will last?

Newminster
October 25, 2013 1:52 pm

“Empirical evidence is still scarce”.
I’ll bet it is!

Jimbo
October 25, 2013 1:55 pm

The problems in the target countries are not caused by climate but by bad governance, population / resources stresses, conflicts, etc. You have to wonder why the researchers decided to pick these countries? Is it because they were looking for a particular result?
Energy and clean water are many of these people’s immediate problem. Save them from a typhoon and their major headaches are still there.
This report is your typical NGO speak con job. You could replace every mention of the word ‘climate’ with ‘weather’. Weather problems have always been with us, floods, droughts etc. It’s just BAD WEATHER.

U.N. World Meteorological Organization report pans the idea that severe weather and severe weather deaths can be linked to climate change
Posted on July 3, 2013
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/07/03/u-n-world-meteorological-organization-report-pans-the-idea-that-severe-weather-and-severe-weather-deaths-can-be-linked-to-climate-change/

Yet one can link a climate stressor. What crap. It’s a con job, grab your wallets.

Martin 457
October 25, 2013 1:57 pm

I found this article much easier to believe when I added the word ‘regulation’ after every time the word ‘climate’ appeared.

October 25, 2013 1:58 pm

Why is it that people nowadays never think to move to higher ground? If they were in the middle of their country and the ground was sinking below the water table creating a lake, would they stay? Coastal peoples have lived with storms and floods since time began, Why do some people now think we have the power to stop it??????
INSANITY!!!!
THE CLIMATE DOES NOT NEED SOLUTIONS BECAUSE IT HAS NO PROBLEMS.LEAVE IT ALONE.

Alvin
October 25, 2013 2:04 pm

Third world could adapt if they were allowed to develop their economies, instead of being trapped by progressives and preventing them from exploiting their resources. Burning dung in a thatched hut is not “progress”.

Ken L.
October 25, 2013 2:07 pm

Auto
I was stationed in the Philippines for almost two years back in the Viet Nam era. I’m certain it’s worse now, after all the jobs lost when the US pulled it’s bases out at their request – cutting off their noses to spite their face. People have no idea how bad it is in Third World countries, even those much better of than the Philippines. Climate change arguments are the least of those people’s concerns. They need more of what carbon based energy can provide, not less.

October 25, 2013 2:13 pm

Here is the solution!!! Dang the USA for becoming “cowards”…
*The MH-1A Sturgis floating nuclear power plant, a 45-MW pressurized water reactor, was the first floating nuclear plant to be built (and the last nuclear power plant built and operated by the U.S. Army). It provided power at Panama Canal during Vietnam war years, allowing more boats to pass through the canal (2,500 a year more is the # we’ve seen) than otherwise would have been possible.
[Historical photo: The MH-1A Sturgis (from U.S. Army magazine, Army Logistician, Sept-Oct 2001]
* The Army awarded a contract to design, build, and test a 10,000-kW floating nuclear plant on August 3, 1961. The plant is to be installed in the hull of a reconditioned and modified surplus Liberty Ship. The $17-million contract was awarded to The Martin Company, located in Baltimore. The construction, fabrication, and test operation phases were subject to the exercise of options by the government after 15-month maximum design was completed. Three years were to be allowed for subsequent construction and test phases. [Source: Nuclear News, “Army awards contract for floating nuclear power plant”, September 1961]
Picture here:comment image%3Bhttp%253A%252F%252Fwww.eaglespeak.us%252F2007%252F04%252Ffloating-nuclear-power-plant-for-russia.html%3B360%3B239

Editor
October 25, 2013 2:14 pm

Regarding Bangladesh, a bit of research reveals:

The water supply situation in the coastal area in terms of coverage, quality and quantity is very poor. Ground water is a dependable source for water supply in Bangladesh. But in the coastal area, the salinity distributions in ground water and replenishment of water in deep and shallow aquifers are regulated by complex hydrogeolog- ical phenomena. In some parts of the coastal area, the conventional shallow and deep handpump tubewells are not successful because of very high salinity in ground water.
In some parts of the coastal area having very shallow immobile and continuous fresh water aquifers and scat- tered population, drinking water supply by means very low cost VSST and SST has been proved successful. In some cases, difficulty arises in determining the safe yield capacity of the shallow aquifers. Over pumping to meet high water demands causes saline water intrusion and damage to fresh water aquifers.

As you might imagine for a river delta, there’s salt water interpenetrating it at depth in many areas. These are overlain with fresh water, which is recharged by rain and from the rivers. As a result, many wells in Bangladesh put out much fresher water in the winter, and saltier, sometimes unusable water in the summer when it’s dry. As you might imagine, there is a balance between inflow (rain and river water) and outflow (pumping for agriculture and human consumption) … and when that balance is upset, the wells give saltier water.
What does it have to do with “climate”? Well … nothing, really. There’s a Bangladeshi analysis here that says:

From the analysis, the change in total annual rainfall for each station does not provide a clear evidence of any significant change.

I suppose this kind of research is beyond your abilities when you work for the United Nations University (surely the “UNU” is a rare beast, a palindromic oxymoron).
w.

October 25, 2013 2:19 pm

They forgot to dial in the added cost of transportation and storage of the much bigger crops and food supply from increasing CO2 (from its indisputable benefits in the role it plays in the law of photosynthesis as an atmospheric fertilizer).
Also, the additional work and cost involved with feeding and raising more livestock and other animals that can be supported with this increase in food supply.

Jeff Wood
October 25, 2013 2:22 pm

“United Nations University”
No need to read further…

October 25, 2013 2:41 pm

Speaking of Bangladesh, I posted this before. Looks like so called “Climate Change” and Bangladesh is not a recent phenomena. 17 of the worst 35 Cyclone disasters involved Bangladesh:
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/deadlyworld.asp

Jquip
October 25, 2013 2:43 pm

Martin: “I found this article much easier to believe when I added the word ‘regulation’ after every time the word ‘climate’ appeared.”
I got a lol and fetched up this for the folks here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_Pi_Bill
And then it occurred to me that I keep seeing 3.2 tossed around as a climate senstivity value. Don’t remember the context or if it’s still current. But one could have great fun with the anthropic value of Indiana Pi and amateur mathematicians.