Reality wins, it seems. Dr Roy Spencer writes:
As seen in the following graphic, over the period of the satellite record (1979-2012), both the surface and satellite observations produce linear temperature trends which are below 87 of the 90 climate models used in the comparison.
![CMIP5-90-models-global-Tsfc-vs-obs[1]](http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2013/10/cmip5-90-models-global-tsfc-vs-obs1.jpg?quality=83)
more here: http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/10/maybe-that-ipcc-95-certainty-was-correct-after-all/
Sure. MacKay’s book is also free online here:
http://www.inference.phy.cam.ac.uk/mackay/itprnn/
But it is going to be tough going for you unless you are at least moderately knowledgeable about computer programming and information theory. OTOH, if you DO manage to slog through it, it is amazing.
rgb