Model output from WeatherBell added by Anthony
By Steve Pierce, AMS chapter president, Oregon
Portland, Oregon (June 25th 2013) – “The hottest weather of the season is likely on the way for the Pacific Northwest this coming weekend, and it could get even hotter next week. In fact, the entire western half of the country is about to bake under what could be a near record setting heatwave for some locations in the southwest. Models are coming into better agreement today for a significant heatwave across much of the west starting this Thursday and lasting into early next week.
At this point in time there is the potential for seeing temperatures approaching 130 degrees in Death Valley, CA. which would be just a few degrees shy of the all-time world record highest temperature ever recorded for any location on earth. The old world record of 136 degrees recorded in Libya back in 1922 was found to be incorrect and the torch (literally) has now been passed to Death Valley, CA. that reached 134 degrees in 1913. Could Death Valley challenge this temperature once again? It could be close. At the present time, models are suggesting they will be pushing 130 degrees later this week down there.”
“The big question remains, how hot will it get here in the Pacific Northwest? It will all depend on exactly where the ridge of high pressure sets up. The latest weather models now place the center of the ridge directly over Portland and Seattle Sunday through Tuesday with hot offshore flow aloft and near the surface. If this were to verify, temperatures could approach 100 degrees in Portland early next week. This would be rare for this early in the season. Only a handful of days before July 4th have passed 100 degrees in Portland history. Record daily high temperatures for Portland in the first few days of July are all in the upper 90′s. We could end up challenging some of these if the models continue their recent trend of forecasting hotter weather with each run. The exact details are still a few days away for us here in the Pac NW. A slight shift in the position of the ridge can make a lot of difference for us. This much is certain, you can say goodbye to showers and temps in the 60′s. These will quickly be replaced with sunshine and temps in the 80′s to near 90 by the weekend and possibly another 10 degrees warmer early next week. Get out those shorts and prime that pool for some swimming! If you don’t have a pool, make friends with someone who does. You may just need it!
I have kept a link in my favorites to the John Daly post on Badwater since first discovering it via WUWT :
http://www.john-daly.com/stations/badwater.htm
I’m betting on a mild summer. Wishful thinking, I know, but I and my model want to be on record too.
Wait a sec, I’ll just run the climate model that my friends have in Canada…………..
……………. Yep. It’s Summer there too. 😉
The color scale on that map is so objectionable, I can’t see past the graphic for the underlying message.
How can Greenland at 10-25 deg F have nearly the same color as the 80-85 deg F of Kansas?
And why, why, why is a balmy high of 75 deg F deep red-orange?
a chilly high of 60 deg F a bright yellow !?!?
I can sit still for 30-35 degs as being white as that is a snow/ice/frost color.
Why dark blue at 0-5 deg F and a big change to light grey at -5-0? What is so special about 0 deg F?
The only green on the scale is at a death defying -20 deg F…. Oh, and 130 deg F.
Did someone mix up the RGB cables to the programmers monitor?
We are cooking here in the Fairbanks/North Pole part of the state with highs of 90 or so, forecast for 95 tomorrow, with our lows in the 70s. Its almost 11:30pm and it’s still 77 degrees. This following a very long lasting and cold spring.
Drenching thunderstorms here 10 miles east of Seattle today. Was just complaining to the missus that we’d had our 3 days of summer a couple weeks ago, so whoopie, we get two summers this year! From a Farmer’s Almanac world view, yesterday I finally spread moss killer as the normal late spring sun has not been around much and the moss has been thriving. I already miss global warming.
I visited my cousin in Seattle back in 1965. This was the summer after the 1964/65 flood in the Pacific Northwest. The Greyhound bus ride took 40 hours to reach Seattle. I spent most of that summer there and it made me look forward to the fog of San Francisco.
Over at the NSIDC site the area of arctic sea ice is approx 10% greater than at this time last year and is well within two standard deviations of the 1979/2000 average. Mmmmmm…
” David says:
June 25, 2013 at 3:41 pm
June 26, 1990 – 23 yrs ago tomorrow – Phoenix had its all time high temp of 122° F. In those days, I drove a Black Camaro with no A/C. Good times.”
Years ago my parents visited my sister in Texas. In their drive back home to the San Francisco Bay area, with no air conditioning, they stopped in Stockton to visit me and my family.
It was about 92 F, normal for Stockton in the summer. My dad stepped out of the car and said,
“Aahhh, it’s so cool here after the Mojave Desert.”.
Bring it on. Heck-of-alot better than the last 8 months of cold.
sunshinehours1 says:
June 25, 2013 at 4:10 pm
They are predicting 75F on Vancouver Island next week where the average high is normally 72F!….
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Yah, I am in ‘Sunny’ North Carolina where we are still getting soaked. Today is sunny and 75F @ur momisugly 840 am WUWT?
So far only three days 90F and above (barely) compared to 34 days 90F and above ten years ago. Heck we had more days 90F and above in April 2004 (6) than we will have had in June (4) if the forecast is correct!
Gee, what caused the Death Valley record that already happened? Oh…right…the EPA didn’t exist back then.
Moreover, when I see several thermometers reading above 55 C in Iraq in a month’s time I’ll know that they need to have more stations around to get a better picture of temperatures.
The hottest season of the year might already be here, to make matter worse the hottest hour of the day will be here soon, and if not today, tomorrow for sure.
It has been another “Junuary” here in Bend, Oregon. Last week we had enough hail/pellet snow to turn the ground white. Summer would be nice.
It may get hotter in July and August in the Northern Hemisphere?
Yikes!
The good news: it may get colder in July and August in the Southern Hemisphere.
Oh, wait – that’s not such good news for those folks south of the equator.
My suggestion: if you live south of the equator, do not read my post.
There, I feel much better now.
🙂
It will be interesting to get some temps out of UHIs that are not encircled with asphalt. I predict a +9 degree difference in UHI as apposed to the forested areas west of the Cascade range that predominate the NW. Urban growth equates to more asphalt and smog and airconditioners and expanding UHI which equates to warmer temp readings.
Due to an autumn pattern in early summer. A triple barrel high anchored to the 4 corners is a classic “Indian Summer” set up. What does it all mean?
Be afraid…. Be very very afraid.
It seems to me that the prediction is a bit off. First of all Death Valley is not situated in the Pacific Northwest. Secondly, that big pile of clouds over the North Pacific is still being pushed onshore into the real Pacific Northwest, which would be from Northern California and points north. The south edge of the jetstream splinter is blowing through NorCal, Oregon, and Washington. In the western Pacific above 40N, there is a large water vapor stream that should move to the east side of the Pacific in 6 days approx. That should keep the Pacific Northwest to the cool side. This is fine by me, I already got blasted by that early heatwave at the end of May, 6 days of 96 degrees inside the 5th wheel that I rent. That was a rough time. I,m cool with the cool.
I just noticed that in the southwest of China, north of Vietnam/Cambodia, there is a fully saturated very large water vapor signature, looks like it is over the Tibetan Plateau. One thing for sure, the weather formations are very different from this time last year.
Is this a preemptive ‘forecast’ temperature record like they used in Australia back in March.
See JoNova’s site where the forecast did not come close, but the news reports of the forecast implanted the record in the uninformed.
http://joannenova.com.au/2013/02/how-well-did-that-50-degree-forecast-work-out-for-the-bom/.
I have packed my winter clothes last weekend. Was wearing them until a fortnight ago.
East Anglia not too bad now, 18C, when 22 is more normal. (I mean the atmosphere, not the beer).
It COULD be even colder…
It COULD be raining men …
It COULD be the week D’oh!bama gets indicted for reckless homicide (Benghazi incident)
Hey Janice, Scott Barnes, a former Inglewood, Calif., police officer who used to do dirty deeds for the Republicans is nowhere to be found. Huh, imagine that! Maybe he was in Benghazi…. ‘dirty deeds ‘n their done dirt cheap’. You need something to do.
Amistad reservoir near Del Rio, Texas is near record low. I swam it the other day, down 60 ft. from normal summer pool.
http://www.nps.gov/amis/planyourvisit/lake-levels.htm
Well, Goode’nuff, if anyone knows who was in Benghazi at the time of Ambassador Chris Stevens’ murder, it would be the Dopebama Administration who were watching it LIVE via satellite video.
So, your hypothesis about why Dope et. al. told the United States Armed Forces in the area during the Benghazi incident to “Stand down” is that Officer Barnes was going to handle it? Really.
Not good ’nuff,
If you spent a little time learning about what a “near record” means…