Propagandist Brad Johnson of 'Forecast the Facts' tries to make the pending East Coast blizzard about the ocean 'warming' – Fails

You knew it was coming from shameless people like him. Unfortunately, Mr. Johnson doesn’t know the difference between what the Gulf Stream pattern looks like and the rest of the sea surface temperature. I had to laugh when he tweeted this tonight:

Brad_SST_Capture

pic.twitter.com/Rh7tczsW

Ummm, that’s the Gulf Stream Brad. It looks like that on a regular basis, for example, this one from October 2012:

sst_4

Its also a model reanalysis of anomaly, not the actual sea surface temperatures.

Bill McKibben also got into the act:

mckibben_SST_Capture

Citing this anomaly image, McKibben only apparently saw the red:

anomwnc[1]

Problem is that when you look at a proper SST plot of actual temperature, his hot thinking all falls apart:

2013_038_33E[1]

Source: http://coastwatch.noaa.gov/data_drive/products/goes/browse/2013_038_33E.png

And this is verified by the WeatherBell SST map showing temperature of 7C to 11C off the coast. That’s not warm at all.

e_us_coast_cdas1

To his credit, McKibben backed down after seeing the NOAA plot:

McKibben_SST_backdown

Paid propagandist Brad Johnson, instead of admitting his error, doubles down with more industrial strength propaganda:

Brad_nuts_on_SST

Somebody take this fool’s Twitter account away please.

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Editor
February 8, 2013 3:48 am
bkindseth
February 8, 2013 3:53 am

This may be slightly OT but relates to advocacy. In yesterday’s Senate confirmation hearing for CIA director, John Brennan said, and I paraphrase, that the CIA’s job was to provide intelligence to policymakers without advocating any action because if they became advocates then they would lose credibility. This would be good advice for climate scientists. I have been unable to find a transcript of the hearing, but that would be a good quote of the week.

Gail Combs
February 8, 2013 4:04 am

David L says:
February 8, 2013 at 12:21 am
….They really ought to get themselves some therapy.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
They have, unfortunately it is from the likes of Loony Lew

Methusalah Bone
February 8, 2013 4:05 am

Can we call them thieves yet?

Fred Souder
February 8, 2013 4:06 am

According to the anomalies map, large sections of the gulf stream are > 20 F warmer than average. This seems unreasonable to me, but I haven’t really looked at it in detail. Does this seem odd to anyone else?

Fred Souder
February 8, 2013 4:11 am

Or is the X axis of this anomalies map in 0.083 degree increments? That would seem more reasonable.

Gail Combs
February 8, 2013 4:19 am

Paul H says: February 8, 2013 at 1:24 am
A map of the absolute SSTs. Of course it is cold in the NE Atlantic, it is winter. The point is it is actually relatively warm, as an anomaly chart shows.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Compared to what? Anomaly charts only show what the maker of the chart wants it to show. – In other words Chartmanship
Most of us have read How to Lie with Statistics

Peter in MD
February 8, 2013 4:33 am

@Tim B says:
February 7, 2013 at 8:55 pm
Ah yes the 60’s and 70’s, wasn’t that back when we were heading into the next ice age???
I grew up in Western MA. I remember some pretty good snows in the 60’s when I was just a young lad!

Tom in snowless Florida
February 8, 2013 4:50 am

Until now snowfall in that region is about half of normal. How can that be if AGW causes more snow. Oh, my bad, AGW causes less snow before it causes more snow. I get it.

Gail Combs
February 8, 2013 5:01 am

mwhite says:
February 8, 2013 at 1:51 am
Weren’t we heading for an ice age in 1978?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
NAH, not really, they already knew about climate cycles.
Milankovitch published his scientific paper “About the issue of the astronomical theory of ice ages” in 1914, and by 1922 Lewis Fry Richardson had put together the foundation of modern numerical weather prediction. In 1853 , Wolf also claimed that there is a 83-year sunspot cycle. This longer term variation becomes evident simply by smoothing the data. Wolf’s original discovery of an 83-year cycle was forgotten, but the long cycle was rediscovered by H.H. Tuner , W. Schmidt, H.H. Clayton and probably others. After W. Gleissberg also discovered this 80 to 90 year cycle around 1938, he published so much material on the subject that ever since, it was called Gleissberg cycle. In 1976 the paper verifying cycles “Variations in the Earth’s Orbit: Pacemaker of the Ice Ages”
by Hays, Imbrie, and Shackleton, had been published.
That was the scientific end of the subject. Of course it is the political end that is the real problem.

Margaret Mead Speaks at First Earth Day
On April 22, 1970, [Lenin’s Birthday] noted anthropologist and outspoken environmentalist Margaret Mead inaugurates the first Earth Day, an event to increase public awareness of the world’s environmental problems.

Elaine Dewar wrote in Toronto’s Saturday Night magazine crediting Maurice Strong with starting the Global Warming Hoax.

WHO IS MAURICE STRONG?
It is instructive to read Strong’s 1972 Stockholm speech and compare it with the issues of Earth Summit 1992. Strong warned urgently about global warming, the devastation of forests, the loss of biodiversity, polluted oceans, the population time bomb. Then as now, he invited to the conference the brand-new environmental NGOs [non-governmental organizations]: he gave them money to come; they were invited to raise hell at home. After Stockholm, environment issues became part of the administrative framework in Canada, the U.S., Britain, and Europe.

Others credit Mead

Where The Global Warming Hoax Was Born
“Global Warming” is, and always was, a policy for genocidal reduction of the world’s population. The preposterous claim that human-produced carbon dioxide will broil the Earth, melt the ice caps, and destroy human life, came out of a 1975 conference in Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, organized by the influential anthropologist Margaret Mead, president of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), in 1974

The other interesting tidbit is this 1975 article in Science News vol. 107 Climate Change: Chilling Possibilities I guess they did not get the propaganda change notice in time to stop publication.

Bruce Cobb
February 8, 2013 5:05 am

Here in central NH, the ground has been pretty much bare the past few weeks, after a January thaw, along with a bunch of rain. Since then we’ve had plenty of Arctic cold, and the occasional “Clipper” type system zipping from west to east, mostly just giving us a dusting of snow. I imagine True Believers like Johnson can “see” the human fingerprint in all of that – the fairly low snowfall through a good part of January, then the thaw and heavy rain, then Arctic cold, and now a blizzard. It’s just New England weather though, of course. The ocean does keep things interesting.

Gail Combs
February 8, 2013 5:08 am

Methusalah Bone says:
February 8, 2013 at 4:05 am
Can we call them thieves yet?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
I was thinking of the other T word.

Gail Combs
February 8, 2013 5:13 am

Actually it is a catch-22 for Brad.
If the sea off the New England coast is warmer than normal by “8C” then that shows the oceans are exporting heat to the poles at a very rapid rate. Exporting heat means cooling not warming and he just pointed out one of the earth’s feedback systems that keep the temperature moderate.

Editor
February 8, 2013 5:15 am

Paul H says: “Like it or no, there has been a persistent warm anomaly in the NE Atlantic along the coast of New England and Labrador for the past few months. Your basis for a claim that the warm anomaly falls apart? A map of the absolute SSTs. Of course it is cold in the NE Atlantic, it is winter. The point is it is actually relatively warm, as an anomaly chart shows.”
Just in case you missed my link above, I just posted graphs of the sea surface temperature anomalies for the coastal waters of New England (the coordinates cover the area of the warm sea surface temperature anomalies):
http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com/2013/02/08/dear-chicken-little-the-sky-is-falling-its-snowing-but-sea-surface-temperature-anomalies-off-new-england-are-not-unusual/
As you’ll see, there’s nothing unusual about them.

Gail Combs
February 8, 2013 5:19 am

Fred Souder says:
February 8, 2013 at 4:06 am
According to the anomalies map, large sections of the gulf stream are > 20 F warmer than average. This seems unreasonable to me, but I haven’t really looked at it in detail. Does this seem odd to anyone else?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Anthony can correct me if I am wrong, but they are looking at the “Average” SST for the “Average” ocean so the anomalies will show things like ENSO and the gulf stream and such as not being typical. That is like calling rain and snow not typical…
OOPS sorry, I forgot that that is also what warmists do.
Check out Bob Tisdale’s site: http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com/
Bob is the guy who has been studying ENSO and the oceans closely and is not connected to anyone.

Frank K.
February 8, 2013 5:22 am

Nothing too unusual here in western New Hampshire – we’ll probably get about a foot of new snow (great for the skiers and snowmobilers!). I’ll have it snow-blown off my driveway and walkways around my house in short order. We’ve had MUCH bigger storms in the past.
It IS funny to see the climate scaremongers beclown themselves about a relatively ordinary New England Nor’easter. Heck, the Weather Channel’s even named it NEMO!! (Not that I take the Weather Channel seriously anymore).

February 8, 2013 5:37 am

I wonder how many will go skinny dipping in the “warm” ocean?

Mailman
February 8, 2013 5:51 am

That’s why he has a twitter account, because he is a twit!
Regards
Mailman

Editor
February 8, 2013 6:07 am

Gail Combs says: “Compared to what? Anomaly charts only show what the maker of the chart wants it to show. – In other words Chartmanship ”
Except when the author of the anomaly chart explains how and why he’s created the graph–though I do like the word chartsmanship.

MikeP
February 8, 2013 6:37 am

As the Gulf Stream passes NE, it no longer has a relatively constant position. It meanders and sheds eddys. This makes anomaly maps a bit difficult to look at, as a shift in the position of the GS will produce an anomaly. That’s how you get deviations from “average” that are so high. You’re dominantly looking at shifts in location, not changes in value.

Editor
February 8, 2013 6:51 am

Gail Combs says: “If the sea off the New England coast is warmer than normal by “8C” then that shows the oceans are exporting heat to the poles at a very rapid rate. Exporting heat means cooling not warming and he just pointed out one of the earth’s feedback systems that keep the temperature moderate.”
It can also mean the AO has been negative. See page 27 of attached monthly report from NOAA GODAS:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/GODAS/ocean_briefing_gif/global_ocean_monitoring_current.pdf
Unfortunately, they didn’t show the wind patterns in the North Atlantic.

February 8, 2013 6:58 am

Gary Pietila says February 7, 2013 at 8:36 pm

God I love Monty Python, between them South Park & the Simpsons you have some of the greatest quotes of mankind….

You should see some of “Rocky and Bullwinkle” …

February 8, 2013 7:21 am

Reblogged this on This Got My Attention and commented:
When will the fright mongers get out that current weather events have no relationship to climate trends?

beng
February 8, 2013 7:24 am

The warm “anomaly” off the New England coast is there because of a relative lack of cold arctic winds blowing offshore there recently. That’s weather. No other explanation is required.

Justa Joe
February 8, 2013 7:28 am

AGW can selectively warm certain parts of the ocean?