
Guest Post by David Archibald
There is a rich tradition of rational weathermen taking an interest in the potential of thorium-based nuclear power.
Witness this video made by John Coleman:
The irrational have also taken an interest in thorium’s potential. A warmer journalist by the name of Richard Martin has written a book entitled “Super Fuel” published on 8th May, 2012. Like all warmers, his grip on reality is a bit weak. One example of this is on page 55 where he states “the container ship Altona, bound for China and carrying a load of 770,000 tons of uranium concentrate.” The biggest ship on the planet carries some 500,000 tonnes and the world yellowcake market is about 80,000 tonnes per annum. Perhaps he meant 770,000 lbs instead of tons, but nobody else in the editing and publishing chain picked up the mistake either.
A second howler is on page 195 which states “After the Fukushima-Daiichi accident, there was a brief run on supplies of iodine-131. An isotope of iodine produced in specialised reactors, iodine-131 is used to prevent thyroid cancer from radiation exposure.” What he meant was that there was panic buying of potassium iodide which is used to prevent thyroid cancer from iodine-131. For those interested in buying potassium iodide before the next nuclear scare instead of after it, the motherlode is Nasco in Wisconsin who will sell you half kilo of granules for $57.25. That’s enough to treat 360 people.
There is also the warmers’ naïve world view on display. For example, on page 238 he predicts that “Enhanced energy security, and the economic power and diplomatic prestige that come with it, allow India to reach a lasting détente with its perennial foe, Pakistan.” Haste is also evident – on page 132, Alvin Weinberg is referred to as “Weinberger”.
But I wouldn’t be mentioning the book at all if it wasn’t also useful and interesting. A large part of it is taken with recounting the history of two of the main protagonists of the early years of the nuclear age: Alvin Weinberg and Hyman Rickover. Weinberg was the earliest promoter of the molten salter reactor burning thorium. The coup de grace to the thorium programme was delivered by Milton Shaw when he was director of the reactor research and development at the Atomic Energy Commission. The world has been side-tracked on the dead end of uranium-burning light water reactors ever since. While not in the same league of storytelling as “The Making of the Atomic Bomb” by Richard Rhodes, “Super Fuel” gets the reader up to speed on thorium’s history quickly and relatively painlessly.
June 2012
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Thank you for that. Molten salt has very significant advantages, and fuel availability in a given country is also an issue. That’s why I think this is going to (eventually) happen in India. They want this for the same reason that Canada developed the CANDU – so that they can have a complete energy source without being dependent on other countries. Free trade is nice, but when you’re talking about a country’s energy supply, vertical integration is not an insignificant issue.
From Rob Potter on June 8, 2012 at 5:54 am:
Everything you want to know should be in the Canadian Nuclear FAQ by Dr. Jeremy Whitlock. The Wikipedia CANDU reactor entry is also good.
As read here, besides using un-enriched uranium, they can burn “spent” fuel from conventional reactors, thorium, surplus weapons-grade plutonium, they can even get rid of waste actinides. The radioactivity requirements are so low they can keep recycling fuel and running it through until there’s practically no highly radioactive material left over. They’re also refueled while running, no shutdowns needed except for maintenance. They’re basically everything we could want from a fission reactor, if you’re not making bombs.
They’re also designed with many inherent safety features with automatic failsafes. It’d take deliberate sustained operator malfeasance to mess them up, or a severe natural catastrophe like a direct asteroid strike.
The major downside is, of course, at some point you’ll have radioactive reactor parts, and some lower-level waste. Although as the fuel technically never touches the heavy water coolant/moderator, on decommissioning you could just dump the D2O in the ocean where it occurs naturally and let it disperse. Can’t do that with light water reactor coolant.
RE CANDU:
Here is a is a short clip from one of Kirk Sorensen’s videos on this subject:
Thorium in a CANDU / Solid Fuel Reactor – THORIUM REMIX cut scene
“Uploaded by thoriumremix on Oct 5, 2011”
3 likes, 0 dislikes; 611 views; 1:41 min
“http://ThoriumRemix.com – Kirk Sorensen is asked at Mount Royal University about using Thorium in a CANDU (heavy water) reactor. His response: No economic advantage to do so. Thorium can be effeciently consumed in a Molten Salt Reactor, not in a solid fuel reactor”
The proof of design reactor ran for four years before it was shut down so it is not Unicorn Rainbows and Pixie Dust like much of green energy.
A quick look thru the newspaper will show that although we have had decades of experience with light water reactors we still have irritating problems related to the lifespan of the steam generator tubes. Humanity has been working with steam for hundreds of years.
The technical challenges of heat exchangers with water on one side and something else on the other side will surely be more daunting then a heat exchanger with water on both sides.
The history of other then water cooled reactors has been filled with ‘learning opportunities’.
http://www.gen-4.org/GIF/About/documents/16-Session1-4-OConnor.pdf
US DOE is pursuing research on ‘advanced gas cooled reactors’ .
Personally, I think fast neutron reactors have enormous potential – they can extract the enormous amount of energy left behind when fuel rods are no longer usable by fission reactors. This not only renders these rods relatively benign, requiring easy storage for a couple hundred years, but
can produce huge amounts of energy just using the nuclear waste now being stored – how about 1000 years production of all the energy we need?.
Found in: Spector on June 8, 2012 at 10:43 am:
“http://ThoriumRemix.com – Kirk Sorensen is asked at Mount Royal University about using Thorium in a CANDU (heavy water) reactor. His response: No economic advantage to do so. Thorium can be effeciently consumed in a Molten Salt Reactor, not in a solid fuel reactor”
Full disclosure time, courtesy of Wikipedia:
Just like when wind turbine manufacturers talk of the superiority of wind as an energy source, especially as to how their turbines are better, I think Mr. Sorensen may be slightly biased in his opinion.
Keep sending money and you’ll eventually get your “small modular” LFTR.
But they’ll be working with the US military, which is facing massive budget cutbacks thus funding from them will likely be constrained. The theory is the military would like to have self-sufficient on-base power generation. But naturally they’d be less than thrilled by the spewing of radioactive materials and hot molten salts after a missile or mortar strike. If this is really an issue the military can’t address with a diesel generator, as they’d always have the fuel on hand for their vehicles, long-lived Radioisotope thermoelectric generators (RTG’s) have been used for many decades, in space probes, the Soviets used them in unmanned lighthouses. The US Air Force uses them now for remote radar facilities. Very robust and rugged, portable, no maintenance.
And because they’re working with the military, I guesstimate it won’t be until 2020 when they can begin the process of getting a commercial-use reactor approved, provided their proposed development timeline goes smoothly. Even then, expect about two decades from now until they’re deployed, with regulatory approvals and permit approvals and inevitable lawsuits to wade through.
Meanwhile, thorium can be used in CANDU reactors now. It’s been looked at for decades. Here’s a 2000 paper, The Evolution of CANDU Fuel Cycles and Their Potential Contribution to World Peace.
So we can start burning thorium now in CANDU’s, and economically, or wait until that great glorious day when LFTR’s are deployed. From the timescales I’m reading, they’ll arrive just in time to be quickly superseded by fusion reactors.
Besides, what do you get with a LFTR? A thorium-only reactor. With CANDU, you have a vast range of potential fuels, use what’s locally abundant and cheap.
Of course, nobody but operators would be capable of deliberate sustained malfeasance, all computerized systems are inherently secure, we know nature’s limits, and everything can be made completely fool-proof, because fools really aren’t that ingenious.
What could go wrong?
Back to reality, why again do we really need thorium reactors or other exotic ways to boil water and make steam?
Wind and solar both cost more than they are worth. but we’ve got plenty of coal, oil, and natural gas. Combined with existing hydroelectric resources, we have ample energy reserves to see us well into the future, easily 100 years, and probably much longer.
And it’s a good thing we’ve got them, because practicable fusion has been just around the corner for 60 years. But we keep hearing claims that it’ll be up and running real soon now
Since the CO2 scare has been debunked, it seems to me we should capitalize on our intellectual victory, and utilize our most abundant and economical sources of fuel so our species may prosper.
It’s a questionable economic strategy to spend large sums of money trying to perfect unnecessary exotic technologies when conventional ones are available.
Unless the strategy isn’t what it seems.
David Archibald says:
June 8, 2012 at 12:53 am
“Consider, Pochas, that a molten salt reactor would run at about 700 degrees C whereas an aluminimum smelter, for example, runs at about 1,100 degrees C. In the latter, the working fluid is doing a hell of a lot of work. In the molten salt reactor, all the working fluid is aware of is heating and cooling in about a 300 degree C range. Chalk and cheese.”
I think “Apples and Oranges” is a better metaphor. Are we really dealing with graphite pipes? Apparently lots of questions remain about materials of construction.
http://liquidfluoridethoriumreactor.glerner.com/2012-solving-technical-challenges-in-building-lftrs/
Assuming we can avoid excessive maintenance on graphite components by means of a super alloy, has anybody made a stab at estimating costs and capital for the fuel reprocessing auxiliaries?
My gut feel is that they will increase costs and capital by at least 50 percent. We need to get some answers on these materials problems before we go ahead and create a boondoggle that makes windmills look like a good idea.
If nuclear power plants could explode accidentally as a nuclear bomb the old USSR would have had that accident long ago.
The warmist/green/socialist lunatics (theyve all merged into an indistiguishable blob) dont want cheap, clean or even free energy becoming available because it dosnt fit in with their aims.
If a source of energy became available tomorrow to pull millions of starving africans out of the poverty their millions of kids get born into, the population would just continue to spiral massively upwards, the warmist aim is population reduction not expansion which is why theyre all for subsidies on dis-turbines and other “green” ideologies that keep people in poverty and push others into it.
As for teaming up with the likes of manny and hansen their sums dont add up anyways so anything theyre involved in is bound to fail.
From Steve P on June 8, 2012 at 1:33 pm:
CANDU’s burn spent fuel from light water reactors. We have decades of electricity from used fuel rods on hand, that people are wanting to throw down a deep hole for thousands of years. And CANDU’s are very efficient. See this paper I linked to last post. The fuel is burned so throughly there’s no economic incentive for reprocessing.
CANDU’s stopped being “exotic” decades ago, now they are old proven technology. The money that’s been blown on fusion energy, including “experimental” designs that are just to prove fusion can be done but can’t be converted to commercial power generation, is mind-bogglingly questionable to me. The pursuit of “molten salt” reactors is almost as bad, so far.
Charles.U.Farley says:
June 8, 2012 at 2:49 pm
The warmist/green/socialist lunatics (theyve all merged into an indistiguishable blob) dont want cheap, clean or even free energy becoming available because it dosnt fit in with their aims.
If a source of energy became available tomorrow to pull millions of starving africans out of the poverty their millions of kids get born into, the population would just continue to spiral massively upwards, the warmist aim is population reduction not expansion which is why theyre all for subsidies on dis-turbines and other “green” ideologies that keep people in poverty and push others into it…..
________________________________
Unfortunately you and the Greenies are incorrect. The most effective birth control is a high standard of living. The USA, British Common wealth nations and the EU all have birth rates near or below replacement. It is poverty and especially subsistence farming (Kids are free labor) that promote breeding like rabbits.
BTW I have all the links to back that up if you want them.
@ur momisugly Spector on June 8, 2012 at 10:43 am:
BTW, Kirk Sorensen’s proposed “small modular” LFTR?
nuclear graphite moderator
Punch that in your search engine, you find…
Chernobyl!
Don’t know about you bud, I sure ain’t investing in his company.
kadaka (KD Knoebel) says:
June 8, 2012 at 2:50 pm
…CANDU’s burn spent fuel from light water reactors. We have decades of electricity from used fuel rods on hand, that people are wanting to throw down a deep hole for thousands of years. And CANDU’s are very efficient. See this paper I linked to last post….
_____________________________
Thanks for the info. It is nice to know there is more than one option. I find it rather interesting this is the first I have heard of CANDU. Canada’s well kept secret? The MSM is only interested in denouncing nuclear and not reporting information.
If I recall correctly GE is the company providing fuel rods to US nuclear plants and owns a large stake (49%) of NBCUniversal. GE’s CEO Jeffrey Immelt, head of Obama’s “Jobs Council”, is moving even more GE infrastructure to China. GE makes more medical-imaging machines than anyone else in the world, and now GE has announced that it “is moving the headquarters of its 115-year-old X-ray business to Beijing”. Apparently, this is all part of a “plan to invest about $2 billion across China” over the next few years. But moving core pieces of its business overseas is nothing new for GE…. GE has shed 34,000 jobs in the U.S., according to its most recent annual filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. But it’s added 25,000 jobs overseas…
@kadaka:
Look up “positive void coefficient”. Then Chernobyl. Then CANDU.
You don’t need graphite for a reactor to become unstable.
CANDU requires active control system response to maintain stability.
If you let a molten-salt reactor “over-heat”, the freeze plug melts and the salts drain under gravity into passively-cooled tanks.
The comments about the improved safety of the molten salt designs do not include detailed discussions about the removal of the decay heat. Decay heat is one of the two unique characteristics of nuclear plants that raises safety concerns. You have to continue to remove decay heat from the nuclear reaction in order to prevent the release of fission products, which is the other unique characteristic. Fossil fuel plants shut off the fuel (coal, oil, gas) supply, and the machine just cools down. When you shutdown a nuclear plant, you can stop the fissioning quickly, but you are still left with the fission products that continue to decay and release significant amounts of energy for a significant amount of time. The safety systems are designed to make sure that you can continue to remove the decay heat.
Molten salt reactors will be creating the same amount of fission products per unit of energy generated as nuclear plants that use discrete fuel elements. 1000 MW of molten salt capacity will create the same amount of waste/FPs as 1000MW of LWR capacity or PBR or FBR. Those FPs must continue to be cooled, until they are placed into a condition that does not threaten their containment. If you “dump the molten salt into ciriticality-safe tanks” you stop the fission process, but you still have the FPs and their decay heat to deal with. If you cannot cool the tanks, they will melt, and you will lose containment of the FPs. Designing the tanks to be cooled passively is not simple. Gas coooled reactor supporters like to say that their fuel can maintain integrity without active cooling, and they have some calculations and experimental data to back them up. However, in real life there are a LOT of “interesting” scenarios that can challenge the integrity of their FP containments.
None of the nuclear generating options is absolutely safe. The technology has the inherent risk associated with containing FPs. However, I would point out that several hundred people died in Japan when the trains they were on were swamped by the tsunami. No one has really been injured by the Fukushima accident. People have very different ideas about acceptable levels of risk from different technologies that are not amenable to rational analysis or argument.
Unfortunately reactor sales are competitive and Nations bring political clout to reactor sales. This is why most of you have never heard of Canada’s CANDU reactors. Canada just could not throw large arms contracts into the mix. Therefore, only a few foreign reactors have been sold to such places as China, Korea, Argentina, and Romania. The Candu is probably the safest, most efficient design to deploy worldwide. However, these decisions are made politically by the big powers – not by industry or consumers.
I was once asked to describe the differences, in operation, between Canada’s heavy water reactors, and American light water reactors. I made the comparison thusly:
The Candu is a stubborn mule, which has to be kicked and prodded to keep producing power. Any departure from ideal and it just dies. Light water reactors are like a thoroughbred race horse which one must constantly rein in while saying “whoa, whoa”
This is because of the penalty imposed by the neutron absorbing light water. A great deal of excess reactivity must be included into light water design, by enriching fuel with U235 or plutonium. This makes such reactors nervously ready for criticality, all the time.
Candu enrich the available thermalized neutrons (via D2O) instead eliminating the need for hyper fuel. This is why it can burn thorium (or uranium) right out of the ground. If Canada could throw F18 fighters into the mix… CANDU would have been the Volkswagen of global reactors. GK
Yes theoretical void coefficient de-rates CANDU’s output slightly, however since light water is a poison to the CANDU fission flux, ordinary untreated water may be used for emergency core cooling, with no need for additional poison addition (neutron absorbing chemical ie boron). This means they can never run out of emergency coolant.
Older CANDUs employed the same dump technique only the reactor simply dumped the entire moderator (D2O), stopping any and all fission. It is not unique to the molten salt technology. GK
rxc6422 says:
June 9, 2012 at 1:46 am
Good post, but you said:
Two points: the final tally of personal injuries and other effects from the Fukushima Dai-ichi and Dai-ni accidents is yet to be written; that may take decades.
Beyond that, mankind’s knowledge of and direct experience with radiation dates only from 1895. What proof do we have that increasing radiation exposure will have no long-term effect on the human genome, for example?
Precautionary principle anyone?
Seems we have both a Steve Piet and Steve P!
In comparing options, one has to look at what advocates say and especially what they don’t say; and what the market does. CANDUs with heavy water coolant and heavy water moderator do not need uranium enrichment. The “burnup” is about 7 MWth-day/kg-iHM (energy per kg of initial uranium) and one kg of uranium in ore turns into 1 kg of uranium in fuel. Pressurized and boiling water reactors are now getting about 50 MWth-day/kg-iHM and it takes approx 8 kg of uranium in ore to make one kg of uranium in fuel (via enrichment). So, in terms of thermal power/kg of uranium in ore, CANDUs are slightly more efficient. But, CANDUs get somewhat lower thermal efficiency, so CANDUs and PWR/BWR are about the same in terms of electricity/kg of uranium ore. But, all extract <1% of the energy in the original uranium. To get 80-99% energy extraction, one must recycle in a breeder reactor, but those are politically incorrect. Same result with thorium. Whether U/Pu239 or Th/U233 fuel cycles, if you want to really maximize energy and minimize waste, you recycle used fuel. The political greens will oppose either U/Pu239 or Th/U233 because it means nuclear would have minimal waste & would be more sustainable.
But, the market …. The Canadian's own new and improved concept has heavy water moderator but light water coolant to improve economics. This allows them to get 20 MWth-day/kg burnup but requires some uranium enrichment. Why the change? higher thermal efficiency. less trouble with tritium created in the heavy water coolant leaking to the environment. less cost of making heavy water for the coolant.
Another factor, if I am going to recycle any of those fuels, it makes the most sense to recycle one one with the most residual good stuff. Used PWR/BWR fuel has ~1% Pu. Used CANDU fuel has much less. So, to get the most recovered usable material per dollar spent, one would recycle PWR/BWR fuel, not CANDU fuel.
Steve P.
“Beyond that, mankind’s knowledge of and direct experience with radiation dates only from 1895. proof do we have that increasing radiation exposure will have no long-term effect on the human genome, for example?”
Mankind has been dealing with radiation since the first man was born, whenever you want to date that. What happened in 1895 was that some very smart people finally detected it.
The basic principal that is used in radiation protection is that it is possible for one “hit” from an ionizing radiation particle (alpha, beta, gamma, or neutron) to cause a change to a cell that will
either induce a genetic mutation or a cancer. One hit. About 1/3 of “humankind” gets cancer during their lifetime. Care to guess how often the human body is “hit” by radiation”
14,000 times per second.
Per Second. Every second of your life, for all of your life. If you life in the clear air in the mountains of the Rockies, you get a bit more. If you find a nice Brazilian beach that has monzanite sands (thorium), you get a LOT more. If you walk thru Grand Central Station in NY, you get more. If you fly in an airplane, you get more.
If you hug your child, you get a greater dose, and so does that child.
Radiation is ubiquitous. It is all around us and inside of us, and it has been forever. The canard that “there is no known safe dose of radiation” is fear-mongering.
One last comment. Some people have alluded to the differences of opinion between Alvin Weinberg and Hymen Rickover. I don’t think they really understand the roles of these two people in the history of nuclear energy. Weinberg was a scientist, and a visionary. He came up with the idea for a water-cooled reactor, the PWR, that was chosen by Rickover for the nuclear navy. I believe that he also had a lot of other very innovative ideas about different types of reactors. He never had to actually develop these designs into working machines that made practical, economical power. He was a researcher.
Rickover was an engineer. He had to come up with a design that would fit into a tube less than 50 ft wide, and would make reliable power independent of support facilities, while people were shooting at the tube holding the reactor. All without injuring the operators who lived inside the tube with the reactor. Rickover also was responsible for developing the only truly workable thorium fuel that was tested successfully at Shippingport. Weinberg had the idea, while Rickover had to make it work.
The biggest problem with thorium is that there is no need for it because the cost of uranium is so low. As a percent of the cost of generating power, the cost of the raw material for the fuel is trivial. We could extract uranium from seawater and never significantly affect the cost of electricity generated by LWRs. With the availability of U from seawater, there is no need to use anything else, not even Pu. Thorium, on the other hand, would require the creation of an entirely new infrastructure for fuel manufacture, transport, storage, etc, which no one wants to pay for.
Oh, and implementation of the precautionary principle basically amounts to giving control of your society to the people who tell the scariest stories. Not the way I want to be governed.
rxc6422 says:
June 9, 2012 at 11:08 am
But it’s what you’ve got. I don’t know if putting the smartest people in charge is the answer, but we’re a long way from that anyway, with a succession of slick, wealthy, ruthless types seemingly at the controls, and all doing their best to keep the hoi polloi scared witless with a never-ending stream of bogie-men.
rxc6422 says:
June 9, 2012 at 10:31 am
You addressed only the first part of my second point, and my first point not at all.
In view of the fact that the situation at Fukushima has not been resolved, and accurate reporting hard to come by, I suggest it’s a wee bit early to know what the final reckoning will be, your breezy dismissal of any possible medical problems notwithstanding.
Of course we are bathed in natural background radiation, but that doesn’t address the question I raised about “increasing radiation exposure” above and beyond that, .
I arrived in Canada as a twelve-year-old boy in 1967. CANDU was a hot topic.
Came across this in my futile search for newspaper articles from that era.
http://news.morningstar.com/all/canada-news-wire/20120604C5557/canada-celebrates-50th-anniversary-of-nuclear-power-generation.aspx