One Reason Only For Germany’s Heating Gas Crisis: Its Hardcore-Dumbass Energy Policy

From the NoTricksZone

By P Gosselin

Germany approaching energy state of emergency…shutdown of heavy industries. The consequence: another economic body blow the country cannot afford…gross policy negligence

As Germany’s heating gas supply becomes increasingly tense and nears emergency low levels, policymakers will likely blame a “colder than normal winter.”

But that claim will not hold. The real reason: It is what the Wall Street Journal called in January, 2019, the “World’s Dumbest Energy Policy” . However, since 2019, Germany’s energy policy has gotten even worse — much worse –going from the dumbest to simply hardcore dumbass. There’s no other grade to assign here.

From dumbest to hardcore dumbest

Since 2019, Germany not only stopped producing reliable, cheap and CO2-free nuclear-powered electrcity, but has since cut off its cheap supply from big bad Russia. The consequence: the heating gas supply is now close to running out and it’s only the end of January. A crisis is looming.

According to the online “Initiative Energien Speichern (INES) site here, the natural gas storage level is currently down to a measly 32.7%. Experts warn that the critical level of 20%, a point where pressures become too low to ensure adequate supply, will be reached in as little as 3 weeks.

Image cropped at INES

Gas Emergency Plan

If Germany’s gas storage fall to 20% in February, as now expected, the country will be in a serious but planned-for situation. Under current German law and the Gas Emergency Plan (Notfallplan Gas), specific protocols will be triggered to prioritize human lives and essential services.

Industry facing mandatory shutdown

Under German and EU law, private households are classified as “protected customers;” which means the state is legally required to prioritize them. As the storage levels become extremely low, the government will have to cut off gas to heavy industry, power plants, and large commercial users. This would have enormous economic repercussions.

Overall, Germany has three alert levels. If storage hit 20% and supply is deemed insufficient for the remainder of the winter, the government will have to declare the third and highest level: the Emergency Level. In this case, the Federal Network Agency (Bundesnetzagentur) becomes the “federal load distributor, and will take control of the gas market and decide who gets gas and who does not. In this case, the agency issues orders to large industrial consumers to reduce or stop their gas intake.

20% fill level means less gas flows

As already mentioned, the real risk of low storage isn’t just “running out” of gas molecules; rather it is a loss of system pressure. Gas storage facilities need a certain amount of “cushion gas” to maintain the pressure required to push gas into the pipelines. If storage falls too low, the speed at which gas can be withdrawn slows down. This is why the government has to step in early to manage demand.

Summary

Under almost any realistic scenario involving a 20% storage level, which now appears unavoidable, the government has to force industries to shut down to ensure that homes, school and emergency services continue. The main consequence of a 20% storage is a severe economic hit.

This is, in large part, the consequence of Germany’s ideologically insane adoption of the radical Energiewende: transitioning to green energy no matter what the costs are.

Maybe president Trump will step in and bail out Germany by supplying LNG.

February will be a suspenseful month!

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strativarius
February 3, 2026 2:16 am

All those renewables… all that wind and solar power

Germany’s Renewables Did It Again, A New Record!
“The reoccurring records for renewables in Germany demonstrate the incredible success of Germany’s EEG legislation,” says Max Hildebrandt, renewable energy industry expert at Germany Trade & Invest, the country’s foreign trade and inward investment promotion agency. Clean Technica

That was in the rosy delusional days of 2014 and now they’ve shut down their nuclear capacity: “Germany’s decision to shut down all its nuclear power plants was a “huge mistake” and has come at a high cost to the economy” – Chancellor Friedrich Merz

And that cost will keep going up until they (and we) ditch net zero and get sensible.

Reply to  strativarius
February 3, 2026 3:25 am

I hate to come off sounding like an accelerationist but someone has to be the first to hit the net zero wall hard. I’d rather it wasn’t the UK. If Germany takes this one for the team, good.

I wish them no ill. I really do think they’re doing everyone a favour, but watching it makes me cringe.

Reply to  worsethanfailure
February 3, 2026 4:30 am

I still don’t understand European politics (heck, I don’t understand our own anymore), but the German people voted for this. They deserve what they voted for, good and hard.

strativarius
Reply to  Phil R
February 3, 2026 4:57 am

I’m not sure that anyone votes for a coalition, but that’s what they get; the flavour of which depends on the post election ear stroking and arm twisting aka negotiations.

Scissor
Reply to  Phil R
February 3, 2026 7:42 am

There must be some unused ovens there where people can warm up in.

strativarius
Reply to  Scissor
February 3, 2026 7:44 am

Aren’t they heritage museums, now?

Reply to  Scissor
February 3, 2026 11:33 am

I think they ran on gas, too !

gyan1
Reply to  Phil R
February 3, 2026 8:11 am

They were all lost when they accepted globalist EU subjugation. The pathetic sheep who willingly voted for serfdom are too weak to throw off their chains. Hopefully reality will turn the tide.

toddzrx
Reply to  Phil R
February 3, 2026 3:04 pm

The problem with parliamentary systems in general is that it’s far easier for a uniparty to keep and maintain control because of the coalition building. At least with our American system we can somewhat easily give full control of the government to one party or the other as seen in the November 24 election.

Reply to  worsethanfailure
February 3, 2026 5:13 am

“Experience is a dear (expensive) school, but men will learn at no other”.

  • Ben Franklin
Reply to  Graemethecat
February 3, 2026 6:25 am

“That which hurts, also instructs.”
– B. Franklin

Reply to  _Jim
February 3, 2026 10:56 am

Interesting how Europeans tend to respect only ultra sophisticated, theoretical philosophy- Americans prefer common sense.

Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
February 3, 2026 9:20 pm

Some Americans do.

Retiredinky
Reply to  worsethanfailure
February 3, 2026 7:24 am

I agree – let Germany take it for the team. I’ve got a son, daughter-in-law and 3 grandkids in London and prefer they remain warm.

Reply to  worsethanfailure
February 3, 2026 10:53 am

Soon enough it’ll be CA and MA (and a few others)- both still think they’re advancing towards Net Zero nirvana.

Reply to  strativarius
February 3, 2026 3:58 am

Well in fairness Fukushima showed them just how dangerous nuclear plants impacted by tsunamis can be.

And knowing how vulnerable Germany is to tsunamis…oh wait!

Reply to  AGW is Not Science
February 3, 2026 5:00 am

Also showed that designing for worst ever plus 50% is a good idea.

Reply to  Ben Vorlich
February 3, 2026 6:28 am

They did far less than that. I can’t quickly find the report, but the original plan took into account the risk of the back-up facilities getting flooded. It got scaled back to save money. I also recall a strong hint there was corruption involved in that. Japan has many admirable qualities but scrupulous propriety in corporate governance is not one of them.

MarkW
Reply to  AGW is Not Science
February 3, 2026 6:43 am

Putting the back up generator in the basement in a non-watertight compartment, in an area that might flood, is also not a good idea.

Reply to  AGW is Not Science
February 3, 2026 10:57 am

Didn’t they build a wall to protect Fukushima from a tsunamis but they didn’t build it high enough?

Reply to  strativarius
February 3, 2026 10:51 am

Merz almost sounds as if nobody warned against shutting down the nukes.

Westfieldmike
February 3, 2026 2:25 am

Has become worse, not ‘gotten’ worse. Dear oh dear…

strativarius
Reply to  Westfieldmike
February 3, 2026 2:30 am

Best guess, American English is quite normal [around US bases etc] in Europe. No Italian would normally say “gimme a break“, but some do and that influence doesn’t come from the English expatriates in Toscana.

Reply to  Westfieldmike
February 3, 2026 5:09 am

Influence of American media.
But I think we’re borrowing a word we exported to America in the 17th century which then fell out of use at home. Several instances in Shakespeare Henry VI, Part 2: “Jack Cade hath gotten London Bridge”. Also King James bible Psalm 98 his right hand, and his holy arm, hath gotten him the victory
We still use it in “ill gotten gains”

strativarius
Reply to  Ben Vorlich
February 3, 2026 5:23 am

The puritan divergence. In England we haven’t used terms like ‘slain‘ etc for a very long time.

February 3, 2026 2:26 am

The headlines in the mainstream media will write themselves :-
‘Unreliable fossil fuels plunge Germany into crisis.’
‘How can we switch from gas?’
‘German government urges more renewable power as gas fails Germany’

Reply to  stevencarr
February 3, 2026 4:38 am

You forgot, “it’s Trump’s fault.” Also should probably throw Putin in there somewhere. Anything to distract from the real problem.

Reply to  Phil R
February 3, 2026 5:36 am

It’s Putin’s puppet Trump’s fault.

William Howard
Reply to  Phil R
February 3, 2026 5:52 am

Global Warming

Reply to  William Howard
February 3, 2026 9:22 pm

Please, it’s Climate Change now.

Neil Pryke
February 3, 2026 2:31 am

Reconnect with reality, people…

Reply to  Neil Pryke
February 3, 2026 4:34 am

Which one? in postmodernist subjectivism there are an infinite number of realities.

SxyxS
February 3, 2026 3:19 am

Never make the mistake to call deliberate sabotage dumbass policies.

But Blackrock will gladly buy up all the industry for pennies on a dollar.

strativarius
February 3, 2026 3:30 am

Off Topic but funny – if you live somewhere else, that is.

We already have sugar taxes on foodstuffs to defeat the obesity epidemic I have yet to witness, and now…

Tomatoes Face the Axe Under Labour’s ‘Nonsensical’ Junk Food Crackdown
The Government unveiled plans last week to update the Nutrient Profiling Model, which determines what counts as healthy or unhealthy food.
Under the revised system, “free sugars” released when fruits and vegetables are pureed or mashed would be counted in nutritional calculations.
This could mean that tomatoes and other natural ingredients could be removed from everyday products like pasta sauces and ready meals.MSN

OK I hear you say, you can always have a Carbonara, and I am prepared to take the risk with egg yolks and Parmigiano, but…

Astonishing amounts of salt in bacon exposed
Campaigners say “enough is enough” as survey reveals two rashers of bacon can contain as much salt as eight packets of crisps

A new survey by campaign group Action on Salt Blood pressure UK

The (non-food) takeaway is they are on a mission to make our lives as bleak and [equitably] miserable as is possible.

Leon de Boer
Reply to  strativarius
February 3, 2026 4:27 am

Let them eat cake coming to the UK.

strativarius
Reply to  Leon de Boer
February 3, 2026 4:52 am

A poster for a West End play featuring a wedding cake was banned by Transport for London (TfL) because it was seen to promote “foods high in fat, salt and sugar”.Auntie

comment image

SxyxS
Reply to  strativarius
February 4, 2026 2:44 am

And I thought it was banned because the cake is white.

Reply to  Leon de Boer
February 3, 2026 11:04 am

As long as its not baked using ff! 🙂

Reply to  strativarius
February 3, 2026 6:50 am

My favorite brand of extra-salty butter has disappeared from the supermarket. I now make my own. It takes about 30 minutes once a month and I can put in as much salt as I want. Not only am I saving loads of money (cream to make 4kg of butter costs 40% of what butter costs), but I have also discovered that several very lovely ladies in my village adore salty buffer. Who could have guessed? 🙂

strativarius
Reply to  worsethanfailure
February 3, 2026 7:01 am

Nothing is safe from the food nazis.

February 3, 2026 4:08 am

But, but, but… hey look how green and clean we have become !!!

Plansoll erfüllt !

Idiots in charge, go fools go, the abyss awaits you.

I think I don’t need an additional sarc tag…

February 3, 2026 4:55 am

No matter how often you repeat your fear mongering, it won’t come true.

Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 5:17 am

It already has. You should tell the millions of Germans living in energy poverty.

https://www.oeko.de/en/news/press-releases/germany-can-do-more-to-combat-energy-poverty/

Reply to  Graemethecat
February 3, 2026 6:02 am

Yes, relying on imported fossil fuels is expensive.

Bryan A
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 6:39 am

Importing FF is far more expensive than developing domestic resources. But Germany is run by Dumbass Green Politicians
They’re all Dumbass,
They’re all Dumbass,
They’re grade A bonified number one first class,
They’re all Dumbass,
They’re all Dumbass,
And they’ll all be dumbass all their dumbass lives.

strativarius
Reply to  Bryan A
February 3, 2026 6:54 am

Germany could frack. It has a large resource.

Bryan A
Reply to  strativarius
February 3, 2026 9:56 am

Yep, if they weren’t run by Fracking Dumbass green politicians.

Reply to  Bryan A
February 3, 2026 10:26 am

Don’t hold back, tell us how you really feel.

Bryan A
Reply to  Phil R
February 3, 2026 10:46 pm

🤗 😎 😘

MarkW
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 6:51 am

Funny how relying on imported fossil fuels was never a problem until you started trying to get rid of them and switching to wind/solar.

Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 7:06 am

Changing cheap Russian gas for extremely costly American LNG is very very expensive and will kill the German economy.
They will never recover from this and the collateral damage will finally kill the EU, which is a good thing but it will also force France to default leading to civil war in France, Spain and Italy.
The Balkans, Hungary, Slowakia, Czechia, etc. will form a new alliance of Sovereign European states and quickly establish ties to Russia. They will most probably accept the ruble as currency and the Euro will go the way of the dodo.
Ukraine will be a failed state for at least 3 generations to come (60 years) and it’s natural resources will be stolen by armed Multinationals.
USA will leave Western European states to their own and seek a position in the new multipolar world.
Western European states will descend into failed ethnostates where the imported Muslims will roam the streets and transform these countries in the sh1tholes where they came from.
The original population will decline rapidly and adapt or die.

Cheap plentiful energy in the form of gas and oil are fundamental to freedom, democracy and humanity.
Take it away and you invite the Dark Ages 2.0.

Reply to  huls
February 3, 2026 7:16 am

lol

strativarius
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 7:40 am

Cheap plentiful energy in the form of gas and oil are fundamental to freedom, democracy and humanity.

lol

What a give away. A real Malthusian. I won’t ask how you sleep at night, most psycho/sociopaths manage it with great ease.

Reply to  strativarius
February 3, 2026 7:49 am

Sorry, I thought I was supposed to laugh about a joke post.

strativarius
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 8:01 am

You do labour under a great many misapprehensions.

Is it a crime, is it a punishment? Who can say?

Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 8:46 am

The big lie is that wind and solar are cheaper than either imported or local gas and coal. They are not – especially solar in northern European latitudes is not.

I keep challenging you to say, taking for instance the case of the UK, where you would supply 48GW of peak power demand from, on one of these cold clear calm winter weeks, when the proposed 90GW of wind has fallen to 10GW on average, with dips around 1-2GW for several hours at a time. And solar has vanished because night.

Batteries, you say, getting so much cheaper all the time. Really?. In Yorkshire they are installing the £600m Thorpe Marsh project. 1.4 GW capacity. Right, and for how many hours will it supply this? About 2 hours according to ChatCPT.. This installation

“Thorpe Marsh will be three times larger than any other battery storage project in the UK and among the largest in the world,” says a spokesman for Fidra, the US-owned developers which won permission to develop the site. [source: Daily Telegraph]

would power the UK for a couple of minutes during one of these calm spells. To supply a week’s worth would take about 1,000 of them. At least! So how much would that cost? And Miliband is proposing to have 27GW by 2030 and 40GW by 2040. But unaccountably fails to say what GWh they will store. 40GW fpr a couple of hours, in the usual winter calms? Nationwide blackout is what that means.

Still think wind + storage is cheaper than domestic or imported gas or coal? Show us!

This is trolling. The largest grid battery installation in the world would power the UK for a few minutes at a cost of £600 million, and you are still claiming wind and batteries are cheaper than the alternatives? Keep making assertions in a provocative tone and never a number anywhere in sight, nor even a plausible logical argument why any of this stuff should make sense. Pure trolling.

atticman
Reply to  michel
February 3, 2026 10:35 am

Went past the site of the old Thorpe Marsh (coal-fired) power station on Saturday. Looks like the site’s been cleared but there’s little evidence of any construction activity. I wonder if the site was chosen because it’s in the middle of nowhere?

Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 11:07 am

Well, nobody’s stopping them from covering every last acre of Germany with solar and wind farms. That’ll solve the problem. /s

Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 11:56 am

Fossil fuels are not expensive; Germany has impoverished itself through demented Green policies, and can no longer afford to purchase them.

Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 2:13 pm

Finally you realise that Germany should be using their own energy,

If they want cheap and reliability, that would be COAL, OIL and GAS.

If they hadn’t closed down their nuclear power, they would also have that option for cheap and reliability.

strativarius
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 5:18 am

Reality bites. Let’s hope for the best for my Saxon brethren.

The German government will abolish the gas storage levy from 2026 to support industry suffering from high energy prices Energie und Rohstoffe

MarkW
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 6:50 am

There are none so blind as those who refuse to see.

BTW, it really is amusing to watch an alarmist whine about fear mongering. Fear mongering is all it ever had.

February 3, 2026 5:00 am

German’s are such suckers for authority. The higher authorities in UN and Brussels command NetZero and the fools in Germany comply – idiots. At least Australians don’t die when the gas runs out as their idiot governments align with the UN Climate Change™ scam.

Reply to  RickWill
February 3, 2026 5:03 am

I still have vivid recollection of the smug smiles in the German contingent at the UN General Assembly when Trump warned Germany that they were dumb to be relying on Russian gas. That was about a decade ago now.

Reply to  RickWill
February 3, 2026 6:00 am

And now we depend on US LG for the double price. As US has a very strong winter, they may reduce LG deliveries as was told.
Russian always fullfilled their delivery contracts.

Reply to  Krishna Gans
February 3, 2026 6:20 am

US is not the sole source of NG outside Russia. And Germany’s friend Zelenskyy blew up Russian pipelines supplying Germany anyhow.

Every nation needs to aim for energy abundance and self-sufficiency. That means exploiting all resources. Not shutting down productive assets to appease authorities at UN and Brussels.

Reply to  RickWill
February 3, 2026 6:32 am

N2 is still intact in parts. And for the rest, at least own stupidity harming the people, breaking their Constitutional Oath.

Reply to  RickWill
February 3, 2026 7:23 am

90% are US LNG in Germany.

Dave Andrews
Reply to  Krishna Gans
February 3, 2026 7:57 am

According to the IEA final investment decisions (FIDs) for new LNG projects surged in 2025 with an unprecedented 300bn cubic metres of new LNG export capacity in the pipeline, a 50% increase!

Only downside is you have to wait till 2030 for it to come on line. Hang on in there!

IEA ‘World Energy Outlook 2025’ (Nov. 2025)

cedars_rebellion
February 3, 2026 5:49 am

And what about the voters? GR politicians are elected? So isn’t it obvious the majority of GR voters want(ed) the Green Deal? And the third world migrants? All to save the world and save the GR welfare system?
Any bets the GR voters will change their politicians?

William Howard
February 3, 2026 5:49 am

so Germans will be comfortable in their homes – but broke as they won’t have any jobs – great thinking

Reply to  William Howard
February 3, 2026 6:07 am

Broke won’t matter because with industry shut down they won’t have anything to buy anyway.

February 3, 2026 6:40 am

I’ll do you one better. The Netherlands is sitting on top of the largest gas reserves in Europe and one of the largest fields in the world.
We have deliberately closed all wells and poured concrete in them as a symbol that they will never open again.
Reason is absurd green policies and some damage to houses because of ground movements directly above the wells. Of course the government was impotent in fixing this and thus created an anti-gas attitude in parts of the Dutch society.

Our (imported) reserves are at 24% at 3rd feb 2026 with a cold couple of weeks in the forecast.
This is gonna be very tight and maybe lethal in the coming weeks.

The Netherlands energy policy is perhaps even more stupid than Germany’s.
Currently it seems like every government in Europe is competing in the Retard Olympics and is determined to win.

atticman
Reply to  huls
February 3, 2026 10:41 am

Governments tend to forget that weather is predictable only up to a certain point. It can do the unexpected (and often does) when a butterly flaps its wings somewhere…

Sparta Nova 4
February 3, 2026 7:34 am

And the insanity will continue until sufficient damage is inflicted.

Just remember, “You will have nothing and you will be happy.”

I await all the news photographs of frozen smile.

strativarius
Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
February 3, 2026 8:11 am

What do you think they think is sufficient? I wish I knew.

February 3, 2026 11:37 am

Much as I dislike the possible consequences…

… It needs to happen somewhere, soon,

..to wake politicians up to the problems THEY have created through bowing to the anti-CO2 nonsense.

Reply to  bnice2000
February 3, 2026 12:12 pm

So many years of doom and gloom predictions failed.
And all these years renewables grew and the share of electric cars increased.

The Cleantech Revolution
It’s exponential, disruptive, and now
(Link to a .pdf file)

Screenshot-from-2026-02-03-21-11-16
Bryan A
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 1:20 pm

Well they didn’t grow from being better products than FF generation and ICV automobiles.
They grew from Government Mandates from pressure brought by green groups.
And they grew by growing and farming subsidy $$$.
Not because they’re A better product just because they’re better at getting government money.

Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 2:08 pm

World global energy use. (use magnifying glass to see wind and solar)

world-energy-usage
Bryan A
Reply to  bnice2000
February 3, 2026 10:52 pm

Plus 42²²

NotChickenLittle
February 3, 2026 12:44 pm

The numbers aren’t good for Germany, nor for Great Britain – they are abysmal for the UK. But the USA at least is producing more, thanks to President Trump and sane energy policies. I asked AI for how much electrical energy each country produced in 2000 compared to what’s projected for 2026, in TeraWatt hours. This does not include any imported energy.

Germany, in 2000: 652 TWh
Germany, in 2026: 575 TWh
Great Britain, in 2000: 1651 TWh
Great Britain, in 2026: 322 TWh (!!!)
USA, in 2000: 3827 TWh
USA, in 2026: 4256 TWh

Going backwards in energy production is not the way a civilization progresses…

Reply to  NotChickenLittle
February 3, 2026 1:06 pm

Do you really think Britain had 2.5x the electricity production of germany and half as much as the US?

Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
February 3, 2026 2:04 pm

Seems you didn’t understand what was said… again !!

Mactoul
Reply to  NotChickenLittle
February 3, 2026 8:38 pm

Looks very unlikely that GB electricity production has gone down to one-fifth in 26 years, Such a thing would be highly noticeable.

NotChickenLittle
Reply to  Mactoul
February 4, 2026 12:26 pm

Yes, AI is not always reliable. It has given me answers ranging from one-third and less, to three-fifths produced now compared to the year 2000. The point is they are going backwards, not forwards, and by large not insignificant amounts.

posa
February 3, 2026 1:23 pm

Sorry. This one is on the German people, not the globalists. I know many Germans, who, otherwise are very smart. They’ve talked themselves into the Energiewende. As with their Anglo-American counterparts, they are imperious to data and reasoning. We can only hope the demise of Germany will be an object lesson for the rest of the world (though I’m not betting on it).

As for globalists oligarchs, they’ve moved on from Climate Apocalypse to great enthusiasm for nuclear energy to power their demented AI Bubble. Their media propaganda mills reflect the sudden change in attitude.

Bob
February 3, 2026 3:49 pm

It doesn’t end, one crappy government policy after another biting the dust. Government influence should be kept to a minimum, all they do is screw things up.

February 4, 2026 8:49 am

Just a follow up, but this was posted in the NTZ on 1/31. So assuming that the 32.7% number is from that day (big assumption), then it has dropped a little over 2% in 4days. I just checked and it is now 30.5%. Without knowing the delivery or resupply schedule, 2%+ every 5 days could indeed leave them at or below 20% by Mar 1.

February 6, 2026 8:52 pm

One can doubt such a disaster would change the direction of Merz or get him out of office. German, French, and British rulers are not elected just as our rulers are not elected. We all live in an oligarchy where power is always available to an oligarch.Peasants freeze and eat mealybugs.