No lessons learned from Climategate ? Fred Pearce and the New Scientist attack anti-nuclear book

Guest post by Martin Cohen

When philosopher and long-standing climate sceptic Martin Cohen, and distinguished energy economist Andrew McKillop published a book on nuclear economics [2], they expected it to arouse the hackles of the nuclear establishment.

But they had not anticipated that it would come in from the sort of ‘denial of service’ attacks that only the climate change lobby knows how to dish out. Papers and magazines we had contributed to regularly refused to review it. Radio stations that were previously desperate for comment on nuclear issues backed off. Indeed, in soliciting forewords for the book many academics heisted to participate for fear of incurring the displeasure of certain influential people. (Eventually probably the world’s top nuclear sceptic, Stephen Thomas, author of numerous reports for independent energy institutes and environmental groups such as Greenpeace, whose views the authors had frequently found relevant and insightful in researching the book wrote the foreword.) So when that apparently very proper organ of scientific debate, the New Scientist did agree to review it, the authors expected a scholarly if probing analysis.

What they got instead was a strident personal attack. Calling the book ‘mendacious’ (which means frequently relying on deliberate falsehoods), and under the page tag ‘Climate Denialism’ (the controversial term that links climate sceptics to holocaust denialists), one of the UK’s oldest and most respected Climate Change agitators, Fred Pearce denounced the book as an hysterical drivel. 

The ‘review’ is not so much a review as a series of personal attacks.

“The Doomsday Machine, a sometimes mendacious and frequently anti-scientific book, has one claim to novelty. It combines hysterical opposition to all things nuclear with an equally deranged climate-change denialism. One wonders both why the publishers published, and who they imagine will enjoy it.”

The ‘review’ continues (and bear in mind this is a book about nuclear economics)

“The authors argue that concern about climate change is largely a public relations exercise by nuclear power lobbyists to revive their fortunes. And that it is sustained by corrupted scientists at the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in league with “new nuclear romantics” and “environmentalists [who believe] humanity deserves to be punished for its poor stewardship of the Earth… From this original vantage point, they apparently see no need to challenge the argument that low-carbon nuclear energy can help combat climate change. So instead, a chapter purporting to slay “the myth that nuclear power is green” spends its time rehearsing ludicrous attacks on named environmentalists and climate scientists, such as Gaia inventor James Lovelock, for having the temerity to support nuclear power.”

Fair comment – or something worse? The New Scientist thought the former although it admitted that the might have been certain factual errors in the review.

But one of the key accusations of those Climategate emails, after all, was that academic professors working with environmental campaigners and journalists like Fred Pearce, were deliberately distorting public perceptions of the true state of climate science in order to prevent sceptical doubts being aired. For example, were the vast glaciers of the Himalayas really melting so fast that they would disappear by 2035, as Pearce breathlessly reported some years ago? Climategate was about whether the emails showed that global warming was a scientific conspiracy, in which scientists and others attempted to suppress critics

According to an exhaustive review by The Associated Press, the scientists are keenly aware of how their work would be viewed and used, and, just like politicians, went to great pains to shape their message. In the process, sometimes, “they sounded more like schoolyard taunts than scientific tenets”.

Mark Frankel, director of scientific freedom, responsibility and law at the American Association for the Advancement of Science, put it this way: “The scientists were so convinced by their own science and so driven by a cause “that unless you’re with them, you’re against them,”

Of course, if you ask a leading proponent of Climate Change, doubtless bearing a few grudges against climate sceptics for publicising things like Himalayagate, PLUS someone who is a chum of Jim Lovelock, to review a book ridiculing both – what can you expect? A nasty venomous review, for sure. But not, perhaps crude, factual inaccuracies and equally crude ‘conflicts of interest’. In protesting the unflattering portrait of Jim Lovelock’s nuclear stance, for example, Fred Pearce and the New Scientist failed to note that Lovelock wrote a glowing foreword to Pearce’s latest book, ‘Earth, Then and Now’, which Lovelock sums up  as, simply,  ‘wonderful”.

It is straightforwardly wrong to say, as even a skim of the book reveals, that it asserts the nuclear lobby invented the global warming theory. On the contrary, the book explains that it was an old and discredited scientific theory ‘warmed up (as it were) by special interest groups, primarily governments wishing to get rid of their coal industries. Martin Cohen drew for this section on an influential cover story he wrote in 2009 for the Times Higher (London) saying that the theory of Manmade Global Warming was not science but propaganda.

However, the authors do say that the theory that burning carbon was dangerous was eagerly seized upon by the nuclear industry. Indeed they quote several of the industry’s representatives making that point. As to the suggestion that Cohen and McKillop are too hysterical to “challenge the argument that low-carbon nuclear energy can help combat climate change”, their book specifically argues, for example, that nuclear power supplies less than 3% of world energy and thus that it cannot possibly replace fossil fuels.

Pearce throws in a few broad rejections of the economic arguments against nuclear, apparently determined to give no ground on any points = a tactic characteristic of the scientists in the Climategate emails. He thus says that no one claims that nuclear electricity is ‘cheap’ any more – but of course they do. There is no other way to sell it, given its dangers and unpopularity otherwise. As to no one saying radiation is safe, the papers were full of that after Fukushima exploded recently. Again, the book gives many quotes and examples of all this – including those of Jim Lovelock.

It’s only a short review, but there are straightforward factual errors – the New Scientist itself acknowledged that in a supplementary note to the review.

Commenting on the affair, Cohen said “My point is that Andrew and I have researched the book carefully, and if it is presented in a lively, and in places darkly humorous way, that does not mean that it is not a very serious look at these issues. And these issues deserved a real review, not to be sidelined by a lazy bit of ad hominem.”

So what happened to Fred Pearce, champion of openness who defended the integrity of the climate scientists after their internal email correspondence, apparently potting to suppress dissident views and promote their own came to light? The man who wrote in a ‘special investigation’ for the Guardian newspaper [3]. In his own words:

“Many of the emails reveal strenuous efforts by the mainstream climate scientists to do what outside observers would regard as censoring their critics…  [And[when passing judgment on papers that directly attack their own work, they were mired in conflicts of interest that would not be allowed in most professions.”

Climate sceptics argued that the emails showed that the theory of manmade global warming due to carbon dioxide was bolstered by a scientific conspiracy, in which scientists manipulated climate data and attempted to suppress critics.

The United States National Academy of Sciences condemned what they called “political assaults on scientists and climate scientists in particular”.

The AP said that the “[e]-mails stolen from climate scientists show they stonewalled sceptics and discussed hiding data.” As John Tierney put it in a piece for the New York Times: “these researchers, some of the most prominent climate experts in Britain and America, seem so focused on winning the public-relations war that they exaggerate their certitude — and ultimately undermine their own cause.”

Climategate eventually became something of a scandal, leading to several public enquiries. But no lessons seem to have been learned.

ENDS

Notes

[1] http://www.newscientist.com/blogs/culturelab/2012/03/doomsday-drivel-promoting-nuclear-paranoia.html

Doomsday drivel: promoting nuclear paranoia 11:20 29 March 2012

[2] The Doomsday Machine: The high price of energy, the world’s most dangerous fuel

by Martin Cohen and Andrew McKillop published byy Palgrave March (US) /April (UK) 2012

[3] http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/feb/09/peer-review-block-scientific-papers Tuesday 9 February 2010 14.05 GMT

[ends]

Contact details

contact Martin Cohen on docmartincohen at yahoo.co.uk for more details about the controversy contact Laura Conn L.Conn at palgrave.co.uk for more on the book and to request review copies

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George Gillan
April 2, 2012 10:16 am

Anthony,
Is there a typo in the name of the guest poster?

Brian H
April 2, 2012 10:21 am

Edit: “many academics heisted hesitated (?) to participate for fear of incurring the displeasure”
______
The cross-currents of conflicting special interests are getting turbulent!
Fortunately, the price of frack gas is continuing to fall (<$2 soon?), and will render much of this moot. 😉

Kaboom
April 2, 2012 10:22 am

I always felt that the lack of support for nuclear power generation was one of the key points in proving that the CAGW stormtroopers weren’t in fact interested in CO2 reduction but in wringing the life out of capitalism and economic opportunity.

kwinterkorn
April 2, 2012 10:27 am

A significant part of the costs of nuclear energy plants is from over-regulation and insurance costs rooted in the anti-nuclear hysteria that grew out of the Three Mile Island and Chernobyl events.
The Three Mile Island event, in which much went wrong but still no one died, should have taught the lesson that nuclear energy can be safe with reasonable and prudent regulation. I was living in Philadelphia at the time and remember the hysteria of people—especially academics at the U Penn campus where I was in med school—-who should have known better.
The Chernobyl event was not about nuclear energy as we know it—the plant had no containment on our scale and the accident grew out of “experiments”, not the generation of commercial power.
Similarly, wrong lessons are coming out of Fukushima—–where about 20,000 people died from a horrific natural event (the tsunami), and a few may have gotten lethat doses of radiation while trying to shut down the injured, old-style, nuclear plants. This disproportion of concern is shocking. Better design and siting of plants could eliminate a risk of a Fukushima event.
Every form of mass-produced energy will have some risks. Per kilowatt of energy produced, modern nuclear plants may have lower risks for death than coal mining or oil platforms exposed to hurricanes, and certainly kill fewer birds of endangered species than windmills.

April 2, 2012 10:30 am

This article wants severe editing and revision. I have no idea what point it was making! it is garbled!

April 2, 2012 10:39 am

SIDC’s March SSN = 64.2, the new multivariant, non-stationary Hathaway’s April ‘Prediction’ available here:
http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/SSN.htm

TRM
April 2, 2012 10:41 am

I haven’t read the book but what is their take on the LFTR design? Do they get into the economics of molten salt designs?

paullm
April 2, 2012 10:42 am

A very interesting debate that needs to be out there. It seems the development of modular nukes have great promise and were to be first installed in 2013.
I can see how Cohen and McKillop would raise the ire of legions of critics. The nuclear power issues need to be strenuously and openly debated concerning its own merits.

ConfusedPhoton
April 2, 2012 10:47 am

Are there people who read New Scientist? Presumably those are the ones that failed science at school

Berényi Péter
April 2, 2012 11:06 am

I still think nuclear energy can be made safe & cheap & abundant, we just need to re-design our technology. Current plants were designed & built during the Cold War and are not optimized to produce energy, but raw material for weapons. Energy is only a happy by-product, so to speak, while utilization of fissionable material is terribly inefficient.
What is needed is
1. Inherently safe design, that is, as soon as anything goes wrong, the reactor has to stop working immediately with no intervention at all. It should be constructed in a way that passive cooling be sufficient at this stage.
2. It should “burn” all fissionable material fed into the process with no transuranic leftover, especially no Plutonium. There should be no long half life isotope left in waste and nothing that could be used to build weapons.
These two requirements can be satisfied, actually there is more than one way to do it. An additional benefit is that our radioactive wast heaps can be used up as fuel for these new designs. Both volume and half life of waste would decrease dramatically, so even with extensive use of nuclear power no waste buildup is expected in the (not so) long run, that is, in a several hundred years time frame.
The trouble is the nuclear scare came before CO₂ related climate madness, so all innovative development was killed by the time it could have been put to production.
It is still true however, that nuclear industry is a net beneficiary of cAGW propaganda, but for the moment the clear-cut loser is coal against hydrocarbons, because it generates twice as much CO₂ emission for the same energy output.
If you ask cui prodest? (who gains), it gets pretty funny. It turns out warmistas should be backed by Big Oil & Big (fracking) Gas. Sequere pecuniam (follow the money).

April 2, 2012 11:19 am

I wrote a scathing response to a poster here, about a year ago…noting that the “Nuclear Industry” was NOT “the” promoter of Gorebull Warming.
Then, alas, I decided I’d better “check around”.
Having dropped out of “nuclear power” in 2000, I was completely SHOCKED to find that the “Nuclear Energy Institute” has COMPLETELY, without question, bought off on Gorebull warming as “the way” to promote nuclear power.
Shame on them, and shame on me for not realizing that “souls can be bought….for a price.” (In classic western theology, there is a place where these souls end up. A place where there is plenty of “thermal energy” to be used, freely, without penalty.)

April 2, 2012 11:26 am

Why is one bad review of a negligible book turned into a conspiracy?
I’ve never heard of Cohen. But if http://thegwpf.org/the-climate-record/3806-martin-cohen-the-guardians-climate-change-coverage-and-its-commitment-to-factual-reporting.html is anything to go by, then he is clueless about GW.
> Guest post by Martin Cohe[n]
> When philosopher and long-standing climate sceptic Martin Cohen…
Why is he talking about himself in the third person?
> What they got instead was a strident personal attack
No, what got attacked was the book, not them.
>.Calling the book ‘mendacious’ (which means frequently relying on deliberate falsehoods),
Is this for children? Adults don’t need to have mendacious explained to them.

April 2, 2012 11:36 am

Hey TRM, this entire article about molten salt economics is interesting reading.
http://www.mining.com/2012/02/14/why-not-thorium/

Olavi
April 2, 2012 11:39 am

How many peoples died in coalmines last year? How many has died earlier? How many deaths is oil and gas accidents? What ever you say, nuklearpower is most safe and effetive way to produce energy.

April 2, 2012 11:43 am

marchesarosa says:
April 2, 2012 at 10:30 am

This article wants severe editing and revision. I have no idea what point it was making! it is garbled!

I won’t go quite that far, but I too fail to understand the central point.
Revise & resubmit please.

April 2, 2012 11:46 am

….Fred Pearce denounced the book as an hysterical drivel…
poor old Fred
…. Lovelock wrote a glowing foreword to Pearce’s latest book, ‘Earth, Then and Now’, which Lovelock sums up as, simply, ‘wonderful”.…
that’s a bit better
I know Fred to be a thoroughly nice fellow.
Hi Dr. Pearce.
with regards. vukcevic

Pete Olson
April 2, 2012 11:47 am

“…potting to suppress dissident views…” ???

Mike McMillan
April 2, 2012 11:49 am

marchesarosa says: April 2, 2012 at 10:30 am
This article wants severe editing and revision. I have no idea what point it was making! it is garbled!

Ditto

More Soylent Green!
April 2, 2012 12:00 pm

marchesarosa says:
April 2, 2012 at 10:30 am
This article wants severe editing and revision. I have no idea what point it was making! it is garbled!

I, too, had a hard time following this. Putting quotes like this in blockquotes as shown below would greatly increase readability.

“The Doomsday Machine, a sometimes mendacious and frequently anti-scientific book, has one claim to novelty. It combines hysterical opposition to all things nuclear with an equally deranged climate-change denialism. One wonders both why the publishers published, and who they imagine will enjoy it.”

Another issue is being unfamiliar with the book being reviewed. Give us a little more information about the book, and the premise that the nuclear industry is promoting fears of climate change from greenhouse gas emissions to promote its own interests. (Well, duh, to that, BTW.)

Billy Liar
April 2, 2012 12:14 pm

William M. Connolley says:
April 2, 2012 at 11:26 am
I never thought I’d ever say this but I agree with you.
Why is he talking about himself in the third person?
… bit of a(n alleged) Gleick moment?

cknlitl
April 2, 2012 12:28 pm

This should not have been promoted to guest post status. If a kind person were to critique it, they would say the arguments are poorly constructed and the general style is very sophomoric.

Darkinbad the Brightdayler
April 2, 2012 12:47 pm

I’m afraid I stopped reading New Scientist about ten years ago.
Perhaps it was when they started to lose their critical faculties and started to herd together for security.
A gradual morphing from Wasabi to Sticky Rice.

Mr Lynn
April 2, 2012 12:56 pm

Mike McMillan says:
April 2, 2012 at 11:49 am
marchesarosa says: April 2, 2012 at 10:30 am
This article wants severe editing and revision. I have no idea what point it was making! it is garbled!
Ditto

Double ditto. Did Mr. Cohen write it? It reads like a post from some other source about a review of Cohen’s book. Very confusing.
/Mr Lynn

Taphonomic
April 2, 2012 12:56 pm

Looking at some page of “The Doomsday Machine” on Amazon’s web site, I have to agree it is poorly written and contains errors. For example, what is written in the Glossary regarding Yucca Mountain is laughably incorrect (the court case is ongoing; it will be heard by the DC Circuit Court in May) as well as poorly written.

Brian
April 2, 2012 1:38 pm

I thought that April Fool’s Day was yesterday.
I can’t believe that this was posted here in earnest. It’s sad, really.

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