From the “weather is not climate unless we say it is” department.
While weepy Bill McKibben…
Twitter / @350: This was a tragic weekend …
This was a tragic weekend in the midwest of the USA. It’s more dangerous evidence of climate change: bit.ly/yeLOxI#350ppm
Brad Johnson: Americans Get It: Global Warming Is Poisoning Our Weather
and Joe Romm: Tornadoes, Extreme Weather And Climate Change, Revisited
…wail about the latest tornado outbreak being a result of the catch all “climate change” (translation: universal boogeyman) it is worth noting that Dr. Pielke Jr. has an interesting and germane post titled: An Embarassment of Riches
He says:
There is seemingly a bottomless well of nonsense on disasters and climate change. I have long ago accepted that such nonsense is, like the presence of arguments rejecting the basic science of climate change, a situation to be lived with rather than changed. Even so, I can still poke some fun.
…
Reality Check: The ability of the reinsurance industry to accurately reflect the state of the science of disasters and climate change has long been questionable. The industry is currently awash in money, a condition that Guy Carpenpter characterized just a few months ago as “the reinsurance sector remains adequately capitalized with a significant excess capital position” (PDF). In such a context, when reinsurers ask the government to take on some of their risks justified by “climate change,” you should hold tight to your wallet. Conflicted.For anyone who is interested in the actual science of disasters and climate change, I’ll be speaking on the subject later today here at CU (for others, just have a look at TCF, chapters 7 and 8).
Having a copy of the ClimateFix myself, I can also recommend it and chapters 7 and 8. – Anthony
click image for moreThe Climate Fix: What Scientists and Politicians Won’t Tell You About Global Warming is available at Amazon.com
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Warmer water yields: more precipable water in a given parcel of air spending time over that water in the Gulf and more J/kg of CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy)
Don’t write off that ‘warmer water’ effect completely!
One of the mets (Mark) on Fox41-WDRB (WDRB 41 Louisville, KY) made mention that because of the few cold fronts that made it as far as the Gulf this year is partly the reason for those ‘warmer waters’ …
.
News report, an assistant professor in the department of geography at Simon Fraser University, and of University of Victoria, School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Kirsten Zickfeld reported on BCTV news tonight, computer programs tell her skiing on the north shore mountains and Whistler will be be at risk due to low or non existent snowfalls in thirty years time. Her program tells her even if C02 emissions are reduced to zero skiing will just be a memory. The University of Victoria is also the home of Andrew Weaver who is an adviser to the Provincial Liberal government when the carbon tax was brought in. Did we not hear something similar elsewhere about snow.
On the same news program a Vancouver restaurant announced they are now carbon neutral. Sad to say say skiing will still get lousy. BCTV news a leader in unbiased reporting, sarc off.
BC is also home to David Suzuki, need I say more.
Heavy snow is falling tonight – mounting (and blowing and drifting) evidence of runaway global warming!
Be very-scary frightened!
The end is truly near!
We haven’t had wild weather like this
since the same time… …last year!
Eric Eikenberry — that was excellent, thanks.
Prof Chown blames humanity for causing global warming in Antarctica, allowing weeds to become established. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-17258799
The alarmist drum beat has quickened lately, with multiple pieces even in the wretched LA Times…Interstellar Bill 11:37 am.
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That comment reminded me of the L A Times article by Julie Cart April 2009: What will global warming look like? Scientists point to Australia http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-climate-change-australia9-2009apr09,0,7128426,full.story.
Three years later, global warming looks like this http://resources0.news.com.au/images/2012/02/06/1226263/253388-queensland-floods-2012.jpg.
The 100 year records show the rainfall trend has been generally going up http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/climate/change/timeseries.cgi?graph=rain&area=aus&season=0112&ave_yr=15.
The 3 year anomaly (ref. 1961 – 1990): http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/awap/rain/index.jsp?colour=colour&time=latest&step=0&map=anomaly&period=36month&area=nat.
Cardin Drake says:
March 5, 2012 at 11:50 am
I could have sworn that the last two months global average temperatures were below the thirty year average. Could somebody explain the mechanism that makes global warming produce more tornadoes EVEN WHEN GLOBAL TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW NORMAL.
One number: 1974. A year in the midst of concerns about a coming Ice Age (anthropogenic, no less), where tornados lambasted the Alley. Except, back then there weren’t meme-blathering Gaian commentators grabbing the limelight, nor a blindered MSM. It’s all about being cool.
“Tez says:
March 5, 2012 at 3:53 pm”
See!!!
http://www.niwa.co.nz/key-contacts/andrew-tait
He’s well qualified to make those statements /sarc off!
>> It’s more dangerous evidence of climate change: bit.ly/yeLOxI#350ppm
Note it’s “dangerous evidence of ” NOT ” dangerous climate change”
He’s finally making sense, must be a freudian slip.
Forgot to mention in the news broadcast with Professor Kirsten Zickfeld in my above post was also the mandatory sea level caused melting ice, including wait for it, melting pack ice with a picture of the arctic. Look up her bio, could be recruited by the team.
TXRed says:
March 5, 2012 at 12:04 pm
I suppose it would be too much to ask for Mr. McKibben and his fellow CAGW believers to restrain themselves at least until after all the funerals are done? I suppose decency and respect for fellow humans doesn’t matter when you are trying to Save the Planet (C).
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Squealing loudly and immediately to press home their puerile points is all part of the warmista credo.
Not for them to have respect for the unfortunate victims of a natural disaster, not in their makeup to be reserved, no, theyre instantly screaming about death and “told ya so” and “repent! the end of the world in 2012!”. What a pile!
Theyre pathetic media whores lacking an ounce of moral fibre just like their Gleicky hero so we shouldnt be surprised when hogs act like hogs.
“Weather” is – as pointed out above – instantaneous with respect to climate.
But isn’t “instantaneous” just so old fashionedly newtonianist. Surely a relativistic theory of climate change would alow an interpretaton in which space and time are integrated into a four dimensional manifold where “teleconnections” can take place in time as well as in space?
That BBC disinformation:- Dr. Ian Stuart is a geologist so should know better that preach all that c**p. But of course he is preaching the BBC religious line not science.
_Jim says:
March 5, 2012 at 6:48 pm
Spelling police here. “precipitable” not “precipable”
Logic check for the warmarxists — more development means the same rate of tornadoes will cause more damage. Depending on the increase of development, more damage could occur even with less tornadoes.
The warmarxists want you to stop erecting all those new houses & businesses so those nasty tornadoes don’t do so much damage! Huge pinwheels excepted, of course.
This morning (days after the tornadoes) I wanted to see the forecast for the next couple days, so I reluctantly clicked the Disaster (weather) channel. I wondered how long it would take them to say “tornado”. It took 2 words….
Weathermen didn’t predict that it was going to snow in my zip code last night. Yet it did. Even as it was snowing, weather.com showed no precipitation.
I trust any weather/climate forecast barely above nil.
“Weather Bombs” from a meteorological point of view simply defines a depression whose central pressure falls 24hPa in a 24 hour period. It’s not a scientifc term, just populist jargon. As a weather forecaster in the SW Pacific for yachties I can assure everyone that these depressions are not that “rare”, particularly in the spring and fall. One other thing, somewhere on WUWT there were comments made regarding atmospheric “blocking” as one feature of the AAO. In my experience we see blocking during positive AND negative AAO index values. From a weather point of view blocking has significance because it will slow the advance of fronts and depressions and make forecasting a wee bit more difficult. But to my knowledge using the AAO index to predict them does not work very well.