The university of Colorado has recently updated their sea level graph from the TOPEX satellite data. The 60 day smoothed trend is still stalled and shows no rise over what was seen since the peak in mid 2010:
Data
Raw data (ASCII) | PDF | EPS
Here’s the same data with season variation retained, but the really interesting data is from ENVISAT, which shows no upward trend:
(Graph from Steve Goddard). Envisat data here: ftp://ftp.aviso.oceanobs.com/
Sea level is lower than eight years ago, and according to the graph above just passed the lowest annual peak in the Envisat record.
It’s damned inconvenient.
“What’s next?”
Well, the stratosphere doesn’t seem to have cooled much since 1995.
/// SATIRE ///
The problem is that the sea level just does not understand the importance of following the model. After all, the model takes priority over any reality.!!!!
plazaeme and Ged
Why do the “adjusted” data always show a more AGW/IPCC friendly narrative?
For temperature, sea level what ever.
Give it to Michael. There’s certainly some Mann-made hockey-stick-shaped turds floating around there somewhere. He’ll find ’em.
Maybe the EPA will leave the ponies on Chincoteague Island alone now
http://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/92/Chincoteague_pony_swim_2007.jpg/220px-Chincoteague_pony_swim_2007.jpg&imgrefurl=http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chincoteague_Pony&h=127&w=220&sz=16&tbnid=i5XG1hGHimjXrM:&tbnh=70&tbnw=122&prev=/search%3Fq%3Dchincoteague%2Bponies%26tbm%3Disch%26tbo%3Du&zoom=1&q=chincoteague+ponies&docid=rTDVsxBq5_KOGM&sa=X&ei=Nt06T5WgMrKE0QGOx5iTCw&ved=0CF0Q9QEwBA&dur=395
The want to move them because of sea level rise
@plazaeme
http://www.aviso.oceanobs.com/fileadmin/images/news/indic/msl/MSL_Serie_MERGED_Global_IB_RWT_GIA_Adjust.png
Does this graph include the algorithm adjustment that adds in expanding land mass to hide the decline in sea levels?
Sea levels? They mean nothing to me. I’m still pulling some very nice sea bass, red mullet and some VERY delicious crab from the sea here on the central South Coast of England (even during this sudden cold snap).
The professional fishermen laugh with derision when I ask if they’ve noticed the sea level rising, and some of them have been going to sea for over fifty years!
Our little spit of land here used to be cut off by the sea but now we can drive ‘inland’ without even getting our car tyres wet.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selsey
Al Gore went sailing and this is the result.
I see a few other time periods where the trend was not upward for 1.5 years. Another six months of stalling will be more interesting.
@plazaeme,
If you go to that site and then turn off all the corrections (Inverted barometer correction not applied, Seasonal signal not removed, Glacial Isostatic Adjustment Not Applied) you get a graph that looks identical to the graph shown above. http://www.real-science.com/leave-data
The problem with people just looking at the data is that they don’t understand the big picture.
For instance. The top graph from the University of Colorado is close to true sea levels because they have identified one reason for the measurement error. The Glacial Isostatic rebound adjustment is a good start, but clearly it still needs a little tweaking as the data still does not reflect AGW’s modeled reality. I’m sure this will be corrected in due course.
As for the second graph, it is pure garbage since it clearly does not reflect the rising sea levels we know are occuring. It is quite possible that this dataset has been hijacked by big oil.
/sarc if you don’t already know.
From Wikipedia:
Knowing the satellite’s precise position to within 2 centimeters (less than 1 inch) in altitude was a key component in making accurate ocean height measurements possible
Sorry, been too long since statistics class. How do we get 0.4 mm/yr when we have positional error bars on the sat itself of 20mm. Did someone prove the positional errors cancel out with enough samples to obtain this precision?
Although sea level it has been variable in the last 2 years,
the sea level today is lower than what it was almost 2 years ago from the 2009 peak.
Where is that accelerating sea rise up to many meters high predicted to swamp our coastal cities?
We have been “dicked” by the predictors.
It’s time for a castration of the catastrophe confabulation.
Cut the warmist’s funding and where ever else that scalpel can reach…
Payback time please.
Can we at least agree that “since mid 2010” is a little short, timewise?
It was even worse from 2005 to 2008. WUWT?
Therein lies the paradox, his displacement ought to raise sea level. (But if his head were to ever go under water I’d think we should still prepare for a tsunami.)
Carl Brannen says:
February 14, 2012 at 1:15 pm
So why are Envisat disagreeing with Jason-1 and Jason-2 about ocean levels?
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Carl, Envisat’s first 22 passes showed sea levels falling…
…they didn’t believe it, so they adjusted Envisat to match the output of Jason 2
Which leaves you with only two conclusions….
They launched a crap satellite….
…they fudged the output from Envisat
Either way, Envisat went back to showing sea levels falling even after their “adjustment”…
The sea level rise is an observable mystery. The sea level is rising…but always somewhere else where you have never been.
Where exactly have all that extra water, that’s been dumped into the ocean for the last 20 years, been amassing itself? Is there some great blob protruding from a secret place somewhere, waiting to deliver sudden flooding when doom finally strikes?
The earth is expanding by land rise, but the water level is supposed to be rising faster, but the last part seem to be a highly localized (statistical) phenomenon indeed.
The climate zones have been contracting equatorward since about 2000 with more meridional jetstreams causing longer lines of air mass mixing and greater cloudiness around the globe in both hemispheres.
The consequence is a reduction in solar shortwave radiation getting into the oceans. That skews the ENSO balance in favour of La Nina events as against El Nino events by reducing ocean heat content when El Ninos occur but failing to achieve a full recharge when La Ninas occur.
The longer it continues the cooler the oceans will become and tropospheric temperatures will follow.
There is still a phase coherence between the sea level oscillations and the solar tide pattern of Mercury/Earth & Co.;
http:/volker-doormann.org/images/sealevel_vs_xyz.gif
The oscillation is also weak impressed in the GL UAH Temperature.
Any remarks?
V.
I think it’s time for a new law. But what to call it? The law states that all linear projections will eventually fail.
Truly an inconvenient truth.
REPLY: yes, so what? Explain the ENVISAT data – Anthony
Here’s what I want to know…… why do people accept the idiotic conflated graph to begin with? They took 3 separate data sets, which each have 3 separate values and threw them together and no one says boo. Go to avisio and click on each one separately…… the values are entirely different. Given that methodology one can put anything together to show just about anything. Its stupid.
For those who are wondering, Envisat shows a very slight decline in the unadjusted data since late January 2005…… according to Envisat, we’ve had 7 years of declining sea levels.
http://suyts.wordpress.com/2012/02/10/this-is-just-an-assist
The ocean level rises with thermal expansion of the water…..
…how can Hansens missing heat be hiding in the water without a rising sea level?
Therefore, the missing heat cannot be in the oceans….. it is said to be “in the
pipeline”…but we can see, the pipeline does not go through the ocean….somewhere else….
…….. Obviously to see: The existing temp plateau of the 21 Cty can also be proven
by ocean level measurements, which show the end of ocean level expansion and the
end of global warming, one correlating well with the other…..